Forum:2015 Pacific hurricane season

Future Start
Well, since we were all complaining, I decided to make the forum. Anyway, I predict 17 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and 6 major hurricanes for the season. You guys can make your predictions on the betting pools. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:59, September 6, 2014 (UTC)


 * I predict 19 depressions, 18 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and 4 majors to form this season. It looks likely that the El Nino will continue. -- Steve820  | Chat With Me •  My Edits  •  ✉ 20:09, September 6, 2014 (UTC)
 * 20-11-5 for this season! :) Strongest storm names? Oh, how I wish Marty/Olaf were strong storms! People would be constantly on the Net making zebra and snowman memes! Or what about Rick? Rickroll? Lol. Enrique Iglesias? Anyway... back on topic, what about ACE units? What is your favourite storm name and why? rarity is best pony 03:20, November 9, 2014 (UTC)

IT's ALMOST NEW YEAR IN ESSEX :D but... This means Hawaii will be one of the last years to ring in the new year... GENEVIEVE must be hyper about the new year in Japan. Iselle? One of the last storms to ring in the new year. rarity is best pony 19:32, December 31, 2014 (UTC)

Hurricane Isis retired
Guess what guys, Hurricane Isis is going to get kicked from the list due to the sharing of the name with the infamous terrorist group. She's going to get replaced by either Iola (a different spelling of Lola, perhaps?), Ilene (Dover) or Ivette (an alternate spelling of Yvette, tbh.)  rarity is best pony 13:58, April 7, 2015 (UTC)
 * That hasn't been confirmed yet. YE Pacific Hurricane  23:03, April 12, 2015 (UTC)
 * It might not be confirmed yet, but it seems very likely it'll be retired due to that terrorist group. -- Steve820  Let's talk. •  See My Edits  •  ✉ (Email me) 00:57, April 14, 2015 (UTC)

Since Ismael is retired for confusion with Israel, this has a very high chance of happening.-- Isaac829 E-Mail  01:23, April 14, 2015 (UTC)
 * The NHC recommended that the WMO remove Isis from the 2016 EPac list in their recommendations list sent to the WMO in the 37th session of the RA IV Hurricane Committee. You can view it here (see number 2). However, they didn't recommend that the WMO retire Iselle, Odile, OR Gonzalo from the naming lists. It would suck if none of them got retired, especially Odile, that name deserves to go. Ryan1000 15:05, April 14, 2015 (UTC)
 * NHC doesn't usually request retirements unless for political reasons like in this case. YE Pacific  Hurricane  21:06, April 14, 2015 (UTC)

Aoi:GFS old/new storm #1
GFS and CMC have been insistent (both old and new versions of the GFS, it got upgraded today, the tested, old, and new (very high res and seems very ECMWF like)) on an EPAC TC forming around 20N from a cutoff low 36 hours from now. Unlike the Carribean phantom storms of last year, it's evolution is rapid and fairly brief. ECMWF also kinda shows it. With that said, they IMO are overdoing the convergence in the region. YE Pacific  Hurricane  04:44, January 15, 2015 (UTC)

Aoi:New GFS storm #1
0z GFS shows something by day 16. Something to watch, and IMO isn't too far fetched. Once the Pacific High gets here, the ITCZ positioning may not even matter. YE Pacific  Hurricane  16:56, April 18, 2015 (UTC)
 * The GFS has sort of dropped this totally. But the same general ITCZ breakdown could still happen IMO in the next 2-3 weeks, and there are still hints in the ensembles and CFS. YE Pacific  [[Special:contributions/YE|

Hurricane ]] 23:40, April 24, 2015 (UTC)
 * EPAC looks quiet for the time being. YE Pacific  Hurricane  15:26, May 14, 2015 (UTC)
 * Season has officially begun, and the first TWO of the year has been released.-- <font face="Courier New">Isaac829 <font face="Courier New">E-Mail  21:38, May 15, 2015 (UTC)

Aoi:8N130W
0/20. Don't think it'll do much though. YE <font color="#66666">Pacific  <font color="#66666">Hurricane  21:11, May 20, 2015 (UTC)
 * 0/30. GFS merges it with the system below. YE <font color="#66666">Pacific  <font color="#66666">Hurricane  13:16, May 21, 2015 (UTC)

90.E INVEST
40/70. YE <font color="#66666">Pacific  <font color="#66666">Hurricane  22:14, May 22, 2015 (UTC)
 * 50/50. Looking good. YE <font color="#66666">Pacific  <font color="#66666">Hurricane  17:18, May 23, 2015 (UTC)

Aoi:8N12W
0/30. Currently an X. GFS brings this to near hurricane intensity. YE <font color="#66666">Pacific  <font color="#66666">Hurricane  13:16, May 21, 2015 (UTC)
 * 50/80. YE <font color="#66666">Pacific  <font color="#66666">Hurricane  22:14, May 22, 2015 (UTC)
 * 60/80. YE <font color="#66666">Pacific  <font color="#66666">Hurricane  17:18, May 23, 2015 (UTC)

Aoi:GFS/ECMWF storm
Both the GFS and Euro are bullish on a Cat 1 hurricane moving north towards Socorro Island in the 10-12 day time frame. Really high on this, given the near certain agreement, though the NOGAPS/JMA are not on board quite yet. YE <font color="#66666">Pacific  <font color="#66666">Hurricane  21:11, May 20, 2015 (UTC)
 * 0/20. YE <font color="#66666">Pacific  <font color="#66666">Hurricane  17:18, May 23, 2015 (UTC)

Aoi:GFS Mexico hurricane #2
12z GFS doesn't, but 6z and 0z GFS blew this up into a landfalling Mexico hurricane. YE <font color="#66666">Pacific  <font color="#66666">Hurricane  17:18, May 23, 2015 (UTC)