User:Kiewii/Kiewii Hurricane Center/2012/Atlantic/Debby/Advisory 2

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ADVISORY NUMBER  2 KIEWII HURRICANE CENTER DUNDEE UK      AL042012 12 PM BST MON JUN 25 2012

...DEBBY WEAKENING...BUT COULD STRENGTHEN AGAIN...

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION -- LOCATION...28.6N 85.8W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

RELY ON THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER PLEASE.

DISCUSSION -- SINCE DEBBY HAS BEEN DOWNED TO 45 KT...MODEL UNCERTAINTY ON STRENGTH HAS GOTTEN MUCH LARGER. THIS IS ALSO WHY THE FORECAST SHOWN BELOW HAS LOW CONFIDENCE.

FORECAST

INIT...25/0600Z...45 KT 994 MB 12HR...25/1800Z...45 KT 997 MB 24HR...26/0600Z...50 KT 993 MB 36HR...26/1800Z...45 KT 998 MB 48HR...27/0600Z...45 KT 1000 MB 72HR...28/0600Z...40 KT 1004 MB 96HR...29/0600Z...40 KT 1007 MB...INLAND 120HR..30/0600Z...25 KT 1006 MB...INLAND