User blog comment:Andrew444/Andrew444's predictions for 2013 Atlantic and Eastern Pacific activity/@comment-2239664-20121210172556

I'm not sure why you would suggest so many named storms yet so few hurricanes in EPac. Also, although the ACE and named storm predictions aren't far off from what I expect, I don't have any idea what the impacts will be like. We might have a lot of severe major hurricanes in 2013, or we might not have that many impacts. Some years, like 1887, are insanely active but relatively forgotten impact-wise. Other years, like 1992, are unforgettable despite being so quiet. I suppose you could say there is an increased chance of damage and deaths in certain cases, but you cannot accurately forecast the damage or deaths of any hurricane season, no matter what. It all depends on where storms end up, when they end up there, and how strong they are at that time.