User blog comment:CobraStrike/Cobra Strike's Official Mid-Season Predictions for the 2011 Atlantic and Pacifc Hurricane Seasons (August 15)/@comment-1442065-20110819172634/@comment-1442065-20110821143509

I do not base my main forecast on current activity trends. If you really think about it, 2 majors is... El Nino territory... not where we're in right now. At the "bare minimum", there should be 7 hurricanes. Current activity is not the best indicator, as proven by June 2010 and July/August 2010. If you all just do the scientific math, it's hard to not get above-average results from the Atlantic.