User:Kiewii/Kiewii Hurricane Center/97E.INVEST/Special Advisory 1


 * BULLETIN 97E.INVEST SPECIAL ADVISORY ONE KIEWII HURRICANE CENTER DUNDEE UK EP102011 1800 UTC WED OCT 05 2011

...THIS INVEST HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70%...OF TROPICAL FORMATION IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS...

'''OUTLOOK '''

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 825 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS LOW IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NEXT ADVISORY NEXT SPECIAL ADVISORY...2200 UTC