Forum:2019 Pacific typhoon season/August

93W.INVEST
In the open Pacific, currently code yellow on JTWC. JMA also recognizes this as a low pressure area. Hopefully the next typhoon will come from this one. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:01, July 30, 2019 (UTC)
 * Still code yellow. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:07, July 31, 2019 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression (Invest 93W)
Code orange now, and JMA considers this system as a TD already. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:20, August 1, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 09W
Now designated as 09W by JTWC. Their forecast shows a typhoon for this storm before striking Japan. Could this finally be our 2nd typhoon of the season?  Sandy 156   :)  21:19, August 1, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Francisco
And it is now a TS. Forecast to become a typhoon before hitting/affecting the Korean Peninsula. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:09, August 2, 2019 (UTC)


 * Rainfall is going to be a big threat with this system, and knowing how impacts from storms like Khanun are in the Korean Peninsula, this is quite worrying. Rainfall of a little over a foot in extreme Southern Japan was predicted last I saw. Still, finally we have what might be our first typhoon in half a year. T  G  2 0 1 9 15:29, August 2, 2019 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Francisco
And now JTWC only has the peak for Francisco at 50 kt, looks like we have to wait a bit longer for our first typhoon since February. I was hoping that Francisco will be a typhoon, but guess not (unless it defines the forecast).  Sandy 156   :)  19:34, August 3, 2019 (UTC)


 * Anyways, JMA upgraded Francisco to an STS a while ago. This still has a good chance to become a typhoon. JTWC was lowballing it this morning when there were surface estimates of nearly 60 mph. T  G  2 0 1 9 19:52, August 3, 2019 (UTC)
 * Not losing hope on Francisco becoming a typhoon yet, hopefully it’ll be one soon.  Sandy 156   :)  19:58, August 3, 2019 (UTC)
 * JTWC and JMA are not expecting a typhoon from Francisco, time’s running out for him.  Sandy 156   :)  20:23, August 4, 2019 (UTC)

Typhoon Francisco
Scratch what I said above, Francisco intensifies into a typhoon according to JMA. Finally, about time.  Sandy 156   :)  14:29, August 5, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Francisco (2nd time)
And Francisco is now back to TS status, as it is now in the Korea-Japan area. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:11, August 6, 2019 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Francisco
Died yesterday. Ryan1000 14:01, August 8, 2019 (UTC)
 * Our first typhoon since February (followed by two more even stronger ones). Hopefully it wasn't too bad for Japan and Korea, although sadly Wiki's season effects reports 1 death. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:44, August 8, 2019 (UTC)

10W.LEKIMA (HANNA)
See the archive on Lekima (Hanna).

Tropical Storm Krosa
Forgot to update this page, sorry. Anyway, this was formerly Invest 95W, and intensified to a TS today -- in both JMA and JTWC's scales. Expected to affect the same areas as Francisco. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:10, August 6, 2019 (UTC)

Typhoon Krosa
This large system became a typhoon for a while, 75 mph according to JMA and 80 mph according to JTWC. Pressure is 975 mbar.  Sandy 156   :)  04:08, August 8, 2019 (UTC)
 * And it's now Category 3 on the SSHWS. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:40, August 8, 2019 (UTC)
 * JTWC now has it at high-end C2 intensity (95 knots/110 mph) and JMA has it at 85 knots (100 mph). Forecast to weaken gradually and then stabilize in intensity, possibly reintensifying on the 13th. Looking like a long-run Japan threat. At least the WPac is finally getting more active and producing typhoons (compared to the pathetic TS after TS streak last month). But it just sucks that these typhoons have to go threaten land. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:44, August 8, 2019 (UTC)


 * Still a typhoon by JMA, JTWC has downgraded it to a tropical storm. Will continue to be stable in intensity over the next few days with reintensification by the 14th. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  16:17, August 10, 2019 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Krosa
JMA has downgraded it to a severe tropical storm, but expected to reintensify until the 14th and then weaken again. Japan is now being threatened at the moment. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  01:14, August 12, 2019 (UTC)
 * This is subtropical imo.-- Isaac829 E-Mail  03:52, August 12, 2019 (UTC)

Doesn't surprise me, it's got a lot of northern convection worn off, partly from upwelling over its own wake since Krosa hasn't been moving very far over the past few days due to weak steering currents. Japan will likely (eventually) be hit sometime later this week, but Krosa will probably be a tropical storm by that time. Ryan1000 13:25, August 12, 2019 (UTC)


 * I agree with Isaac that this storm seems to have subtropical tendencies. It's been looking quite pathetic on satellite. Still forecast to reintensify a bit by tonight/tomorrow and then weaken as it moves through Japan. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  20:31, August 13, 2019 (UTC)


 * It has passed through Japan and expected to degenerate from here on out. Still holds as a STS on JMA - 50 knots (60 mph), 980 mbar. JTWC has it down to 40 knots (45 mph). ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  18:30, August 15, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Krosa (2nd time)
Down to TS strength according to JMA and JTWC has issued their final warning. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:01, August 16, 2019 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Krosa
It has transitioned to an extratropical low, goodbye! ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  19:17, August 16, 2019 (UTC)

96W.INVEST
New invest west of Luzon. Appears only on Tropical Tidbits, but PAGASA has recognized this system as a low pressure area. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:09, August 6, 2019 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression (Invest 96W)
Apparently, JMA has upgraded this system to a TD, according to their secondary weather map (the weather chart). Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 16:18, August 6, 2019 (UTC)
 * Code orange on JTWC. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 12:51, August 7, 2019 (UTC)
 * No longer on JTWC's site but JMA still holds on. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:55, August 8, 2019 (UTC)

Remnants of JMA Tropical Depression (Invest 96W)
No longer on JMA's website. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:44, August 8, 2019 (UTC)

97W.INVEST
New invest according to Tropical Tidbits. This one is at the open Pacific, near the Marianas/Caroline Islands/Palau area. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 10:26, August 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * Finally on JTWC's outlook with code yellow. Now located closer to the Philippines. ~  Steve 🎂   It's my  B-DAY!  🎉  06:38, August 19, 2019 (UTC)
 * Code orange now, will this become WPac's next TS? ~  Steve 🎂   It's my  B-DAY!  🎉  06:20, August 20, 2019 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression (Invest 97W/Ineng)
Code red, now a JMA TD! ~  Steve 🎂   It's my  B-DAY!  🎉  01:59, August 21, 2019 (UTC)
 * The GFS ensembles for this initially take it northwest but then northeast towards Japan, but the CMC ensembles on Tidbits take it into Taiwan and China as a 987 mbar category 1 typhoon. If it's named, it'd become Bailu, which just so happens to be the replacement name for perhaps the most infamous typhoon of the 21st century six years ago... Ryan1000 04:06, August 21, 2019 (UTC)
 * Apparently, PAGASA initiated advisories on this system 12 hours ago. Still a TD as of the latest one. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 04:41, August 21, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Bailu (Ineng)
And JMA has upgraded 97W to a TS. JTWC yet to update. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 07:36, August 21, 2019 (UTC)
 * Expected to strike Taiwan and China as a likely typhoon. I hope it won't end up being destructive. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  18:09, August 21, 2019 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Bailu (Ineng)
Upgraded hours ago and is currently approaching the southern tip of Taiwan and the northernmost part of the Batanes islands of the Philippines. JMA still expects Bailu to formally become a typhoon, though JTWC forecasts this system to peak at 110 kph (60 kts/70 mph). Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:43, August 23, 2019 (UTC)
 * Now expected to peak at this intensity. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 23:26, August 23, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Bailu (Ineng) (2nd time)
Now down to TS strength according to the JMA, 45 knots (50 mph)/992 mb. It has also passed Taiwan and expected to make landfall in China pretty soon. JTWC has it at 50 knots (60 mph). Hopefully it's nothing destructive or deadly for the regions. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  18:14, August 24, 2019 (UTC)
 * Final warning issued by JTWC but remains as a TS. JMA concurs. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:29, August 25, 2019 (UTC)
 * Sadly killed 3 people already. Hopefully it doesn't get any worse. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  18:52, August 25, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Bailu (Ineng)
Downgraded to a tropical depression over China. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:08, August 26, 2019 (UTC)

Remnants of Bailu (Ineng)
About dead now. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  17:55, August 26, 2019 (UTC)
 * Unfortunately for Ineng, it inflicted Php1.1 billion in the Philippines, which means it will be gone.  Sandy 156   :)  04:22, August 27, 2019 (UTC)

98W.INVEST
Another invest on Tropical Tidbits, this one's northeast of Guam. Also low chance on JTWC. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:27, August 17, 2019 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression (Invest 98W)
JMA is actually calling it a TD on their weather map, although it barely looks like anything on satellite right now. Still code yellow on JTWC. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  19:15, August 18, 2019 (UTC)

Remnants of JMA Tropical Depression (Invest 98W)
Doesn't appear on JMA's weather map anymore but remains code yellow. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🎂   It's my  B-DAY!  🎉  06:37, August 19, 2019 (UTC)
 * Now about dead for good. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🎂   It's my  B-DAY!  🎉  06:21, August 20, 2019 (UTC)
 * If you check out Tidbits, this invest is expected to move into the Central Pacific from the west and then turn into the cold, far north Pacific. It probably won't become much of anything. 97W might though. Ryan1000 04:06, August 21, 2019 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression
Up on JMA's weather map near Taiwan, with no mention anywhere else. Not even invested... weird. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🎂   It's my  B-DAY!  🎉  18:45, August 19, 2019 (UTC)
 * JMA has dropped it. Strange how nothing else mentioned this. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  18:10, August 21, 2019 (UTC)

99W.INVEST
Up on Tropical Tidbits, located near Namonuito Atoll out in the open Pacific. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧
 * Now visible in JTWC's website. Code yellow as of the moment. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:44, August 23, 2019 (UTC)
 * Raised to medium chance/code orange. Expected to pass through Luzon early next week. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:09, August 24, 2019 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression (Invest 99W/Jenny)
Now up as a TD on JMA, and JTWC has issued a TCFA as it becomes code red. Here comes Podul! ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  18:46, August 25, 2019 (UTC)
 * Now named Jenny by PAGASA. Podul is coming. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 10:16, August 26, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 13W (Jenny)
Finally upgraded by JTWC. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:24, August 26, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Podul (Jenny)
Now upgraded to a tropical storm by the JMA, named Podul.  Sandy 156   :)  04:31, August 27, 2019 (UTC)
 * God forbid this becomes Ketsana/Ondoy 2.0. Track is similar, intensity is similar, movement is similar, precipitation is similar... basically everything. Metro Manila and surrounding areas are expected to accumulate rainfall totals that might exceed 100-150 mm starting today up until tomorrow. While this storm may help the dams to reach their normal levels again – Luzon dams have plummeted to below normal levels due to the El Niño earlier this year – significant flooding might occur throughout the island thanks to the saturation it received from Lekima/Hanna and Bailu/Ineng. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 05:47, August 27, 2019 (UTC)
 * Things look pretty similar for both storms in the Philippines, I agree that I hope it's nothing significantly flooding or devastating to the region. After the Philippines, Ketsana was a Category 2 equivalent though, and Podul is not expected to match it unless a sudden RI episode occurs. It's not forecast to become any stronger than 65 mph/55 knots. Podul is also forecast to strike northern Vietnam and Hainan - unless a deviation to the south occurs, it won't landfall in central Vietnam like Ketsana did. As of right now, JTWC still refuses to call it a TS, while JMA has it as a weak tropical storm (40 mph/998 mb). It is now just starting to leave the Philippines. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  19:54, August 27, 2019 (UTC)

Fortunately, Podul wasn't as bad as I thought. Seems that the Philippines dodged any significant impacts from this storm, mainly due to the fact that its convection was displaced at the time when it crossed Luzon. Vietnam should watch out for this though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 07:11, August 28, 2019 (UTC)


 * That's good, hopefully Vietnam and Hainan come off easy as well. JTWC has upped it to a tropical storm while JMA has it at 50 mph. Only slight intensification expected before landfall. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  17:51, August 28, 2019 (UTC)


 * This has made landfall and is weakening over Indochina. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  23:05, August 29, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Podul (Jenny)
Now a TD over land. Should die out very soon. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  03:02, August 31, 2019 (UTC)

Remnants of Podul (Jenny)
...aaand it's dead. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  19:18, August 31, 2019 (UTC)

14W.FAXAI
Currently active. Will be archived here when it dissipates.

JMA Tropical Depression (91W.INVEST)
And another invest that isn't visible in JTWC's page has been categorized as a TD by JMA. This one is already on Tidbits. 91W is currently at the northeast of Luzon; PAGASA considers this as a low pressure area and is not expected to intensify further. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:05, August 30, 2019 (UTC)
 * Code yellow on JTWC, along with 90W. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  03:03, August 31, 2019 (UTC)
 * Raised to medium/code orange now. Expected to move to the South China Sea. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 13:26, August 31, 2019 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression (Kabayan)
Upgraded by PAGASA to a TD, TCFA issued by JTWC. Code red now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 03:00, September 1, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Kajiki (Kabayan)
JMA has named the system, although JTWC keeps it a TD. Forecasts conflicting right now, JTWC forecasts landfall and dissipation over Indochina but the JMA has it moving back out east into the SCS and intensify. The forecast uncertainty could be caused by interaction with 94W. It's crazy how close they are. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  00:56, September 3, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Kajiki (Kabayan)
Downgraded to a depression, JTWC final warning. Quite the name-stealer we have here. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:58, September 3, 2019 (UTC)
 * JMA has also issued its final advisory. Seems that the 94W-Kajiki merger flopped. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 11:39, September 4, 2019 (UTC)
 * Still hasn't been dropped from JMA's weather map yet. Now appears to be moving along the Chinese coast with a 1000 mbar pressure. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:23, September 5, 2019 (UTC)

Remnants of Kajiki (Kabayan)
Finally it dissipates as it is no longer on JMA's weather map. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  19:32, September 7, 2019 (UTC)

15W.LINGLING (LIWAYWAY)
Allowing posts on its aftermath before archival.