Forum:2015 Atlantic hurricane season/Archive 1

Farewell
It's December 1st, and due to the extreme El Nino it's pretty much safe to say that this season is over. Can't say it was boring in the Atlantic, it was actually pretty interesting. We had 4 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes, and we also nearly had our first Category 5 in 8 years. It was also impressive for an El Nino season. Although, it's safe to say the Pacific clearly stole it's thunder this year. Leeboy100 Happy Holidays! 03:33, December 2, 2015 (UTC)


 * Not much really needs to be said for the Atlantic, though I will admit that a final tally of 11-4-2 for a super El Nino year isn't half bad for the Atlantic, only the hurricane count is below average as far as I'm concerned, and the below-average ACE can mainly be attributed to Joaquin. Regarding notability aside from Joaquin, Erika could easily be the second TS to be retired due to the record impacts in Dominica, but most of the other storms this year caused little damage or were fishspinners. Ryan1000 20:41, December 2, 2015 (UTC)
 * I too thought the Atlantic was fascinating this year, especially in an El Nino year. Joaquin and Danny were my favorite storms this season, despite Joaquin punching the Bahamas with heavy force. We also had things like the earliest landfall on U.S. soil on record (Ana) and the first hurricane to strike Cape Verdes since 1892 (Fred). The rest were just storms which won't be significantly remembered due to being weaklings/fishspinners. I was going to begin these sections but school takes a lot of time out. I agree with Leeboy that EPac really stole the spotlight this year. Steve820 Talk to me 19:30, December 5, 2015 (UTC)


 * Apparently, Wunderground doesn't want the season to end. There was a glitch earlier that said an invest had formed off the coast of Africa. This invest was forecast to hit Florida, cross Mexico and then make it into the EPac.
 * The glitch has been fixed and I unfortunately didn't take a picture. So, I have no evidence to back me up and many of you will probably think I'm lying. What a way it would be to end the season though, huh? :P
 * P.S. Merry Christmas, to those of you who celebrate Christmas.  Leeboy100 Merry Christmas 02:31, December 26, 2015 (UTC)

Retirements at a glance
While the Atlantic continues to be boring and inactive, we're already deep into the season. This means it's about time to do retirements. Some people like Dylan might complain about starting this section early, but I'm just a bit impatient and want to start this section today. So, without further ado...
 * Nah, we're late enough into the season that I'm okay with starting retirement predictions now. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 17:55, August 20, 2015 (UTC)
 * I began these predictions on August 9th (my time, not UTC) though, so that's why I was worried it might have been a bit too early and you would complain. Now, it's certainly a ripe time for these predictions. -- Steve820  Let's talk. •  See My Edits  •  ✉ (Email me) 19:35, August 20, 2015 (UTC)

(Retirement colors:  0%, 1% , 2.5% , 5% , 7.5% , 10% , 15% , 20% , 25% , 30% , 35% , 40% , 45% , 50% , 55% , 60% , 65% , 70% , 75% , 80% , 85% , 90% , 95% , <font color="#70A">99%  (When retirement is basically certain to happen, but not absolutely 100% sure to be certain. Highest rating in non-PAGASA basins.),  100%  (Only used in basins with retirement requirements, like PAGASA.))


 * Ana: <font color="#AAC">1% - It was the earliest U.S. strike on record, but the damages and deaths won't earn it retirement.


 * Bill: <font color="#77B">2.5% - 7 deaths were caused throughout its path, but damage was minimal. See you in 2021!


 * Claudette: 0% - I consider it an epic fail. The only impacts were rainfall in North Carolina (pre-development) and in Nova Scotia/Newfoundland.


 * Danny: <font color="#AAC">1% - Danny was a tiny major hurricane in a somewhat southerly location, but impacts to the Lessers are just minor at best. He'll come back in 2021.


 * Erika: 65% - Just look at what it did to Dominica. We might have an Allison 2.0 here.


 * Fred: <font color="#AAC">1% - It wasn't that bad for the Cape Verdes at all, but it was a really record breaking storm as it was the easternmost hurricane in the tropical Atlantic not counting the area where Vince formed, and it also became the first hurricane to pass through the Cape Verdes since 1892. Because it wasn't that impacting, the name will almost certainly stay for 2021.


 * Grace: 0% - What a disgrace. Forgive the pun; couldn't resist.


 * Henri: 0% - No way. It failed so much, that it is very laughable.


 * Ida: 0% - Fought, but failed.


 * Joaquin: <font color="#B00">70%  - One b@d@$$ storm. Destruction in the Bahamas, and some Bermuda impacts alongside it could give this storm the boot. From Wikipedia, regarding Bahamas impacts: "Severe storm surge inundated many communities, trapping hundreds of people in their homes; flooding persisted for days after the hurricane's departure. Prolonged, intense winds brought down trees and powerlines, and unroofed homes throughout the affected region. As airstrips were submerged and heavily damaged, relief workers were limited in their ability to quickly help affected residents. Joaquin was one of the strongest storms on record to affect the nation. Offshore, the American cargo ship El Faro and her 33 crew members were lost to the hurricane." What a naughty boy you've been, Joaquin.


 * Kate: <font color="#AAC">1% - It was fascinating to see an Atlantic hurricane spring up in November, but impacts, if any, were too minimal for this name to have a chance of retirement. It was only a rainy day for the Bahamas with some strong TS winds, and that shouldn't have done much in terms of impacts.

Anyone else want to do theirs now? You can use my color idea if you like. --<font face="Tahoma"> Steve820  Let's talk. • See My Edits  •  ✉ (Email me) 00:17, August 10, 2015 (UTC)

My retirements: +<font color="#666666">0.5%
 * Ana:  0%  — Nah, a tropical storm


 * Bill y :  15%  — A severe tropical storm on a scale, well nah.

🌀 (talk) 00:01, September 22, 2015 (UTC)
 * Claudette: <font color="#666666">0.5%  — Who would retire this?
 * Danny - 0%
 * Erika - <font color="#70A">99% - OH OH OH OH OH! ERIKA YOUR GROUNDED GROUNDED GROUNDED FOR LIFE!


 * (Retirement colors:  NaN%, <font color="#AAC">1% , <font color="#77B">2.5% , <font color="#359">5% , <font color="#22B">7.5% , 10% , 15% , 20% , <font color="#4A0">25% , 30% , <font color="#CF0">35% , 40% , <font color="#FD0">45% , 50% , <font color="#F80">55% , 60% , 65% , <font color="#B00">70% , 75% , <font color="#A05">80% , <font color="#F09">85% , <font color="#F0F">90% , <font color="#B0D">95% , <font color="#70A">99%  (When retirement is basically certain to happen, but not absolutely 100% sure to be certain. Highest rating in non-PAGASA basins.),  100%  (Only used in basins with retirement requirements, like PAGASA.))(thanks steve)


 * :D :D odile is back!

•An n a and Elsa :  NaN%  - meh...

•Bill Clinton : <font color="#AAC">1%  - meh...

•Claudette:  NaN%  - u wot m8?

•Danny:  NaN%  - yes. just  NO .

•Erika:  65%  - destructive weakling? dang

•Fred:  NaN%  - LOL

•Grace:  NaN%  - no comment.

•Henri:  NaN%  - Henri's bae is Felicia

•Ida:  NaN%  - HAHAHAHAH LOLOLOLOOLOL

​•Joaquin: <font color="#F09">85%  - if 32 peeps missing and contributing to a massive flood event is not enough...

<font face="Arial"> the destructive Hurricane  Odile  •  of  •  2014  18:32, August 16, 2015 (UTC)

Puffle is here with more lame science stuff Retirements at a glance!!1

Ana: <font color="#AAC">1% - Surprised me to see a pre-season storm, especially with an El Niño. But no, I don't wanna build a snowman.

Bill Nye : <font color="#Acc">2.7% -Sorry Billy, you're still not ready

Claudette: <font color="#AAC">0.1%  - Affected very little land, and was the worst storm ever.

Danny Phantom : <font color="#AAC">>1%  Okay Danny, I like you, but no. Just no.

Erika: <font color="#B0D">95%  - Can you find "Dominica" on the map? No? Erika did that.

Fred: <font color="#AAC">>1%  - Other than striking the Cape-Verde area, what did Fred do?

Grace: <font color="Silver">Fail%  - Clearly Grace was not amazing. What a disgrace of a storm. Have I had enough pun with puns yet?

Henri: <font color="Silver">Fail%  - And I thought Grace and Claudette sucked...Now Felicia has a boyfriend :P

<font face="Ubuntu" color="#000001">Puffle •  <font face="Ubuntu">Talk  <font face="Ubuntu">Blog  00:38, August 30, 2015 (UTC)

Storm by storm, here's my calls... That's all for now. Ryan1000 11:39, August 27, 2015 (UTC)
 * Ana - 2% - Minor damage and an indirect death. It was not nothing, but not enough to retire it either.
 * Bill - 17% - 100 million in damage isn't half bad, but the U.S, let alone Texas, have seen far worse than that and it's probably not getting retired.
 * Claudette - 0% - Gave me something to look at for a day. That's all.
 * Danny - 0% - It was really cool to see Danny pull off a major hurricane in the open Atlantic despite otherwise unfavorable conditions, but like Don '11, it fell flat on it's face as soon as it hit land. The Lessers suffered almost nothing from this, other than some (beneficial) rain.
 * Erika - 95% - Erika is now officially the costliest storm in Dominica's history with 481 million dollars in damage on that island alone, surpassing Marilyn of 1995, and it's the 3rd deadliest, after David and the 1834 hurricane. So yeah...Allison is getting company next spring.
 * Fred - 10% - Cape Verde got off much easier with this one than they otherwise could've.
 * Grace - 0% - This storm was just downright dis-Grace-ful (end sarcasm).
 * Henri - 0% - Post-analysis revealed that it didn't fail as much as was initially expected, but it was still a fail nonetheless.
 * Ida - 0% - Another fish, another fail.
 * Joaquin - 75% - At least 34 deaths and 60 million dollars in damage across the central Bahamas make this the worst hurricane to hit the islands during the month of October since the great Bahamas hurricane of 1866. It may not have been as bad as initially feared, but it was still very severe and should be retired.
 * Kate - 1% - Brought some lousy weather to the Bahamas for a day or two and became a hurricane, but nothing else.

My turn :D leeboy100 My Talk! 09:14, August 28, 2015 (UTC)
 * Ana: 1%- minimal damage, 1 indirect death, this won't be enough for retirement.
 * Bill: 5%- Caused flooding and 7 deaths, but it's not likely it will be retired
 * Claudette: -0%- At least we got some Atlantic activity.
 * Danny: -0%- An impressive storm, I wasn't <span id="cke_bm_65S" style="display:none;">  <span id="cke_bm_67S" style="display:none;"> even expecting it to become a hurricane, let alone a category 3! It didn't hit land though,
 * Erika: 75%- I know, I'm being lenient with this storm, for two reasons. One: I don't know Dominica's track record for retirement, and two: and this is the big one. There is around a 50/50 chance Erika won't be retired because of the fact that it never reached hurricane strength. Despite me bringing these up, I personally think Erika should be retired, but I won't be too surprised if it's snubbed.
 * Fred: 5%- It shocked pretty much everyone with it hitting Cape Verde, but retirement is not likely.
 * Grace: 0%- What a disgraceful storm that took a fall from grace and became a storm that was not so amazing. This was the coup-de-grace of fails. Too much puns?
 * Henri: 0%- Not in a million years........
 * Ida: 0%- Meh.
 * Joaquin: 80%- Between all the hype it caused, the damage in the Bahmas, Bermuda impacts, and the El Faro, it will most likely be retired.
 * Kate: 0%- No actual reports on any damage in the Bahamas, so they have been spared.

P.S. If Joaquin and Erika are retired, this will be the first Atlantic season to have two retired names since 2010. leeboy100 beware of Joaquin 21:37, October 1, 2015 (UTC)

Leeboy, Gordon '94 caused most of its deaths in the less-prepared country of Haiti, who also snubbed Hanna '08. Dominica hasn't seen a storm as bad as Erika since, reportedly, David in 1979, which killed 56 people on the island. Ryan1000 16:08, September 2, 2015 (UTC)


 * I know Ryan. What I was saying was that there is a possibility that either a) retirement won't be requested or b) the WMO will snub it. Although, I think it deserves retirement, and will be mad (but not surprised) if it isn't. leeboy100 Katrina 2005-2015 21:22, September 6, 2015 (UTC)

Ryan, that $16 million figure wasn't from Dominica. It was from Puerto Rico and it's mostly crop damage. According to the Prime Minister, damage in Dominica could be "tens of millions" and that the damage will set the island's development back 20 years.

While I'm at it, might as well give mine: Those are mine! 23:08, August 29, 2015 (UTC)
 * Ana: <font color="#AAC">1%  (It caught the US off-guard, but that, essentially, was it. Minor damage and one indirect death don't get a storm retired.
 * Bill: <font color="#359">5%  (Brought a higher death toll, but outside of teaching everyone about the brown ocean, nothing going. Still minor damage.)
 * Claudette:  0%  (Big ball of nothing.)
 * Danny:  0%  (It scared peop'le, but merely scaring people isn't enough most of the time (see: Sonamu). Danny did nothing else.)
 * Erika: <font color="#F0F">90%  (Nearly every storm that hit Dominica went on to do worse elsewhere, so this is entirely on them to ask for retirement, but likely 50 dead, tens of millions in damage, and the country set back 20 years? If those figures hold up, Allison may be getting company. Not higher because, as I said, I'm not sure about Dominica's retirement standards. EDIT: From tens of millions to $244 million? Even leaving margin of error (it being a tropical storm, Dominica's uncertain retirement standards, the stats being off), I can't bring myself to justify less than 90% now.)

(PS: This was mine. Forgot how many is a signature. <_< Jake52 (talk) 00:07, August 30, 2015 (UTC))


 * I see, my bad on that. If Erika was bad enough to set the island back 20 years on development, it's probably getting retired. Though I'm not sure what a good analogy would be for her; Klaus flooded Martinique alone, Tomas hit St. Lucia and eventually Haiti, I don't think there's been any storm before that hit Dominica hard and didn't do much afterwards. The last time a storm was this bad for Dominica was David in '79, which also ripped apart the Dominican Republic and hit the east coast as a hurricane. Ryan1000 03:33, August 30, 2015 (UTC)
 * Someone edited the Wikipedia article to say Erika caused $100 million total, but a recent report says Dominica estimates that preliminary damage to basic infrastructure on the island may be as high as $226 million. Words fail me. Jake52 (talk) 06:21, September 4, 2015 (UTC)
 * I don't recall, but Bill did cause 100 million in damage. Not negligible, but not enough by U.S. standards. If that 272 million damage total for Dominica is correct, I could definitely see Erika joining Allison as only the second TS to ever be retired in the Atlantic. I don't think any storm has hit Dominica this bad and not caused many impacts elsewhere. It's at least the worst since David. Ryan1000 20:19, September 4, 2015 (UTC)

Here's mine: I'll update this as each of the remaining storms form. Owen 16:50, September 5, 2015 (UTC)
 * Ana: 1% - She was the earliest tropical cyclone to make landfall in the United States, but her impacts don't merit her removal off of the list.
 * Bill: 3% - Eh, $100 million in damages isn't huge in United States standards, he'll be back in 2021.
 * Claudette: 0% - Absolutely not.
 * Danny: 1% - He managed to impress and reach C3 status before getting shredded by wind shear before causing significant effects on the Lesser Antilles.
 * Erika: 65% - I'm being slightly reluctant with her, considering there is uncertainty behind Dominica's retirement standards. However, considering she caused $482.8 million in Dominica and $511.7 million altogether really is convincing that Allison is more likely than not to get company next spring.
 * Fred: 10% - It could've been much worse in Cabo Verde. It's safe to say he'll be returning in 2021.
 * Grace: 0% - Was this a joke?
 * Henri: 0% - Henri, you take the award for the Atlantic's biggest failure of 2015.
 * Ida: 0% - She had her opportunity, but failed.
 * Joaquin: 75% - He caused a lot of damage in the Bahamas, but I'm being reluctant because the islands were sparsely populated. Either way, I think Joaquin deserves retirement but there needs to be a realization that there have been names in the past that weren't retired for weird reasons such as Karl, and Joaquin could be one of them because of the fact these islands weren't very populated.
 * Kate: 1% - There wasn't a noticeable impact in the Bahamas, expect Kate to be back.

Time for me to post mine:


 * Ana: 3% - A pre-season shock for the East Coast, but impacts were minor.
 * Bill: 13% - Not negligible, but not bad enough for retirement.
 * Claudette: 0% - Lol, no.
 * Danny: 1% - A fun-to-watch throwback to the days when the MDR actually was the Atlantic's main development region (at least intensity-wise), but Danny sh-t the bed just as it hit the Lessers, and it's coming back in 2021.
 * Erika: 55% - Historic impacts in Dominica, which have already been elaborated on by Ryan and Jake. The only reason I am giving Erika such a conservative percentage is pure cynicism; considering that TS retirements are as rare as they are (with disastrous storms such as Bret '93 and Matthew '10 getting snubbed), I cannot bring myself to expect one. While retirement damn well should happen here, I'm not certain that it actually will happen.
 * Fred: 14% - Cape Verde may have lucked out, but 7 people did die when Fred sank a fishing boat offshore Guinea-Bissau.
 * Grace: 0% - Lawl.
 * Henri: 0% - Post-analysis found that it didn't fail quite as badly as operationally believed, so good for Henri. Still a fail, though.
 * Ida: 0% - From potential to disappointment.
 * Joaquin: 65% - Damage was immense in portions of the Bahamas, and the loss of the El Faro cost over 30 lives. It could have been much worse, but the impacts merit retirement nonetheless.
 * Kate: 1% - Effects in the Bahamas were likely negligible, though it was cool to see a hurricane so late in a super El Niño season.

--Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 00:47, September 6, 2015 (UTC)

Raindrop's Retirements -
Many of these I didn't really track, so those are based on what everyone else said. (Retirement colors:  0%, <font color="#AAC">1% , <font color="#77B">2.5% , <font color="#359">5% , <font color="#22B">7.5% , 10% , 15% , 20% , <font color="#4A0">25% , 30% , <font color="#CF0">35% , 40% , <font color="#FD0">45% , 50% , <font color="#F80">55% , 60% , 65% , <font color="#B00">70% , 75% , <font color="#A05">80% , <font color="#F09">85% , <font color="#F0F">90% , <font color="#B0D">95% , <font color="#70A">99%  (When retirement is basically certain to happen, but not absolutely 100% sure to be certain),  100%  (Only used in basins with retirement requirements, like PAGASA, or a storm like Katrina or Sandy) - Thanks to Steve820 for retirement colors. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 03:50, September 30, 2015 (UTC)
 * Ana: <font color="#AAC">0.2%  - Minimal damage and one death has never gotten a storm retired, so it never will. No matter how early it hits.
 * Bill: <font color="#77B">1.5%  - Although it caused some damage, it's nothing worse then a normal tropical storm making landfall in the U.S.
 * Claudette:  0%  - The only thing I can say that's interesting about Claudette is how far north it was. Fail.
 * Danny: <font color="#AAC">0.1%  - It made landfall as a tropical depression and became a major hurricane, which is cool, but it didn't cause much damage, so no way it's getting retired.
 * Erika: <font color="#F80">55%  - I'm being very lenient on this one because Issac in 2012 was not retired despite doing over 30 deaths and over $2B in damages, and this did about 1/4 of that. However, the deaths weren't in Haiti this time which snubs storms, which gives it a moderate shot at retirement.
 * Fred: <font color="#359">3%  - Fred didn't manage to do much to the Cape Verde Islands thankfully, so despite it's mark in history because of where it formed, it's staying.
 * Grace:  0%  - On satellite, Grace looked anything but graceful . Actually, Grace looked decent on satellite at one point. Still, didn't hit anything. Un-grace-ful fail.
 * Post season changes: 45 kts --> 50 kts -  50%  - Grace might have reached 50 knots as it appears to have had an eye at it's peak intensity, although that was short lived. Edit: And this was confirmed by the NHC! As I suspected.
 * 45 kts --> 55 kts -  10% 
 * Henri:  0%  - It DID form kind of far north like Claudette, but an epic fail nonetheless, and was upgraded to 50 mph in post-season analysis. Along with ET damage, Henri wasn't an extreme fail after all. Still leaving retirement chance at 0% though.
 * Ida:  0%  - It had a chance to be a hurricane, but instead got sheared away.
 * Joaquin:  15%  - 34 deaths, but only $60 million damage done as of current. I don't think Joquain has much of a chance of retirement at all with that amount. Maybe in the 1960's it would be retired though. It might have a slight shot depending on what the Bahamas count as "devestating".
 * Post season changes: 135 knots --> 140 knots -  20% - Joaquin appeared to weaken before the aircraft reached it, so it might have been a category 5. I don't count on it though.
 * Kate:  0%  - Yay, a November storm! Not just that, it even became a category 1 hurricane. However, I doubt there was ANY damage in the Bahamas, much less major damage. Fun storm to see, though.

Ana: 1% Early storm but nothing more.

Bill: 1% Affect land and caused some damage but staying.

Claudette: 0% She didn´t affect land so staying

Danny:0% Our only major until now but didn´t affect lan so...

Erika: 70% Being conservative because Dominica could very well not ask for retirement,don´t know their track record, and it supposedly set back the economy for 20 years. I would also put a 70% to her because tropical storm are rarely ask to be tossed out of list. So we will see. Going to put a my final number once the NHC do her report.

Fred 1% some damage nothing more.

Grace:0% Fail.

Henri: 0% If I thought Grace was bad this was much worse.

Ida: 0% Frustrating storm to track but didn´t affect land soo I see you in 2021.

Joaquin 60% was no joke but nothing like what Bahamas have seen in worst storms. Will update once I see the NHC report.Allanjeffs 04:42, November 9, 2015 (UTC)

Allanjeffs 23:14, September 30, 2015 (UTC)

My turn! Yay!

Ana: 1% Ana did cause snow in the northwest. Let it Go, Let it Go!

Bill: 0% Even though it about killed me, nope.

Claudette: 0% Fishy Wishy!

Danny: 0% Minimal impact.

Erika: 90% Erika was the 2nd worst storm in Dominica behind David in 1979, maybe even the wrost. In Dominica, Erika killed 36 people and caused $272 million alone!

Fred: 5% Rare event, but I say no.

Grace: 0% Well, she had to be graceful.

Henri: 5% I'm not sure about this one, but it cause several deaths in the U.K.

Ida: 1% She tried and tried.

Joaquin: 99% Currently: With the deaths in the Bahamas and a possible 32 people missing? This is gonna be retired most likely.

That's it for now!

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Bob's predictions:

Ana - <1% - Early storm that hit me, but not worthy of retirement.

Bill - 1% - Just a typical Gulf of Mexico Tropical Storm. Nothing special.

Claudette - 0% - Forget it.

Danny - 1% - [Supposedly] A major hurricane but didn't cause any damage

Erika - 30% - I don't get why everyone is giving this storm a 90%+ chance of retirement. There have been many deadlier and costlier tropical storms over the years that did not get retired.

Fred - 1% - A hurricane hit Cape Verde! But it didn't amount to much.

Grace - 0% - No way.

Henri - 0% - No way.

Nine - 0% - Tropical Depressions can't be retired (that I know of)

Ida - 0% - We got so excited for this one, but she got trapped in shear and couldn't do anything.

Joaquin - 70% - [Possibly] A category 5, hit the Bahamas hard, nearly hit the US. This storm caused a lot of hype, and many category 4/5 storms that didn't cause much deaths or damage (such as Hurricane Paloma) have been retired. So I think Joaquin won't return in 2021.

Kate - 1% - Late storm but didn't do much damage.

Bob (talk) 23:46, November 27, 2015 (UTC)

11:02, October 6, 2015 (UTC)

Post-season changes
You know it's bad when the latest storm's TCR is out, and we're not even halfway with the season.-- <font face="Courier New">Isaac829 <font face="Courier New">E-Mail  02:23, August 18, 2015 (UTC)


 * Yeah...with Claudette's TCR just released we may have to open the TCR section of the betting pools early again this year. We'll wait until later though. Ryan1000 02:08, August 19, 2015 (UTC)
 * This is proof the Atlantic is once again sucking this year. That is, unless the NHC is beginning the TCR's earlier than usual each season no matter how active it is. That could be a possibility also, but for now, it's likely it is starting early because of the season being inactive. --<font face="Tahoma"> Steve820  Let's talk. •  See My Edits  •  ✉ (Email me) 19:37, August 20, 2015 (UTC)
 * Ana could be upgraded to a Cat 1 because of this vid:Tropical Storm Ana 01L (2015)canes are awesome (talk) 20:16, August 21, 2015 (UTC)

saying by this. An n a and Elsa was possibly a hurricane.<font face="Arial"> the destructive Hurricane  Odile  •  of  •  2014  21:23, August 21, 2015 (UTC)
 * This may not be true, because Ana's windspeeds may not have been hurricane-force (over 74 mph), because just having an eye doesn't mean you have a hurricane. --<font face="Ubuntu">Puffle  <font face="Ubuntu">Party? OH HELL YES!!!  19:30, August 26, 2015 (UTC)

Bill's TCR is out. Degenerated into a remnant low a full two days before the WPC operationally declared it post-tropical. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 20:34, September 10, 2015 (UTC)

Hurricane Danny should be downgraded to a Cat. 2 upgraded to 120 mph. 🌀 (talk) 23:20, October 2, 2015 (UTC)

My TCRs: Weegee is awesome 20:28, October 4, 2015 (UTC)
 * Ana: was a STD(severe tropical depression) near NJ
 * Bill: was a TD near NJ
 * Claudette: passed into HSMC as a Severe Tropical Storm
 * and more later
 * Ana and Henri are out. Very little change (if any) with Ana, but Henri's intensity was upped to 45 kts/1003 mbar... so instead of standing alone as the season's weakest storm so far, Henri is now in a four-way tie with Claudette, Erika, and Ida. It was also found to have formed slightly earlier, and spent only 12 hours as a minimal tropical storm before strengthening to the 40-45 kt range and staying there until dissipating, so its ACE has been nearly doubled as a result. I guess it didn't out-fail Failicia after all... --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 22:22, October 26, 2015 (UTC)
 * Ida is out. Pressure lowered to 1001 mbar, which reduces the four-way tie to three (which currently stands as Claudette, Erika and Henri). --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 22:59, November 10, 2015 (UTC)
 * Grace is out. It was found to be stronger in the post analysis, reaching 50 knots/1000mb. ~Raindrop57 (talk) 23:34, December 1, 2015 (UTC)


 * Either way, Amazing Grace is still an amazing fail :P  Leeboy100 2016 04:24, January 4, 2016 (UTC)
 * It's such an ungraceful fail. :D <font color="black" face="Tahoma">Steve820 🎉<font color="red" face="Tahoma">2016 has arrived! 🎉 23:04, January 4, 2016 (UTC)

Kate and Joaquin are out. Kate is upgraded to 85 mph, but Joaquin is held at 155 mph - meaning the category 5 drought in the Atlantic will continue, for now. Bob (talk) - ALEX HAS FORMED! 19:34, January 14, 2016 (UTC)
 * Danny and Fred are out. Danny got a decent boost intensity-wise, up to 110 kts/960 mbar. Not much change with Fred. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 01:26, January 22, 2016 (UTC)
 * And now we have our last TCR for the Atlantic. Erika's life was... um... cut short. Turns out that it dissipated just south of the southern tip of the Dominican Republic instead of dying out in between Haiti and Cuba. Pressure down to 1001 mbar. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 01:54, February 10, 2016 (UTC)

Replacement names
Since Erika and Joaquin have a chance of retirement now, what are your thoughts on replacement names for Erika and Joaquin? Here are some of my suggestions:

Erika
If I had to pick one of these, I would pick Ellie (my sister's name). Evelyn, Ella, or Elsa would be my next choices. Ryan1000 03:53, August 30, 2015 (UTC)
 * Elizabeth
 * Eve
 * Ella
 * Ellen
 * Evelyn
 * Ebony
 * Eleanor/Ellie
 * Elisha
 * Elma
 * Elsa

Elsa and Ana on the same list would be hilarious XD. I choose Elsa. leeboy100 Katrina 2005-2015 15:54, August 30, 2015 (UTC)


 * If Elsa is its replacement, might as well call this list the "Frozen" list. XD --<font face="Tahoma"> Steve820  Let's talk. •  See My Edits  •  ✉ (Email me) 22:56, September 1, 2015 (UTC)


 * I just realized 'Olaf' is being used in the Pacific this year. It really is the Frozen list :D leeboy100 Katrina 2005-2015 01:45, September 2, 2015 (UTC)


 * Olaf and Elsa would be better for Winter storms. Anyways, Eve would probably be the replacement name for Erika. I don't wanna see Erika on naming lists anymore. <font face="Ubuntu">Puffle  <font face="Ubuntu">2005 - 2015  <font face="Ubuntu">🌀KATRINA🌀  13:44, September 5, 2015 (UTC)
 * My first choice is Elisabeth (spelled with an 's', as I have an old friend whose name is spelled that way). If that's too long, then I pick Eve as a second choice. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 14:18, September 5, 2015 (UTC)
 * I have to agree with Puffle. 🌀 are awesome🌀 21:09, September 14, 2015 (UTC)
 * I also agree with Puffle and Dylan's choices, but for the sake of Frozen, I'd much prefer Elsa being the replacement :P <font face="Trebuchet MS"> Steve820  ( Wanna Chat?  •  Stalk My Contribs  •  ✉  ) 03:32, September 15, 2015 (UTC)


 * Erika its almost a gonner imo. it setback Dominicas progress by 20 years. If it have been Haiti the one affect I would put it at tossup because they don't ask for retirement examples Hanna 2008 and Gordon were snub by them.Allanjeffs 02:28, September 20, 2015 (UTC)
 * Shush Allanjeffs. Eve is a great name. 🌀 (talk) 01:07, September 24, 2015 (UTC)
 * Hey, thanks for posting on my 20th B-Day. I'd say Eve or Emmy for a replacement IMO. To be honest, Erika surprised me for a weak TS. <font face="Product Sans" color="#000001">Puffle •  <font face="Product Sans">Talk  <font face="Product Sans">Blog  22:15, October 15, 2015 (UTC)

For Frozen, i really want Elsa to let it go to be Erika's replacement. If not, then Eve. <span style="background-color:maroon; border-radius:8px; border-width:1px; border-style:solid; border:color:red; H; padding:0 5px; color:#AAAEAF; white-space:nowrap;"> MarcusSanchez   My Own Talk   Junior Administrator and Chat Moderator of HHW   12:33, October 8, 2015 (UTC)

Joaquin
Now let's see for Joaquin. -Spcardozo2 (talk) 12:23, October 9, 2015 (UTC)


 * If the damage in the Bahamas is bad enough, Joaquin will probably get retired. Some of my suggestions for replacing Joaquin are here:

I'd probably pick Jake or Jeffery from this list, with my runner-up choices being Jack, Justin, or Jacob. Ryan1000 21:21, October 9, 2015 (UTC)
 * James
 * Jacob
 * Joseph (maybe not due to Josephine, but who knows)
 * Josh(ua)
 * Jonathan
 * Justin
 * Jason
 * Jack
 * Jared
 * Jesse
 * Jeff(ery)
 * Jamie
 * Jake
 * I must say, the fact that the Atlantic has so few 'J' retirees under its belt makes for a lot of good choices for replacements! My top 5 picks are as follows:
 * Jeff (a nickname for one of my best friends [whose actual name isn't even close to Jeffrey :P])
 * James (in honor of a character from Thomas & Friends, which was my favorite show as a young child and I still hold near and dear to this day)
 * Justin (also the name of a friend of mine)
 * Julian (just really like the name, but it might be a little too close to Julia, which is on next year's list)
 * Jaime (Joaquin carried the Spanish theme over from Juan, so I wouldn't be surprised if a Spanish name is chosen to replace Joaquin)
 * Honorable mentions to Jorge, Josh, and Jacob/Jake. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 22:38, October 9, 2015 (UTC)
 * Josias
 * Julen
 * Jaime
 * Jerrald
 * Jago

Just so you know, these are all obviously Spanish. I should underline Spanish .<p style="text-shadow: 4px 4px 2px rgba(250,0,0, 0.8);">H <p style="text-shadow: 4px 4px 2px rgba(250,151,0, 0.8);">u <p style="text-shadow: 4px 4px 2px rgba(248,250,0, 0.8);">rr <p style="text-shadow: 4px 4px 2px rgba(21,250,0, 0.8);">icane <p style="text-shadow: 4px 4px 2px #00faf4">1 <p style="text-shadow: 4px 4px 2px rgba(0,55,250, 0.8);">6 <p style="text-shadow: 4px 4px 2px rgba(248,0,250, 0.8);">2

20:49, October 11, 2015 (UTC)
 * I'd pick Joshua/Josh. Spcardozo2 (talk) 21:38, October 10, 2015 (UTC)
 * Here's my picks:

Here are some more male J names: Andros 1337 (talk) 22:38, October 13, 2015 (UTC)
 * Jasper
 * Jafar
 * Jayden
 * Jay
 * Jackson
 * Jamal
 * Jarvis
 * Jaylon
 * Jean-Luc
 * Jenkins
 * Hurricane Old Man Jenkins? :P <font face="Product Sans" color="#000001">Puffle •  <font face="Product Sans">Talk  <font face="Product Sans">Blog  22:16, October 15, 2015 (UTC)

I should make some replacements myself:

Erika:

Top picks:


 * Elsa (For another Frozen name XD)
 * Esmeralda
 * Eve
 * Elizabeth
 * Ella

Alternative picks:
 * Eleanor
 * Esther
 * Elsie
 * Eunice
 * Evelyn

I am hoping Elsa is its replacement. It would just make the lists Frozen-filled, and then all Frozen fans would be really hyped up for the 2021 season to see the characters being used as hurricane names.

For Joaquin:

Top picks:


 * Jaden
 * Jack
 * Jason
 * Justin
 * James

Alternative picks:
 * Jeff(rey)
 * Jasper
 * Jacob
 * Josh(ua)
 * Jamal

I had some friends over my school days which had a name in the top picks, and I also knew a few people in alternative picks. There's just so many male "J" names to chose from. :P <font face="Trebuchet MS"> Steve820  ( Wanna Chat?  •  Stalk My Contribs  •  ✉  ) 18:49, October 17, 2015 (UTC)

xXx_JoaquinReplacementPicksByOdile_xXx

here are my picks.

names aren't needed to be spanish.
 * Jules
 * Jean (unisex)
 * Joe
 * Jim(my)
 * Jack
 * Jamie
 * Jaime
 * Jacob

--<font face="Comic Sans MS"> HurricaneOdile |  drop something in the box  •  rektastic Patricia  •  spam goes here ^_^  22:41, October 25, 2015 (UTC)

Retirement
No names have been retired yet (as of this edit on April 21st 2016) but the NHC is requesting that the name 'Joaquin' be retired and replaced with Julian, Jorge, Jerrold or James. No word about Erika. So, unfortunately, it will most likely be snubbed. Leeboy100 Hello! 22:43, April 21, 2016 (UTC)


 * We can't say that for sure, the NHC doesn't usually nominate storm names unless it's for political sensitivities; they nominated Joaquin for the El Faro incident (the Bahamas can speak for themselves if they want Joaquin out). The only request they made last year was for Isis to be removed from this year's EPac naming list due to the militant group of the same name, but Odile was still retired. Patricia and Erika probably will be too. Ryan1000 03:00, April 23, 2016 (UTC)
 * Erika, Joaquin, and Patricia retired. To be replaced with Elsa, Julian, and Pamela.-- <font face="Courier New">Isaac829 <font face="Courier New">E-Mail  23:37, April 25, 2016 (UTC)


 * Thank God, Erika was retired. I would have screamed if they didn't retire it. Joaquin was no surprise, but, I'm honestly kind of surprised that Patricia was retired, as it didn't cause as much damage or deaths as it could have. So I'm guessing the hype and intensity was what got it retired.
 * Edit: Okay, never mind. Patricia did more damage than I thought, which shouldn't be surprising due to how intense it was. What DID surprise me is that Erika did more damage than both Joaquin and Patricia.
 * Leeboy100 Hello! 00:03, April 26, 2016 (UTC)
 * YES WE HAZ DA FROZEN LIST! :D Glad to see Erika replaced with Elsa. Pamela was also one of my prime choices for Patricia. For some side notes regarding their retirement, Erika is not only the second TS to be retired after Allison in 2001, but it's also one of only four "E" retirees in the Atlantic and the first one since Elena, the name Erika replaced, 30 years ago. The other two are Edna of 1954 and Eloise of 1975. Joaquin is one of only 5 "J" retirees in the Atlantic, after Janet '55, Joan '88, Juan '03, and Jeanne '04. Lastly, Patricia is the first replacement name of a Pacific hurricane to be retired, having replaced Pauline after 1997. Ryan1000 02:41, April 26, 2016 (UTC)
 * (edit conflict) Elsa is the NHC's worst replacement name pick to date imo. I get what they were going for, but memories of "Let It Go" in all its insipid glory haunt me whenever I see something related to Frozen. I have mixed feelings about Julian; it's my favorite name of the three, but I think it's a little too similar to Julia (which is on this year's AHS list) and Julio (which was used in the EPAC two years ago). Patricia's replacement they more-or-less nailed, would have preferred Phoebe slightly but Pamela works just fine. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 02:48, April 26, 2016 (UTC)


 * Pam => Pamela. still wasnt expecting
 * Patricia's retirement because of the rural area hit, and that is making me cringe. Elsa? okay this will get a ton of frozen memes in 2021 tbh. Julián? ugly name. -- <font face="Comic Sans MS"> HurricaneOdile | <font face="Comic Sans MS"> insert message here ×  edits  ×  spam goes here!  12:49, April 26, 2016 (UTC)


 * I'm a little shocked to see Erika retired, but I'm not surprised at all to see Joaquin and Patricia retired. I still find it funny how Ana and Elsa will be on the same list in 2021. I also expected Joaquin to be replaced with Jorge, not Julian, since Hispanic names are usually replaced with other Hispanic names. -Bob <font face="Arial">Page   <font face="Arial">Wall   <font face="Arial">Edits  FORM BONNIE FORM! 00:13, April 27, 2016 (UTC)
 * I'm somewhat surprised they retired Patricia since that storm didn't cause many deaths (even though it was the strongest known WHem storm), and Mexico is so lenient on retirements usually. Joaquin was the most expected retirement of the bunch; Erika was not too surprising to me because of the large damage amounts caused in Dominica. It's also amazing to see the Erika replacement name. When I first heard the news, my reaction was the exact same as Ryan's first statement in his above comment. Yep, it's the ultimate Frozen list, and I can imagine Frozen fans looking at the list and their reaction. :D By 2021 though, the movie should have significantly fallen in popularity so there will be few fans remaining by then. <font color="brown" face="Tahoma">Steve820 <font color="teal" face="Tahoma">Talk to me 01:32, April 27, 2016 (UTC)
 * 400 million in damage may not sound like a lot, but for the small, rural areas hit by Patricia, it's quite a bit. It could've been much, much worse if it traveled just 55 miles further southeast and hit Manzanillo directly, but fortunately, that didn't happen. Out of all the names retired, I actually think Erika was the most obvioius one of the three, it caused more damage and deaths than both Joaquin and Patricia, and it severely set back the Economy on the small island nation of Dominica. Ryan1000 08:16, April 27, 2016 (UTC)