User blog comment:OWEN2011/Don making landfall and Invest 91/@comment-2239664-20110731025616

But most of the models take this into the Caribbean sea... It has a pretty good chance(near 100% IMO) of becoming Emily tomorrow, and the EPac will likely see Eugene by then as well. If the other area of disturbed weather is still in the Caribbean sea by the time Emily reaches the western Caribbean, Emily could encounter some shear. Or, like what happened in the WPac earlier, Emily could just gobble up that disturbance like Ma-On did to Tokage. We'll see.