Forum:2018 Pacific hurricane season/August

AOI: South of Mexico
Another AOI at the south of Mexico appears. 0/30 as of now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 02:22, July 30, 2018 (UTC)
 * DE TING BE BLOWIN UP MAN §ÖñÖ ÇHÌ ñÖ §ÄÐÄMÈ JÖÖÖÖÖÖÖÖJÖ 11:24, July 30, 2018 (UTC)
 * This one probably won't do too much. Models are more interested in blowing up a possible system after this into a powerful hurricane. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:56, July 31, 2018 (UTC)


 * in what way won't ileana do anything and john be poppin dem hurricane pills brah? §ÖñÖ ÇHÌ ñÖ §ÄÐÄMÈ JÖÖÖÖÖÖÖÖJÖ 14:56, July 31, 2018 (UTC)
 * SO WAIT JOHN BE POPPIN PILLS TO BECOME A CAT 5? AND THE OTHER STORM IN THE MODEL RUN IS KRISTY?? If shear is gonna relax in august according to models then 420% likely that lane be on roids §ÖñÖ ÇHÌ ñÖ §ÄÐÄMÈ JÖÖÖÖÖÖÖÖJÖ 15:00, July 31, 2018 (UTC)
 * Up to 0/40, and I feel this could be Ileana, but not sure how strong it'll get. However, "John" sounds like a strong name, and it would be exciting to see the system after this become "John" and intensify to as much as a C5 (as long as it remains out to sea). ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  02:29, August 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * i predict: hector will peak at a c3, ileana a c3 and john a c1. kristy and lane are two c4s. -- §ÖñÖ ÇHÌ ñÖ §ÄÐÄMÈ JÖÖÖÖÖÖÖÖJÖ 11:35, August 1, 2018 (UTC)

Still not on the 2-day TWO, but it is now at 0/50. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 13:11, August 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * ileana be bvsed LOL! -- §ÖñÖ ÇHÌ ñÖ §ÄÐÄMÈ JÖÖÖÖÖÖÖÖJÖ 13:33, August 1, 2018 (UTC)


 * This will probably become Ileana next week. Rooting for it to become a hurricane or stronger unless it affects Mexico in the long run. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧

Nvm my below comment this'll become something soon. Currently at 10/80. Ryan1000 15:04, August 2, 2018 (UTC)


 * Oh lol, I mixed this up too. The AOI that I said wouldn't do anything much is the one below at 10/30, while the "possible system after this" is actually this AOI at 10/80. ~ KN2731 {talk} 15:13, August 2, 2018 (UTC)

Currently 20/90. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 03:14, August 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * 30/90 now. Ileana is coming... Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:34, August 3, 2018 (UTC)


 * 50/90, and the race to become Ileana (with the below AOI) is on. ~ KN2731 {talk} 03:29, August 4, 2018 (UTC)


 * 60/90 now. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:43, August 4, 2018 (UTC)

95E.INVEST
Finally made into an invest. This is actually the 70/90 one. The race for Ileana is on. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:08, August 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * 80/90 now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 13:02, August 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now at 90/100, this will form very soon. ChowKam2002 (talk) 18:24, August 4, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Twelve-E
Now a tropical depression. 30 kts/1006 mb. T  G  2 0 1 8 20:44, August 5, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm John
Forecast peak at 95 knots, but could be higher given rapid intensification is likely. ~ KN2731 {talk} 03:39, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * Ok, the EPac is on FIRE. Three active systems, and a fourth one looking likely from the 60/80 invest?! Newly-named John is going to be the stronger one out of the twins of very close proximity. I'm betting at least a C3, maybe a C4, is in store for John. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:11, August 6, 2018 (UTC)


 * John's intensity history has been somewhat off and on, he was a cat 2 in 1978, a major in 1982, 1994 and 2006, but he failed miserably in 2012 and wasn't too strong in 2000 or 1988. If John can remain offshore without causing much impact to Mexico, I personally hope he becomes a cat 5 so we can have a Pacific hurricane name reach category 5 intensity twice, but that intensity may be pushing it a bit far with this one. Nonetheless, RI index is high, and I would be surprised if this incarnation of John doesn't become at least a cat 3. Ryan1000 05:16, August 6, 2018 (UTC)


 * This storm is now at 60 mph and 999 mbars, and is forecast by the NHC to become a hurricane in the next six to twelve hours. Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 11:52, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * Rapid intensification index is extremely high with this storm (60 to 90% according to the NHC's latest forecast discussion) and John already looks like a hurricane on satellite imagery. He's expected to become at least a 125 mph cat 3 at this point, but given John's very favorable environment and small circulation (TS winds go only 70 miles from the center), there is a very good chance he could get stronger than the 125 mph that NHC currently forecasts; the SHIPS and LGEM models show an even higher intensity. I'd say John is already a lock for a cat 4 at this point, and maybe there's an outside chance John could be the first Pacific hurricane name to reach category 5 intensity twice. Ryan1000 12:51, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * This doesn't have much time. This will pass near Socorro Island and thereafter enter much colder water to its northwest. With that said, John is making the most of it and 60 knots/day RI would not surprise me, which would put Category 4 in play. YE Pacific Hurricane  15:52, August 6, 2018 (UTC)

NHC's latest forecast discussion says that this has an 80% chance of going up 40 knots in intensity over the next 24 hours, and that could be conservative. Small and compact EPac storms like John have a tendency to overshoot the NHC forecasts for them, we saw how Aletta didn't have much time and dry air in front of it and she became a cat 4, John could too or even become a cat 5. He also could absorb Ileana, as stated in her forecast discussion. Ryan1000 16:31, August 6, 2018 (UTC)

Almost a hurricane now: 70 mph, 993 mbars. John will definitely be a hurricane in the next advisory. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 17:30, August 6, 2018 (UTC)

Hurricane John
Now it is one. 75 mph, 990 mbars. Leeboy100 Hello!! 20:59, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * Rapid intensification is on the way, John could be a major hurricane as early as tomorrow morning. Ryan1000 21:31, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * 90 mph/977 mb. Thus begins the RI, only question now is exactly how strong he'll get. This incarnation of John may have the potential to outperform John of '94 in thems of intensity, but we'll have to see about that.  Send Help Please (talk) 09:26, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * Actually I think a minimal 3 from John because of how fat he is. What he gives to this world (eating up Kristy and Ileana and being a womanise) he will get back. Just wait for Miriam and Lane. yare yare daze (talk) 14:57, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * bruh he became a 2 --yare yare daze (talk) 15:05, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * John might be able to brush C4 actually, the cloud tops around the eye are rather cold. ~ KN2731 {talk} 15:22, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * bruh he looking like he gonna eat kirsty --yare yare daze (talk) 15:29, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * John is nowhere near Kristy for John to absorb Kristy. Unless you meant Ileana, which is what John is doing lol. I'm expecting John to be a C3 at peak.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions   17:33, August 7, 2018 (UTC)

I just hope John doesn't completely miss major status a la Fabio. Send Help Please (talk) 21:23, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * Honestly I wouldn't particularly mind if John peaked where it is now, or at 95 kts. This would only be the second non-major Hurricane John on record after the 1978 storm, and would therefore add a little variety. Then again, barring post-analysis of Fabio, we've already had a C2-peaking storm this season, whereas we've yet to have one peak as a C3 (Aletta, Bud, and Hector all went on to peak as C4s, with the latter possibly even becoming a C5)... so a C3 John would add just as much variety to this year's PHS as a C2 John would to that name's intensity history. Basically I'll be equally satisfied with either this being John's peak, or John peaking as a C3. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 22:51, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * There is still about a day or so for John to acquire major status. If it didn't I would be disappointed. I think of "John" as a strong-sounding name. Please don't pull a Fabio!! ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  23:46, August 7, 2018 (UTC)

No changes as of latest advisory, John should've laid off the meatballs, 2fat4major. Send Help Please (talk) 03:20, August 8, 2018 (UTC)


 * I think you meant he should’ve laid off the cannibalism. He is looking pretty fat, as you were saying. :P Leeboy100 Hello!! 04:26, August 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * Well, John was pretty fat before eating Ileana, I guess his gluttonous tendencies morphed into cannibalism when he decided that warm water and moist air weren't enough to sustain him. Regardless, he's down to 100 mph/972 mb, and his descent has begun. Perhaps him not reaching major status is karma for the aforementioned cannibalism... Send Help Please  (talk) 10:37, August 8, 2018 (UTC)


 * Looks like John ran into unfavorable conditions faster than expected. The eye is now indistinct, and ATCF has brought John down to a C1. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:50, August 8, 2018 (UTC)


 * that's what you get for eating up innocent ppl (remember iris and hamberto? eating karen for dinner?) he is paying the price: not becoming a major hurricane, also wasting ileana and kristy's opportunities to be strong storms. likely the next storm after kristy will be intense after the cold wake has gone --yare yare daze (talk) 17:12, August 8, 2018 (UTC)

And John follows Fabio and Hilary. Oh well, he was fun to watch at his peak. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 18:52, August 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * Oh well, expected to weaken to dissipation. I wonder how many more storms will fail to reach major status.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     23:30, August 08, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm John (2nd time)
John was downgraded 6 hours ago. Ah well. ~ KN2731 {talk} 15:11, August 9, 2018 (UTC)

yawn... gimme lane now.... she better be good.... 🅱ust 🅱hut 🅱p 🅱lready 😂😂👌🏿👌🏿💯💯 (talk) 18:13, August 9, 2018 (UTC)


 * Down to 60 mph/997 mb as of latest advisory. Also, Lane is a male name on this list. Send Help Please  (talk) 02:58, August 10, 2018 (UTC)


 * 40 knots and 1001 mb. Bye bye. ~ KN2731 {talk} 09:33, August 10, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone John
Rip in piss. The cannibal has met his end. Send Help Please (talk) 15:09, August 10, 2018 (UTC)

John has ceased to be. See you again in 2024. Ryan1000 15:09, August 10, 2018 (UTC)


 * Lol both of you posted at the same time. ~ KN2731 {talk} 15:28, August 10, 2018 (UTC)

Goodbye cannibal. I wonder if Kristy will eat the remains. Circle of life. Leeboy100 Hello!! 07:31, August 11, 2018 (UTC)
 * yummy yummy in my belly --🅱ust 🅱hut 🅱p 🅱lready 😂😂👌🏿👌🏿💯💯 (talk) 11:35, August 11, 2018 (UTC)
 * A bit disappointing that John flunked major status by pulling a Fabio. But I guess that's punishment/karma for being a cannibal. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:20, August 11, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: South of Mexico II
A new AOI overlaps with the AOI above in the 5-day TWO. Currently 10/30. The EPac has awakened. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 04:20, August 2, 2018 (UTC)


 * Assuming I'm not getting this and the above storm confused, this AOI is now up to 10/80 and is expected to become a depression early next week, but the AOI in front of it is only at 10/30, not as likely to develop. I say that this'll be Ileana. Ryan1000 12:49, August 2, 2018 (UTC)


 * This may be the 10/30 one, I believe. The 10/80 one is the AOI above this one. This may steal Ileana if conditions become favorable, but for now, the AOI above would be the one that has the highest possibility of becoming Ileana. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 13:55, August 2, 2018 (UTC)
 * Nevermind, I mixed them up. This is the AOI directly behind Hector, but this probably won't develop anyways. Ryan1000 15:04, August 2, 2018 (UTC)

This disturbance is pretty much just Ileana food. Send Help Please (talk) 21:47, August 2, 2018 (UTC)


 * 20/40 now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 03:14, August 3, 2018 (UTC)


 * 30/50. This may be John after all (or Ileana, if the unexpected happens). Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:34, August 3, 2018 (UTC)


 * 60/90. This might actually be Ileana first if it spins up fast enough. ~ KN2731 {talk} 03:28, August 4, 2018 (UTC)

94E.INVEST
And this has been invested first, actually. Up as 94E on TropicalTidbits. ~ KN2731 {talk} 03:31, August 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * Up to 70/90. Ileana and John could come at the same time due to this and the above system. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:44, August 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * I think this is the 60/90 one. Regardless, it is most likely that we will see Ileana and John before the succeeding week starts. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:10, August 4, 2018 (UTC)

Never mind. This is now 70/90 as the invest above is 80/90. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 13:02, August 4, 2018 (UTC)


 * The chances of this invest forming have actually gone down a bit, to 60%/80%. I guess this one will be Kristy, since 12-E could become John before this forms, unless it gets its act together quickly. Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 01:50, August 6, 2018 (UTC)

If this does become Kristy I doubt it'll be strong, since it will be following in Hector's cold, upwelled wake. Ryan1000 04:48, August 6, 2018 (UTC)


 * Agreed that it probably won't be too powerful, but if it becomes named soon, we could see 4 active named systems in the EPac and CPac! Insane especially after the dead July. Something must have made it more favorable?! ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:14, August 6, 2018 (UTC)


 * I've heard that people are forecasting an El Niño to form this year, but i'm not sure if this is a cause. I'm guessing it was just the conditions improving like a decrease in wind shear. Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 11:44, August 6, 2018 (UTC)


 * The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is back in the EPac, and most forecasting agencies expected an El Nino this year to begin with, with higher activity expected in the EPac but less in the Atlantic. Yeah, we may have had two hurricanes in July in the Atlantic but the basin hasn't had much since and isn't expected to anytime soon; the AOI near the Azores right now isn't expected to develop, let alone affect land. Ryan1000 12:51, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * Wind shear has declined quite a bit in the basin. This should become Kristy as it tracks west even if it's taking its sweet time now. YE Pacific Hurricane  15:50, August 6, 2018 (UTC)

Still 60/80, but this thing still has a high chance to become Kristy in the next couple of days (or so). Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 17:30, August 6, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Thirteen-E
"Satellite data indicate that thunderstorm activity associated with a well-defined low pressure system located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has continued to become better organized during the past several hours, and a special advisory package will be issued on Tropical Depression 13-E by 1000 PM PDT." -- Isaac829 E-Mail  04:16, August 7, 2018 (UTC)


 * The track forecast is now out, 13E (Kristy) might have an outside chance to be a hurricane but currently expected to be 65 mph, and interaction with a weakening John late in the forecast period could turn Kristy-to-be northward, eventually over cooler waters and dissipating. Ryan1000 05:50, August 7, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Kristy
Here she is, already outpreforming initial forecasts. 50 mph/1000 mb right now, expected to be a minimal hurricane in 48 hours before interaction with John. Send Help Please (talk) 09:21, August 7, 2018 (UTC) Kristy you little minx. Anyway I predict a C2 peak. yare yare daze (talk) 14:57, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * At least i'm glad the EPAC is finally pulling its acts together after sleeping in July, which, if I can recall, is generally one of the most active months for the EPAC. Kristy should also be a hurricane in the coming days.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions   17:35, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * The MJO moved into the basin, which should explain the high activity we are seeing. Kristy still forecast to become a hurricane, but it will only peak as a weak C1 if it does so (unless we see a sudden unexpected RI stunt). ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  23:50, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * looks like kristy won't become a hurricane :/ thanks to the cold wake... yare yare daze (talk) 17:10, August 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * likely (and hopefully) lane will be better. --yare yare daze (talk) 17:43, August 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * Hopefully so, Kristy now weakening.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     23:35, August 08, 2018 (UTC)


 * do you think lane will be a good one? --🅱ust 🅱hut 🅱p 🅱lready 😂😂👌🏿👌🏿💯💯 (talk) 00:09, August 9, 2018 (UTC)

Kristy's pulling off a strengthening stunt. Winds have gone up to 55 knots (65 mph, 100 km/h) while the pressure has dropped to 994 mb. Come on Kristy, you can reach hurricane status! ~ KN2731 {talk} 15:13, August 9, 2018 (UTC)
 * Ditto! Also PLEASE LANE, BECOME A GOOD HURRICANE! NOT JUST FOR ME BUT FOR YOUR BEST MATE DARIA! --🅱ust 🅱hut 🅱p 🅱lready 😂😂👌🏿👌🏿💯💯 (talk) 17:59, August 9, 2018 (UTC)


 * What if Kristy were to turn the tables and absorb John, avenging Ileana? No seriously, with John weakening and beginning to look more and more disorganized, and Kristy strengthening, I’m beginning to think that might be a possibility. Leeboy100 Hello!! 18:23, August 9, 2018 (UTC)
 * not really, I don't think so. ALSO WILL LANE BE A GOOD STORM?? WHO RECKONS SO???? --🅱ust 🅱hut 🅱p 🅱lready 😂😂👌🏿👌🏿💯💯 (talk) 18:33, August 9, 2018 (UTC)
 * REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE I WANT LANE TO BE A GOOD ONE I LITERALLY BETTED £50 ON IT --🅱ust 🅱hut 🅱p 🅱lready 😂😂👌🏿👌🏿💯💯 (talk) 20:24, August 9, 2018 (UTC)

Up to 70 mph. Holy crap she might actually do it. Send Help Please (talk) 03:02, August 10, 2018 (UTC)
 * Still at 70 mph come on pls. ~ KN2731 {talk} 09:34, August 10, 2018 (UTC)
 * "now weakening more rapidly" thanks john! dragged her northward and wasted an opportunity. --🅱ust 🅱hut 🅱p 🅱lready 😂😂👌🏿👌🏿💯💯 (talk) 11:37, August 11, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Kristy
That was fast, but she's gone. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:12, August 11, 2018 (UTC)
 * Well that was disappointing. Guess we can only hope Kristy pulls a Kiko '13 and gets upgraded in post-analysis. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 18:45, August 11, 2018 (UTC)
 * Yep, really disappointing that Kristy flunked hurricane status... I agree with you that hopefully it gets an upgrade in post-analysis. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:18, August 11, 2018 (UTC)

...Back up on the TWO at 10/10. But, Kristy's probably not going to redevelop. Ryan1000 05:02, August 12, 2018 (UTC)
 * A bit surprised it reappeared, but now it's no longer mentioned on the TWO. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:23, August 13, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: West of Costa Rica
New kid at 10/20, development may be inhibited by future Ileana/John though (the AOI just to the northwest of this thing). --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 12:52, August 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * Up to 20/30, but I'm not as excited about this system. The other two systems look more likely to become named. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:45, August 4, 2018 (UTC)

96E.INVEST
Invested according to Tropical Tidbits. It's currently at 30/40. EPac is coming back to life. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 13:03, August 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * Already at 90/90. This one will also form. ChowKam2002 (talk) 18:24, August 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * The steroids are kicking in now after the E Pac overdosed at the end of June. Send Help Please  (talk) 18:49, August 4, 2018 (UTC)

Woah! I did not expect this to jump up so fast. This might beat the two storms ahead of it to become Ileana, and if all 3 systems form, we'll be at Kristy by tomorrow or sometime early next week. The EPac is really kicking up right now. I guess that El Nino that was forecast is truly up in effect for the basin. Ryan1000 18:51, August 4, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Eleven-E
Plot twist. This may become Ileana. Still poorly organized as of the moment though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 04:13, August 5, 2018 (UTC)


 * Up to 30 knots. This may actually win the race and become Ileana. ~ KN2731 {talk} 09:11, August 5, 2018 (UTC)


 * Unfortunately if it does, it may not become that strong of a fishspinner. Currently forecast to peak at only 50 mph. Ryan1000 13:44, August 5, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Ileana
And it looks like Ileana has arrived. currently 40 kts/1003 mb, and expected to stay at TS strength. T G  2 0 1 8 20:42, August 5, 2018 (UTC)


 * Ileana has now strengthened to 50 mph and 1001 mbars. Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 01:46, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * This and Twelve-E look like one big amorphous blob on satellite.  Send Help Please (talk) 02:10, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * They're both in surprisingly close proximity, and John could eat up the remnants of Ileana in the long run. For now Ileana is expected to bring impacts to Mexico, and a tropical storm warning has been issued. John shall become the dominant one and prevent Ileana from becoming more than a strong TS. For now, I doubt this will become a hurricane. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:17, August 6, 2018 (UTC)

2AM (1AM CDT) advisory: 999 mbars, 60 mph. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 06:24, August 6, 2018 (UTC)


 * Now 65 mph / 998 mbars. It is now forecast to become a hurricane by the NHC. Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 11:47, August 6, 2018 (UTC)

Woah, Ileana is making me (and the NHC) eat our words. It might very well be a hurricane at this rate, but the track now brings her closer to Mexico's coastline. There's a high pressure system over Mexico right now, but the rotation of, and interaction with, her brother John might try to force her closer to the coastline. There could be some impacts with this if that happens. Ryan1000 12:41, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * Should rotate counterclockwise as it interacts with John. Could become a hurricane in the meantime but GFS/ECMWF don't have a good handle on this so confidence is low. YE <font color="#66666">Pacific <font color="#66666">Hurricane  15:55, August 6, 2018 (UTC)

The NHC no longer expects this to become a hurricane as of latest advisory. It's only a matter of time before Ileana becomes John food (which is the exact opposite of what I said several days ago lol). Send Help Please (talk) 21:18, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * Yeah, NHC says that Ileana already looks like an outer rainband of John by now, so John's probably going to eat up his little sister sometime tomorrow. Ryan1000 21:31, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * "John's probably going to eat up his little sister" sounds so morbid when you take it out of context. Also, which storm is truly the little sibling? Ileana may be smaller in size, but she did form first... although one could lawyer about the precursor to John becoming identified before the precursor to Ileana. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 00:26, August 7, 2018 (UTC)

"Hurricane cannibalism" has happened before, the TD that became Hurricane Alex in 2010 swallowed category 3 hurricane Darby in the EPac at that time, since Darby was so small compared to the much larger Atlantic depression, and Ileana is pretty small compared to John. Ryan1000 01:10, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * Down to 50 mph, pressure increased to 1001 mb. Ileana will be gone soon. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 06:26, August 7, 2018 (UTC)


 * TropicalTidbits says gone. Waiting for NHC to confirm. ~ KN2731 {talk} 14:32, August 7, 2018 (UTC)


 * Good grief, Ileana got Bravo'd by Johnny! We can't sing "Come On Ileana" anymore... Seems to be the boys eating the girls all the time, as you mentioned with Alex x Darby and Ileana x John x Kristy... yare yare daze (talk) 14:57, August 7, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of Ileana
And John and Ileana became one.-- <font face="Courier New">Isaac829 <font face="Courier New">E-Mail  15:04, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * shows how much of a greedy guts johnny bravo really is smh --yare yare daze (talk) 15:06, August 7, 2018 (UTC)

In response to your above comment, Darby is a male name, not a female name...lol. So Alex '10 ate another guy. Ryan1000 15:15, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * ok if you say so lol --yare yare daze (talk) 15:19, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * I rarely ever see this sort of thing happening. Ileana just literally became John's lunch. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  16:02, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * For me this Ileana-John event reminds me of Zeb and Alex '98 in the WPac. Speaking of Alex – in this case, the Atlantic one – you are all correct: he absorbed EPac's Darby 12 years later. To be fair, Darby has became a unisex name through the years, but in the lists it is used as a male name, which makes Ryan technically correct. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 16:18, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * ok lol if you say so. yare yare daze (talk) 16:32, August 7, 2018 (UTC)


 * Ileana has now just become food for hungry Hurricane John. However, to be fair, I’d much rather have John resort to cannibalism than to feed on humans. Leeboy100 Hello!! 16:39, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * Ileana didn't last long until John ate her up, some hurricane cannibalism lol.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions   17:36, August 7, 2018 (UTC)


 * Welp, see you in 2024, Ileana. I just want to say that I don’t consider Ileana a fail, because she went through a decent stint of intensification, plus who knows what she could have done had her brother not resorted to cannibalism? :P Leeboy100 Hello!! 20:05, August 7, 2018 (UTC)

The first of John's interactions ends in cannibalism. Wonder what he'll do to Kristy. Send Help Please (talk) 23:12, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * They are a bit far apart. I do not expect them to interact much. Cannibal John literally murdered the poor Ileana, holy sh!t. If John wasn't here, Ileana would have had potential to get much stronger than it did, and possibly become a devastating Mexican storm. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  23:55, August 7, 2018 (UTC)


 * If he murders Kristy the same way, should John be charged with homicide? Hurricane homicide? Hurricide? Leeboy100 Hello!! 04:22, August 8, 2018 (UTC)


 * Should John be sent to hurricane hell with Harvey Irma Maria etc. for this? ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:52, August 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * definitely. he is the equivalent to iris/hamberto 1995 when they ate up karen yare yare daze (talk) 17:09, August 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * I HOPE THE NEXT STORM IS A GOOD (C3+ ONE) BECAUSE IT'S MY FAVOURITE NAME --🅱ust 🅱hut 🅱p 🅱lready 😂😂👌🏿👌🏿💯💯 (talk) 19:21, August 8, 2018 (UTC)

14E.LANE
See the archive on Lane.

AOI: West of 97E
10/10, will not develop. I HOPE NONE OF THESE F-CKING WAVES DEVELOP. --🅱ust 🅱hut 🅱p 🅱lready 😂😂👌🏿👌🏿💯💯 (talk) 00:29, August 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * Highly doubt this will ever become anything because upper-level winds will strike in only a day from now. Waste of time to write it up on the TWO. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:49, August 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * At this f-cking rate I'm going to lose my £50 F-CK OFF TROPICAL WAVES UNLESS YOU BECOME WALAKA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! --🅱ust 🅱hut 🅱p 🅱lready 😂😂👌🏿👌🏿💯💯 (talk) 12:59, August 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * Can someone please reply? I am getting frankly pissed off that it looks likely that my favourite name will likely be a weak storm because of all the wind shear and cold water. Don't get me wrong, I love Hector, BUT LANE IS MY FAVOURITE NAME ON THE LIST AND I WANT IT TO BE A GOOD ONE. IF LANE IS WEAK WHICH IT LOOKS LIKE AT THIS POINT, THEN I'M GONNA F-CKING SMASH THE WINDOW. (Not literally but I'm getting pissed off now. I betted £50 on this name becoming a nice fishie.)--🅱ust 🅱hut 🅱p 🅱lready 😂😂👌🏿👌🏿💯💯 (talk) 18:58, August 13, 2018 (UTC)

This might become Walaka though. Currently 30/30. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 19:03, August 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * YOU BETTER BE F-CKING WALAKA OTHERWISE I'LL F-KING DEPORT YOU TO THE ATLANTIC WHERE IT'S DRY AS F-CKING RYE BREAD --🅱ust 🅱hut 🅱p 🅱lready 😂😂👌🏿👌🏿💯💯 (talk) 19:04, August 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * Keep talking like this and you'll see the hammer too.-- <font face="Courier New">Isaac829 <font face="Courier New">E-Mail  22:06, August 13, 2018 (UTC)

98E.INVEST
Yeah, chill out. 50 pounds isn't a huge deal (unlike betting thousands of pounds). Anyway, seems like this is eating my words from earlier. Up as an invest on Tropical Tidbits. This could actually become a brief depression if it continues organizing like this. However, it enters cooler waters tomorrow afternoon. It'll really have to organize fast it it wants to become something. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  23:54, August 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * and I hope it doesn't. --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 23:59, August 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * Some models take this to be Walaka, which has been waiting since the end of 2016 lol.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     00:39, August 14, 2018 (UTC)

Up to 60/90, and more models are in favor of this becoming a TS in the next couple of days. Send Help Please (talk) 10:26, August 14, 2018 (UTC)
 * Um, that's 97E, not this one. This is at 10/10 and no longer expected to do anything. ~ KN2731 {talk} 15:49, August 14, 2018 (UTC)
 * WAHOO~ --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 15:50, August 14, 2018 (UTC)
 * Oops. That's what I get for trying to make posts early in the morning I guess. Send Help Please  (talk) 18:06, August 14, 2018 (UTC)
 * Off the TWO. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 00:25, August 15, 2018 (UTC)
 * This one vanished quickly. lol ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  02:53, August 15, 2018 (UTC)

94C.INVEST
This one is at the southwest of Hawaii. 10/20 as of now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:55, August 15, 2018 (UTC)
 * Off the TWO. When will Walaka ever come? ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  03:52, August 16, 2018 (UTC)

CPac named storms aren't supposed to form that often (2015 was an exception as it was a super El Nino, but this year's El Nino may not be as strong as that of 2015). But fret not, it's only August 16, we still have about 2 and a half (active) months of the EPac season left. And having 12 named storms in the EPac proper right now is well ahead of schedule. Not as active as the record pace of 1985 or 1992, but still a good pace nonetheless. Ryan1000 03:48, August 17, 2018 (UTC)

Nah, I’d rather believe that the name Walaka is cursed and that the world will spontaneously combust if a storm is ever given that name. :P Leeboy100 Hello!! 04:40, August 17, 2018 (UTC)


 * Hopefully Walaka comes soon enough. 😛 ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:13, August 17, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: Several Hundred Miles SW of Baja
Up on the 5-day outlook at 0/20. Miriam anyone? I can't believe we're getting this far into the naming list already! ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:13, August 17, 2018 (UTC)
 * I don't think Mariam would be that strong tbh --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 12:17, August 17, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now 10/20. Will only develop gradually, but could be Miriam next week. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:48, August 18, 2018 (UTC)

Down to 10/10. Starting to doubt development. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  01:20, August 19, 2018 (UTC)


 * I'm hoping this somehow survives to the CPac and becomes Walaka. At least it would break the monotony there. ~ KN2731 {talk} 04:42, August 19, 2018 (UTC)

Dead. Send Help Please (talk) 19:27, August 19, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: Several Hundred Miles SW of Baja II
Another AOI appears, currently at 0/20  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     23:26, August 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * I can see this becoming Miriam next week. But you never know... ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:11, August 23, 2018 (UTC)
 * Up to 0/30 ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:30, August 24, 2018 (UTC)

0/40 now. This may become Miriam, while the other one may become Walaka. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 07:48, August 24, 2018 (UTC)
 * 10/40. ~ KN2731 {talk} 12:39, August 24, 2018 (UTC)
 * 10/50. A TD may come from this. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 17:51, August 24, 2018 (UTC)
 * Likely to become Miriam in the next several days. And maybe even another major? ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:17, August 25, 2018 (UTC)
 * mariam: "u faka lane i will be bigger dan you betch"
 * lane: "no u faka will flop just like gilma, i left cold water in ur path so u can't be like lane, no.1 faka of all of hawaii so say big a$$ mahalo to no.1 faka, lane!" --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 15:32, August 25, 2018 (UTC)

20/60 now. This is organizing fairly quickly. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 19:57, August 25, 2018 (UTC)

99E.INVEST
Up to 40/70, Miriam is on its way now. Also invested. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  03:08, August 26, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Fifteen-E
Upgraded to a TD, and forecast to become Hurricane Miriam in the next few days. This will almost certainly end up as a fishspinner. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:07, August 26, 2018 (UTC)


 * Yeah, this storm will probably move towards the north late in the forecast period due to steering currents, like how Pauline of 1985 turned north before affecting Hawaii, unlike Lane. Ryan1000 13:07, August 26, 2018 (UTC)
 * wow! mariam formed! now, let's see who wins: mariam vs norman? will either win or will it end up as a draw (like the ksi vs logan paul match?) I'm rooting for the normie norman tbh --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 13:27, August 26, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Miriam
Miriam is here with 45-mph winds. Rapid intensification is a possibility in the days ahead. ~ KN2731 {talk} 14:53, August 26, 2018 (UTC)


 * Up to 60 mph and 1000 mbars. NHC says that quick changes in Miriam's intensity are hard to forecast since Miriam has such a tiny circulation; TS force winds only go 45 miles away from the center of circulation, and it's quite possible Miriam could explode into a major hurricane for some time before weakening as she turns north late in the forecast period. Ryan1000 13:05, August 27, 2018 (UTC)
 * this bih related to john and fabio bruh --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 15:43, August 27, 2018 (UTC)

65 mph/999 mbars. Miriam is nearly a hurricane now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 19:03, August 27, 2018 (UTC)
 * Pressure down by 1 mbar, winds the same. Should be a hurricane by tomorrow, or later today  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     23:49, August 27, 2018 (UTC)

Miriam's small size is a double-edged sword; while she could RI fast upon existing in favorable conditions, Miriam could also weaken considerably even if only minor changes happen in the environment around her. Miriam lost a bit of organization yesterday, but she's back up and kicking today and may become a hurricane soon, and maybe even a major before she turns north. Ryan1000 12:42, August 28, 2018 (UTC)
 * Miriam is still at 65 mph. Hopefully she is not following Ileana and Kristy's footsteps. Please don't bottle it up. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 18:21, August 28, 2018 (UTC)
 * Miriam's LLCC is now exposed due to shear. Satellite estimates are down to 50kt. This storm is being quite a disappointment. ChowKam2002 (talk) 19:10, August 28, 2018 (UTC)

Also, what I find interesting is that this storm's name is also the name of my sister. Heh. My sister is better than *this*. ChowKam2002 (talk) 19:10, August 28, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now down to 60/1000, and forecast to peak as TS, and weakening in the long run. This is probably a fail.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     03:05, August 29, 2018 (UTC)

Disappointing...I expected this could get stronger, but it looks like Miriam may fail on us this time, just like how Kristy fell short. Ryan1000 04:47, August 29, 2018 (UTC)


 * Now no longer forecast to become a hurricane. 🙁 Let's hope it still does what Kristy didn't do, and that is to peak at at least 75 mph. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:47, August 29, 2018 (UTC)
 * Won't be official until the next NHC advisory, but Tropical Tidbits says this is finally a 65 kt/992 mbar hurricane. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 19:11, August 29, 2018 (UTC)

Hurricane Miriam
Became a hurricane at the same time as Norman, and should be entering CPAC basin shortly. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     21:01, August 29, 2018 (UTC)


 * So this managed to become a hurricane after all...not bad, though I don't think Miriam will get too much stronger at this point, before she turns north in a few days over less favorable conditions. Ryan1000 21:14, August 29, 2018 (UTC)
 * ATCF brings this up to 70 knots. ~ KN2731 {talk} 08:16, August 30, 2018 (UTC)


 * I believe Miriam has reached her peak intensity now, at 85 mph. Should weaken from here on out as it encounters cooler waters. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  03:41, August 31, 2018 (UTC)


 * Nope, she went up to 90 mph and 978 mb. But she'll definitely weaken from here out, there's at least 20 knots of shear over Miriam's core already. ~ KN2731 {talk} 09:30, August 31, 2018 (UTC)

Apparently Miriam does not care about shear. She is up to 100 mph/974 mb as of latest advisory, and has exceeded expectations by becoming a Cat. 2 hurricane. This estimate may even be conservative, as noted by the latest discussion. I'd also like to add that as far as the number of named storms in the EPac, not the CPac, is concerned, we are currently ahead of 2015 and on pace with 1992, and the conveyor belt doesn't seem to be stopping anytime soon. If this sort of activity persists for the rest of the season, and some storms form in the CPac, we might have one of the most active EPac hurricane seasons on record. Send Help Please (talk) 21:35, August 31, 2018 (UTC)

Now down to minimal hurricane status. Her peak was impressive in the conditions she was in, no matter how short lived it was. Send Help Please (talk) 15:50, September 1, 2018 (UTC)


 * In terms of EPac proper named storms, we're currently on par with 1992 but still behind the current (record) pace of 1985. That season was up to Rick by now and would get to Sandra in 4 days, but that season slowed in mid-October and only had Waldo and Xina form in that month. If this year's September and October are as active as 2014 or 2015 in the EPac proper, we could very well run the table like 1992 did. Ryan1000 17:10, September 1, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Miriam (2nd time)
Going down fast, now at 45 mph/1002 mb.  Send Help Please (talk) 04:20, September 2, 2018 (UTC)
 * Miriam has completely given up. I'm surprised it managed to reach C2. She has really been a fighter, but now I guess the shear wins. The shear over Miriam is currently 45-55 knots! ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:55, September 2, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Miriam
And she is dying. Such a fighter though. See you in 2024! Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:01, September 2, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Miriam
And she's gone. Send Help Please (talk) 00:44, September 3, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: Well ESE of Hawaii
One more AOI has appeared on the NHC's 5-day TWO to the west of the above one. This is at 0/20 too, and hopefully will become Walaka out in the middle of nowhere. ~ KN2731 {talk} 12:00, August 23, 2018 (UTC)
 * I hope for this to become Walaka as well. We've been waiting for that storm for so long now. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:32, August 24, 2018 (UTC)

0/30 now. May become Walaka or Akoni or even Norman, depending on whether or not 95C's TS-force winds gets recognized by CPHC. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 07:51, August 24, 2018 (UTC)
 * Back to 0/20. The wait for Miriam and Walaka continues... Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 17:51, August 24, 2018 (UTC)
 * 0/10 now, will likely just die for good. Why does it seem like every time an AOI forms that could become Walaka, and we put our hopes up, it just withers away and fails miserably each time? -.- ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:22, August 25, 2018 (UTC)

Finally removed from the EPac TWO. The drought continues; the very excruciating wait for Walaka is still going on. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 19:56, August 25, 2018 (UTC)

95C.INVEST
And the interesting blob to the east of Lane is now 95C. Not appeared on the TWO just yet though. Kiewii 19:52, August 23, 2018 (UTC)
 * A buoy was in the way and it found near TS winds. Will probably be snubbed by CPHC though.-- <font face="Courier New">Isaac829 <font face="Courier New">E-Mail  06:31, August 24, 2018 (UTC)
 * If that verifies, the situation just got from bad to worse. Hawaii – especially Big Island – might receive more rainfall. Amazingly, 95C only appears on the SSD page of NOAA; it is not even included in Tropical Tidbits as of the moment. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 07:57, August 24, 2018 (UTC)
 * lane u faka stop destroying da aloha state and making ur own invest u faka --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 11:57, August 24, 2018 (UTC)
 * Wow, I wonder if this was actually a brief TC but not noticed as one by any agency... ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:24, August 25, 2018 (UTC)

I don't know if this is still on, but this thing got snubbed by almost all weather agencies. This won't be anything at all. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:37, August 25, 2018 (UTC)
 * lane: "told u fakaz i can make me own babiez widout no man, brah no faka can compare to me, not even iniki the old faka who should go bakk to 1992 lol" --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 15:30, August 25, 2018 (UTC)

Gone. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 16:51, August 26, 2018 (UTC)