Forum:2015 Pacific hurricane season/November

AOI: Middle of Nowhere
After a week of a completely blank tropical weather outlook, there's finally a new AOI. However, the chance of development is only 10/10 due to unfavorable conditions. Hopefully conditions become favorable enough for a November storm this year. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 00:14, November 3, 2015 (UTC)


 * Still 10/10, and this one's not likely to become much at all. Steve820 Talk to me 00:13, November 4, 2015 (UTC)


 * Gone. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 20:10, November 4, 2015 (UTC)

AOI: Middle of Nowhere (2)
then theres this. 10/10 as the above -- HurricaneOdile |  drop something in the box  •  rektastic Patricia  •  spam goes here ^_^  16:04, November 3, 2015 (UTC)

98E.INVEST
Actually, it's been invested as well. Of the three AOI's on the TWO right now, this is looking the best. Maybe, just maybe, it will form against the odds. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 19:26, November 3, 2015 (UTC)


 * Up to 20/20. It would have to try very hard to actually become something though, as conditions aren't getting any more favorable any time soon. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 19:22, November 3, 2015 (UTC)
 * Due to unfavorable conditions, we most likely won't see much from this or the other two surprise AOI's that popped up. I was pretty surprised when I saw all these new AOI's pop up, maybe the EPac doesn't want to give up yet. Anyways it won't be that shocking to me if it actually did try to organize and become something, but it's going to have a very hard time under the upper-level winds. Steve820 Talk to me 00:13, November 4, 2015 (UTC)


 * Meh, 0/0 now. At least it became an invest, but it's too bad it wasn't a surprise tropical depression. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 20:11, November 4, 2015 (UTC)
 * It is still here and at 0/0, currently. It pretty much sucks that we didn't see it become much, as expected, due to unfavorable upper-level winds around the area. Rick may have to wait, if we even see it at all this year. Steve820 Talk to me 22:53, November 4, 2015 (UTC)
 * Gone. The EPac rapidly dies away after October, we could get another storm in November but November is the least active month of hurricane season. Kenneth '11 was the only major hurricane to form in the EPac during November, and it didn't last long when it did so. Ryan1000 15:11, November 5, 2015 (UTC)

AOI: Middle of Nowhere (3)
A bunch of small circulations are popping up along the monsoon trough, and now we've got 3 of them. This one's a ways to the west of the other two. It's only 10/10 though, and like the other two, conditions are unfavorable.


 * This looks like it is going to move into the CPac, and if it does develop, an extreme 9 CPac forming storms this year! Steve820 Talk to me 00:13, November 4, 2015 (UTC)


 * This one is now being monitored in the CPac basin since it has crossed over there. However, it is at 0%. Steve820 Talk to me 22:53, November 4, 2015 (UTC)

AOI: 1110 Miles SSW of Honululu
One of two more low chance AOI's that have popped up in the CPAC, this one's at 0%, however it does say development, if any, will be slow to occur, maybe meaning a slight shot by 5 days. It's odd how many of these low probablity invest there are...


 * These are just random AOIs that won't develop. I'm thinking that it is very likely that we won't see our CPac 9th named storm... Steve820 Talk to me 22:53, November 4, 2015 (UTC)

AOI: 1200 Miles W of Honululu
Yet another 0/0 AOI popped up, also in the CPAC. I don't expect this to develop at all, it's really just there. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 20:15, November 4, 2015 (UTC)


 * Another random AOI. It won't develop, lol. Steve820 Talk to me 22:53, November 4, 2015 (UTC)


 * All four of the recent AOI's in the EPAC and CPAC last TWO are gone, leaving the EPAC/CPAC empty and boring once again. I'm also not sure what's happened to the Pacific typhoon season, it shouldn't be so inactive right now. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 01:27, November 5, 2015 (UTC)


 * Although the AOI dropped off the TWO a day ago, deep convection still remains, and I'm surprised it hasn't been kept as a 0/0 AOI. EDIT: Despite the satellite appearence, looks like there's no sign of a circulation. Oh well. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 15:32, November 5, 2015 (UTC)

Tropical Wave (November 8 - November 9)
Here's a new wave in the EPac, but I'm not sure if it is completely separate from a previous Atlantic wave. I hope we see a November storm from this wave! Axis currently extends from 08N100W to 18N100W and it's just south of Mexico. Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 17:07, November 8, 2015 (UTC)


 * I'm glad another tropical wave made it to the EPAC! Nothing on the five day outlook currently though, I hope conditions are becoming more favorable, as the sudden appearence of all those low probability invests a few days ago was during a time of unfavorable conditions. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 17:24, November 8, 2015 (UTC)
 * Well... this one was extremely short lasting. Dropped off the TWD, without doing much at all (unless it was part of the previous Atlantic wave, which spawned a couple AOIs). <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 06:11, November 10, 2015 (UTC)

Tropical Wave 1 (November 5 - November 12)
Continued from the previous discussion, this one has now moved into the EPac, and the axis extends from Mexico near the Gulf of Tehuantepec, downwards into the ocean. <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 21:02, November 11, 2015 (UTC)


 * Oh wow, it already dissipated. No longer on the TWD. <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 06:03, November 13, 2015 (UTC)

Tropical Wave 2 (November 5 - November 16)
Continued from a previous discussion. The wave extends north from Guatemala where it's helping to induce some shower activity. <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 06:03, November 13, 2015 (UTC)


 * It's now along 96W/97W extending from 8N to 14N. In more understandable terms, it's located south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. I do hope this tropical wave, along with the one currently crossing Central America, cause another new named storm to pop up. It would be nice to see a November EPac storm this year. <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 23:16, November 13, 2015 (UTC)
 * The "next new named storm" is most likely to be the below AOI, but this wave is still hanging around south of Mexico. The TWD says it is a "weak" tropical wave so it could die out soon. <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 03:11, November 16, 2015 (UTC)
 * And it has died out, not on the TWD anymore. <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 00:58, November 17, 2015 (UTC)

99E.INVEST
are you kidding me? --<font face="Arial"> hon hon hon |  hon hon hon  •  hon hon hon  •  hon hon hon  23:21, November 14, 2015 (UTC)


 * Yay, another AOI! Along with the invest designation, it's at 10/20 on the TWO. I really hope we can get Rick out of this! ~Raindrop57 (talk) 00:14, November 15, 2015 (UTC)


 * Up to 10/30. It's looking pretty good currently as well. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 15:59, November 15, 2015 (UTC)


 * I hope we see Rick out of this! I am glad the basin hasn't shut down yet. But the NHC notes that development should only be slow to occur, so Rick might not come until later this week, if it does decide to develop. <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 03:09, November 16, 2015 (UTC)


 * models develop this --<font face="Comic Sans MS">  HurricaneOdile |  drop something in the box  •  rektastic Patricia  •  spam goes here ^_^  19:42, November 16, 2015 (UTC)
 * It's actually down to 0/0, so it won't develop at all. But don't fret; there's a 10/20 AOI nearby that could have a chance at "Rick". <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 00:55, November 17, 2015 (UTC)

Aoi: GFS late November-early December storm
GFS at it again! --<font face="Comic Sans MS">  HurricaneOdile |  drop something in the box  •  rektastic Patricia  •  spam goes here ^_^  20:01, November 16, 2015 (UTC)

AOI: East of 99E
At 10/20, I'm hoping for Rick out of this one. <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 00:57, November 17, 2015 (UTC)


 * It's gone up to 30/50! The NHC also says conditions are favorable for development. Maybe we'll see Rick within 24 hours, even! ~ Raindrop57 (talk) 13:44, November 17, 2015 (UTC)

90E.INVEST
It's been invested, and it has quite a bit of associated convection. This is likely to be Rick, and the GFS might not be too crazy this time by developing it. EDIT: Wait, the above GFS storm is in DECEMBER. However, the GFS does make this into at least a tropical storm with a pressure of 1000 mb. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 16:17, November 17, 2015 (UTC)
 * Now 40/70. This is quite surprising for so late in the EPac season, we might see Rick out of this. Some of the models recurve it back to Mexico though...hopefully it remains at sea. Ryan1000 22:02, November 17, 2015 (UTC)


 * I'm hoping to see a tropical depression by tomorrow, and it looks to be continuing to organize. I'm glad the season wasn't completely over yet. I hope possible Rick doesn't wreck the coast though. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 03:45, November 18, 2015 (UTC)


 * 90/90! Here comes Rick, barring a sudden disorganization of the system for no reason. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 14:49, November 18, 2015 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Twenty-one-E
since when we had gone to this? --<font face="Comic Sans MS"> HurricaneOdile |  drop something in the box  •  rektastic Patricia  •  spam goes here ^_^  16:23, November 18, 2015 (UTC)


 * Looks like Rick is coming here, but it's not expected to get very strong, as conditions will deteriorate 2-3 days from now. If this becomes Rick, we'll break the tie between 1985 and this year for the second-most active Pacific season on record in terms of named storms. Ryan1000 20:15, November 18, 2015 (UTC)


 * It's still not Rick as of now, but the next advisory is out shortly. It better be named! ~Raindrop57 (talk) 14:25, November 19, 2015 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Rick
Hey, it was named in the next advisory. The forecast peak currently is 60mph. However, if Rick decides to defy forcasts like it has in it's other incarnations, it could become another hurricane in a season that won't give up. (Pun intended) Also, the NHC says this: Only 3 tropical storms have formed later then this calendar date in the eastern North Pacific since reliable records began in the early 1970s. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 15:47, November 19, 2015 (UTC)

Wait, is that an eye? Look at the upper center of the convection in infrared imagery. EDIT: Looks like the image disappeared due to copyright. I guess go to the Tropical Floaters Page to look. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 16:56, November 19, 2015 (UTC)

is that a hot tower? honestly it possibly is one  --<font face="Comic Sans MS">  HurricaneOdile |  drop something in the box  •  rektastic Patricia  •  spam goes here ^_^  18:57, November 19, 2015 (UTC)


 * If tropical storms rarely form this late in the EPac season, why does the NHC keep the season running until November 30 and not until, say, November 15? Anyways, Rick is looking better now, it might become a hurricane if conditions merit it. If Rick does become a hurricane, we'll have back-to-back years of 16 hurricanes, the most ever in one season. Rick already set a record by displacing 1985 to the third most active season ever by being the season's 25th storm, it'd be really cool to see it set another one. Ryan1000 20:20, November 19, 2015 (UTC)
 * I know, it's pretty strange that the NHC has the season running until the 30th when storms rarely form after the 15th. Rick is looking like a weakling with a short/limited time to strengthen, but it's incredible to see the late season activity, especially with the other AOI that could possibly be Sandra. If Rick becomes a hurricane, and Sandra is an incredible late-season major like what GFS is predicting, maybe we can obliterate the record of 16 hurricanes in one season. But it's only unlikely that we'll see Rick get that strong, since the latest advisory has the storm at only 40 mph and with limited time to strengthen. This season was just truly incredible and mindblowingly active! <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 23:38, November 19, 2015 (UTC)
 * Honestly I'd be fine with Rick staying a TS. The fact that it made 2015 stand alone as the second-busiest EPAC season on record is enough for me. (That, and the idea of a four-way tie between this year, last year, 1992 and 1990 for most hurricanes is icky. I'm a much bigger fan of breaking records than I am of constantly tying them. :) ) --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 01:35, November 20, 2015 (UTC)
 * Still at 40 mph, pressure is 1002 mbar... looks like Rick Perry failed at being strong XD <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 23:38, November 20, 2015 (UTC)
 * The only change since last time was that the pressure increased to 1003 mbars. See, it failed at being anything good! Although it's not exactly an epic fail due to it forming in November. <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 23:31, November 21, 2015 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Rick
Well, we all wanted (well, most of us wanted) Rick to become a hurricane, but I guess this was typical of Rick [ [[User:Leeboy100| Leeboy100 ]]Hello! 17:33, November 22, 2015 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Rick
Rick rolled until it unwound itself. For what it's worth, this was by far Rick's weakest incarnation to date (bar the '96 WPAC system), and the first not to become a hurricane (in comically stark contrast to last time around). --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 21:46, November 22, 2015 (UTC)


 * Yeah, looks like Rick didn't live up to his last incarnation, not in the slightest. The exact opposite can be said for our last storm, Patricia, which mostly failed in 2009 but became the strongest (landfalling) EPac storm in history this time around. Ryan1000 23:23, November 22, 2015 (UTC)
 * Rick really rolled us. I originally expected something stronger (probably peaking at like 50-60 mph) but then I guess me and others here were rick rolled! Including the NHC forecasters, too. <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 07:12, November 24, 2015 (UTC)


 * Rick was notably spared from weakest storm by one millibar. Wow, Rick. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 03:08, November 25, 2015 (UTC)

AOI: S of Mexico
While a late season tropical depression is taking forever to become Rick, this new AOI has poped up on the 5-day outlook in the Gulf of (word that starts with T I can't spell). It's at 0/20. If we see Sandra out of this (assuming 21E actually becomes Rick - Which it did), maybe it will become that storm on December 1st the GFS predicts. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 14:25, November 19, 2015 (UTC)

@Raindrop its Tehuantepec ;)

GFS makes it an category 5 by the end of the month. --<font face="Comic Sans MS">  HurricaneOdile |  drop something in the box  •  rektastic Patricia  •  spam goes here ^_^  16:04, November 19, 2015 (UTC)

*Jaw drops and crashes through floor*


 * If we get a near off-season category 5 that would be absolutely insane. Crazier then even Patricia. I hope that's right and we get a category 5 hurricane Sandra, as long as it doesn't hit land. Also thanks for the name of that gulf. :P ~Raindrop57 (talk) 16:51, November 19, 2015 (UTC)


 * If this becomes Sandra, we'll have 26 storms, which woul be 1 (two if you cound Ward) short of tying 1992 for the most active season ever. What an incredible year it's been. Ryan1000 20:20, November 19, 2015 (UTC)
 * Yeah, this season was really incredible. It would be cool if the GFS forecast verifies, call that a late-season shocker! :P <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 23:40, November 19, 2015 (UTC)


 * It's now on the two day outlook over Nicaragua with a 0/40 chance of devlopment. I definitely expect to see Sandra from this. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 05:36, November 20, 2015 (UTC)


 * 0/60! ~Raindrop57 (talk) 14:08, November 20, 2015 (UTC)


 * 70% for 5 days. This is looking interesting. If it does explode south of Mexico over the next several days, hopefully it doesn't affect land like Patricia did. The sight of seeing a Pacific hurricane season with 26 storms is incredible regardless of how strong Sandra-to be becomes. Ryan1000 22:01, November 20, 2015 (UTC)

i think we need to be careful about the 0/70 thing... --<font face="Comic Sans MS"> HurricaneOdile |  drop something in the box  •  rektastic Patricia  •  spam goes here ^_^  23:31, November 20, 2015 (UTC)


 * I'm not seeing it become that powerful, not even close. It's November and the EPac is supposed to ramp up activity and cool its ocean. At most, she should get to weak C5 strength (I'm talking 160-165 mph). If Sandra Bullock was named "Most Beautiful Woman", this could be "Most Beautiful 2015 Hurricane". :D <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 23:42, November 20, 2015 (UTC)
 * The SST's south of Mexico aren't as warm as they were with Patricia and shear isn't nearly as favorable either. Patricia had an absolutely perfect environment to explode into the most powerful tropical cyclone ever recorded in the Western Hemisphere, this storm would have to pull a miracle to beat Patricia's all-time record. Though conditions are still favorable enough for quick intensification. If it does manage to explode into a cat 4 or 5, let it be out to sea when it does so. Ryan1000 03:34, November 21, 2015 (UTC)


 * I hope it becomes Sandra, one of my best friends in High school was named Sandra. I could see this system becoming a cat 3 like its last reincarnation or a 4. This was the same Aoi that the Gfs was developing into a major in the Caribbean days ago.Allanjeffs 06:05, November 21, 2015 (UTC)

91E.INVEST
It's been invested according to WUnderground, and is up to 50/90! We are about to see a late-season Sandra out of this, and possibly one of the latest major hurricanes on record if that GFS model pans out. <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 23:34, November 21, 2015 (UTC)


 * It's been at 70/90 since this morning, and will probably become a depression tomorrow or Tuesday. Ryan1000 23:23, November 22, 2015 (UTC)


 * It's now 80/90. They're not usually this certain about a late-season storm forming, and Sandra seems likely to be a hurricane. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 01:14, November 23, 2015 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Twenty-Two-E
Why hello there, Sandra-to-be! Forecast peak of 85 kts... followed by a rather impressive bout of weakening which would bring future Sandra down from a minimal hurricane to a 30-kt depression in 24 hours as it recurves towards Mexico. A landfall this late in the season would be absurd, but I wouldn't put it past the season that gave us 8 CPAC storms, 10 majors and an 879-mbar Goliath. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 21:19, November 23, 2015 (UTC)


 * I'd be alarmed if Sandra-to be becomes a major hurricane briefly before rapidly weakening as it recurves, that would put us at 11 majors, but it becming a hurricane would make a second consecutive season-tying 16 hurricanes as it stands. If this year pulls a rare December surprise like Omeka or Winnie, we'll tie 1992 on all accounts except ACE. Ryan1000 21:56, November 23, 2015 (UTC)
 * Sandra-to-be could be a strong enough storm, and probably reaching Cat. 2 or even C3 major status. The NHC doesn't forecast a major currently, but I still think a major is possible in the upcoming days. A late-November major would be really incredible, it's going to reach its peak even later than Kenneth! <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 07:15, November 24, 2015 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Sandra
Here, but forecast peak lowered to cat 1. Sandra is small though, so it's prone to quick changes in intensity depending on the environment. We'll see how it does. Ryan1000 12:41, November 24, 2015 (UTC)


 * It's 50 mph now and strengthening... hope it gets to major status and looks like the beautiful hurricane equivalent of Sandra Bullock ;) Its small size means anything could happen and I hope for a major. It's even more fantastic being in late November! <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 19:35, November 24, 2015 (UTC)
 * 65 mph, forecast peak raised back to cat 2. Though Sandra has a chance to briefly be a cat 3 before weakening and hitting Mexico. Ryan1000 22:47, November 24, 2015 (UTC)


 * I can see an eye currently, and continued organization of deep convection. I expect a hurricane in the next advisory, and I think Sandra has a likely shot at a major. This is amazing for a storm in late November! ~Raindrop57 (talk) 23:42, November 24, 2015 (UTC)

Hurricane Sandra
65 kts/988 mbar, and now officially forecast to become a major on Thanksgiving. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 02:42, November 25, 2015 (UTC)


 * OK... that was fast. I can't believe we're about to get a major on Thanksgiving, just so late in the season. :O <font color="orange" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="#880" face="Tahoma">Happy Thanksgiving! 05:23, November 25, 2015 (UTC)
 * Category 2 now, 85 kts/975 mbar. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 14:53, November 25, 2015 (UTC)
 * We've tied the hurricane record yet again, it would be great to see us break 1992's major hurricane record. Come on Sandra, you got this...Ryan1000 21:06, November 25, 2015 (UTC)

Major Hurricane Sandra
...and history made! 95kn/967mb per BT --<font face="Comic Sans MS">  HurricaneOdile |  drop something in the box  •  rektastic Patricia  •  spam goes here ^_^  21:06, November 25, 2015 (UTC)
 * And 100 kts/967 mbar per the new advisory. The record for most majors in an EPAC season has been broken. What an amazing way to (probably) end the season. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 21:13, November 25, 2015 (UTC)


 * O_O Sandra is a category 3? Oh, 2015, how you continue to surprise me. I'm not going to be here to track it tomorrow, I'm going to visit some relatives, so if this thing somehow manages to strengthen into a category 5 (which it probably won't) I'll miss out on even more history in the making. However, I didn't miss out on 11 major hurricanes in one year, 8 CPac storms and a 200mph/879mb menace. Well, this is Super El Nino after all, we may even beat 1992's activity record! Okay, we probably won't.  Leeboy100 Hello! 00:17, November 26, 2015 (UTC)
 * It is just really fascinating to see such a strong hurricane so late in the year. I can't believe how many records the year broke! That's a true El Niño right there. This season is truly going down in history due to all the activity. We saw the most active the CPac's ever been, the most powerful beast ever recorded in the western hemisphere, and now the 11th major hurricane! Sandra should strengthen some more and possibly reach C4 strength, even later than Kenneth, which is incredibly late. <font color="orange" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="#880" face="Tahoma">Happy Thanksgiving! 00:54, November 26, 2015 (UTC)
 * 120 mph and 959 mbars now. I'm really impressed, 1992 no longer holds the record for the most major hurricanes in one season, and Sandra is also the latest major hurricane ever recorded in the Eastern Pacific, since Kenneth '11 reached that intensity on November 22nd, only 3 days earlier. However, it won't last long, Sandra will be moving into areas of very high shear in a day or two, which should cause it to rapidly weaken as it approaches Mexico, possibly to the point of dissipation even before landfall since the circulation with this hurricane is so small. 1992 is still the most active season in terms of named storm count and ACE value (we're at about 273 ACE units right now, 1992 had 295), but that's still the second-highest ever, and that's definitely going in the record books. Ryan1000 04:47, November 26, 2015 (UTC)
 * Ladies and gents, I present you with the new holder of the EPAC November intensity record: Hurricane Sandra! 125 kts/935 mbar as of the latest advisory. 10 Category 4s in one season, with one of those reaching that intensity on Thanksgiving Day. Unbelievable. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 12:58, November 26, 2015 (UTC)
 * Wow, this is incredible! Same windspeed, but 5 mbars stronger than Kenneth. Never expected Sandra to get this strong. It still has probably 12 hours or so until shear rapidly picks up and tears Sandra apart, but still this is amazing to see. Ryan1000 13:54, November 26, 2015 (UTC)


 * Hi, guys! Sorry for not posting at all recently, but I have been super busy with academics. However, I have still seen what has been going on in the tropics, such as Joaquin and Patricia. Anyway, Sandra is just one more example of the craziness we have seen in the 2015 EPAC season, and as another side note, this hurricane is the season's 2nd strongest, behind only Patricia! Who would have thought we would have seen that? And it still seems to be gaining strength, as water vapor has noticeably increased on satellite imagery. Also, Sandra is beginning to turn northwards, and an amplifying trough should steer it closer to Mexico. At this point, the NHC has not stated anything about watches and warnings, but if this hurricane resists shear and/or moves a little more north, they may be required. To end my post, I would like to say that if Sandra reaches the coast tropical, it will be the latest landfalling EPAC TC in history, or Blanca's opposite. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  14:16, November 26, 2015 (UTC)


 * Well, Sandra seems to be collapsing now. Its eye has filled up per the NHC discussion, and increasing shear is beginning to disrupt its convection. Winds have fallen to 115 knots (130 mph) based on Dvorak estimates, with a pressure of 947 mbar (hPa; 27.97 inHg). Sandra is starting to turn more NE towards Mexico, and this will bring it into increasing shear (and basically, its end). The NHC now forecasts the hurricane to be post-tropical in just 48 hours and only make it to the coast as a degenerating low. While watches and warnings may still be necessary for Mexico, the situtation is not as urgent now. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  15:18, November 26, 2015 (UTC)


 * Although the eye's barely visible at all, a very vigorous eye wall has developed. Looks like Sandra is fighting the shear. It's amazing that Sandra not just surpassed Kenneth as the strongest November hurricane, but did it at a later date. As long as it doesn't do much damage, I'd love to see Sandra make landfall while tropical. Sandra continues to prove how ridiculously active this season is. Maybe we'll even get something in December... ~Raindrop57 (talk)
 * I'm shocked to see a storm become so powerful so late in the year. With this being the 10th Category 4 during the season, it is just insane and record-breaking. And it reached peak strength later than Kenneth, and was somewhat stronger. I'd also love to see a landfall as long as there is a lack of damage/deaths, so we can see the latest EPac landfalling system on record and Blanca's opposite. Looks like Andy has returned too, after a break lasting quite a while. Welcome back, Andy! <font color="orange" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="#880" face="Tahoma">Happy Thanksgiving! 19:03, November 26, 2015 (UTC)


 * Sandra actually is looking stronger then 3 hours ago. It's got a well defined eye, and although the cloud tops have warmed, the CDO has increased in size and looks more symmetrical. I'm not sure how Sandra's pulled that off when all conditions imply it should be weakening. Maybe completion of an eyewall replacement cycle occurred before conditions became fully unfavorable. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 22:53, November 26, 2015 (UTC)
 * Sandra is weakening now under strong shear, but it might still hold on to tropical storm intensity into Mexico in a day or two. Dr. Master's also mentioned some additional records about Sandra in his latest blog post. For one, it's not only the latest EPac major hurricane, but it's also the latest major hurricane ever recorded in the western hemisphere, surpassing an Atlantic storm that held on to major hurricane strength until November 24 in the 1934 season. Sandra is also one of only two storms in the western hemisphere to become a hurricane on Thanksgiving day, the other was Hurricane Karl of 1980, which never hit land. If Sandra holds on to tropical cyclone intensity when it hits Mexico, it'll be the latest EPac landfall ever, surpassing Hurricane Tara of 1961. Ryan1000 04:38, November 27, 2015 (UTC)


 * Wow. Just. Wow. I was just joking when I said that Sandra would break another record, but I guess 2015 made me eat my words again. If we do get another storm in the EPac, or a December hurricane, I honestly won't be too surprised. I kind of want this thing to make landfall to break yet another record, and also don't want it to make landfall due to the threat of death. Either way 10 category 4's in one season is unbelievable! Especially with one of those becoming one of the strongest tropical cyclones on record! Also, I found another thing that's unbelievable. The formation of Sandra, not counting depressions, brings the EPac/CPac's total to 26 named storms. And how many named storms has the WPac had this year? Yep, 26. Which means that the activity of the EPac/CPac is on par with the activity of the WPac right now! Also, the number of named storms in 1992 is 27, if we actually can get one more storm, we will tie the record for most active season! I know that this is super El Nino, but this is just unbelievable! Oh, and I almost forgot, welcome back Andrew! Leeboy100 Turkey! 04:42, November 27, 2015 (UTC)

Hurricane Sandra (2nd time)
Sandra is now down to a category 2 storm with 100 mph winds right now, but it's expected to hold on to depression intensity when it hits Mexico. Ryan1000 12:27, November 27, 2015 (UTC)

C1 with 75kn and rapidly getting torn apart. --<font face="Comic Sans MS"> HurricaneOdile |  drop something in the box  •  rektastic Patricia  •  spam goes here ^_^  20:23, November 27, 2015 (UTC)
 * The current NHC advisory has mentioned that Sandra is down to 90 mph and 974 mbars. But, it was fascinating to watch a major spring up in the month of November, and it was even more fascinating and record breaking that it was in the later part of the month. With Sandra now down to Category 1 intensity, it should continue to weaken and is forecast to make landfall by tomorrow morning as a TS (albeit weak). Later on, we could see the remnants bring rainfall over Texas, but that is just what I am predicting. <font color="orange" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="#880" face="Tahoma">Happy Thanksgiving! 20:30, November 27, 2015 (UTC)
 * Advisory 17 says 80 mph/978 mbars. Yep, Sandra continues her weakening trend. <font color="orange" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="#880" face="Tahoma">Happy Thanksgiving! 20:46, November 27, 2015 (UTC)
 * The circulation appears to be decoupling from the main convection at this point. Because of that, Sandra should be down to a TS soon, but it should still make it to the coastline as at least a depression. Ryan1000 20:56, November 27, 2015 (UTC)


 * Sandra is weakening faster than I expected. Leeboy100 Hello! 21:02, November 27, 2015 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Sandra
And it got ripped apart by shear. Guess it won't make it to land as a depression. Leeboy100 Hello! 17:05, November 28, 2015 (UTC)