Forum:2007 Pacific hurricane season/September

Yawn
The East Pacific is more boring than usual this year. Usually there's at least something going on that's interesting, but there's nothing out there. Bob rulz 22:44, 12 September 2007 (UTC)
 * On the other hand, the Atlantic is bursting with activity. ;) - Enzo Aquarius 22:53, 12 September 2007 (UTC)

96E.INVEST
Not numerically listed, and dubious (very, very dubious) but it's up on a floater on the NHC. Just putting this up to stick it in Bob's face, since he's been mumbling about this for AGES now. IP Talk 00:36, 13 September 2007 (UTC)


 * I know, it's like I never stop complaining. :P But really, at least there's something there. Bob rulz 07:12, 13 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Whoa! CMC goes crazy with EVERYTHING that could possibly develop (a TS in the Central Pacific!) IP Talk 19:53, 13 September 2007 (UTC)


 * If I'm not mistaken, there's a 96.E invest west of Mexico. Thoughts? 2007Astro&#39;sHurricane 00:05, 15 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Eh, iffy on this one, doesn't look the most organized. Then again, time is key (along with water temperature, but let's not get too picky ;)), wait this one out for a bit and it could turn into Ivo. - Enzo Aquarius 04:37, 15 September 2007 (UTC)

Whoa, starting to get something here, and now has the eye of the NHC. I think we could see Ivo soon! - Enzo Aquarius 01:38, 17 September 2007 (UTC)


 * It's gone from the NRl, what are you talking about? I think you might be noticing 97E. Bob rulz 07:28, 17 September 2007 (UTC)

97E.INVEST
I think this is the one that the NHC says could form into a tropical depression soon. Bob rulz 07:28, 17 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Look at it, it's awesome! IP Talk 21:44, 17 September 2007 (UTC)


 * I expect tropical depression tomorrow, no later than Wednesday. Bob rulz 04:34, 18 September 2007 (UTC)


 * This thing looks REALLY good and has had lots of time to develop. I expect tropical depression status later today. - Enzo Aquarius 15:16, 18 September 2007 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 12-E
Sooner than I expected, but not surprised! Could have a tropical storm early tomorrow, with a possible curve track leading to Baja California. - Enzo Aquarius 18:13, 18 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Looks stronger than 25 knots. The two other low pressure areas in the Pacific look pretty good too. -- SkyFury 18:57, 18 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Storms are still forming in the E-Pac? Yes, yes they are indeed. I say NHC's predictions are a little deflated, but I can accept them. IP Talk 19:00, 18 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Mexico Again - I feel so sorry for it - After Dean and Felix Jason Rees 23:28, 18 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Yeah, even though Felix never came within fifty miles of the place... so sad ; ). If this kinda thing happened in a bad year, Mexico would not be there anymore. Looks very nice, signs of lower convection near center of low, could me rapid intensification, could mean slow intensification, and it could mean nothing. But probably not the last one. IP Talk 23:51, 18 September 2007 (UTC)

Up on NRL as Ivo. I'm going to bed, so someone please confirm for me. IP Talk 01:04, 19 September 2007 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Ivo
I said confirm for me dammit! It's up though, on both sites. IP Talk 10:34, 19 September 2007 (UTC)


 * This one's taking off. It's about time something broke the silence over there. -- SkyFury 14:00, 19 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Wow, this thing is intensifying pretty steadily. I don't see an eye yet, though. Bob rulz 19:15, 19 September 2007 (UTC)


 * This thing had an eye-like feature earlier today and yesterday, before it became Ivo. Not a defined one, mind you, but a forming banding one. It looks like there are rainbands set up around it, and an eye may form very soon. IP Talk  19:16, 19 September 2007 (UTC)


 * EYE FROM NRL! <font color="#000000">IP <font color="#ff6347">Talk 19:45, 19 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Nice! I say Cat. 1 status tonight at 11 PM EDT. I give it a good chance of developing up to a category 2, but beyond that, I say 10%. - Enzo Aquarius 20:57, 19 September 2007 (UTC)

I agree. At least Ivo's having fun. Thirteen-E is probably spitting explitives at it as it struggles. The happier storm could pay a visit to Cabo San Lucas. I'd say 75-80 knots at peak intensity. Shear will increase before too much longer. -- SkyFury 22:13, 19 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Spot on, the NHC seems to have an eerily accurate account of things. <font color="#000000">IP <font color="#ff6347">Talk 22:40, 19 September 2007 (UTC)

Hurricane Ivo
Ivo's made it. NHC upgrades to a hurricane. Jake52 My island 03:03, 20 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Still no eye though. But there it is. It's blind. <font color="#000000">IP <font color="#ff6347">Talk 10:34, 20 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Blind storms can still kill you. It still has the word "hurricane" in front of its name. -- SkyFury 15:58, 20 September 2007 (UTC)

It's peaked and looks like it's now on a pretty fast weakening trend. Bob rulz 18:23, 21 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Whoa! What the hell happened? It's gone. The covection just vanished in a little over two hours. At 0300Z, it looked fine. All was normal. Then it turned into this (for non nightowls: ) That's crazy! An entire 55-knot storm just fell apart in 2-3 hours. -- SkyFury 05:44, 22 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Looks fine now, but that was every inch of weird. -- SkyFury 17:25, 22 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Looks like the NHC doesn't really know where this thing is going, the cone of uncertainty for the next few days is quite large. - Enzo Aquarius 03:40, 23 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Don't have to worry about it now, Ivo's dead. -- SkyFury 00:06, 24 September 2007 (UTC)

98E.INVEST
Looks like Ivo, I say max TS from this, but models say it'll be a HUGE system. Thoughts?


 * This system looks very good! I would not be surprised to see warnings later today. -- SkyFury 13:58, 19 September 2007 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 13-E
Now 13E. -- RattleMan 17:39, 19 September 2007 (UTC)
 * Oh boy, this and Ivo could make quite an impact on the western Mexican coast. :S - Enzo Aquarius 18:18, 19 September 2007 (UTC)
 * Naw, it's not gonna do much. If it hits Mexico it'll be nothing more than a few showers. Wind shear will kill the system long before that. Bob rulz 19:16, 19 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Depression, storm, storm, depression, depression, depression, dissipating says the NHC. This is not going to touch Mexico. <font color="#000000">IP <font color="#ff6347">Talk 19:18, 19 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Hmm, according to NHC's models, it may turn into a tropical storm for a short period of time, but yes, as you mentioned IP and Bob, I also doubt this will do anything now. - Enzo Aquarius 20:58, 19 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Wow. I'm surprised. It looked so good for the longest time prior advisories being issued. Now I'd be surprised if it even gets a name. -- SkyFury 22:09, 19 September 2007 (UTC)


 * This thing's a dud, doubtful it'll get a name and doubtful it'll last as a TD for more than a day. - Enzo Aquarius 12:50, 21 September 2007 (UTC)

It's gone. (Hey, no one else had said it yet :P). Bob rulz 18:23, 21 September 2007 (UTC)


 * Show of hands, anyone surprised? Anyone? Didn't think so. You could see the hand writing on the wall with this one from the get go. It appears we've all of a sudden had a plague of enemic tropical cyclones. In the past four days, 14W, 13E and 10L all failed to develop. -- SkyFury 05:49, 22 September 2007 (UTC)

Even though it's been this way for a bit, I best make it official, this storm is dead. - Enzo Aquarius 03:55, 23 September 2007 (UTC)

93C.INVEST
I won't get too excited fellas (not like last time), but it's definitely out there (officially), and the models are showing up, with crackhead (SHIPS) taking it almost to hurricane. I say TD min, weak TS max, though you never know. This could get interesting. <font color="#000000">IP <font color="#ff6347">Talk 11:03, 24 September 2007 (UTC)


 * it could well be intresting but Development will be slow to form according to the CPHC - allthough my prediction tells me Thursday will be the day it will form of at all.


 * Oooh, central Pacific, all the basins are active now! This storm looks pretty good, organized and visible rotation, although predictions are that it will be slow to develop. If this forms into anything, I say it'll be by Friday. - Enzo Aquarius 14:38, 25 September 2007 (UTC)


 * The entire SHEM is inactive, so no, not all the basins. All the basins in the northern hemisphere are active. -- RattleMan 20:12, 25 September 2007 (UTC)

Poof! - Enzo Aquarius 15:36, 27 September 2007 (UTC)