User blog comment:CobraStrike/Cobra Strike's Official Mid-Season Predictions for the 2011 Atlantic and Pacifc Hurricane Seasons (August 15)/@comment-2239664-20110821045152

And Irene could be the first non-failure of the season. I'm not saying Arlene and Emily were such, but they weren't that bad for the places they hit. Irene very well could be.