Forum:2019 Atlantic hurricane season

Future start
We're going to make the 2019 forum slightly ahead of time, but we already have the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific betting pools up, with some slight changes. In any instance, this year is using list 5, the one Atlantic naming list that has never gone one single season of usage without having at least 1 retired name since the modern naming lists since 1979, and has the most retired names from any 1979-today naming list, with 13. My personal predictions are 15-21 named storms, 7-12 hurricanes, 4-6 major hurricanes, and maybe a category 5 or two. I doubt the El Nino we saw rise up last year will last long or that strongly into 2019, not to want a bad season, but it's very possible. Ryan1000 03:52, November 20, 2018 (UTC)
 * I also think the El Nino won't last as long, but I do think it will last around February or March, and then a warm neutral for most of the season. However, I also believe El Nino effects will linger int he Atlantic for most of the season, i.e., strong upper-wind shear. With that being said, I think the 2019 AHS will be near-neutral season with 12-15 named storms, 5-7 hurricanes, and 1-2 major hurricanes. I don't expect a C5 this upcoming season, but I do expect 1 retired name, maybe even no names being retired.  ~ Roy25     Happy Thanksgiving Day!!!  |  🦃     23:09, November 22, 2018 (UTC)


 * While I personally think the name list has no correlation to the upcoming season, I just hope it has at least one major hurricane, lol. I think 2019 will be slightly below to near average. -  PORY GONAL  13:18, November 28, 2018 (UTC)


 * The 2019 Atlantic hurricane season has officially begun!  Sandy 156   :)  04:06, June 1, 2019 (UTC)

Hall of Fame 2019
Since it's officially 2019, this year's hall of fame is now open for voting, if anyone wants to do it. Ryan1000 12:34, January 1, 2019 (UTC)

AOI: Eastern Caribbean Sea
An AOI appears in the Caribbean Sea, at 10/20 as it moves northwestward toward the island of Hispaniola.  Sandy 156   :)  17:52, July 28, 2019 (UTC)

95L.INVEST
Now invested as 95L according to Tropical Tibits.  Sandy 156   :)  18:28, July 28, 2019 (UTC)
 * Land interaction is inhibiting it and environmental conditions are not expected to be particularly conducive until it reaches the Florida Straits, so we shouldn't see much from this in the short term. However this could be one to watch in the very long run. Chantal might come in early August (or even by the end of July if we're lucky) from this. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  20:08, July 28, 2019 (UTC)
 * Chances decreased to 0/10, but can still form into next week or so, if possible.  Sandy 156   :)  00:13, July 30, 2019 (UTC)

No longer in Tropical Tidbits' invests section, but still 0/10 on NHC's TWO, Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:11, July 31, 2019 (UTC)
 * Finally off the TWO. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:10, August 2, 2019 (UTC)

AOI: Near Africa
Although it's not on the TWO yet, Dr. Masters made a blog post discussing the probability for the development of an AOI that just moved off the coast of Africa and Cape Verde, and this signifies Cape Verde season is about to head up. Keep your eyes out...this might become something down the road. Ryan1000 01:51, July 29, 2019 (UTC)
 * Now on the TWO with 0/20.  Sandy 156   :)  00:13, July 30, 2019 (UTC)
 * Now increased to near 0/40.  Sandy 156   :)  00:15, July 31, 2019 (UTC)
 * This system is getting a bit concerning. This could be one to watch in the long run if it doesn't fall victim to any shear around the Eastern Caribbean. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  00:18, July 31, 2019 (UTC)
 * 0/60 now. It seems that the Atlantic is waking up too. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:09, July 31, 2019 (UTC)

The new GFS takes this to Newfoundland as a hurricane eventually, but the Euro doesn't develop this too much. Still a long ways to go before we can tell if anything big will happen with this. Ryan1000 21:23, July 31, 2019 (UTC)
 * 0/70, this might have a chance of becoming Chantal soon.  Sandy 156   :)  02:38, August 1, 2019 (UTC)

It'll probably become Chantal...also, I included 95L in August in case it develops in the month, but otherwise, archived the rest of the stuff above it. Ryan1000 03:02, August 1, 2019 (UTC)

96L.INVEST
10/70. This is a system to watch out for. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:24, August 1, 2019 (UTC)
 * Increased to 20/70.  Sandy 156   :)  16:48, August 1, 2019 (UTC)

NHC says conditions will become unfavorable after it passes the upper Antilles, so this might only become a short-lived Chantal if it becomes a named storm. Ryan1000 18:50, August 1, 2019 (UTC)
 * Down to 20/50. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:10, August 2, 2019 (UTC)
 * 20/40, this is unlikely to form now.  Sandy 156   :)  17:56, August 2, 2019 (UTC)
 * Further down to 20/30. Seems that all NHem basins are sub-par this year. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 12:36, August 3, 2019 (UTC)

It's still early August though, we have a lot of hurricane season left. Last year didn't have Florence until September, a month from now, 2017 didn't have Harvey until two weeks from now, and 2016 didn't get Matthew until October. Though it doesn't seem that this year will be as active right now, people shouldn't let their guard down. Ryan1000 14:34, August 3, 2019 (UTC)
 * Will we get a hurricane like these picture perfect types  this year? I really hope so. MargeSimpson420 (talk) 14:53, August 3, 2019 (UTC)
 * Could absolutely do with a cream doughnut right now --MargeSimpson420 (talk) 15:07, August 3, 2019 (UTC)