Forum:2018 Pacific typhoon season/August

August
Might as well start this section before the (busiest?) month begins. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 16:52, July 31, 2018 (UTC)

93W.INVEST
And Tropical Tidbits spots another invest, also in the open Pacific. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 16:52, July 31, 2018 (UTC)
 * Code yellow on JTWC. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 13:09, August 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * Still code yellow, but weather models are positive about this invest. This may follow Wukong's footsteps. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:24, August 4, 2018 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression
Now high chance and a TCFA issued by JTWC. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:31, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * Kinda late but JMA has already upgraded this to a TD. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 05:52, August 6, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 18W (Karding)
JTWC and PAGASA follow suit. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 06:22, August 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * JTWC forecast maintains this as a TD for a while before it finally intensifies to a TS while crossing the Ryukyu Islands. Could hit China in the long run. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  00:11, August 8, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Yagi (Karding)
And JMA upgrades 18W to a TS. Remains a TD on JTWC though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 08:42, August 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now a TS on JTWC, and not expected to become stronger than 40 knots/45 mph on JTWC or 45 knots/50 mph on JMA. Impacts to the Ryukyu Islands and China are unlikely to be more than minor. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:46, August 11, 2018 (UTC)
 * While not having a direct effect, this storm enhanced the southwest monsoon, causing floods which have been compared to that of Ketsana/Ondoy 9 years ago. Two fatalities have been confirmed in the Philippines so far. Meanwhile, Yagi has made landfall in China and is currently inland. JTWC has already issued its final warning; JMA still has this storm as a TS. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 05:53, August 13, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of Yagi
Down and out. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:29, August 14, 2018 (UTC)

94W.INVEST
New month, new invest. WPac is as active as expected. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 13:07, August 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * Also code yellow on JTWC. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  20:33, August 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * Medium chance of formation now. Will likely become a name-stealer. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 04:15, August 2, 2018 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression
Upgraded by JMA to a TD, and this system now appears on their weather map too. Code red on JTWC, TCFA issued. This may not be a name-stealer after all, as this may affect land in the long run. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:47, August 2, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Shanshan
Wukong 2.0. Still a TD on JTWC though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 03:18, August 3, 2018 (UTC)


 * Yeah, it'll probably be a typhoon, but it'll likely stay offshore just east of Japan. Ryan1000 17:25, August 3, 2018 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Shanshan
This is intensifying quickly. 55-knot winds from both JMA and JTWC, pressure at 985 hPa. ~ KN2731 {talk} 03:34, August 4, 2018 (UTC)

Typhoon Shanshan
JMA already has this up as a 65 knot/75 mph (975 mbar) typhoon. This should get relatively strong, but not too strong as it makes an apparently straight-line path towards Japan. Forecast to peak at 90 knots/105 mph according to the JTWC and 80 knots/90 mph by JMA. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:51, August 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * Oh no, both the JTWC & JMA tracks take Shanshan directly towards the Kantō region (Tokyo area). I hope this will become like Jongdari; I hope it also changes its track and weaken before it hits the country. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:31, August 4, 2018 (UTC)

Shanshan isn't moving northwest very fast and it's expected to hit the eastern tip of Japan as a weakening typhoon or (severe) tropical storm, but the way Shanshan is approaching Japan would actually be a better-case scenario than if he were to strike southwest of the city, because the counter-clockwise rotation of the storm would, if he does pass east of Tokyo, push seawater southwards and out of Tokyo Bay, like how Irma last year in the Atlantic pushed water out of Tampa Bay by hitting south of the city, though Irma was still destructive. Ryan1000 16:20, August 4, 2018 (UTC)

I REALLY don't like the latest GFS run for this... Hopefully that's a more alarmist approach. Send Help Please (talk) 09:26, August 5, 2018 (UTC)


 * I'd take the GFS with a grain of salt on some of their WPac intensity forecasts...they forecasted Typhoon Noru of last year to hit Tokyo as an 892 mbar category 5 monster at one point, and we all know where that storm struck. That model may be somewhat better closer to home, though I'd be more inclined to believe the JTWC forecast in this case. The Euro's not much more optimistic. In any instance though, I mentioned during Lan last year that Tokyo is a very well-prepared city for the effects of typhoons, with a very large floodwall on the southern portion of Tokyo bay to keep out storm surges and steel-frame high-rises that can withstand 150+ mph winds. Unless Tokyo gets directly hit by a category 5 super typhoon like Vera of 1959, they'll probably get off alright from storms like Shanshan, even better if this storm pushes water southwards and out of the bay if it passes to the east of the city instead of west, as currently indicated by the JTWC. Ryan1000 05:02, August 6, 2018 (UTC)


 * JTWC forecast now says Shanshan will curve to the east past Tokyo, but they will still feel impacts nonetheless. They also believe that Shanshan is now near its peak intensity and will steadily weaken from here on out. However, JMA still shows a near-direct hit and slight intensification (by 5 knots) in the forecast. I highly doubt this will be a devastating disaster for Tokyo, especially considering how well-equipped it is. Hopefully they make it through ok. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:29, August 6, 2018 (UTC)

Now 85 kt (100 mph) by JTWC and 70 kt (80 mph) by JMA. Going to hit Japan tomorrow and then meet its demise after curving out to sea. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  00:08, August 8, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Shanshan (2nd time)
Down to a TS, but JTWC has already issued its final warning. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 18:33, August 9, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Shanshan
And so has the JMA. Thankfully nothing much happened to Japan except for some injuries. ~ KN2731 {talk} 10:11, August 10, 2018 (UTC)

95W.INVEST
First of the two new WPac invests, according to Tropical Tidbits (again). This is the one near the International Date Line. Low chance of development for now, but models say that this may become a fishspinner/name-stealer in a few days. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:14, August 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * No longer on JTWC, still on Tropical Tidbits though. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:32, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * Dead. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 06:31, August 7, 2018 (UTC)

96W.INVEST
Second of the two new WPac invests. For now, this may most likely remain as an invest/low pressure area, but forecast models say otherwise. This may intensify to a storm, and even to a typhoon as onw of the models expect this to hit the Philippines and Japan (or even China) in the long run. Other models tell a more likely scenario: that this will move westward/northwestward towards Vietnam and southern China. This one is at the west of the Philippine archipelago, and is also code yellow right now like 93W and 95W. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:14, August 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * Those models seem a bit scary, I'd say. Hopefully it stays sufficiently weak if it's going to affect all that land. To be honest, I don't expect much more than a TS or STS from this. Still code yellow on JTWC. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:35, August 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * Fortunately those models did not come true. It is now heading towards Vietnam/southern China. It is still code yellow on JTWC as of this writing. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:18, August 8, 2018 (UTC)

Upgraded to code red. TCFA issued by JTWC. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 18:34, August 9, 2018 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression
Still an invest with a high chance of formation on JTWC even if JMA has already considered this as a TD. However, I don't see this becoming stronger than 40 mph, let alone 35 mph. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 17:50, August 10, 2018 (UTC)
 * Down to medium chance on JTWC. This won't be 20W, I think. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:16, August 11, 2018 (UTC)
 * And considering that it's moving inland, I highly doubt any further development from this system unless it moves back over water like Son-Tinh did. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:43, August 11, 2018 (UTC)

Back to code red, TCFA issued. This invest is playing with all of us. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 06:55, August 12, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 20W
Also appears on JMA's typhoon page as a TD. Forecast to reach 35 kts (1-minute sustained). Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:17, August 12, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Bebinca
Oops, another name-stealer. Still considered by JTWC as a TD though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 05:49, August 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * Not expected to intensify much. Waste of a name... ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:03, August 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * Got a bit stronger than I expected, now 50 knots/60 mph according to the JTWC and 45 knots/50 mph according to the JMA. Some more slight intensification is possible before it strikes northern Vietnam. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  03:57, August 16, 2018 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Bebinca
Peaked at this intensity earlier. I guess it wasn't the name stealer I thought of! ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:22, August 17, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Bebinca (2nd time)
Back down to 35 knots/40 mph according to the JMA as it made landfall in northern Vietnam. JTWC has issued their final advisory. So far, according to Wikipedia, minimal damage has been reported. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:22, August 17, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of Bebinca
Dead according to JTWC & JMA. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:43, August 17, 2018 (UTC)

97W.INVEST
New invest east of Guam, according to Tropical Tidbits. A particular weather model take this to China, but I take that with a grain of salt. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:18, August 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now on JTWC with low chance of forming.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     22:36, August 09, 2018 (UTC)
 * Medium chance of formation as of the latest update from JTWC. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 17:50, August 10, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 19W
Suprisingly, its 97W that became Tropical Depression 19W, not 96W. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     01:49, August 11, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm 19W
100 kph 1-minute sustained winds, yet 55 kph 10-minute sustained winds. Wow. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:18, August 11, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Leepi
JMA has named this and it's now 40 knots/45 mph according to them. JTWC has it as 55 knots/65 mph, which is quite a difference but not as much as right before it was named. Like Yagi, it's not expected to get much stronger. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:49, August 11, 2018 (UTC)

Typhoon status unofficial as Leepi is only recognized as a typhoon by JTWC. It is still a TS according to JMA. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:20, August 12, 2018 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Leepi
Down to a TS on JTWC, upgraded to a severe tropical storm on JMA. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 05:47, August 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * Some more slight intensification is possible, although it shouldn't become strong enough for it to become a JMA typhoon. The agencies have really differed about this storm's intensity. Right now it's still a 10 knot difference between the JMA and JTWC. It's also forecast to hit southern Japan and south of Shanghai as a weaker system. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:08, August 13, 2018 (UTC)


 * I won't say that I don't give any credit to the JTWC, but only make new intensity headers when the JMA upgrades or downgrades the storm, because the JTWC's intensity scale is unofficial for the WPac basin. Anyways, this may just clip or slightly miss southern Japan before turning towards Shanghai. Ryan1000 12:42, August 13, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Leepi
This thing is now dying. Made landfall in Japan & South Korea, but no reports of damage (yet). Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:06, August 15, 2018 (UTC)
 * Last advisory issued on JTWC, but still up on JMA. I think Rumbia got dominant and killed Leepi due to their proximity. It has also apparently made landfall in Korea, so land interaction must have also played a factor. Hoping damage/death tolls don't rise in the next few days. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:02, August 16, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of Leepi
Completely dead now. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:18, August 17, 2018 (UTC)

98W.INVEST
First of the two new invests this week; only visible in Tropical Tidbits page. Located at the east of Taiwan. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 05:47, August 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * Code yellow on JTWC. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:09, August 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * Upgraded to medium chance. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:30, August 14, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 21W
Seems to be following Yagi's track. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 06:15, August 15, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Rumbia
Oh, it's already a TS according to JMA. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 06:18, August 15, 2018 (UTC)
 * Not expected to become anything more than a failure, forecast peak is 40 knots/45 mph by JTWC (JMA doesn't even strengthen it past 35 knots/40 mph). An absolute waste of a name. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:05, August 16, 2018 (UTC)
 * Nvm about my earlier pessimistic comment, it actually reached 45 knots/50 mph before making a landfall near Shanghai (3rd of the year!). JTWC has issued their final advisory, and JMA still has it at 45 knots (should be downgraded very soon). ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:26, August 17, 2018 (UTC)

JTWC has issued its final warning, but Rumbia remains a TS according to JMA. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:43, August 17, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of Rumbia
Dead. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 05:40, August 18, 2018 (UTC)

99W.INVEST
Second of the two new invests this week; also only present in Tropical Tidbits' page. This one is in the open Pacific. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 05:47, August 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * Currently code orange just like 98W. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:30, August 14, 2018 (UTC)

TCFA issued. Code red now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 06:16, August 15, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 22W
WPac is on fire. Another TD forms. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:53, August 15, 2018 (UTC)
 * Currently veering towards Japan. The end of JTWC's forecast says that 22W will reach 95 knots while getting closer to Honshu, but given JTWC's record this year (Shanshan, Jongdari), I am somehow taking that with a grain of salt. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:14, August 15, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Soulik
Now named by JMA. And expected to intensify to a strong typhoon and threaten southern Japan in the long run. It's one to really watch out for. With this, Bebinca, Rumbia, Leepi, and Hector all active at the same time (last two could already be remnants though), the WPac is officially on FIRE! ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:08, August 16, 2018 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Soulik
Now a STS according to JMA, and JTWC takes it up to 115 knots! Already a typhoon by JTWC. Southern Japan really needs to prepare... getting pretty scary right now. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:29, August 17, 2018 (UTC)

Typhoon Soulik
And it is official: Soulik is now a typhoon. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:38, August 17, 2018 (UTC)


 * The GFS makes this a 165 MPH, 903 MBAR typhoon right next to Japan. Wow. Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 00:34, August 18, 2018 (UTC)


 * Recently, those weather models tend to exaggerate the intensity of cyclones. I am taking that with a grain of salt right now, especially with what happened to Jongdari, Shanshan and Leepi earlier in this season. However, even if Soulik does not reach C5 – let alone C4 – this is still a storm to watch out for; unlike the three storms that I have mentioned, Soulik seems to continue strengthening until it reaches the Ryukyus/Kyushu. It is good that Japan is well-prepared for typhoons, but the flood threat from the precipitation (from typhoons like this one) is still there. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 10:30, August 18, 2018 (UTC)


 * Now Soulik is the equivalent of a SSHWS major hurricane (C3) according to JTWC, which has Soulik at 105 knots/120 mph. According to JMA, it's 80 knots/90 mph. I'd also take with a grain of salt those models because of some storms earlier this year (mentioned by Anon 2.0). The forecast track for Soulik has shifted a bit south, and now it appears that the northern Ryukyu Islands will get the brunt of the storm. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  01:28, August 19, 2018 (UTC)

Soulik could also rake up the western coast of South Korea if it follows the current JTWC forecast, which would also eventually take it to North Korea. Hopefully it won't be as destructive as Prapiroon of 2000 though, or Rusa of 2002. Ryan1000 00:10, August 21, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now it's about to enter the Ryukyu Islands and will head into South Korea. Hoping it's not too bad there. The JMA is also showing Soulik striking Korea. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🎂   Wish me  a happy birthday!  🎉  06:54, August 21, 2018 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Soulik (2nd time)
Just to update while every one is focused on Lane right now... Soulik has been downgraded to a STS on JMA's website. It will be hitting South Korea very soon. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:15, August 23, 2018 (UTC)
 * Has crossed South Korea now, but still STS on JMA. Hoping it wasn't anything bad. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:48, August 24, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Soulik (2nd time)
Down to TS status by JMA, and should weaken to a post-tropical cyclone soon. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     16:29, August 24, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Soulik
Dead now. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:38, August 25, 2018 (UTC)

90W.INVEST
Only visible in Tropical Tidbits as of now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:53, August 15, 2018 (UTC)
 * Still excluded from JTWC's main page. This is at the east of the Philippines and west of 22W. 91W meanwhile is at the east of 22W. 22W and 90W are both expected to move towards Japan. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:09, August 15, 2018 (UTC)
 * Long gone. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 05:36, August 18, 2018 (UTC)

91W.INVEST
Code yellow on JTWC. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:53, August 15, 2018 (UTC)
 * Seems that the El Niño is already kicking. Upgraded to code orange (medium chance) by JTWC. This will likely remain at sea; we may get Cimaron from this, if 22W becomes Soulik (which is almost imminent). Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:11, August 15, 2018 (UTC)
 * We're currently seeing some really insane activity here. But then again, the WPac is the most active basin on earth. This is likely to become Cimaron. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:11, August 16, 2018 (UTC)
 * lemme have cimaron flavoured bran flakes for brekkie if this becomes a super typhoon --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 12:19, August 17, 2018 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression
JMA has classified it as a TD. TCFA issued by JTWC. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:32, August 17, 2018 (UTC)
 * It's already designated by Tropical Tidbits as 23W, yet according to JTWC, only a TCFA has been issued. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:43, August 17, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 23W
This is now officially the 23rd tropical depression of the season by the JTWC, who forecast it to become at least a 120 mph typhoon. The GFS makes this 939 mbars by the 25th, and the HWRF makes this 932 mbars by the 22nd. Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 00:27, August 18, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm 23W
Now a tropical storm per JTWC. JMA yet to follow suit. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 10:24, August 18, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Cimaron
JMA has followed suit. Will intensify gradually and hit Japan in the long run. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  01:31, August 19, 2018 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Cimaron
Now a STS according to the JMA. On JTWC's page, it's already almost a typhoon. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🎂   Wish me  a happy birthday!  🎉  22:01, August 19, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now a typhoon according to JTWC, still a severe TS on JMA. (By the way, happy birthday Steve!) Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:00, August 20, 2018 (UTC)

Typhoon Cimaron
JMA now has it as a typhoon. Japan will hopefully prepare and not suffer from devastation when Cimaron tracks into the nation. BTW, thanks Anon 2.0! ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🎂   Wish me  a happy birthday!  🎉  06:57, August 21, 2018 (UTC)
 * You're welcome, Steve! Hope you had a blast. Meanwhile, Cimaron has intensified to a C3 and is expected to move towards Shikoku and western Honshu. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:59, August 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * I did.🙂 Appears that Cimaron has weakened since your post; 80 knots (JMA), 85 knots (JTWC). Cimaron is anticipated to hit Japan tomorrow or so. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:19, August 23, 2018 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Cimaron (2nd time)
Downgraded to a STS on JMA's site. It has already passed through Japan and I hope it wasn't too bad. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:50, August 24, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Cimaron
Dead and gone. Ryan1000 11:31, August 24, 2018 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression (Invest 92W)
Located northwest of the Philippines, southwest of Taiwan. Invested a few days ago, and is now at code red on JTWC. JMA already has this system as a TD. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:59, August 22, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Luis
PAGASA has began advisories on Luis. This could potentially intensify enough to be named Jebi, but hopefully it's no name waste. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:23, August 23, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 24W (Luis)
Upgraded to a TD by JTWC. Expected to linger over Taiwan in the hours to come. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 03:48, August 24, 2018 (UTC)
 * JTWC's forecast track now takes it into China very soon. Not expected to become much stronger and I doubt it will become Jebi. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:54, August 24, 2018 (UTC)
 * >is named luis
 * >suarez is getting eaten by china this time
 * heh

--¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 11:52, August 24, 2018 (UTC)

Final warning issued by JTWC as this TD is making its way towards southern China. Jebi will have to wait a little longer. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:38, August 25, 2018 (UTC)
 * >wants to ge great like luis 1995
 * >fail
 * >LOL! what a nothingburger --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 16:15, August 25, 2018 (UTC)

Hopefully this wasn't too bad for Taiwan or China...my attention was set to Lane for a while. Luis isn't the official name for this depression since PAGASA isn't the primary RSMC in the WPac, but we can put it in parentheses in the header. Ryan1000 19:07, August 25, 2018 (UTC)

Dead according to JTWC, but still a TD according to JMA. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:55, August 26, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone 24W (Luis)
JMA has dropped this a while ago. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     01:38, August 28, 2018 (UTC)

93W.INVEST
New on Tropical Tidbits. May become a TD in the coming days as it moves westward towards northern Philippines/Taiwan. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 12:23, August 23, 2018 (UTC)
 * Code yellow on JTWC. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:55, August 24, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now coded orange on JTWC.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     16:30, August 24, 2018 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression
JMA has called it a TD. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:52, August 25, 2018 (UTC)
 * Gone from JTWC but still a TD on JMA as it moves towards eastern China. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:56, August 26, 2018 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression (Invest 94W)
Invested a day or two ago. JMA now considers this as a TD, while JTWC has already issued a TCFA. This is at the eastern part of WPac. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 06:21, August 27, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 25W
Expected to become a C3-equivalent typhoon later in the forecast. Jebi is coming, and if it ever enters the area of responsibility of the Philippines, maybe it gets named Maymay too. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 13:18, August 27, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Jebi
Now named Jebi, and forecasted to be a strong typhoon. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     02:13, August 28, 2018 (UTC)


 * I think this will probably become a cat 5 down the road, and may turn north afterwards to strike southern Japan, hopefully as a weaker system. Ryan1000 15:08, August 28, 2018 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Jebi
Well, on its way to rapid intensification I think. Now a severe tropical storm with 65/990. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     03:11, August 29, 2018 (UTC)
 * Nearing typhoon strength now on JMA, 70 mph/985 mbars. This is going to become our next super typhoon unless it under-performs, and Japan might be threatened in the very long run. Here comes a monster! ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:10, August 29, 2018 (UTC)

Typhoon Jebi (Maymay)
And it's now official. 10-minute sustained winds now at 130 kph, forecast to reach 185 kph at the end of the forecast. We may have our next (unofficial) super typhoon here, although the JTWC forecast that takes it towards Japan tells that Jebi will only reach 220 kph (1-minute sustained), 20 kph short of 'super typhoon' status. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 10:32, August 29, 2018 (UTC)
 * Jebi is really intensifying fast. Already a C2-equivalent typhoon on the SSHWS. I won't rule out a C5.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     21:05, August 29, 2018 (UTC)


 * Up to 110 mph, forecast to hit 150 now, but a cat 5 could very well happen, given the favorability of conditions ahead of Jebi. It'll probably weaken to a category 3 or 2 before striking southern Japan though. Ryan1000 02:59, August 30, 2018 (UTC)

Now all the way up to 110 kt/125mph. Forecast does depict a low-level super typhoon at peak, and a category 2 landfall on japan. Nickcoro (talk) 15:02, August 30, 2018 (UTC)


 * 12z estimate revised to 120kt, very likely to be a Category 5 tonight. Kiewii 16:09, August 30, 2018 (UTC)


 * Jebi is now a 140 kt Category 5, with the JTWC expecting this to reach a peak intensity of 155 kt. IbAHAn1829 \I like weather/ \Contributions/ 22:38, August 30, 2018 (UTC)


 * Woah, this is getting so powerful! JTWC's forecast peak is equal to 180 mph, but keep in mind those are unofficial intensities and JMA is the official one for WPac intensity. Now expected to strike the Kyoto region, still as a strong system but much weaker than the current intensity. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:02, August 31, 2018 (UTC)

Called it. I knew Jebi would become a 5 with the conditions in front of it. That said, Jebi is now the 2018 season's strongest typhoon in 1-minute winds, but has the same current 10-minute winds that Jelawat and Maria had. Forecast to hit 180 mph, but it'll probably weaken considerably before striking Japan. JTWC's current forecast intensity around that time is 110 mph/95 knots. Ryan1000 05:23, August 31, 2018 (UTC)


 * 1-minute winds up to 175, but forecast to be a 105 mph storm when Jebi reaches Japan now. Ryan1000 13:39, August 31, 2018 (UTC)

Down to cat 4, but still forecast to be a 2 when it reaches southern Japan. Ryan1000 17:10, September 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * Glad it's weakening, but a C1-C2 equivalent storm hitting land could still have profound impacts. Let's hope Japan makes it through okay. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:18, September 2, 2018 (UTC)

Down to cat 3, also it's been named Maymay by PAGASA. Forecast to hit Japan as a 100 mph storm now. Ryan1000 11:44, September 2, 2018 (UTC)
 * Forecast to leave the Philippine AOR by tomorrow as it weakens while heading towards southern Japan. Hopefully the impacts will be kept to a minimum, just like what happened to Jongdari and Shanshan earlier. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:34, September 2, 2018 (UTC)
 * It's now very close to landfall in Japan. Still 85 knots/100 mph according to JMA, and 75 knots/85 mph according to JTWC. Hopefully it's more of a repeat of storms like Cimaron or Jongdari, which weren't overly bad for Japan, and it doesn't end up being Japan's costliest of the season. But considering how strong Jebi still is, it could get quite impacting. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  03:11, September 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * Jebi has made landfall in Japan. So far, it is expected to become Jongdari 2.0, as it is also moving fast. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 08:02, September 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * Still a typhoon, and Jebi is actually the strongest to hit Japan in 25 years. Hope that it wasn't that bad for Japan, though there are reports that Jebi flipped some cars in Osaka. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 12:04, September 4, 2018 (UTC)

Now extratropical, and Jebi was not good for Japan. At least 6 dead so far. Kansai Airport completely shut down because of flooding (due to storm surge). This ain't Jongdari/Shanshan/Cimaron/Leepi 2.0 at all.

EDIT: I have removed the header, since it is still a typhoon per JMA (the official one for WPac). JTWC has downgraded Jebi to a TS and has issued its final warning. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:27, September 4, 2018 (UTC) (Edited by Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 17:36, September 4, 2018 (UTC).)

Severe Tropical Storm Jebi (2nd time)
Latest update downgrades Jebi – the strongest typhoon to make landfall in Japan since 1993's Yancy – to a severe tropical storm. So far, at least 9 people have died in Japan because of the typhoon. The death toll is now actually at 15, as six more people died in Taiwan due to the rogue waves caused by Jebi a couple of days ago This is Japan's worst this year, so far. Osaka, Kobe, Kyoto and the rest of the Kansai region really got battered by Jebi. Storm surge at the main international airport of Osaka (Kansai) and in the coastal parts of Kobe. Kyoto Station's glass windows and ceiling got broken too. And a ship – actually a tanker – even collided with a bridge that connects Kansai to the Honshu mainland at the height of the storm. And this all happened when Jebi is supposedly "just" a Category 1-equivalent typhoon. I won't be surprised if damage totals may reach a billion from Jebi, and may even surpass Lan's $2 billion mark last year. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:30, September 4, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Jebi
Dead. In terms of intensity on the Saffir-Simpson Scale, Jebi is not even close to being the strongest typhoon to hit Japan since Yancy (Ma-On in 2004 was stronger, it was 120 mph at landfall for one instance), unless they're referring to Jebi's 10-minute sustained winds at landfall, which are different, or "the worst Japan typhoon in 25 years" by impact. Jebi may have only been a category 1 at landfall (on the SSS), but the large city of Osaka (which was hit by Jebi's right-front quadrant) is located in the position of a tucked-back bay area that is highly vulnerable to storm surge, similar to Tampa Bay and New York City in the U.S, so storm surge and wind damage was extensive in the area Jebi struck despite its category 1 intensity. Tokyo is in a similar position, but they have stronger floodwalls and stronger-built buildings to withstand typhoons like Lan of last year and Fitow of 2007. Ryan1000 04:39, September 5, 2018 (UTC)
 * Maybe they took account the impact and the 10-minute sustained winds. But 2004's Ma-on was definitely stronger than Jebi 2018; Ma-on was a Category 3 when it struck the Izu Peninsula. Nonetheless, this is a storm that unexpectedly caused significant damage. But out of curiosity, I just want to ask: were there any recent typhoons that affected Osaka so bad like Jebi? Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:06, September 5, 2018 (UTC)

The last category 1 typhoon to strike the city of Osaka (as severely as Jebi) may have been Typhoon Etau in 2003, which killed 20 people and caused hundreds of millions of dollars in damage when it struck Japan. Before Etau, there was Vicki in 1998, but that storm passed just east of the city, thus pushing water away from the coastline, and Rita in 1975, which made landfall just to the west. Ryan1000 02:44, September 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * I wasn't really that surprised that a strong system like Jebi would end up being damaging and deadly for the region. Unfortunately, 17 people have been killed, and I predict that damages might rival Lan's. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:50, September 6, 2018 (UTC)

95W.INVEST
This one is at southern China. Appears only on Tropical Tidbits, but this won't be anything, as this system is already inland. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 03:34, August 28, 2018 (UTC)
 * Gone. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 12:04, August 29, 2018 (UTC)

96W.INVEST
New invest in the Philippine Sea. May not become anything though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 12:04, August 29, 2018 (UTC)
 * Gone from Tropical Tidbits. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:59, August 31, 2018 (UTC)