User:Kiewii/Kiewii Hurricane Center/Philippe/Advisory 1A

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 1A KIEWII HURRICANE CENTER DUNDEE UK AL172011 1000 AM UTC WED OCT 05 2011
 * BULLETIN

...THERE IS A 10% CHANCE OF PHILIPPE BECOMING A HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE AS OF 1000 AM OCT 05 2011

LOCATION: 24.7N, 60.8W

ABOUT 580 MILES, 930 KILOMETERS SSE OF BERMUDA

SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ABOUT 65 MPH, 100 KM/H

THIS STORM IS MOVING WEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH, 9 KM/H

ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ABOUT 997 MBAR, 29.44 INCHES.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN PLACE.

DISCUSSION

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.8 WEST. PHILIPPE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST BY THIS EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED BY LATE THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND PHILIPPE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

FORECAST

NOW....65MPH...TROPICAL STORM

12H....65MPH...TROPICAL STORM

24H....65MPH...TROPICAL STORM

36H....70MPH...TROPICAL STORM

48H....75MPH...CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE

72H....60MPH...TROPICAL STORM

96H....55MPH...POST-TROPICAL OR EXTRATROPICAL

108H...ABSORBED

NEXT ADVISORY1900 UTC

$$ FORECASTER KIEWII