Forum:2018 North Indian Ocean cyclone season

90B.INVEST
First 2018 North Indian  Cyclone Invest! --211.198.26.242 11:35, March 11, 2018 (UTNC)

Now on JTWC with a low chance of development. --Roy25 19:55, March 11, 2018 (UTC)

The models aren't too enthusiastic about it but I hope it forms TBH.No.1 Mobile (talk) 20:47, March 11, 2018 (UTC)


 * It might peak at deep depression at most, according to models mentioned by RSMC New Delhi's outlook. They have it as "low" for 24-48 hours, but "moderate" for 48-72 hours. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  01:28, March 12, 2018 (UTC)

Is now a "Well-marked LPA" according to IMD with a high chance of formation and a code orange on jtwc.Here comes the 1st storm of the season!No.1 Mobile (talk) 17:52, March 12, 2018 (UTC)

Depression ARB 01
It's here.No.1 Mobile (talk) 14:54, March 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * Still a depression, but it's now coded yellow on JTWC. -- Roy 25  22:54, March 14, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of ARB 01
dead.No.1 Mobile (talk) 04:23, March 15, 2018 (UTC)

91A.INVEST
Second invest in the basin this year. Low chance from JTWC. -- Roy 25  23:37, May 14, 2018 (UTC)
 * Looks very far west... hopefully the first named storm comes from this. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:17, May 15, 2018 (UTC)

Well here is a possible outcome for the invest, according to windy.com.

Tiger | Alberto will form!!! 10:24, May 15, 2018 (UTC)

Looks like a decent candidate for Sagar. Interesting storm to track if it forms. - Garfield
 * Now a medium chance from JTWC. God, this will be an interesting storm if it forms as it is far west. --70.190.21.73 14:25, May 15, 2018 (UTC)

Depression ARB 02
It's here. again.No.1 Mobile (talk) 19:13, May 16, 2018 (UTC)
 * Again? This is a different depression lol. Now a tropical storm on the SSHWS. -- Roy 25  23:26, May 16, 2018 (UTC)
 * This system is in the Gulf of Aden which makes it a bit interesting. In the long run, it will strike land in 3 days. --70.190.21.73 00:04, May 17, 2018 (UTC)

Cyclonic Storm Sagar
Haven't posted in this basin forum for a while, but Sagar is now here and it could hit the western end of Somalia or Djbouti as a weak TS or depression in a few days, and it looks like it'll be the first storm since 01A of 1984 to transit the whole of the Gulf of Aden to western Somalia. Ryan1000 10:28, May 17, 2018 (UTC)
 * Wow, it intensifies into a cyclonic storm. I can’t say anything else. --70.190.21.73 14:23, May 17, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now in the Gulf of Aden, forecast to make landfall in Somalia on Saturday. -- Roy 25  22:32, May 18, 2018 (UTC)

Fun fact: Sagar means ocean in Bengali.Swirling Magnetar (talk) 03:02, May 19, 2018 (UTC)
 * A weird storm for sure. Only the 2nd in recorded history to entirely transverse the Gulf of Aden (after 01A of 1984). Expected to make landfall in northwestern Somalia very soon. If a storm can really head this far west, I guess it's only a matter of time before we witness a TC entering the Red Sea 😝 ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:12, May 19, 2018 (UTC)
 * Sagar is now making landfall in Somalia, expected to dissipate later. --70.190.21.73 15:45, May 19, 2018 (UTC)

Deep Depression Sagar
Now downgraded to a deep depression. --70.190.21.73 00:35, May 20, 2018 (UTC)

92A.INVEST
Just east of Sagar with a low chance of forming from JTWC. -- Roy 25  22:32, May 18, 2018 (UTC)
 * Currently in a much more typical location for TCs than Sagar (lol). If it develops sufficiently, it will be Mekunu. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:15, May 19, 2018 (UTC)