Forum:2018-19 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season/March-April

Moderate Tropical Storm Haleh
A new storm is born in the SWIO. This storm, named Haleh, is expected to move south-southwest over open water, but could become at least a category 2 (by the JTWC) before dissipating out to sea. Ryan1000 10:51, March 2, 2019 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Haleh
Up to a STS. Ryan1000 20:01, March 3, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Haleh
Up to a category 3 by the JTWC. Ryan1000 12:29, March 4, 2019 (UTC)

Intense Tropical Cyclone Haleh
Now the record SIXTH intense tropical cyclone of the season! Wow, just wow. IbAHAn1829 \I like weather/ \Contributions/ 01:08, March 5, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Haleh (2nd time)
Weakening over water...Ryan1000 18:00, March 6, 2019 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Haleh
Dead. Ryan1000 14:02, March 7, 2019 (UTC)
 * The JTWC is strangely still issuing advisories on this. IbAHAn1829 \I like weather/ \Contributions/ 00:01, March 9, 2019 (UTC)

They shouldn't be...it's practically over freezing South Indian Ocean waters at this point. It's no threat to land either. Ryan1000 04:08, March 11, 2019 (UTC)

Intense Tropical Cyclone Savannah
Savannah has now moved into the SWIO, but still unlikely to affect land. Ryan1000 10:43, March 18, 2019 (UTC)

Post-Tropial Cyclone Savannah
Dying over the Indian Ocean. Shouldn't do much from here on out. Ryan1000 14:20, March 21, 2019 (UTC)
 * Final warning now issued by JTWC. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 16:12, March 21, 2019 (UTC)

Invest 93S (Zone of Disturbed Weather 13)
And we have another system. Not expected to do much though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 16:12, March 21, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 13
Expected to become Joaninha soon, most likely will stay at sea. Now a TS in the SSHWS. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 07:21, March 22, 2019 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Joaninha
And the 13th storm of the season is here. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 12:50, March 23, 2019 (UTC)
 * Expected to become a C3 per JTWC... this season is just wild. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:03, March 23, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Joaninha
Now a TC, and could become an ITC soon, as it's already a category 3 on the Saffiir-Simpson Scale by the JTWC. Ryan1000 09:48, March 25, 2019 (UTC)

Intense Tropical Cyclone Joaninha
And the intense tropical cyclone record is extended from 8 to 9. What a season. Based on storms forming in the basin alone (discounting Savannah's and Kenanga's crossovers), this is the 7th major hurricane of the SWIO season, which would still surpass the 2006-07 season for the most ITC's in one season and it even ties the number of majors in the 2005 and 1961 Atlantic hurricane seasons. Ryan1000 12:12, March 26, 2019 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Joaninha
After lasting for a while, Joaninha is gone. Ryan1000 14:06, March 30, 2019 (UTC)

Intense Tropical Cyclone Kenneth
I'm surprised that this has not been added earlier. We have another potentially catastrophic cyclone in the SWIO right now. This one, for me, is going to be worse than Idai when it makes landfall in Mozambique. Keeping the C4 streak alive, Kenneth is forecasted to hit that country on the 25th as a tropical cyclone or higher if it persists. Also, Kenneth is the 10th ITC in the season. Holy crap, what has happened to this season?  Sandy 156   :)  01:30, April 25, 2019 (UTC)
 * I hadn't seen it on WUnderground recently (we were all hyped up on Michael being upgraded to a 5 at his Panhandle landfall in reanalysis) and I haven't checked Tidbits in a while, but hopefully if Kenneth hits northern Mozambique he won't be as powerful or as bad as Idai was last month, due to the region's lower population than Beira. On a completely different side note, me and Rara both predicted in the strangest storm section of this basin's betting pools this year that Kenneth's curse of becoming a category 4 storm in every single one of his East Pacific incarnations would somehow extend into his SWIO incarnation this year, and it looks like it did...but not in a good way...why does this have to be a terrifying threat to land? Hopefully Mozambique makes it out ok... Ryan1000 02:30, April 25, 2019 (UTC)

Landfall in Mozambique
Kenneth is now roaring ashore in Mozambique with 140-145 mph winds. which not only would make him the strongest storm to hit the country, surpassing Eline, but also extremely rare because it's doing so at such a late point in the season, and on the country's northern coast. Ryan1000 13:59, April 25, 2019 (UTC)

Thoughts and prayers for Africa. After keeping his streak as a C4 in the Pacific, brought it to Africa only to be wicked. Damn you, Kenny. Joey is best jojo (talk) 01:39, April 26, 2019 (UTC)

Remnants of Kenneth
Meteo France Reunion has issued their last advisory on Kenneth as he deteriorated fairly quickly after landfall. There's some dry air over Africa that seems to have dried up Kenneth's rainbands over land and may hopefully prevent inland flooding from Kenneth from being as severe as Idai last month. Unfortunately, 3 people have already been killed from Kenneth in the Comoros Islands in the Mozambique Channel. Ryan1000 04:14, April 26, 2019 (UTC)
 * Now at least 6 people, an additional 3 people from Mozambique, had died during the cyclone so far.  Sandy 156   :)  23:52, April 26, 2019 (UTC)
 * The death toll doubled up again, totaling 12 fatalities. 7 are in the Comoros Islands and 5 are in Mozambique.  Sandy 156   :)  04:41, April 28, 2019 (UTC)

Moderate Tropical Storm Lorna
Another storm in the SWIO that is going to stay away from land. At the most, Lorna will be a tropical cyclone before dying off.  Sandy 156   :)  01:35, April 25, 2019 (UTC)


 * It shouldn't do much before dying off, but with this season getting to Lorna, we now have the highest number of named storms forming in this basin in one season since 1993-94 (although this year surpasses that season if you count the two AUS-SWIO crossovers we had this year, Kenanga and Savannah). Ryan1000 14:08, April 25, 2019 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Lorna
A Severe TS now, and a cat 1 by the JTWC, but still no threat to land. Ryan1000 04:15, April 26, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Lorna
Now a tropical cyclone and still a C1 by the JTWC, becoming the 11th TC of this season. It exited the basin, becoming a severe tropical cyclone in the Australian Region basin.  Sandy 156   :)  17:47, April 28, 2019 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Lorna
Became post-tropical later today.  Sandy 156   :)  03:02, May 1, 2019 (UTC)