User blog comment:Ryan1000/Ryan1000's official predictions for worldwide activity of 2014/@comment-3175978-20131212201651/@comment-2239664-20131212204712

Well, the WPac is the most active basin in the world and they have devastating storms every year. It's unfortunate, but that's the part of the world where mother nature is at her fiercest for TC activity. Not much we can do to stop it. Next year will be neutral for the first half of the year, with the possibility of a moderate El Nino to develop by the middle of the year or by fall. In their latest forecast today, CSU stated there's a 35% chance of a neutral season and a 40% chance of an El Nino forming in the season, the year should be near-average to slightly above average for that reason.