Forum:2010 Atlantic hurricane season/August

91L.INVEST
The wave behind 90L has been invest'd. NHC's got it at medium risk. --Patteroast 06:39, August 1, 2010 (UTC)
 * High risk now. This storm reminds me of Bill last year. YE 14:54, August 1, 2010 (UTC)
 * 25 kts already. 9 hours till the moment of truth. Will it be Four? Atomic7732 17:26, August 1, 2010 (UTC)
 * It's up to 80% on NHC! I'm guessing a cat. 2 landfall somewhere in Florida, and the rest is pure guesswork. By the worst-case scenario, it could be like Georges 1998 but farther north and weaker. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 18:55, August 1, 2010 (UTC)
 * I hope it goes further north and pull a Bill. YE 19:17, August 1, 2010 (UTC)
 * It's looking like... I want to give a hurricane name, but no track have I seen that is similar to what GFS gives it (and I have a vauge idea of some hurricanes since the 1980's cause did a hurricane track classification Cape Verde, Gulf, Central America... etc). HWRF gives it Tropical Storm status by the next TWO issuance. Atomic7732 20:23, August 1, 2010 (UTC)

And GFDL gives it a minimal cat 2 on a Bill-like track. HWRF also runs a similar track, but brings it to a Cat 3 status. Atomic7732 20:25, August 1, 2010 (UTC)
 * Now the storm is looking more like a Fran than a Georges, looking at the long-range 12z GFS here. The storm is also expected to stall over the Gulf Stream, which could either cause it to weaken due to shear, or rapidly intensify due to deep continuous warm water and anomalies. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 21:54, August 1, 2010 (UTC)
 * 90% now... Atomic7732 23:48, August 1, 2010 (UTC)
 * Or maybe it will be like Danny? YE 03:36, August 2, 2010 (UTC)
 * 90%? Seriously? More NHC semantics. It's a tropical depression and they know it. NHC policy is they gotta make it stand up in court, but if there aren't advisories on this thing by dawn I might just have to file suit (Forgive the pun, I couldn't resist). Before we break out the doomsday predictions, the models have been trending downward. GFDL, which just a few days ago made it a Cat 4 pointed at Florida, now for some reason doesn't do anything with it at all. Same with NOGAPS. HWRF no longer makes it a hurricane. GFS I think has a similar forecast. SHIPS likes it the best, bringing it to 70 knots in 84 hrs (3 1/2 days). I think CMC is the only other model that makes it a hurricane and well, it's CMC. So, bottom line, I wouldn't get excited just yet. -- SkyFury 05:26, August 2, 2010 (UTC)


 * It's been TD 4 in my book since yesterday. And...

HOWEVER SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW DOES NOT YET HAVE A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.
 * Yeah whatever... Atomic7732 06:09, August 2, 2010 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Four
25/1006 now. Because it has TD winds I am assuming it is a TC. YE 12:55, August 2, 2010 (UTC)


 * Where are you getting this? It's still a disturbance on NHC and an invest on NRL. However, the defined closed circulation, spiral banding, and collapse of a central dense overcast-like feature into the preparation to form an eye looks to me like it's not far from tropical storm strength. This could become Colin very soon, and most long-term forecasts recurve it but the trough may weaken enough that a high pressure system either stalls it over the Gulf Stream and/or drives it into New England. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 13:45, August 2, 2010 (UTC)
 * The RBT. YE 14:33, August 2, 2010 (UTC)
 * Breaking News. It is official now! Yay! YE 14:38, August 2, 2010 (UTC)
 * What's RBT? Now it's on NHC. I'm predicting a weak cat. 1 landfall on Long Island based on the current track. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 14:52, August 2, 2010 (UTC)
 * RBT=best Track. See here. YE 16:22, August 2, 2010 (UTC)
 * Kinda late don't ya think? This was Four 24 hours ago (not offically, but they know it)! Atomic7732 17:19, August 2, 2010 (UTC)
 * At first, it lacked a closed LLC. YE 19:45, August 2, 2010 (UTC)
 * Still TD... Atomic7732 22:23, August 2, 2010 (UTC)
 * Still TD per RBT. Darnit. YE 02:14, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * looks like Ana last year YE 02:48, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * Peak intensity 60 mph. Forecast gone has been shifted to the right. YE 03:01, August 3, 2010 (UTC)

I am thoroughly underwhelmed by this system. -- SkyFury 07:04, August 3, 2010 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Colin
Upgraded, Eric, I Dont blame you. This system is boring. YE 14:57, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * Named! --Patteroast 09:20, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * Watch out NHC! Get ready to be surprised. I think this thing has some tricks up it's sleeve. Atomic7732 16:17, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * Yeah, called the Great Tropical Cyclone Vanishing Act. -- SkyFury 16:53, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * Good point... Atomic7732 16:55, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * dont worry, it is gonna be a fishspinner. YE 16:57, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * Poof. Another dud. -- SkyFury 20:45, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * That was unexpected. YE 21:15, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * Told ya. Supposed to be post-tropical for quite a while... extratropical depressions are boring. You suck Colin. Atomic7732 22:00, August 3, 2010 (UTC)

Remnants of Colin
NHC says it may regenerate if it's able to get past the shear. We'll have to see. You know, for all the gloom and doom predictions for this season, it has been awfully dull since Alex. -- SkyFury 00:20, August 4, 2010 (UTC)
 * I know, since when do EPAC invests dont develop. Bonnie and TD 2 were nothing, and Colin was a dud. Last year, at lat of duds by at least they where not epic fails like Colin, Bonnie (which was really a though IMO), and Six-E. However, i am at least happen my predictions came true. But again I did not think we would have a hyperactive season just slighly more active than a 2009 or 2006 type year (which was a lot of fun). YE`

10% chance of cyclone formation, the remnants of Colin. Atomic7732 06:04, August 4, 2010 (UTC)
 * Unlikely, IMO. YE 14:51, August 4, 2010 (UTC)
 * Up to 20%, it's looking more organized right now than it ever was as Colin. Atomic7732 17:34, August 4, 2010 (UTC)
 * 40% medium risk. Must be moving out of the shear, or the shear has dissipated. Atomic7732 00:03, August 5, 2010 (UTC)
 * 50% now. YE 12:34, August 5, 2010 (UTC)
 * 70% now... They're gonna name it Colin again right? And don't you think we should at least title this section Remnants?Atomic7732 17:57, August 5, 2010 (UTC)
 * No neeed IMO, anyway, I think we will have a TS soon. YE 18:04, August 5, 2010 (UTC)
 * I agree. Colin is far more impressive now than it ever was. Most of the models seem to want to intensify it late, when it's up around 40N and at least the GFDL and HWRF both seem to have it as a tropical system at that point, which is interesting. GFDL brings it up to a major hurricane. HWRF makes it a marginal hurricane. The statistical models don't seem to enamored with the environment it's in and want to shear it to hell before redeveloping it late, possibly as an extratropical (forgive me "post-tropical") system. We'll see if Colin's able to pull an Irene (see 2005 AHS). -- SkyFury 20:51, August 5, 2010 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Colin
It's back! Darned 99E, how did you let him beat you to it? Atomic7732 00:42, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * a 45 mph epic fail now, like everything else since June when you had two grates (Celia, and Alex). YE 14:57, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * Well, as the NHC said, the shear should decrease and there is a chance (40%) that Colin might strengthen to a 75 mph. hurricane before transition. Darren 23 Edits 15:41, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * Remeber, the LLC is exposed for now. I say 40 at 5. YE 16:28, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * Recon plane should investigate later today, somehow, I think we are in for a surprise. Darren 23 Edits 16:58, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * I dont expect much form this system other than minor effects on Bermuda and it makes JR happy- he goes storm chasing. YE 19:28, August 6, 2010 (UTC)

Does JR live in Bermuda? If so, he will thenceforth be known as Lucky Bastard. For the record, this shear really sucks. I can't say I anticipated it being that bad. Those models better be right our this Colin comeback tour isn't going to last long. That said, the storm looks REALLY good right now. We'll have to see if this is just a convective burst or if the shear really is weakening. Colin has gotten a lot better organized since this afternoon. The last NHC discussion aluded to this possibility. Although I'm not entirely sure that qualifies as bad news for Bermuda. I don't think this thing will get any stronger than 65 knots regardless and it's gonna have to work to get there. -- SkyFury 05:28, August 7, 2010 (UTC)
 * no, but he could get impacted by extratropical Colin. But know I think it will be a plain old 40 knts dud. All of the stroms have been duds lately since Alex. YE 13:14, August 7, 2010 (UTC)
 * Dear God, Colin's done. Most of the convection has just dissolved over the past few hours. It really is quite shocking. Conditions are really quite favorable right now but Colin continued to deteriorate. All that convection just evaporated in a matter of hours. Go figure. But the last several model runs all called this. I thought they were exaggerating but they were dead on. It makes me think that there may be something to their lack of enthusiasm for 93L and it makes me more strongly question the severe predictions for this season. If this season is going to even approach even the low end of the official forecast, we're gonna have to have one helluva September. -- SkyFury 07:49, August 8, 2010 (UTC)
 * TD now. YE 14:48, August 8, 2010 (UTC)
 * It's stationary, but some models bring it back to TS. The circulation around this thing is forcing another system south over Florida. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 19:43, August 8, 2010 (UTC)

AoI: Southwest of Cape Verde
Some models predict development out of this, it looks like a well-defined ITCZ-enhanced wave. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 13:45, August 2, 2010 (UTC)
 * I dont think so. YE 14:57, August 2, 2010 (UTC)
 * Looks very impressive now. YE 16:23, August 2, 2010 (UTC)
 * No mention on TWO. YE 02:47, August 3, 2010 (UTC)

93L.INVEST
Invested, medium risk on the NHC. YE15:01, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * Strangely, although there's a shaded danger area on the 1-2-3 rule graphic, it's displaced about 10 to 15 degrees north of this... either way, the models like this storm and it has a very good chance of getting named and even reaching hurricane strength, all very far away from land. --Patteroast 18:39, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * Unless it duds on us... Atomic7732 18:52, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * Lests hope it recurves, if it does not this is a serious threat to the US. This could be another Ike or Gustav. I am really getting concerned. YE 19:26, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * This may be offending, but you just evacuate. That's all you need to do. You go back, and you rebuild. Or, better, don't rebuild, and live somewhere else. Atomic7732 19:32, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * So far, models are predicting a strong TS with a track recurving to the east of Colin's track, so no threat for now. Darren 23 Edits 19:34, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * I am really hoping for this to recurve, is it me or it going to near the Lesser Antilles in about two days. YE 20:17, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * Pretty much everything indicates that this will recurve WAY before getting close to land. Also, looks like the NHC fixed that 15 degree shift on their 1-2-3 rule graphic. :P --Patteroast 02:13, August 7, 2010 (UTC)

Given the conditions, I'm very surprised by how unenthusiastic the models are with this thing. The most aggressive models bring it to 60 knots and only begrudingly. Most of the models also seem to want to tear apart Colin before it even gets to Bermuda. -- SkyFury 05:37, August 7, 2010 (UTC)
 * Up to high risk, 60%. --Patteroast 19:29, August 7, 2010 (UTC)
 * 70%!! Atomic7732 18:59, August 8, 2010 (UTC)
 * This system is developing nicely but its circulation is exposed. Reminds me of Melissa in 2007. This is what happens when you have a small or weak northeast-displaced Bermuda High. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 19:46, August 8, 2010 (UTC)
 * This looks remarkably similar to how Colin did. Still hanging onto 70% chance. --Patteroast 18:31, August 9, 2010 (UTC)
 * Hmmm... currently this storm has 35 mph winds, and somehow, GFDL predicts an 80 mph hurricane. Darren 23 Edits 18:39, August 9, 2010 (UTC)
 * Down slightly from 70% to 60%. --Patteroast 13:05, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * This could become a strong subtropical TS if anything at all. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 16:17, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * The convection seems to be moving SW. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 22:20, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * Back up to 70%. YE 16:23, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * The system is in two parts. The easterly component is stealing moisture from the Central Atlantic system and setting up a nice circulation, while the westerly component is a small burst of convection. There is very little dry air in the vicinity, as the stalling invest appears to have cleared out the SAL. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 16:29, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * 50% now. YE
 * 10% now. YE 23:44, August 11, 2010 (UTC)

AoI: Northwest of Trinidad
Half of this system is over South America, but the 18z GFS predicts it will grab some moisture from the Southern and Central Caribbean before shooting up the Yucatan Channel for a landfall as a possible hurricane on the Texas-Louisiana border likely next Monday. This would be a bad scenario as parts of the Northern Gulf are 31C+ and only going to get warmer over the next six days. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 22:58, August 2, 2010 (UTC)
 * Called it. I had my eye on that system yesterday. Atomic7732 00:44, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * I was about to mention that. I saw that GFS run, which had it as a non-major hurricane pointed right at southeast Louisiana. The 18Z NOGAPS run also develops it with a similar track, although less aggressively. On the 00Z run however, GFS doesn't do much with it, but I think that may be because its forecast track shifted further west into Central America. The 00Z NOGAPS run hasn't been released yet. Everybody's watching TD Four but conditions are favorable for this thing if it could ever get away from land. I hope this one gets invested so I can see what a the other models are saying and what track forecasts are out there. It'll be interesting to see how this plays out. -- SkyFury 07:00, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * I think this is going to be a fish storm in the Pacific. YE 14:59, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * This could turn out like TD 2 did in the Gulf. Or, maybe just another one of GFS' ghost storms. However the long-range model has been predicting a Tehuantepec low, so stay tuned. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 15:05, August 3, 2010 (UTC)
 * up to 20%Atomic7732 16:28, August 3, 2010 (UTC)

92L.INVEST
Invest'd. As you say it. NRL's got 25 kts. still 20%. Looks FAIR (not as in TCFA)... but, needs some better organization. Atomic7732 16:16, August 4, 2010 (UTC)
 * Poof. YE 14:54, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * Unpoof. Not on TWO, but closed circulation, why isn't this thing a TD yet? And not even on the TWO? Please! What is wrong with you NHC?!?! Atomic7732 16:15, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * Um, how do you know that there is a LLCC? And TWO will be up in appx. 1 hr 45 min, and I doubt they would do a STWO. Darren 23 Edits 16:25, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * I don't know what to call it!!!!! Filled center? Full convection? idk!!!!! Atomic7732 16:52, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * Looks interesting... quite well developed, but I don't know if it can get its act together before going over land. --Patteroast 18:35, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * say hello to Frank in about five days. YE 19:28, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * Doubt it. Danielle/Earl has a better chance if it even survives the Yucatan (SHIPS strengthens it in the BOC), and its very improbable that it would even make it to the Pacific. Darren 23 Edits 19:32, August 6, 2010 (UTC)~
 * Frank? Colin's dying, and we have two invests? How the heck is Frank ready yet? Atomic7732 19:34, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * Also, it looks like it has a chance at maybe avoiding the Yucutan. Atomic7732 19:39, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * Um, how? The center is just to the north of Honduras, and present movement is W to WNW. Darren 23 Edits 19:46, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * This will be a tough call no doubt about it. If it organizes then we will have a cyclone similar to TD2. If it does not we could have another Estelle. BTW, when I mean Frank, I mean the next name on the Pacific. It should be noted Darren and I strongly disagree about this. No offense, but he just hates (he did not want Celia to become a MH for expample) the EPAC. Darren, I am so sorry if I misunderstood or offended you i am not trying to pick on you. Anyway, I think it will cross Guatemala, but I hope it does not happen. I do not want another Agatha. However, on its current track WNW it will strike Guatemala or Belize which is the southern Yucatan. YE 19:54, August 6, 2010 (UTC)

Looking at the models, it seems there's a fair chance of this system making it over the Gulf of Mexico for a bit, but I wouldn't expect much of it in the EPac... there's a lot of mountains between it and the Pacific. --Patteroast 20:46, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * (Re: YE) I pesonally like the EPac, cause I live in Arizona so. lol We get rain from them sometimes. Last time was monsoons that flourished to to interactions with Jimena. Before that... I think Javier. Maybe a few others that I don't remember. Atomic7732 20:57, August 6, 2010 (UTC)


 * BTW, You forgot Julio. It flooded out some places. YE 21:09, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * What year was that? Atomic7732 22:13, August 6, 2010 (UTC)
 * 2008. Here in Nevada, it caused serous school problems, we were forced to wait in the gym before the bus came. We alos go rain from Lowell. YE 00:03, August 7, 2010 (UTC)


 * It's basically gone now after crossing the Yucatan. Trying to re-develop in the BoC but lost most of its convection. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 19:51, August 8, 2010 (UTC)

94L.INVEST
What have we got here? A frontal convective system forced south by drier air from the Carolinas to the Bahamas, and now moving SSW over the Gulf Stream. Models bring it across Florida and into the Gulf, but shear is high, so we could have a subtropical storm at the most. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 19:51, August 8, 2010 (UTC) AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS APPROACHING THE SYSTEM AND WILL HELP TO DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS FORMING...AND IF SO...WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON. Sounds interesting. This is a good storm. Looks like when Dianmu was 05W. So, I'm thinking next advisory (300 UTC) should be Five. Atomic7732 23:30, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * Meduim risk, now. Here comes the basins. YE 18:21, August 9, 2010 (UTC)
 * Hey, something came from this. It sure didn't look like much for a while there. --Patteroast 18:31, August 9, 2010 (UTC)
 * Up to high risk, 60%! --Patteroast 13:04, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * It's setting up a nice circulation, and it has good vorticity and shear of 5 kts and falling. Only a little dry air to contend with, other than that, it's got 31C+ water that's still getting warmer. A track similar to Bonnie is forecast, but not much unlike Katrina either. Models predict a TS, but a few outliers bring it up to a hurricane. We'll see what it does. Interestingly, I had a dream about a tropical disturbance that started out much like this one did: moisture moving south from Ontario and Quebec, becoming a frontal convective system, drifting over the Gulf Stream against its flow and energizing over its warm waters, convection moving south over Florida, organizing, then tapping warm water from the Florida Straits before setting up a circulation over the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico, then drifting northwest and undergoing rapid intensification. This could potentially signal the rise to an active season. EPac could become quite active as well. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 16:24, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * This invest reminds me of Rita more than Katrina, it looks like it will head more west than north as of now, and when (Danielle) comes, she could pack an aufly painful punch for the Gulf coast, anywhere from Louisiana to northern Mexico. The oil spill is just north of this invest, and it will probrably miss it altogether, but it will probrably still delay BP's efforts to fully contain it. Either way, stay tuned, everyone. This could be a very serious threat to the U.S. Gulf coast, and I don't like the way it looks right now. Ryan1000 16:40, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * This does not seem like a major storm a weak cat 1 landfall at most. Dont forget we still have the shear that gave Bonnie a heart attack. However, the shear has weakened somewhat. YE 16:48, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * 70% now. YE 17:52, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * What shear? The shear is 5 kt right now and still falling. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 18:34, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * YE, Bonnie had an upper-level low right next to her when she formed, and that low pretty much tore her apart. There is no upper low by this invest, so it's gonna have a much easier time in the Gulf than Bonnie did. Still, stay tuned everyone. This could be a very serious storm. Ryan1000 20:10, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * While the storm was crossing the Florida Straits it had an ULL following it to its west. Currently the system is disorganized but looks close to TD. It's basically going to ride the Loop Current upstream and create its own warm temperature anomalies that it will feed off of while it has deep warm waters on its left and waters up to 3C warmer than 2005's SSTs on its right. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 22:24, August 10, 2010 (UTC)

Tropical Deperession Five
There we go! #5 is on our hands, and it's moving northwest towards the gulf coast. Keep an eye on this one, everyone, its heading to the coast in the next 3 or 4 days. And we have some bad news, too, its hundreds of miles away from the Mississippi River mouth, and it is only moving at 6 MPH! We have a big problem, everyone. Stay tuned. Ryan1000 23:56, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * Yup, it's got LOTSA time to strengthen... It's at the point near where Katrina re formed... Batten down the hatches! This could be bad! Atomic7732 00:15, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * (edit conflict)NHC's only predicting a TS, but with SSTs up to 32C and a slow movement in an initial track similar to Katrina anything can happen. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 00:19, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * I think the NHC better revise their forecast on just 45-50 mph; at the speed it's going on, it'll take more like a week, not two days, to reach the Gulf coast. And based on how it's looking, it will not show signs of rocketing up to 15-20 mph in the near future, it'll stay at that 6 mph for some time. Brace yourselves, New Orleans, this one's comming right at you! Ryan1000 00:44, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * I disagree, this will only reach LA in about 48 to 72 hours. I say 50 mph peak, but this could be conservative. YE 02:24, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * 48 to 72 hours could be all the time (Danielle) needs to become as much as a category 2 or 3 hurricane. And what's worse, this storm isn't passing by the mouth of the Mississippi, but rather heading straight into it. Hurricane Felix in 1995 threatened to ram North Carolina head-on as well, but turned away before making landfall. This one looks rather decent for a depression and, IMO, it's showing signs of rapid intensification. SkyFury, Astro, YE, stay with me, this thing could get pretty ugly. Ryan1000 03:09, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * I seriously, seriously, seriously doubt that this storm would even reach 65 mph, much less MH intensity. The environment is just not favorable enough to rapidly strengthen it. And can you please tell me what signs or RI can you see? All I see is this weak, disorganized depression which will take a while to become a TS.Darren 23 Edits 04:21, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * It will likely turn out to be another epic fail. YE 12:58, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * Yea, it's like Bonnie. Even without an upper low by this storm, it might not even become Danielle, and probrably will suffer the same fate as Bonnie did. This is exactly what happened to Ana and Erica last year; they followed similar tracks, but died in the same area-Hispaniola. I think we might have many other storms like this in the season. It's August 11; we didn't even get a major hurricane yet, and we probrably won't at the rate we're going. There aren't any other interesting storms right now in the Atlantic, and I wouldn't be suprised if we don't have a named storm in the next week or two(excluding this storm). Forget any chances of becoming a major storm, this is the third fail so far this season. Ryan1000 14:43, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * Another dud, what a shocker. Still waiting for the Season of Doom everybody's predicting. And I don't expect big things from 93L either. The great prognosticators remain convinced that shear conditions are going to relax. They have yet to do so. I'm not sure they will. We'll see. -- SkyFury 16:00, August 11, 2010 (UTC)


 * I agree, with you Eric, this will be another dud. I fell so stupid for starting a project sandbox on Wikipedia now. . The EPAC is staring to get slightly more active, but that is storm less right now. YE 16:19, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * The depression is very disorganised, it's shifted to the NW and NHC now barely brings it up to a TS. However, a new circulation could yet develop, and this thing could thereby stall over warm waters. Unless this is a season like 1992 where the first storm was a monster and all the other ones were duds, unlikely considering this season is a La Nina, everyone is best advised not to let their guard down. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 16:34, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * Agreed. This season is a dud-season as of right now, but we still could get something nasty out there. Andrew didn't get rollin' untill the 23-24th of August, and it's only the 11th now. We can't let our guard down; remember, the peak of 2010 is a month away, so we have plenty of time for us to pull a 1992, or worse yet, a 2004(though that seems a little unlikely now). This season has plenty of time. We just have to be patient. This season could still be slightly above average; however, i'm thinking it'll only be 11-12, 3-6, and 1-2 for the Atlantic's final stats. Ryan1000 18:33, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * Poof. Last advisory issued. Wierd storm. Two storms this year died in the Gulf. Bonnie had a heart attack here, and TD 5 had a stroke here. YE 20:45, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * Man, the Gulf looks like November more than August right now. The Gulf has been a death zone for two storms this year; typically in August, the Gulf is supposed to be very conducive for development, but this year is the exact opposite of that. Hurricane Gustav also suffered in the Gulf two years ago; when the powerful 155 mph storm tore across western Cuba, it was forecast to reach category 5 briefly and hit the gulf coast as a powerful major hurricane, but instead weakened to a category 2 storm when it made landfall in Louisiana. I don't know why the gulf is such a death zone right now; the oil spill is getting some luck from this season, but efforts to contain it are being delayed with every Gulf storm-weak or strong. Weird. If the Gulf can manage to say NO to any other storms this season, then that means the only area to watch for danger is the eastern seaboard of the U.S, from Key West, Florida to Eastport, Maine. Ryan1000 01:22, August 12, 2010 (UTC)
 * Wow... It stalled just inland, and is managing to be either tropical, or a MCV. Either way, if it would have been in water... and not much shear... Atomic7732 14:30, August 13, 2010 (UTC)
 * It's now re-emerging off the shore of Louisiana, and NHC gives it a 20% chance of re-development. It could even become a tropical storm before it hits Louisiana again and models including GFS predict re-development. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 14:59, August 15, 2010 (UTC)
 * Holy crud, after this storm makes landfall again according to GFS, it just stalls over the souhteastern US before emerging into the Gulf Stream again and being torn apart by another Cape Verde Low heading for New York. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 15:01, August 15, 2010 (UTC)
 * 30% now. YE Tropical Cyclone
 * 50%. YE Tropical Cyclone  00:30, August 16, 2010 (UTC)
 * It now has 50 kt winds, and could make landfall in Louisiana or Texas. Plenty of 31C waters for it to consume, 5 kt shear, and a huge upper-level anticyclone. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 01:07, August 16, 2010 (UTC)
 * What?!? How the?!?atomic 77 32 01:31, August 16, 2010 (UTC)
 * It's moved ashore and dissipated. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 22:57, August 17, 2010 (UTC)

AoI: Eastern Caribbean
An area of convection, seems to have a bit of rotation in it. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 19:51, August 8, 2010 (UTC)

AoI: South of Hispanola
Two significant waves, one south of 93L and another one west of Cape Verde. This could be our next invest. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 16:27, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * 10% on NHC. YE 17:53, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * This system is quickly moving directly into the Caribbean. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 22:26, August 10, 2010 (UTC)
 * It's also got a strong upper-level anticyclone that's trying to catch up! 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 00:19, August 11, 2010


 * (UTC)


 * I can't feel entirely confident about this one; this storm isn't so much right now, i'm thinking it will be just another fail, like Bonnie, Colin, and what could be Danielle. The Atlantic is still dead right now. Ryan1000 14:48, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * 2% now. YE 23:43, August 11, 2010 (UTC)
 * AKA, it's yet another fail. Ryan1000 01:13, August 12, 2010 (UTC)


 * Hmm...perhaps I spoke too soon. It's in the Carribean right now, and it looks like it wants to come back to us. Looks like it could redevelop. Don't let your guard down, everyone. Stay tuned. It wants to redevelop where it is. Ryan1000 15:32, August 17, 2010 (UTC)
 * C'mon go to the EPAC and develop there. YE Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  16:47, August 17, 2010 (UTC)
 * 10%. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  23:24, August 17, 2010 (UTC)
 * This appears to be the eastern portion of the Atlantic lows. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 02:20, August 18, 2010 (UTC)

AoI: Cape Verde
GFS and several other models develop this. GFS brings this to a major hurricane in 180 hours, and from there brings it offshore the East coast and slams it into Nova Scotia. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 22:59, August 17, 2010 (UTC)
 * GFS just can't decide where to go with this potential Cape Verde hurricane. One run it sends it into Florida, and in another run it hits North Carolina, Long Island, Nova Scotia, or just clips Newfoundland. Either way, this could be a dangerous storm, and another storm is consistently predicted by GFS to follow after it. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 13:53, August 18, 2010 (UTC)
 * It's because it's so far in the future, it's a chaotic system, a small change can make a large difference. We'll just have to keep an eye out on this storm. <font color="#ff7f00" family="Nyala">atomic <font color="#0000ff" family="Nyala">77 <font color="#00FF00" family="Nyala">32 14:29, August 18, 2010 (UTC)
 * It's way too early to tell, but the best possible scenario is it pulls a Bill or Erica (1997) and never really affects land at all. We don't want it to be bad, but that wave looks pretty ominous to me. This is just what most of the Cape Verde greats looked like when they left Africa - not all, but most. Stay tuned, everyone. If it turns out to be an epic fail like Colin was, great. Just great. Ryan1000 20:13, August 18, 2010 (UTC)
 * Since when do Cape Verdes make it to STS strength only? Here comes an epic fail. <font color="#ff7f00" family="Nyala">atomic <font color="#0000ff" family="Nyala">77 <font color="#00FF00" family="Nyala">32 14:40, August 19, 2010 (UTC)
 * Again, a fail. It will run into a trough in front of the islands in the next 4-5 days and get torn up like Colin was. And we're waiting... Ryan1000 14:50, August 19, 2010 (UTC)
 * 20%. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  19:14, August 19, 2010 (UTC)
 * YE, the 20% is still a fail. It will not be signifigant by any means, and I can't look forward to this becoming anything monstrous. The real Cape Verde season hasn't come, and likely won't in the near future, like say, the next week. By the time the heart of 2010 pours in, we will get rollin' for real. Ryan1000 00:47, August 20, 2010 (UTC)
 * Ryan, you have got to realize that those numbers don't mean anything yet except the chance for formation in the next 48 hours. Just because it's at 20% doesn't mean that it will be a fail. And I do believe we will see our first major out of this storm, or at least a hurricane. Maybe you can't see anything big happening, but models have been consistently doing so. The next two weeks are expected to ramp up significanly, and this storm should be the start. If not, there are many more tropical waves in Africa waiting to exit. We have got to get rid of the fail or bust attitude, it's not really that helpful. <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 01:09, August 20, 2010 (UTC)
 * The GFS is just going bonkers with this thing. It makes it like this monster Cat 5 in seven days. I would expect this out of CMC, not GFS. Most of the models develop it, but the GFS has just lost its mind. I'd be interested to see what the GFDL and HWRF think of it. Also interesting that the models now kind of stall it out for the first few days before moving it northwestward. -- SkyFury 07:43, August 20, 2010 (UTC)
 * I'm sorry if I was upseting you by any big means, Darren; it's just that i'm looking at the satellite imagery right now and I see a powerful upper-level low right by the islands. If this wave runs into that low, which I personally see happening in the next 4 days or so, it will get torn apart, or at least pulled out to sea, never to affect land. But then again, you're right, too, this is only the first of what will be many waves coming off of Africa's "Cape Vede express". I can't see this one really becoming much, but there's plenty more where this one will come from. We'll just have to wait and see what happens with this storm, or any future storms in the Atlantic season. Ryan1000 18:05, August 20, 2010 (UTC)

95L.INVEST
40%. Invest'd. Surprised? see the EPAC and what has happened there. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  13:18, August 20, 2010 (UTC)


 * Hmmm, it does seem to be a fish, but SHIPS has it going to 105 mph, and I believe that to be an underestimate. <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 20:40, August 20, 2010 (UTC)
 * Gone! Party! This season is a bust!. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  14:22, August 21, 2010 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Six
Uh, not so fast! It's predicted to be a cat. 2, but GFS brings it near Bermuda, and ECWMF brings it farther west. Track looking a lot like Bill 2009, but at this moment it may be too early to tell. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 23:00, August 21, 2010 (UTC)


 * Here's my prediction for this storm. Because the SST's are way, way above normal because of La Nina, Rapid, or explosive intensification is not out of the question, but if it stays weak, it could go further west. I think Bermuda and Newfoundland are not out of the woods from this, probably powerful storm. (Yes EPAC lovers, I think future-Danielle will be stronger than future-Frank) <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 02:47, August 22, 2010 (UTC)


 * This is weird, the main system is decoupling, meaning the lower-level circulation is separating from the upper-level convection. The spin formerly over Cape Verde is moving toward the storm, and now a second wave is following closely behind and could interact with this system. This will be interesting to watch. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 15:20, August 22, 2010 (UTC)

Here it is. #6 is out, and it could become Danielle rather soon. It isn't expected to hit the U.S, but Bermuda better watch out ~4 days from now, cat. 2 expected. Ryan1000 16:38, August 22, 2010 (UTC)


 * Actually, there's a chance it actually might skirt or make landfall in the US, according to some models. So people in the Canadian Maritimes, Bermuda, and the US East Coast are still in the big danger zone as its very far out. <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 19:32, August 22, 2010 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Danielle
Hello, Danielle. We've been waiting. --Patteroast 21:14, August 22, 2010 (UTC)


 * Man, Danielle is one sad excuse for a tropical storm right now. And Darren, please tell me what areas are in the "Danger Zone" from Danielle? Are you sure those models are right? All I see is this weak, disorganized storm that's moving northwest at 12 mph, and it appears Danielle is being absorbed into the upper-level low I was talking about above. Here comes fail #3 so far this year. Ryan1000 22:22, August 22, 2010 (UTC)
 * What ULL? Yes, I am fairly positive they are right. You know why? Because when there's strong agreement that at least it wont dissipate. Yes TD5 was a fail, yes, Bonnie was killed by a ULL, but Danielle, trust me, it won't be a fail. As I said earlier, failcasting and bustcasting in ATL does not help. And Danielle is strengthening. I happen to trust models, but to an extent that I only rely on them as guidance, not as "this will exactly happen". <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 23:06, August 22, 2010 (UTC)
 * There is an upper-level low to the northwest of Danielle; can't you see it, Darren? This thing is moving directly toward it. It isn't going west-northwest anymore, it's going northwest at 12 mph, straight into that low. I am looking at Danielle on the sattelites on UNISYS, and it's heading right into this low. It's being absorbed, and so soon in it's life, too. Ryan1000 23:20, August 22, 2010 (UTC)
 * Great news. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  23:31, August 22, 2010 (UTC)
 * Up to 50 mph. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone
 * It won't last long. That ULL actually appears to be going away from Danielle a bit, but, IMO, it isn't going to become a nasty storm for us. At the rate Danielle is going, she may not even affect land at all. The Cold front off of the U.S. east coast isn't going to get out of the way before Danielle comes, but if Danielle keeps going to the NW at 12 mph, then she will get absorbed into that upper low and die. I can't see her puling an Andrew or Ike, ect. Ryan1000 01:56, August 23, 2010 (UTC)
 * Doing further research, I think that the ULL will just add shear to the system. However, Danielle should stay strong enough to fight it off, as indicated by the models. Don't say this won't be bad just yet. Some intensity models have this now at 115 mph at day 5, and if it does somehow make it west of Bermuda, which is somewhat unlikely, it will be a threat to the Canadian Maritimes, Bermuda, and if it goes far west enough, the Eastern Seaboard. Continue to monitor this storm, as I have a feeling that it might be highly unpredictable. BTW: Danielle is looking very, very good right now, and there is a chance it might as well be as strong a s Frank, and it should get stronger than it. <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 02:16, August 23, 2010 (UTC)
 * I think does models are being nice. It is up to 50 for now, but I expect shear to rip it apart tomorrow after becoming a hurricane. This season reminds me of 2006. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  02:49, August 23, 2010 (UTC)
 * YE, please don't make forecasts on the basis of bias. And 1 more thing, read the discussion. Its the exact opposite thing you think is gonna happen. <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 03:01, August 23, 2010 (UTC)
 * Apparently the shear is foretasted to decrease. But then you have a cold front. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  03:15, August 23, 2010 (UTC)
 * Here's what will happen with Danielle. It has one of 3 options, and which option it will take largely depends on how strong it gets. Option one: it moves rather slowly but explodes, and passes east of Bermuda and the Canadian maritimes (not very likely). Option two: It moves at a brisk pace, gradually strengthening and then hitting Bermuda or the maritimes (What most models agree on, and what it's currently doing). Option 3: Danielle really books it, racing WNW at 20+ mph and doesn't strengthen much until it comes to the east coast, hitting the U.S. as a category 2 or stronger storm. (Somewhat unlikely, it would have to beat the cold front). These are Danielle's three options, and option two seems most likely at this point, but it's way too early to tell for sure. Stay tuned. Ryan1000 11:33, August 23, 2010 (UTC)
 * Up to 60. I predict it to get ripped apart by shear in about 48 hours and die off south of Bermuda and stall. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  12:39, August 23, 2010 (UTC)
 * YE, its now gonna be strong enough to fight the shear. The NHC has Danielle fighting it off at 85 mph, and it would be surprising if it didnt make it. And btw, Danielle is beating Frank (994 vs 997), as with my very first prediction. <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 13:46, August 23, 2010 (UTC)
 * Welcome to the 2010 AHS. Th year where storms cannot fight shear. I can see this system failing miserably. While I have raised my intensity forecast a bit to 90 mph, I think it will peak tonight or tomorrow. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  13:59, August 23, 2010 (UTC)

So far the models appear to have absolutely nailed this one. They said this exact wave would become a Category 2 hurricane and Danielle appears to be headed that way. Curiously, the past two Danielles have been Cat. 2s that formed in the eastern Atlantic from Cape Verde waves. Could this be three in a row? -- SkyFury 15:08, August 23, 2010 (UTC)
 * Eric, never noticed that. But it is very possible. Personally, I think Frank deserves more media attention that this storm, but I am an EPAC lover. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  15:30, August 23, 2010 (UTC)
 * It could affect Newfoundland, but GFS keeps curving it away. At the rate the GFS is pumping out storms we could have Igor by mid-September, which would put it on track with 2008, 2004 and 2003. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 17:32, August 23, 2010 (UTC)
 * Danielle is now just below Hurricane strength and is now at 70 mph (60kts) 991 hPa. <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 18:38, August 23, 2010 (UTC)

Go Danielle! YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  18:40, August 23, 2010 (UTC)

Hurricane Danielle
Up on RBT. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone


 * 2nd Hurricane of the 2010 ATL season! Now at 65 kts, 987 hPa, and SHIPS has it going to 115 mph. Good job Danielle! For now, Bermuda may still be hit. <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 19:05, August 23, 2010 (UTC)

Of the three options I mentioned above, option one is being pulled? Danielle blew up faster than I expected, but because it is strengthening so fast, we won't have it hit the east coast, and Bermuda is on the far edge of the "cone of uncertainty", so it probrably won't be hit, either. Danielle will just be a fishie, I'm not so afraid of this storm. Try again in 2016, Danielle, you've failed again. Ryan1000 21:16, August 23, 2010 (UTC)
 * I see. So 'fail' for a tropical cyclone means 'doesn't make landfall and kill hundreds of people'? Please, let's have a season full of spectacular failures, then. :P As for Danielle, she definitely looks like our first major hurricane of the Atlantic season this year. --Patteroast 02:36, August 24, 2010 (UTC)
 * It's got some dry air entrained in the core and the eye is now blind, but it will likely rapidly intensify soon. The 12z GFS model yesterday had the storm doing loops around the Bermuda high and possibly threatening the east coast, but now most runs just take it to Europe. The only way for it to loop like that is if it absorbs Earl, but either way its eastward progression north of the Bermuda high means that warmer than normal SSTs will get pulled along with it all the way to the Azores. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 12:47, August 24, 2010 (UTC)
 * And Danielle is also taking a westerly course now, west at 20 mph. The ridge north of Danielle is strengthening, and at the rate it's going it would be on a collision course for the Virgins and Puerto Rico, Or at least a better chance of hitting Bermuda. Apparently I may have spoke too soon, she could be interesting to watch over the next few days. Ryan1000 13:31, August 24, 2010 (UTC)
 * It is falling apart now. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  14:25, August 24, 2010 (UTC)
 * 80 now. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  14:55, August 24, 2010 (UTC)

It's back to a TS, but NHC brings this to a strong cat. 2. Probably due to the shear in the periphery, bringing dry air into the core of the system. GFDL brings this to a cat. 5, but NHC's forecast is more in line with the HWRF. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 21:15, August 24, 2010 (UTC)


 * BTW, Danielle never weakened to a TS according to RBT, it just weakend to a 65 kt hurricane. And because it weakened, it might hit Bermuda, and some models I believe forecast and East Coast landfall. <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 00:57, August 25, 2010 (UTC)
 * Danielle now has 85 mph, 972 mbars. However, this storm isn't forecast (by the NHC) to be a category 3 anymore, but rather a strong 2, although major hurricane strength isn't out of the question at all, or a landfall on Bermuda. We continue to wait... Ryan1000 14:30, August 25, 2010 (UTC)
 * Cat 2 now per RBT. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone
 * 105/70. Forecast peaks it at Cat 3. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  14:44, August 26, 2010 (UTC)
 * It's pratically a cat. 3 already. Looking like a fish storm, but its remnants could merge with the extratropical storm and hit Northern Europe. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 17:29, August 26, 2010 (UTC)

I agree. Danielle has probably already become the first major hurricane of the season and I would be very surprised if it's not upgraded at the next advisory. I also agree that the storm will likely miss Bermuda. Model forecasts are actually showing a sharper recurvature than they were before. While this may be good news for Bermuda, it may not be good news for the US because the sooner Danielle recurves, the longer the ridge driving Earl westward has to restrengthen. Earl's westward-drifting forecast track is starting to get a little too close for comfort. -- SkyFury 04:54, August 27, 2010 (UTC)

Major Hurricane Danielle
Whoa! Didn't have to wait long! Special advisory. 105 knots too. Danielle didn't exactly scrape the fence. Forecast now brings it up to a Cat 4. -- SkyFury 06:36, August 27, 2010 (UTC)


 * And, if Danielle would do some Bertha-alike stunt it might be some bad surprise for the British Isles, at least with some lousy weather. --88.102.101.245 07:34, August 27, 2010 (UTC)
 * For whatever reason, Wunderground is showing Danielle as already being a Category 4. Do they have info that's not on NHC yet? --Patteroast 08:40, August 27, 2010 (UTC)
 * Nevermind, there's confirmation from NHC now. --Patteroast 08:44, August 27, 2010 (UTC)
 * Wow, Danielle looks so much more symmetrical and defined now. --Patteroast 11:55, August 27, 2010 (UTC)
 * Yes, it's like an annular hurricane. Danielle might get absorbed into that extratropical/subtropical system near the Azores, while still a cat. 1. Sounds like a Perfect Storm for Northern Europe! 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 14:14, August 27, 2010 (UTC)
 * Hmm... not quite what I expected, Danielle. I was thinking minimal cat. 3, but cat. 4? That's jumping the gun a bit. You're only one milibar ahead of your brother, Alex, but you aren't going to be affecting any land, unlike your brother. Ryan1000 14:35, August 27, 2010 (UTC)


 * *Whistles* Girl's looking good! I don't think anybody thought she'd hang a 4 on us, and she's not done yet. It wouldn't surprise me to see those winds get up to 125-130 knots before it finally levels out. Now these are the storms that are fun to watch. The big fishies that you can root for it to get as strong as possible without fear of death and destruction (unless somebody's trying to row across the Atlantic in a rowboat...no I didn't just make that up, that's actually happened). -- SkyFury 14:49, August 27, 2010 (UTC)

You go, girl! You're on a roll! Come on, get those winds up! If you can reach category 5 over the ocean, I will consider you as an epic win and put you on the hall of fame for your extreme intensity, like your cousin last year, Rick in the Eastern Pacific. Don't give in to that shear, keep going up, there's no limit to your power! Ryan1000 15:00, August 27, 2010 (UTC)
 * Danielle is turning out like Bill did in 2009, with a similar track and intensity.2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 19:24, August 27, 2010 (UTC)
 * Ahh, crap, I see concentric eyewalls. I think Danielle's about to undergo an eyewall cycle. If that's the case, her party may be over. But man, this is sure getting fun. I hope the Atlantic keeps them coming (although who knows how long our luck will hold with these things turning out to sea). -- SkyFury 00:15, August 28, 2010 (UTC)
 * Well I am doubting that Earl will stay out on sea but some models suggest that 97L will become a kind of Danielle 2.0. --88.102.101.245 01:37, August 28, 2010 (UTC)
 * It's a perfectly round annular hurricane. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 02:17, August 28, 2010 (UTC)
 * Can't be, it's undergoing eye wall replacement cycle. <font color="#ff7f00" family="Nyala">atomic <font color="#0000ff" family="Nyala">77 <font color="#00FF00" family="Nyala">32 02:28, August 28, 2010 (UTC)
 * "CONVENTIONAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DANIELLE HAS STARTED AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS." Am I good, or am I just that good? Called it three hours before it was officially announced. -- SkyFury 03:05, August 28, 2010 (UTC)
 * It was seen on microwave imagery hours before that :P <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 03:32, August 28, 2010 (UTC)
 * Due to the ERC, she has now weakened to a Category 3 hurricane (120/950). Well, Danielle peaked and I think we will probably no longer see any major strengthening. O well Danielle, I guess my attention is now on your small (but soon to be big) brother Earl. <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 05:56, August 28, 2010 (UTC)

It's back down to a cat. 2 now, and NHC track suggests it will curve west near Greenland, and may merge into the extratropical storm by the Azores. 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 14:51, August 28, 2010 (UTC)
 * Losing intrest in this system. Bring on Georgette or Fiona. YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  16:31, August 28, 2010 (UTC)
 * Final advisory. Post-tropical shortly after dropping down to a tropical storm. --Patteroast 06:43, August 31, 2010 (UTC)