User blog:YE/Predictions of pre-Howard

5 PM

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF COSTA RICA IS PRODUCING SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

11 PM

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COSTA RICA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

5 AM

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

11 AM

AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOUTHEASTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

5 PM

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

11 PM

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 501 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED..AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE FORMING. IF THE DEVELOPING TREND CONTINUES, TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE INITIALED FIRST THING TOMORROW MORNING. IT NOW SEEMS MORE LIKELY TAT A TROUGH WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM THE RECURVE AND INTERESTS IN MEXICO SHOULD KEEP AN EYE ON THE SYSTEM. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE... NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.