Forum:2018 Pacific hurricane season

September
Will add this section now, since it's only a day away. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:57, August 31, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: Behind Seventeen-E
And yet another wave forms. 0/20, and will likely become Paul in the wake of 17E becoming Olivia. This year's Pacific hurricane season is on fire, and it's not showing any signs of slowing down anytime soon. Ryan1000 17:10, September 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * The conveyor belt keeps on rolling. Paul could arrive after the middle of next week with this system! At this rate, we will see one of the EPac's most active seasons on record... ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:08, September 2, 2018 (UTC)
 * 0/30. The EPac can't stop and won't stop. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 06:46, September 2, 2018 (UTC)
 * Or maybe it will pause for a while. Down to 0/20. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 19:05, September 2, 2018 (UTC)
 * I'm not going to call it dead until it's down to 0/0. Give it some time, maybe we'll see it eventually become Paul and continue the conveyor belt of storms. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:27, September 3, 2018 (UTC)

0/10 now. This will take time, I guess. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:02, September 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * Jumped right back up to 0/20.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     23:22, September 03, 2018 (UTC)
 * Back up to 0/30, told you it needed more time. Here comes possible Paul! ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  02:59, September 4, 2018 (UTC)

And it is now 20/50. Paul is coming... Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:49, September 5, 2018 (UTC)


 * 30/60, Paul is on the way. Ryan1000 03:19, September 6, 2018 (UTC)

92E.INVEST
Still 30/60. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 03:28, September 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * Like always, conditions appear quite conducive for development. Another major, anyone? ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:42, September 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * Up to 30/70. C4 Paul sounds great provided it stays out to sea and doesn't follow Olivia near Hawaii. ~ KN2731 {talk} 15:58, September 6, 2018 (UTC)
 * I agree, I'm getting sick of storms threatening Hawaii. Now up to 50/80, and we could see another big one. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:16, September 7, 2018 (UTC)
 * 70/90. ~ KN2731 {talk} 04:08, September 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * 90/90, will most likely be a depression when I wake up tomorrow morning. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:49, September 8, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Eighteen-E
Finally upgraded to a TD. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:47, September 8, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Paul
Expected to remain at sea and peak as a TS, but who knows... Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 10:18, September 9, 2018 (UTC)
 * Unfortunately, this is probably a waste of a name. NHC doesn't take it past its current intensity, and gradually weakens it. However, hopefully it pulls a surprise on us. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:58, September 10, 2018 (UTC)
 * So much for a surprise. Peaked at 45 mph, and is now weakening. I had a feeling this active trend would end soon. - VileMaster (talk)
 * Guess there had to be a random flop to balance out all of the epic storms we've been getting from this basin. Send Help Please  (talk) 20:18, September 10, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Paul
And he's dying. Boo, Paul. Boooo. Send Help Please (talk) 03:06, September 11, 2018 (UTC)
 * This is a fail, but maybe a relief of the EPAC's hyperactivity I suppose?  ~ Roy25     Never Forget 9/11  |  🗽     03:21, September 11, 2018 (UTC)


 * Yep, a fail in the midst of hyperactivity and lots of majors. We're disappointed in you, Paulfail. This might be just a short-lived relief, as conditions in the EPac may still be favorable for more epic beasts to form. After all there's still 2 months of the EPac season left. ~  Steve 😔   Remembering the day terrorists attacked: ✈🏢🏢  Never forget 9/11. 🙏  AMERICA IS STRONG! 🗽🇺🇸  05:36, September 11, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Paul
And he's gone. He has taken over Olivia's streak for now. Bounce back in 2024 please, but don't do a Lane/Patricia though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 10:23, September 12, 2018 (UTC)


 * NHc mentioned that Paul's dissipation yesterday was the first time since August 14th in which no tropical cyclones were active in the EPac proper. But that may change with the AOI behind Paul. Ryan1000 11:07, September 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * That shows how crazy the EPac has been. But it's now the Atlantic's turn apparently (4 active systems there including the monstrous Florence)! ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:38, September 14, 2018 (UTC)
 * this is why logan paul will lose the fight between ksi in february 2019 --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 18:43, September 21, 2018 (UTC)

Subtropical Storm 96C
Random, new invest near Alaska according to Tropical Tidbits. Kinda weird that this got invested before the AOI behind Olivia. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:34, September 2, 2018 (UTC)
 * Slight spot of controversy elsewhere on this storm. Apparently, 96C is linked to Lane, but the issue is whether it IS Lane or whether Lane got absorbed and the system that absorbed Lane is 96C. CPHC seems to take the latter stance but from what I've heard, you can clearly trace Lane's path from when it dissipated to this point. So far, CPHC doesn't mention it in their outlooks.


 * The part I find interesting is that, if this is Lane, it places it alongside Hurricane 12 (the 75 freak hurricane) and re-Fausto 02. Both of those storms formed from remains of an EPac hurricane (Ilsa in 12's case), both formed at high latitude (about 40N), and both formed at around the same time (which, funny enough is end of August into September...just like here). One went unnamed, one kept its name. Will we have one get a name change to complete the set? Jake52 (talk) 12:10, September 2, 2018 (UTC)


 * The best track lists it as a subtropical storm and has been for the last 18 hours. ASCAT data, however, shows 96C is a tropical cyclone plus SAB are issuing tropical classifications on it. Kiewii 12:22, September 2, 2018 (UTC)
 * The heck is this? It's so far north that I don't even know how it could acquire even subtropical characteristics. This is a strange system... ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:29, September 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * here lane have a snickers --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 18:44, September 21, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: 1400 SSW of Lihue, Hawaii
This wave on the CPHC outlook currently at 0/0. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     18:31, September 02, 2018 (UTC)
 * Not going to develop anyways. The excruciating wait for Walaka continues on... ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:30, September 3, 2018 (UTC)

Dead. Send Help Please (talk) 17:57, September 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * I would agree but maybe – just maybe – this AOI and Invest 99W in the WPac are the same. Not sure yet with that though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:50, September 5, 2018 (UTC)
 * Has it been confirmed if this AOI became Invest 99W/26W/Mangkhut? Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 19:28, September 16, 2018 (UTC)
 * Not sure, but it most likely did IMO. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:36, September 18, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: South of Mexico (yet again)
Up on the 5-day outlook at 0/20. Geez, the EPac can't stop. ~  Steve 😔   Remembering the day terrorists attacked: ✈🏢🏢  Never forget 9/11. 🙏  AMERICA IS STRONG! 🗽🇺🇸  05:38, September 11, 2018 (UTC)
 * This will probably become Rosa down the road. Getting to the 17th storm (R) name by mid-September is no easy feat. Ryan1000 21:04, September 11, 2018 (UTC)
 * Up to 0/30. Yep, the EPac is hyperactive this year! ~  Steve 😔   Remembering the day terrorists attacked: ✈🏢🏢  Never forget 9/11. 🙏  AMERICA IS STRONG! 🗽🇺🇸  05:39, September 12, 2018 (UTC)

0/40. Rosa is knocking at the door. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:11, September 13, 2018 (UTC)

0/50 ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:35, September 14, 2018 (UTC)


 * 20/70. Rosa is definitely coming from this. ~ KN2731 {talk} 04:27, September 15, 2018 (UTC)


 * Up to 30/80 but still not invested. Baja will be threatened by this in the long run. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:00, September 16, 2018 (UTC)


 * 48 hours up to 40%, 5 days down to 60%. For some reason, still not invested. Its large size should prevent it from rapidly organizing, but it will probably still become Rosa as it approaches Baja. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:34, September 18, 2018 (UTC)

94E.INVEST
40/40 and finally invested, but it's already near Cabo. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:01, September 18, 2018 (UTC)
 * 30/30. At this point I would be shocked if it became Rosa. Expected to bring life-threatening floods across northwestern Mexico (including Baja), and also bring moisture to the southwest U.S. (although the forecast doesn't show my area getting anything, it likely will be confined to Arizona/New Mexico). ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:41, September 19, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Nineteen-E
Oh, it somehow managed to form. It was just 50/50 a few hours/minutes ago. It is very close to another landmass, and Rosa may still have to wait for now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:38, September 19, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of Nineteen-E
Down and out, but still remains as a rainfall threat to Sonora. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 10:44, September 20, 2018 (UTC)
 * Was a bit surprised to see it become a TD. None of its remnants seem to be reaching SoCal, which is a shame because we need more rain. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:20, September 23, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: Off the west-central coast of Mexico
A different AOI has popped up, but this won't do much. 10/10 and upper-level winds should prevent development. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 😔   Remembering the day terrorists attacked: ✈🏢🏢  Never forget 9/11. 🙏  AMERICA IS STRONG! 🗽🇺🇸  05:39, September 12, 2018 (UTC)

93E.INVEST
Oops. Surprise, surprise. 30/40 now. Just like the Atlantic & WPac, EPac is also unstoppable. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:37, September 12, 2018 (UTC)
 * Oops again. Down to 10/20. The other AOI may become Rosa though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:55, September 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * Surprising it got up to 30/40! But this won't develop anymore...10/10 again. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:36, September 14, 2018 (UTC)


 * Off the TWO. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:01, September 16, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: WNW of the 30/80 AOI (later 19E)/WSW of Baja
Currently 10/10, may be absorbed by the South of Mexico AOI. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 19:37, September 16, 2018 (UTC)
 * Already dead. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:35, September 18, 2018 (UTC)

10/20. If this jumps to 30s-50s this may form. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:02, September 18, 2018 (UTC)
 * This is very likely to be the same system as the one mentioned earlier, so as a result I merged the 2 sections. Looking at archived TWOs, it never looked like it was absorbed and in fact looks like it just moved away from the other system. Now at 20/40, and more likely to be Rosa. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:46, September 19, 2018 (UTC)
 * Still not yet invested, still 20/40. We may have Rosa from this one, but the other system (19E) may still pull off another surprise. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:40, September 19, 2018 (UTC)

Down to 10/20. The wait for Rosa continues. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 10:34, September 20, 2018 (UTC)
 * 0/0. This is dead. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 21:08, September 21, 2018 (UTC)
 * Yep, off the TWO. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:20, September 23, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: South of Mexico VII (south of Acapulco)
If I am not mistaken, this is the 7th overall south of Mexico AOI for this season, after the AOIs that developed into Aletta, Carlotta, Gilma, John, Kristy and 19E. This one is currently 0/30. May become Rosa or Sergio depending on the development of the other AOI. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 10:34, September 20, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now 0/40. Rosa may be coming from this after all. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 19:04, September 20, 2018 (UTC)
 * 0/50 now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 21:09, September 21, 2018 (UTC)
 * 0/60. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:50, September 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now 20/80. This will become Rosa. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:22, September 23, 2018 (UTC)

95E.INVEST
30/80 and finally invested. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 07:04, September 24, 2018 (UTC)


 * Jumped up to 60/90. This will likely become a significant hurricane, but whether it recurves into Baja California or goes out to sea is anyone's guess. ~ KN2731 {talk} 09:17, September 24, 2018 (UTC)
 * 70/90, Rosa is finally coming. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:57, September 24, 2018 (UTC)


 * GFS forecast is highly worrying. It peaks this in the 930s (mbar) before crashing this into Northern Baja and SoCal at 977 mbar. Furthermore, it forms two more storms in the next 384 hrs impacting Mexico - a 950 mb headed for southern Baja and another one taking a Patricia-esque track. Mexico and SoCal should prepare urgently. -- Java Hurricane  14:58, September 24, 2018 (UTC)

Taking that GFS forecast with a grain of salt for now – it is still a long way to go. However, Baja and SoCal should keep an eye on this one. Anyway, this is almost certain to become Rosa; 90/90 as of the moment. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 02:41, September 25, 2018 (UTC)


 * That GFS forecast is really worrying for me, considering I live in SoCal. If that verifies, it might be a very rare strike by a tropical cyclone to our area. I saw the model animation on Tropical Tidbits and it appears the landfall location is going to be in northern Baja, but here in the High Desert of SoCal we may receive plenty of impacts as well. I'll take it with a grain of salt for now, but that run is not looking very good for me. Anyway, the system is 90/90 and I'll probably wake up to a tropical depression tomorrow. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:26, September 25, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Twenty-E
Now it's the 20th depression of the season. Forecast to become a category 2 Hurricane Rosa in a few days, but the long-term track and potential recurvature towards northern Baja or SoCal is too far out to be certain and isn't in the NHC's forecast cone as of now. But if Rosa-to-be RI's to a major hurricane (which wouldn't surprise me given how EPac storms can overshoot intensity forecasts), and recurves down the road, this could be the first storm in decades to threaten SoCal or northern Baja with TS or hurricane-force winds. Ryan1000 09:32, September 25, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Rosa
She's finally here, but the forecast is getting ominous. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:44, September 25, 2018 (UTC)
 * Rosa's a tiny storm, she's already at 65 mph and 997 mbars and forecast to rapidly explode into a major hurricane in the next day or so. Rosa might even have an outside chance to become a cat 5. Long-range forecast is shifting northward now, and might even shift northeastward down the road as a trough may break down the ridge southwest of Mexico, hopefully Rosa will be weaker by then though. The only thing stopping her now are ERC's. Ryan1000 05:23, September 26, 2018 (UTC)
 * A bit of dry air has halted Rosa's strengthening phase for now, but looking at the conditions in her path she's still going to explosively deepen over the next few days. ~ KN2731 {talk} 09:39, September 26, 2018 (UTC)

Hurricane Rosa
Now a hurricane. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:56, September 26, 2018 (UTC)


 * A NNE turn is now expected late in the forecast period, either as a strong TS or weak hurricane, since Rosa is rapidly exploding right now. Ryan1000 17:02, September 26, 2018 (UTC)


 * I don't know what to think about this storm yet.No.1 Mobile (talk) 23:28, September 26, 2018 (UTC)

Rosa's intensification has apparently halted due to the eye becoming more cloud-filled; I'm starting to doubt Rosa will intensify as much now, and if Rosa tries to turn to the north or north-northeast as fast as the current forecast indicates, she'll probably be sheared extremely hard since the storm has taken a turn almost due west recently. It might even dissipate before landfall, unless Rosa gets her act together immediately. Ryan1000 13:19, September 27, 2018 (UTC)

Major Hurricane Rosa

 * 125/953.Rosa is exploding right now.No.1 Mobile (talk) 20:58, September 27, 2018 (UTC)

145/940. Seems like I spoke too soon, Rosa exploded lately and is forecast to go up to 150 mph, but the track and intensity forecast exactly at landfall are uncertain given the likelihood of increased forward speed of the storm at the time. But drier air and cooler SST's will likely wear Rosa down when she reaches northern Baja, either to a strong TS or weak hurricane. Ryan1000 04:46, September 28, 2018 (UTC)


 * Down to 120 knots, 942 mb due to an eyewall replacement cycle. NHC notes in advisory 13 Rosa could have peaked at 130 or 135 knots at 06z. ~ KN2731 {talk} 15:32, September 28, 2018 (UTC)

Down to a 120/955 cat 3. Forecast to be a 50 mph TS nearing northern Baja, but Rosa might be a 40 mph TS or a TD when she makes landfall. Ryan1000 22:06, September 28, 2018 (UTC)

Hurricane Rosa (2nd time)
Down to a Category 2. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 04:45, September 29, 2018 (UTC)
 * I had a feeling Rosa would get as strong as she did. However, my area is expected to receive rain from the storm's remnants, which in the High Desert region could be a big flash flooding danger. It's not everyday a tropical system impacts my area... I'll be sure to ride it out safely. Hopefully it's nothing bad for us. Northern Baja and the lower desert directly in the cone should be most impacted by Rosa, and our area might receive a lot too. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:44, September 29, 2018 (UTC)

Arizona (which has seen extensive flooding from the remants of past EPac storms like Norbert '14 and Octave '83) should also watch out for ex-Rosa. Rosa is being sheared more than she's picking up speed, and now she may be only a depression at her landfall in northern Baja. There's a lot of similarities between Rosa and Raymond '89 in terms of peak intensity and current track. Ryan1000 13:17, September 29, 2018 (UTC)
 * Very true, Raymond's track looks almost identical to Rosa's, except Rosa might landfall more north than Raymond did. The system still retains C2 strength and is expected to landfall in northern Baja on Monday as a TS, and TS warnings and watches have been posted for that region of Baja. For now, it appears the brunt of the impacts in the U.S will affect Arizona and possibly Imperial County, but in the High Desert we could still get at least a few showers. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:00, September 30, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Rosa (2nd time)
Down to a TS, but the rainfall threat hasn't even begun yet. Northern Baja and Arizona should watch out. Ryan1000 04:24, October 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * I don't think I'll get much from this. The rain is mainly spreading into Arizona. At most, maybe a few showers tomorrow. Somewhat disappointing considering our drought... ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:57, October 2, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Rosa (landfall in northern Baja)
Down to a depression just at it's landfall in northern Baja. Rosa's heaviest rain has already spread into much of southern and central Arizona by now. Ryan1000 11:27, October 2, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Rosa
Dead. Rainfall will continue over Arizona for a few more days though. Ryan1000 17:21, October 2, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: Approaching the Central Pacific
Another one up at 0/20. Could this be the Walaka that we've all been waiting for? ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:24, September 23, 2018 (UTC)


 * Euro makes this a hurricane going out to sea. Please let that happen (unlike the GFS which shows nothing). ~ KN2731 {talk} 15:07, September 23, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now 10/40, hopefully it's Walaka and it stays out to sea because Hawaii has experienced enough this year. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:28, September 25, 2018 (UTC)

20/50. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:46, September 25, 2018 (UTC)


 * 20/60.Here comes Walaka!No.1 Mobile (talk) 23:28, September 26, 2018 (UTC)


 * 60/90.No.1 Mobile (talk) 20:58, September 27, 2018 (UTC)

97C.INVEST
Now invested. Forecast to turn north down the road, but it'll likely do so to the west of Hawaii, over the french frigate shoals instead. Ryan1000 04:52, September 28, 2018 (UTC)
 * 70/90; Walaka is almost here. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 12:40, September 28, 2018 (UTC)
 * 80/90. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 04:47, September 29, 2018 (UTC)
 * At last, we could be getting Walaka! 😊 It's been such a long wait... ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:50, September 29, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Walaka
Finally after 2 years, we got Walaka. ATM, only named by ATCF, but it's almost guarantee it's Walaka. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     19:32, September 29, 2018 (UTC)
 * And it is official. CPHC is now issuing advisories for Walaka. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:53, September 29, 2018 (UTC)
 * First intensity forecast is aggressive, calling for Walaka to peak at 110 kts on Tuesday. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 01:13, September 30, 2018 (UTC)

So the CPac naming list has finally been run. Next name will be the first time since 1982 in which Akoni would be used. Anyways, Walaka's current forecast looks a lot like Hurricane Neki of 2009, which also became a major hurricane and eventually passed through the islands northwest of Hawaii without causing too much harm. Ryan1000 02:48, September 30, 2018 (UTC)
 * Finally! It's been a long time waiting for "Walaka" to come. A favorable environment should allow for some rapid intensification and I predict it could get as strong as C4 strength. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:04, September 30, 2018 (UTC)

Hurricane Walaka
75 mph/988 mbars. Forecast to hit 140 mph now, and a hurricane warning is up for Johnston Atoll. Ryan1000 04:20, October 1, 2018 (UTC)


 * 105/970. Walaka is now forecast to become a 155 mph category 4 storm passing just west of Johnston Atoll. This could possibly be the island's worst hurricane on record if the storm passes that close to them...hopefully they've been evacuated. Ryan1000 11:11, October 1, 2018 (UTC)


 * I wouldn't be surprised if this becomes a category 5, or even the strongest storm of the season. IbAHAn1829 \I like weather/ \Contributions/ 11:12, October 1, 2018 (UTC)

Major Hurricane Walaka
115/961, has a pinhole eye on sattelite imagery and still rapidly exploding as we speak. Also, per the latest discussion: "The tropical cyclone will remain within a deep moist airmass, with vertical wind shear forecast to remain around 10 knots or less through 48 hours, and sea surface temperatures holding in the 84 to 86 Fahrenheit range during this time. As a result, additional rapid intensification is expected tonight and Monday, with the cyclone then forecast to level off just below category 5 status Tuesday and Tuesday night. Given the environment surrounding the system, intensification to a category 5 storm is not out of the question, although none of the intensity guidance explicitly indicate this at this time." Only ERC's can stop this thing from going up to a 5 at this point. Ryan1000 15:01, October 1, 2018 (UTC)

Major now. 100 kts/961 mbars. Leeboy100 Hello!. 15:01, October 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now a 125 kt/935 mbar Category 4 and explicitly forecast to reach Category 5 intensity. The CPAC naming list is going out with a bang. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 18:45, October 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now up to 150 mph/930 mb. Walaka has waited years for this moment, and will not waste its moment in the spotlight. Send Help Please  (talk) 21:02, October 1, 2018 (UTC)

Category 5 Hurricane Walaka
Hurricane Walaka #9A

HURRICANE WALAKA REACHES CATEGORY 5 ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE 200 PM HST Mon Oct 01 2018 Location: 12.9N 169.6W Maximum sustained winds: 160 MPH Moving: WNW at 9 MPH Minimum pressure: 920 MB

Official now. CPAC now has 2 C5s, Lane and Walaka. Impressive. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     23:55, October 01, 2018 (UTC)


 * I almost thought CPHC would screw this up,-- <font face="Courier New">Isaac829 <font face="Courier New">E-Mail  23:56, October 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * Me too, they almost screwed up with Lane. Anyways, Walaka beats Lane for the most intense storm of the Pacific hurricane season by 2 mbars.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     23:59, October 01, 2018 (UTC)


 * Unbelievable. The last name on the list wants it’s chance to shine before having to wait potentially 35+ more years before being used again. Also, correct me if I’m wrong, but isn’t this the first time there have been two Category 5s in the Central Pacific in the same year or is there another year that I’m forgetting? Leeboy100 Hello!. 00:04, October 2, 2018 (UTC)


 * Never mind, I forgot about 1994. All three Cat 5s that year were in the CPAC, but were named in the EPAC. Leeboy100 Hello!. 00:07, October 2, 2018 (UTC)


 * With the upgrade to C5 status, 2018 is the first pacific hurricane season since 2002 to have more than one C5. IbAHAn1829 \I like weather/ \Contributions/ 00:13, October 2, 2018 (UTC)
 * Those two years were well worth the wait; Walaka looks like he'll be the one of the most impressive storms of the year alongside Hector and Lane. Send Help Please  (talk) 03:15, October 2, 2018 (UTC)

Also, as mentioned before while Lane was active, 1994 (the only other year with multiple CPac cat 5's) also used this year's naming list (as did 2006 with Ioke), so there's that. Another thing of note, Walaka is the only October cat 5 in the CPac, since it reached that intensity just on the first day of October (yesterday by UTC). Johnston Atoll could potentially be submerged by Walaka if it passes close enough to the island. It used to be an important military base but now it's a wildlife refuge area. Still, the island has never seen a direct hit from a storm with the power of Walaka. It's possible this may be the only usage of the name, if its retired after this year. Ryan1000 03:54, October 2, 2018 (UTC)
 * So shocked this intensified so quickly. 😲 C5?! Wasn't it only a strong tropical storm yesterday night? The list is seriously going out with a bang. At least no people live on Johnston Atoll, but the wildlife there may suffer greatly. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:01, October 2, 2018 (UTC)

As a side note, regarding ACE, with Walaka vaulting to a category 5 storm, the ACE of this year's Pacific hurricane season is now up to a whopping 246 units so far. That puts this year's season as the 4th highest ACE for any Pacific hurricane season, only slightly behind 1990's 250 units, but we're still a bit of a ways behind 2015's 286 and 1992's 295. Also, the CPac has had 101.3 ACE units so far, 25 behind 2015's record of 126, and depending on how much ACE Walaka can rack up before it goes out, then this year may approach or rival 2015's CPac ACE record as well. We still have all of October left to go, and if we get just one more long-tracked major hurricane this month, then this year could have the highest ACE of any Pacific hurricane season on record. Ryan1000 11:39, October 2, 2018 (UTC)

Major Hurricane Walaka (2nd time)
Walaka's time as a 5 is now over, but this incredibly powerful 155 mph category 4 storm could still demolish Johnston Atoll. Ryan1000 17:21, October 2, 2018 (UTC)


 * Johnston Atoll got the eastern, right-front eyewall of Walaka last night, impacts on the island aren't known yet but I doubt they got off easy...Walaka was down to a minimal cat 4 by the time it hit Johnston Atoll and is still at that intensity right now, 130 mph and 946 mbars, and is forecast to move over some of the Marine monuments and the French Frigate Shoals to the northwest of Hawaii, still as a major hurricane. Ryan1000 12:03, October 3, 2018 (UTC)


 * This performwd beyond my expectations. Anyway, I hope Walaka did not cause very severe damage in Johnston Atoll, but I am not that optimistic enough for that. Not sure if any damages in Johnston Atoll could warrant Walaka's retirement though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 12:31, October 3, 2018 (UTC)

Slightly off-topic, but I just noticed that Walaka means "ruler of the army" in Hawaian. Guess that meaning is fitting for the strongest storm of the season, and only the second-strongest CPac name on record (after Ioke '06, which also formed under this naming list 12 years ago). Ryan1000 12:35, October 3, 2018 (UTC)


 * New advisory is out, Walaka intensified up to 140 mph and 944 mbars. Forecast to hit the Marine national monument islands as a strong cat 3. Ryan1000 13:47, October 3, 2018 (UTC)

Now down to a strong 3, 125 mph and 946 mbars. Moving north-northeast fairly rapidly, and will rush through the small shoals and marine monument islands northwest of Hawaii later tonight. Would likely be the first time a hurricane this strong hit them. Ryan1000 03:52, October 4, 2018 (UTC)

Hurricane Walaka (2nd time)
Was down to a cat 2 earlier, but now it's a 1 and Walaka is rapidly falling apart in the north Central Pacific. Will likely become extratropical later today or tomorrow. Ryan1000 03:52, October 5, 2018 (UTC)
 * Goodbye to an awesome over-achieving system! Even if it did tear apart Johnston Atoll... should weaken to a TS overnight and then accelerate towards Alaska as an extratropical system. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:04, October 5, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Walaka (2nd time)
Farewell, Walaka, it was nice tracking you! Walaka should become extratropical within the next two days. ~ KN2731 {talk} 15:29, October 5, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: SSE of Mexico, West of the Panama/Costa Rica border
0/30. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:04, September 26, 2018 (UTC)


 * Now 10/40.No.1 Mobile (talk) 23:28, September 26, 2018 (UTC)


 * Increased to 30/60. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 05:28, September 27, 2018 (UTC)


 * 40/70. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 15:04, September 27, 2018 (UTC)


 * 50/80.Sergio coming soon.No.1 Mobile (talk) 20:58, September 27, 2018 (UTC)

96E.INVEST
Invested, and could, according to the GFS ensemble members, recurve to hit Baja like Rosa. Should be watched out for down the road. Ryan1000 04:52, September 28, 2018 (UTC)
 * 100/100 now. Still not yet upgraded by NHC though. JTWC has issued a TCFA. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 04:46, September 29, 2018 (UTC)
 * It's almost certain to become Sergio at this point... "S" name already? Probably another significant storm in the making, and maybe yet another major. If it recurves, hopefully it stays a little more south because I don't know if my area can stand a double-whammy from tropical systems. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:48, September 29, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Sergio
Special advisory.-- <font face="Courier New">Isaac829 <font face="Courier New">E-Mail  16:49, September 29, 2018 (UTC)


 * It seems the initial GFS ensemble tracks have been off, and Sergio will likely be a fishspinner on its current course. Also, forecast peak is only 110 mph, like John and Fabio. If Sergio stays at sea, hopefully he can briefly become a major, unlike John and Fabio which didn't. Ryan1000 20:19, September 29, 2018 (UTC)
 * A major is now in the forecast. I hope Sergio will peak as a C3 because it seems like the EPac this year is cursed to avoid a peak intensity in the C3 range (seriously, no storm this year has peaked at that category). Looking much more likely to be a fishspinner than Rosa. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:08, September 30, 2018 (UTC)
 * Sergio is still not a hurricane yet... IbAHAn1829 \I like weather/ \Contributions/ 00:20, October 2, 2018 (UTC)

Hurricane Sergio
Now a hurricane. 75/992.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     02:52, October 02, 2018 (UTC)


 * Sergio looks like he's developing a large, broad structure, and is now forecast to only briefly become a major...man, I really hope Sergio doesn't screw this one up like Fabio and John did. Ryan1000 03:57, October 2, 2018 (UTC)


 * I hope it doesn't screw it up either, I want to see a C3-peaking storm in this basin for once. Yet another 110 mph Failicia would be absolutely disappointing. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:04, October 2, 2018 (UTC)

Up to category 2...come on Sergio, just a little more...Ryan1000 17:21, October 2, 2018 (UTC)

Major Hurricane Sergio
100 kts/965 mbar. Made it, and is now forecast to peak as a 120-kt Category 4. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 20:33, October 2, 2018 (UTC)


 * Looks like a Cat. 3 peak will elude yet another storm...  Send Help Please (talk) 21:01, October 2, 2018 (UTC)

With Sergio becoming a major hurricane and Walaka holding on as one, 2015 now has a whopping 256.9 ACE units racked up so far, dethroning 1990 for the 3rd-highest ACE of any Pacific hurricane season on record, and not even 30 ACE units behind 2015's 286 or even 40 ACE units behind 1992's all-time record of 295. We're rapidly approaching their ACE records, and we easily could beat those two seasons if we get just one or two more good majors sometime later in October. Furthermore, if Sergio becomes a category 4 hurricane, we'd have 9 category 4 hurricanes this year, only one behind 2015's record of 10, and with 9 major hurricanes, we're only 2 behind tying 2015's record of 11. Ryan1000 12:21, October 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now a C4, the 8th of that intensity. With Sergio now a C4, 2018 beats 2015 for the most recorded amount of C4s (2015 had 7 where 2018 now has 8, excluding Walaka, which would be 9)  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     02:39, October 04, 2018 (UTC)

Well, if you're only referring to Cat 4's while east of the CPac (140 west), that's true, though I was counting the CPac in that case, since it's considered a subset for the EPac overall. Counting the CPac, 2018 is still short of 2015, which had as many cat 4's as 1992 did majors. Also, if we exclude the CPac, this year's ACE isn't close to 1990 or 1992's EPac proper ACE thus far. Ryan1000 03:46, October 4, 2018 (UTC)

Up to 120 knots and 943 mb. Can Sergio go further? ~ KN2731 {talk} 10:13, October 4, 2018 (UTC)


 * We're up to 267.35 ACE units as we speak with this...we'll be past 275 or so when Sergio is done for. What an incredible year for ACE. Ryan1000 13:14, October 4, 2018 (UTC)


 * This year is 3rd place now ACE-wise. The EPac is really winning this year, but once again a storm eludes a C3 peak. It really seems like the EPac is cursed this year to not produce C3-peaking storms... but at least C4 is still a fantastic intensity, even if we have had a huge amount of C4-peaking storms this year. Anyway, Sergio has weakened to a C3 and should gradually weaken further over time. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:51, October 5, 2018 (UTC)

Sergio's down to 100 knots, but he's still going to stick around for the next five days. Also, Ryan, we're now already at 276 units of ACE... seriously we'll be near or even past 2015 by the time Sergio dissipates. And then there's still half of October and the entirety of November left. ~ KN2731 {talk} 15:23, October 5, 2018 (UTC)


 * Walaka is still hanging on so that helped the ACE go up, along with Sergio...we just one more good fishspinning major later this month and the all-time Pacific hurricane season ACE record is as good as 2018's. Ryan1000 00:08, October 6, 2018 (UTC)


 * ACE is up to 277, within 10 units of 2015. Send Help Please  (talk) 02:25, October 6, 2018 (UTC)

Sergio also intensified briefly again, and is now up to 125/953. Forecast to recurve northeast and weaken later on, but he's so far out to sea that he likely won't reach Mexico as a TC. Ryan1000 05:33, October 6, 2018 (UTC)


 * It's not everyday you see an EPac storm recurve in that fashion. But I agree that Mexico will get little, if anything, from Sergio's remnants. Maybe a few rain showers there, but that's it. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:49, October 6, 2018 (UTC)


 * To sum up the season so far:

:::A little bit of Lane by my side :::A little bit of Aletta is all I need :::A little bit of Bud is what I see :::A little bit of Hector in the sun :::A little bit of Olivia all night long :::A little bit of Rosa, here I am :::A little bit of Sergio turns me on :::Category Number 4+!
 * Also I'm pumped up for a massive house party tonight! All the C4 hurricanes are invited!

--FreedFromDesire (talk) 15:56, October 6, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: West of Costa Rica
Anotha one...10/30. Tara, anyone? Ryan1000 03:48, October 4, 2018 (UTC)

97E.INVEST
Invested. This invest may actually be linked to future development of the Atlantic AOI over the NW Caribbean right now, but regardless of development, rainfall and flooding are threats to Central America. Ryan1000 04:05, October 5, 2018 (UTC)
 * Up to 20/30, although land interaction may inhibit development. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:54, October 5, 2018 (UTC)


 * Yeah, this is now expected to move inland and merge with 91L in the Atlantic. Ryan1000 05:33, October 6, 2018 (UTC)


 * Now 20/20, but realistically this isn't going to form because it will make landfall very soon. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:50, October 6, 2018 (UTC)

Retirements at a Glance
Seven storms have formed and we might as well add this section now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 17:16, July 31, 2018 (UTC)

A2.0's EastPac and CPac retirement expectations

 * Aletta - 4% - A fishspinner but showed us how to start a season. 4% because it peaked as a C4.
 * Bud - 4% - Also 4% because of its Category 4 status. Great follow-up to Aletta, but juat like Bud's predecessor, it caused no effects to land, so that won't merit any realistic chance of retirement for Bud too.
 * Carlotta - 5% - Affected Mexico and caused some problems, but no fatalities were recorded so I think Carlotta will be back in 2024.
 * Daniel - 0% - Danfail it is, as Send Help Please called it. Broke the streak of strong hurricanes that bore the same name. Yikes.
 * Emilia - 0% - Another forgettable storm.
 * Fabio - 2% - For peaking as a Category 2. Forecast to become a major, yet Fabio bottled it a la Hilary 2017.
 * Gilma - 0% - Just like what Send Help Please also said, Failma. The Failicia of this season along with Danfail, so far.
 * Hector - 4.5% - Remained at the south of Hawaii, crossed the 3 Pacific basins, but a fishspinner. Hector will be back in 2024, but this storm will always be remembered for its longevity, and for almost reaching Category 5 status.
 * Ileana - 0.5% - No, just no. That .5 is for being a strong TS, but realistically, Ileana will be back in 2024.
 * John - 2% - Almost became a major, but did not cause significant impacts.
 * Kristy - 0.75% - For almost reaching hurricane status.
 * Lane - TBD - Became the first CPac C5 since Ioke, but this is not looking good for Hawaii, so far.

That's it.

Originally posted by Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 17:16, July 31, 2018 (UTC). Last revised by Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 07:43, August 22, 2018 (UTC).

joestar's OAP home preddies
yare yare daze (talk) 17:39, August 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * Aletta (0%): "haha look at me i believe i can fly i believe i can touch the sky no motherf-cker can match me ahahahaha" grade: A
 * Bud (0%): "haha i'm gonna beat you! all years before 2006 sucked! now i'm finally a cat 4! i made landfall unlike that dutch twit aletta who is a coward!" grade: A-
 * Carlotta (0%):  "mummy i wanna go to mexico like patwicia" grade: E
 * Daniel (0%): "zzzzzz... damn... zzzzzzz" grade: F
 * Emilia (0%): "all 1994 cat 5s for sh-t tropical storms in 2018" grade: F
 * Fabio (0%): "i am trying to eat more to be a category 5 but i'm not gaining any weight" grade: C
 * Gilma (0%): "SMOKE SHEAR EVERYDAY!" EVERYDAY!" rip in kill 3sexy5felicia 2018-2018 never 5get  grade: U
 *  Hector Mr Worldwide (weeb%): this boi travel to asia to get some cute anime girls like shan shan uwu grade: A* (pronounced "a star" bc that is an a+ in bongland where i'm from)
 * Ileana (dinner%): was made in the kitchen for a hungry boi grade: F('ood')
 * John (hungry%): he bravo'd on ileana grade: C('annibal')
 * Kristy (0%): john controlled her and taking her to the middle of nowhere. ofc not. worse than thought smh grade: D
 *  Jane Lane (75%): u fakaz got blown by de one and only faka lane rip grade: ( A*) T H I C C BOI 😩💦💦😍😍😍❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️😘😘😘😘😘😘😂🔫 

Dylan's predictions

 * Aletta: 0% - A beautiful, intense, harmless kick-off to the season.
 * Bud: 1% - Another gorgeous storm to observe over open water, with fortunately minimal effects on land.
 * Carlotta: 2% - Was more of a nuisance for Mexico than expected.
 * Daniel: no
 * Emilia: 0% - Not an epic fail, not much of a winner either. It sort of just existed.
 * Fabio: 0% - 🎶leeeet doooown aaaaand haaaaanging aroooouuund🎵
 * Gilma: 0% - Worse flop than Daniel in terms of intensity but at least it was resilient in its post-TS depression stage.
 * Hector: 0% - Gud storm was gud. I'll defer to Steve and Ryan's explanations as to why.
 * Ileana: <1% 3% - John murdered her and consumed her remains <death metal plays in background> before she could do much to Mexico.
 * Bumping up a tad &mdash; Ileana is the first storm of the season to cause fatalities, with a death toll of 4 thus far. Fingers crossed it doesn't rise any higher.

--Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 23:20, July 31, 2018 (UTC)
 * John: 0% - The ends probably didn't justify the means, but by preventing Ileana from being any worse for Mexico, John arguably helped more than he harmed.
 * Kristy: -1% - You can take a negative percent as punishment for stalling just below hurricane status for a full day, only to abruptly collapse into nothing. Poor show, Kristy.
 * Lane: TBD% - Still active. We'll see whether this becomes a threat to Hawaii down the road.

Roy's Retirement Prediction
Intensity colors: <font color="#5ebaff">TD, <font color="#00faf4">TS , <font color="#ffffcc">C1 , <font color="#ffe775">C2 , <font color="#ffc140">C3 , C4 , <font color="#ff6060">C5 

Retirement percentages colors: 0%, 0.001-9% , 10-19% , 20-29% , 30-39% , <font color="#cf0">40-49% , 50% , <font color="#fe0">51-59% , <font color="#fc0">60-69% , 70-79% , <font color="#f70">80-89% , 90-99% , <font color="#500">100% , ???

 EPAC 
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Aletta ( 0% ) - A nice harmless fishspinner. Obviously this won't be going.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Bud ( 0.001% ) - While it did affected land at the end of its life, this was also pretty much a fishspinner
 * <font color="#00faf4">Carlotta ( 1% ) - While weak, it has came close to Mexico, but no deaths and damage were reported.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Daniel ( 0% ) - A weak failicia that untimately was a name stealer. Unimpressed
 * <font color="#00faf4">Emilia ( 0% ) - A rather weak, but a nice fishspinner
 * <font color="#ffe775">Fabio ( 0% ) - Nice fishspinning hurricane that broke the TS streak, but failed to reach major hurricane status. Sigh
 * <font color="#00faf4">Gilma ( 0% ) - Same as Daniel, except weaker, and only lasted 6 hours as a TS. Name-stealer.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Hector ( 0% ) - An impressive, long-lasting tri-basin crosser major hurricane that stayed away from land, but also failed to reach C5 status
 *  Ileana ( 3% ) - Didn't last long before being absorbed by John, but unfortunately also caused 4 fatalities
 * <font color="#ffe775">John ( 0% ) - Pretty much a fish that failed to become a major hurricane
 * <font color="#00faf4">Kristy ( 0% ) - Same as above, but instead failed to become a hurricane
 * <font color="#ff6060">LANE ( 50% ) - Became the first C5 in the EPAC/CPAC since Patricia in 2015, but also severely affected Hawaii, became the wettest tropical cyclone of the state and the second wettest in the US behind Harvey 2017. Damage and deaths are unknown at the moment, but seeing as how uncommon it is for a EPAC name to be retired (sometimes random), I'll give the retirement chance in a flip of a coin
 * <font color="#ffffcc">Miriam ( 0% ) - Nice strong fish storm.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Norman ( 0.001% ) - Also strong fish that imapcted Hawaii with minor damage
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Olivia ( 1% ) - Impacted Hawaii as a tropical storm, but this shouldn't be retired
 * <font color="#00faf4">Paul ( 0% ) - Weak fish
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Rosa (???) - Currently active
 * <font color="#00faf4">Sergio (???) - Currently active

 CPAC 
 * <font color="#ff6060">Walaka (???) - Currently active

NOTE:
 * 1) Should I give a tropical cyclone name a retirement chance of 50% and above, then that tropical cyclone name will be all caps.
 * 2) The triple question marks on my retirement percentage scale is only used as placeholders on an active storm.
 * 3) Storms that exits a basin and enters another basin would not have their own retirement predictions in that basin it entered, instead will have it in the basin of origin.

~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions   02:36, August 1, 2018 (UTC) Last updated 00:13, October 2, 2018 (UTC)

Steve's predictions and grades
See "notes" (at the very bottom) for explanations of some stuff.

Intensity colors: <font color="#5ebaff">TD, <font color="#00faf4">TS , <font color="#ffffcc">C1 , <font color="#ffe775">C2 , <font color="#ffc140">C3 , <font color="#ff8f20">C4 , <font color="#ff6060">C5 , <font color="#905">200+ mph

Retirement percentage colors: 0% or N/A, <font color="#77A">0.001-0.4% , <font color="#44C">0.5-0.9% , 1-4% , <font color="#05F">5%-9% , <font color="#0AF">10-14% , <font color="#0FF">15-19% , <font color="#0F8">20-24% , <font color="#0F0">25-29% , <font color="#3F0">30-34% , <font color="#6F0">35-39% , <font color="#9F0">40-44% , <font color="#CF0">45-49% , 50% , <font color="#FC0">51-54% , <font color="#F90">55-59% , <font color="#F60">60-64% , <font color="#F30">65-69% , <font color="#F00">70-74% , <font color="#D01">75-79% , <font color="#B02">80-84% , <font color="#903">85-89% , <font color="#604">90-94% , <font color="#505">95-98% , <font color="#303">99-99.999% , <font color="#000">100% or TBA

Grading colors: <font color="#033">EO+, <font color="#055">EO , <font color="#077">A++ , <font color="#096">A+ , <font color="#0C3">A , <font color="#0F0">A- , <font color="#3F0">B+ , <font color="#6F0">B , <font color="#9F0">B- , <font color="#CF0">C+ , <font color="#FF0">C , <font color="#FC0">C- , <font color="#F90">D+ , <font color="#F60">D , <font color="#F30">D- , <font color="#F00">E , <font color="#C00">F , <font color="#900">F- , <font color="#600">Z , <font color="#300">Z- , <font color="#000">TBA

Potential tropical cyclones (PTCs) not included.
 * <font color="#5ebaff">One-E :
 * Retirement: N/A - No name, no retirement.
 * Grading: <font color="#C00">F - Gets credit for its formation before the start of the season. Still a fail, nonetheless.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Aletta :
 * Retirement: 0% - Complete fishspinner.
 * Grading: <font color="#0C3">A - A nice early season powerful hurricane. As a bonus, no one was affected at all.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Bud :
 * Retirement: 1% - Struck Baja, but without doing much harm. Caused a moisture plume to reach the southwestern U.S., and that wasn't harmful either. Impacts are too light for retirement.
 * Grading: <font color="#0F0">A- - Another nicely strong hurricane that reached the bare minimum for C4. Impacts are not enough to affect the grade.


 * <font color="#00faf4">Carlotta :
 * Retirement: 2% - Caused torrential rainfall in the area of Mexico that it affected. Impacts are not enough to even think about retirement, though.
 * Grading: <font color="#F60">D - Strong tropical storm that affected land. At least it was not a total failure like the below storm was.


 * <font color="#00faf4">Daniel :
 * Retirement: 0% - Out to sea, no one was affected.
 * Grading: <font color="#600">Z - Laughable failure that only lasted 2 days and peaked at no more than 45 mph/1003 mbar. Danfail will be remembered as a complete nothingburger. 😂


 * <font color="#00faf4">Emilia :
 * Retirement: 0% - Another fishspinner.
 * Grading: <font color="#F00">E - That very active June was a bit more about quantity than quality. Reached 60 mph, but I don't care for this boring storm.


 * <font color="#ffe775">Fabio :
 * Retirement: 0% - Yet another out-to-sea system.
 * Grading: <font color="#FC0">C- - A strong C2 usually doesn't get this low of a grade. But the story is that Fabio's grade really suffered because it was expected to become a major hurricane, but flunked the mark by just 5 mph! In fact, it had potential to RI to reach C4 or possibly even C5. A major disappointment you were, Fabio.


 * <font color="#00faf4">Gilma :
 * Retirement: 0% - Also out to sea.
 * Grading: <font color="#600">Z - Even worse than Danfail, and was a TS for only 6 measly hours. Gilfail was one of the worst, and most laughable, name-stealers ever! It did last a few days in total, which is the only thing that prevents it from being Z-.


 * <font color="#5ebaff">Nine-E :


 * Retirement: N/A - Cannot be retired.
 * Grading: <font color="#600">Z - It had potential to last even longer than it did. At least it didn't steal a name. Still a pathetic failure though.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Hector :
 * Retirement: 0% - Despite its long track, it stayed out to sea and no fatalities or damage were reported at all.
 * Grading: <font color="#055">EO - Oh boy, where do I start. It crossed THREE basins, the first to do so since Genevieve in 2014. Also, it broke the record for most consecutive days as a major hurricane and most hours as a C4 in the northeastern Pacific. Except for dangerous surf in Hawaii, this did not harm anyone at all! Hector has earned its status as an extraordinarily outstanding storm! The only thing preventing this from being EO+, my absolute highest grade, is that it stayed below C5 unlike John '94 (a relatively similar storm).


 * <font color="#00faf4">Ileana :
 * Retirement: <font color="#05F">6% - Unfortunately proved to be deadly. 🙁 Highly unlikely for retirement though.
 * Grading: <font color="#F00">E - Did its best in the face of John. However, they did forecast a hurricane once.


 * <font color="#ffe775">John :
 * Retirement: 0% - I believe the only impacts were high surf.
 * Grading: <font color="#FC0">C- - Pulled a Fabio by flunking major status. And shame on him for being a cannibal.


 * <font color="#00faf4">Kristy :
 * Retirement: 0% - Nope.
 * Grading: <font color="#F30">D- - It had potential to become a hurricane, but failed by 5 mph.


 * <font color="#ff6060">Lane :
 * Retirement: <font color="#F30">65% - Record rainfall has occurred in Hawaii, causing at least $200 million dollars in damage and a death. This could very well be retired due to the rainfall amount and the damage. Hawaii rarely sees tropical cyclones, especially ones like these.
 * Grading: <font color="#055">EO - Absolutely amazing storm that became the C5 that Hector never became, and was resilient in the end. Unfortunately, Hawaiian impacts prevent it from getting EO+.


 * <font color="#ffe775">Miriam :
 * Retirement: 0% - Fishspinners don't get retired.
 * Grading: <font color="#6F0">B - I'm surprised it was able to pull off C2 intensity. Thus, it gets a satisfactory grade from me.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Norman :
 * Retirement: 0% - Fishie, again.
 * Grading: <font color="#077">A++ - A very amazing storm that got very powerful and was resilient as heck. Almost EO level, would have got there if it reached C5.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Olivia :
 * Retirement: <font color="#05F">8% - Damage totals not released yet, hopefully it wasn't that destructive. Preliminary percentage for now and I highly doubt retirement because it was overshadowed by Lane.
 * Grading: <font color="#096">A+ - Another awesome storm, bonus points for being the first TC ever to make landfall on Maui and Lanai.


 * <font color="#00faf4">Paul :
 * Retirement: 0% - Heck no.
 * Grading: <font color="#900">F- - It didn't really even try, and broke the streak of awesome storms. What a joke.


 * <font color="#5ebaff">Nineteen-E :
 * Retirement: N/A - Cannot be retired.
 * Grading: <font color="#C00">F - Credit for developing in the face of land interaction, and for thankfully not stealing a name.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Rosa :
 * Retirement: <font color="#0FF">16% - Actually turned out pretty deadly... 13 deaths in northwestern Mexico, unfortunately. Didn't seem like it was too bad for the southwestern U.S. The system's remnant showers did not reach my area, which sucks because of our drought.
 * Grading: <font color="#0C3">A - One of the many C4s this year.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Sergio :
 * Retirement: <font color="#000">TBA - Currently active. Retirement prediction will be released once it dissipates.
 * Grading: <font color="#000">TBA - Currently active. Grade will be released once it dissipates.


 * <font color="#ff6060">Walaka :
 * Retirement: <font color="#000">TBA - Currently active. Retirement prediction will be released once it dissipates.
 * Grading: <font color="#000">TBA - Currently active. Grade will be released once it dissipates.

Notes: Intensity colors -
 * Based off of the SSHWS, except for the 200+ mph color.
 * I still use "TD" due to the inclusion of grading (they cannot be retired). So it would be wrong for TD to be considered redundant in this case because TDs are still included for grading only.
 * I wanted to give special recognition for cyclones reaching insane intensities by introducing a new color for those that reach the "200 Club." Of course, very few storms will ever receive this color.

Retirement percentage colors -
 * "N/A", which is gray like 0%, is most often used for tropical depressions, which are usually not named and thus cannot have a name retired. Other unnamed storms receive "N/A" as well.
 * "TBA", which is black like 100%, is used for currently active storms or recently dissipated storms without a definite percentage of retirement yet. "TBA" is also used for grading when a system is currently active.
 * 0% and 100% are estimated percentages, in which they don't necessarily mean that it is absolutely certain that a storm name will or won't be retired. Unless it is the PAGASA basin (which has retirement requirements), there will always still be an infinitesimally small chance of retirement (for 0%) or non-retirement (for 100%).
 * New for 2018: My scale comes in ranges now instead of individual percentages. This allows me to use any percentage now instead of having to restrict myself to individual percentages. Any percentage within a range (like from 1-4%) uses the same color (in this example, blue). The range also includes decimals and goes slightly beyond what is shown as the "highest" number in my scale. The actual highest limit to the range earlier described is 4.99999...% (I don't round up to the next range). Those upper limit decimals are not included in my scale in order to preserve space.
 * Different fonts indicate how likely a storm is to be retired. The whole entry of the storm is bolded, italicized, underlined, or capitalized depending on my retirement prediction. For low or nil-chance storms (0% to 24%), only the colored components (storm's name, percentage, and grade) are bolded and the rest of the entry is plain-text. For 25% to 49%, the whole entry is bolded. For 50% to 74%, the whole entry is both bolded and italicized. For 75% to 99.999%, the whole entry is bolded, italicized, and underlined. 100% entries are bolded, italicized, underlined, and capitalized.

Grading colors -
 * EO = "Extraordinarily Outstanding". This is beyond "A", when a TC is so good that it deserves special recognition. Add a "+" to emphasize the best and most outstanding TCs that have ever occurred in history (such as Patricia '15 or John '94). I try to avoid giving this rating to catastrophic storms due to the fact that catastrophe knocks down a storm's reputation, and it would seem insensitive to give such storms a high rating. An EO+ storm has requirements that are stricter than EO: it has to be a fishspinner (or, if affecting land, not cause very significant damage or deaths, which means no Haiyan, Wilma, Irma, etc.) and it has to be very near records (I'd say top 3), tie, or break records relating to powerful intensity, longevity, or how unusual it is. If the achievement is one of the latter two, an EO+ storm has to peak as a major (C3+ on the SSHWS). An exception to the major rule could occur if a storm is INSANELY long-lived or unusual. For example: a tropical system that literally forms in the Arctic Ocean/right on the equator/Antarctic/far inland/other extremely strange spots, or a storm that lasts months would almost always be deserving of "EO+".
 * Z = If the grading scale were to go down the same pattern as A to F, it would go to G, H, etc. and would eventually have to stop at "Z". All the in between letters from G to Y are skipped because it would be way too much, redundant and unnecessary. "Z" is the letter assigned to the worst of the worst, and such storms would be considered epic failures and unmemorable because of a lack of land effects. If I gave a highly impacting storm a Z, it might seem insensitive because the storm actually did something. Add a "-" to the grade to emphasize the worst epic failures that ever occurred in history. Specific requirements for the Z- storm are as follows: Fishspinner (or barely affecting land) due to lack of memorability, peaks at no more than 40 mph, lasts no longer than one day, or is downgraded from a TS to a TD or worse in post-analysis while still named. Although weak named TSs receive Z- on occasion, even fishspinning TDs don't receive the Z- grade that often because, in my opinion, stealing a precious name is a worse offense than remaining unnamed. If a system is named, more should be expected out of it.
 * Except for the extreme grades and "E", this scale is obviously based off of the educational grading system.

~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:06, August 1, 2018 (UTC) (last updated 05:00, October 5, 2018 (UTC))

Ryan1000's retirement predictions
Here's my thoughts on retirements so far:

EPac: CPac: That'll suffice. Ryan1000 04:44, August 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * Aletta - 0% - A great way to start the season, and her strongest incarnation to date as well.
 * Bud - 1% - Like Aletta, this is the strongest incarnation of Bud to date, but his Baja landfall brought minimal effects at most.
 * Carlotta - 2% - This was to Bud as Carlos was to Blanca in 2015, a slightly worse storm but still probably won't be retired.
 * Daniel - 0% - It's a shame that Daniel, one of our traditional EPac major fishspinners, flopped this time around...try again in 2024.
 * Emilia - 0% - Fared slightly better than Daniel but was still unimpressive overall.
 * Fabio - 0% - Reminds me of Hilary last year. He failed to meet expectations, but his large size held him back.
 * Gilma - 0% - Lasted slightly longer than Daniel but failed worse than he did by intensity.
 * Hector - 0% - Was an absolutely amazing storm to track. It lasted for the most consecutive days as a major hurricane on record in the Pacific while east of the dateline, at 7.75 days, beating Norbert of 1984, and racked up the 4th highest ACE of any Pacific hurricane while east of the dateline as well, all while not causing any known damage or deaths on land. My favorite storm of the season.
 * Ileana - 4% - Despite being eaten by John, Ileana unfortunately still killed 4 people in Mexico, with some minor damage to boot.
 * John - 0% - Fishie, and failed to be a major; consider that punishment for eating your little sister.
 * Kristy - 0% - It's a shame that Kristy fell short of hurricane intensity; hopefully she can be upgraded in reanalysis.
 * Lane - 60% - Lane became Hawaii's wettest hurricane on record, narrowly surpassing Hiki of 1950, and apparently according to one of Dr. Master's blog posts, Lane caused at least 200 million dollars in flood damage to Hawaii, according to insurance broker Aon Benfield. That's almost 3 times the damage from Iselle in 2014 and the costliest storm of the season, not to mention the 1 death. I can't say for certain if Lane will be retired, but it's definitely a possibility that can't be overlooked.
 * Miriam - 0% - Defied intensity expectations, but still remained well at sea.
 * Norman - 0% - Strong and long-lived, but remained a safe distance from Hawaii
 * Olivia - 3% - Became the first tropical storm to strike the Hawaian islands of Maui and Lanai, but Olivia's disorganized, weakened state when she struck the islands led to only minor damage, limited rainfall, and some fallen tree limbs and power outages. She probably won't be retired.
 * Paul - 0% - Just a weak, short-lived fishspinner.
 * Rosa - 15% - Rosa killed at least 13 people in Mexico and Arizona so far, making her the deadliest storm of the season, and there was likely extensive flood damage too. I don't think Rosa will be retired, but she definitely gets credit for the impacts.
 * Sergio - 0% - Still active, but likely to remain well at sea.
 * Walaka - ?? - This is a tough call...it tore apart the Marine monuments and sanctuaries on some islands well west of Hawaii, especially Johnston Atoll, but no people live there, so no human lives or property were lost. Not sure if Walaka will be retired based on hitting those islands, but it could be.

KN2731's storm grades & retirements
I'll jump on the bandwagon and add mine too.

Grades:  A, B , C , D , E , F . These grades go by meteorological statistics alone, and do not reflect my opinion of any deaths or destruction that occurs; for that refer to the appended descriptions and retirement chances.

Retirements: <font color="#808080">0%, <font color="#FF007F">5% , <font color="#FF00FF">10% , <font color="#7F00FF">15% , <font color="#0000FF">20% , <font color="#0080FF">25% , <font color="#00FFFF">30% , <font color="#00FF80">35% , <font color="#00FF00">40% , <font color="#80FF00">50% , <font color="#FFFF00">60% , <font color="#FF8000">70% , <font color="#FF0000">80% , <font color="#990000">90% , <font color="#330000">100% .


 * One-E – grade  D . Couldn't do much in the face of shear, but gave us an early start.
 * Aletta – grade  A , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Amazing powerful June fishspinner. Well done for our first ever major hurricane Aletta.
 * Bud – grade  B , retirement <font color="#FF007F">5% . Touched C4 but rapidly weakened immediately after. Thankful for that however as it made landfall on Baja California not long after, and didn't cause much damage.
 * Carlotta – grade  B , retirement <font color="#FF007F">5% . Intensified surprisingly quickly close to land despite being forecast to fizzle. Not much damage reported, so that's all good.
 * Daniel – grade  F , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Historically Daniel was the name of a long line of fishspinning majors. Completely flopped this year with its weakest ever incarnation. Boo.
 * Emilia – grade  E , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Chose the wrong time and place to form and got burdened by shear.
 * Fabio – grade  C , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Great fishspinner, but lost points for peaking just under major hurricane status. :(
 * Gilma – grade  F , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Utterly pathetic name thief. Probably doesn't even deserve a grade.
 * Nine-E – grade  E . See Emilia.
 * Hector – grade  A , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Powerful tri-basin crosser that managed to miss Hawaii. Well done, Hector. Definitely best storm so far.
 * Ileana – grade  B , retirement <font color="#FF007F">5% . Surprised us all by spinning up so quickly and beating out the more hopeful AOIs (John and Kristy). Could have become a hurricane (albeit a dangerous one, given her proximity to Mexico) if not for John's cannibal tendencies.
 * John – grade  C , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Gets points for being interesting by cannibalizing Kristy, but pulled a Fabio and flunked major hurricane status. :(
 * Kristy – grade  D , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Screwed up by peaking just under hurricane intensity; grade may rise if she's upgraded post-season.

~ KN2731 {talk}. Last updated: 14:18, August 16, 2018 (UTC).

Harvey's retirement predictions
Intensity colors: <font color="#5ebaff">TD, <font color="#00faf4">TS , <font color="#ffffcc">C1 , <font color="#ffe775">C2 , <font color="#ffc140">C3 , <font color="#ff8f20">C4 , <font color="#ff6060">C5 , <font color="#8b0000">C5 (185+ mph)

Retirement percentage colors: <font color="#666">0% or <font color="#666">N/A, <font color="#AFFFFF">0.001-0.9% , <font color="#00FFFF">1-9% , <font color="#00D5D5">10-19% , <font color="#00A0A0">20-29% , <font color="#00A000">30-39% , <font color="#FFC800">40-49% , <font color="#FF8800">50-59% , <font color="#E80000">60-69% , <font color="#B40000">70-79% , <font color="#800000">80-89% , <font color="#000000">90-99% , <font color="#000080">100% 

Grading colors:  S, A+++ , A++ , <font color="#00F">A+ , <font color="#0CC">A , <font color="#0C3">A- , <font color="#0F0">B+ , <font color="#3F0">B , <font color="#6F0">B- , <font color="#9F0">C+ , <font color="#CF0">C , <font color="#FF0">C- , <font color="#FC0">D+ , <font color="#F60">D , <font color="#F30">D- , <font color="#F00">E , <font color="#C00">F , <font color="#900">F- , <font color="#600">Z , <font color="#300">Z- , <font color="#0000FF">TBA 


 * <font color="#5ebaff">One-E :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">N/A
 * Grading: <font color="#900">F - Mostly a fail, but it did form in the early season.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Aletta :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">0% - This storm did not affect land.
 * Grading: <font color="#0C3">A - This storm gets a high grade due to the rapid deepening and the great satellite imagery at peak intensity. This is the strongest incarnation of this storm to date.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Bud :
 * Retirement: <font color="#AFFFFF">0.7% - It did struck Baja late in its life as a weak TS, however impacts are too minimal for retirement.
 * Grading: <font color="#0C3">A- - Like the above storm, it was a powerful early storm that was the strongest of its incarnation, however this one was slightly weaker.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Carlotta :
 * Retirement: <font color="00FFFF">1% - Caused torrential rainfall in Mexico. Impacts are minimal and do not affect the retirement.
 * Grading: <font color="#F60">D - This would become the first of many weak storms in the season. Impacts aren't memorable enough to affect the grade.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Daniel :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">0% - Another fish storm.
 * Grading: <font color="#600">Z - Just about every other incarnation of this storm was a fishspinner that reached major hurricane status, but this one broke the chain and decided to fail miserably. Ugh...
 * <font color="#00faf4">Emilia :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">0% - Another fishspinner.
 * Grading: <font color="#F00">E - Another weak fishspinner. Another fail, but it didn't fail too hard.
 * <font color="#ffe775">Fabio :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">0% - Yet another fishspinner.
 * Grading: <font color="#FC0">C - Well, it could have been higher, but it's only because it failed even though it was expected to be a major. And it was 5 mph away from becoming one, and might have even had the chance to become a C4 or possibly even C5. I would have put it lower, but at least it did reach a high intensity.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Gilma :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">0% - Another fish-spinning fishspinner.
 * Grading: <font color="#300">Z- - It barely lasted more than two days, and was only a TS for 6 hours. In other words, it didn't try at all.
 * <font color="#5ebaff">Nine-E


 * Retirement: <font color="#666">N/A
 * Grading: <font color="#900">F- - Another weak depression. At least it didn't steal a name like the above storm did.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Hector :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">0% - Impact was minimal.
 * Grading: S - This is hands down the best storm of the season. It crossed all three basins, the last time this happened was with Genevieve in 2014. It also broke the record for most consecutive days as a major hurricane and most hours as a C4 in the northeastern Pacific. Best of all, it didn't harm me at all (I live in Hawaii FYI). C5 or not, it still earned the highest grade.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Ileana :
 * Retirement: <font color="#05F">3% - 4 deaths. Still unlikely for retirement.
 * Grading: <font color="#9F0">C+ - It did its best, unfortunately eaten up by John. It could have been a hurricane.
 * <font color="#ffe775">John :
 * Retirement: 0% - Only high surf.
 * Grading: <font color="#FC0">C- - While it did get some points for eating up a storm, it flunked major status.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Kristy :
 * Retirement: 0% - Fishspinner.
 * Grading: <font color="#F00">E - It could have become a hurricane, but it failed.


 * <font color="#ff6060">Lane :
 * Retirement: <font color="#00a0a0">21% - Well, this is a hard one. Lane was the third wettest tropical cyclone to hit Hawaii, bringing 52 inches. It didn't really affect me too much, which is good. This grade however is not final as the deaths and damage are unknown.
 * Grading: <font color="#0C3">A - Lane was an impressive storm to say for the least. It did become the first Category 5 hurricane in 3 years and the first C5 in the Central Pacific since 2006, but unfortunately, it caused Hawaii (which is where I live in, BTW) to get very paranoid with the threatening of a potential landfall, but it didn't make landfall (which is good). The combination of the storm being impressive while threatening me at the same time makes the grade uncertain, but for now I'll give it an A.

Notes: Harveycane (Talk |  Contributions)  07:52, August 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * Percentages/grades in italics indicate temporary ratings and would have yet to change.

Lee’s retirement predictions
Leeboy100 Hello!! 07:18, August 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * Aletta- 0%: Nice harmless Category 4 to start the season. However, no impacts= no retirement.
 * Bud-1%: Another Category 4. Made landfall in Baja, but didn’t do much. It’s staying.
 * Carlotta-2%: Like Bud, it caused some impacts to land. Still, also like Bud, it’s staying.
 * Daniel-0%: Well, it existed. That’s about all I can say.
 * Emilia-0%: Ehhhh.
 * Fabio-0%: Was a nice system to look at for a few days.
 * Gilma-0%: Absolutely not.
 * Hector- 0%: Absolutely amazing storm, and my favorite of the year so far. Became a really strong Cat 4, and lasted quite a while, not harming anyone in the process. First storm to cross all three Northern Pacific basins since Genevieve. It may be upgraded to a Cat 5 in post analysis, but since neither Jose or Joaquin were, I won’t hold my breath. No impacts doesn’t get it a chance at retirement, but I’ll give him this (⭐️) for being such a great storm.
 * Ileana- 5%: Unfortunately, I have to revise my previous prediction. Ileana did manage to cause 4 deaths before becoming lunch for Hurricane John. Still, I don’t see her going anywhere.
 * John- 0%: Other than completely murdering another storm, John didn’t do much. He’s staying.
 * Kristy- 0%: Didn’t do much. Staying
 * Lane- Currently active Expected to bring impacts to Hawaii. Currently a high-end category 4, but will weaken before it gets to Hawaii. Lane, behave.

IbAHAn1829tree's Name Retirement Chances
Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 11:20, August 15, 2018 (UTC) Updated on October 02, 2018.
 * Category 4 Aletta - 0% : C4 fishspinner, did nothing to land.
 * Category 4 Bud - 0% : Another C4 storm, hit land but did nothing.
 * Tropical Storm Carlotta - 0% : A TS, hit land but did nothing.
 * Tropical Storm Daniel - 0% : Not sure why this name was even used for this storm.
 * Tropical Storm Emilia - 0% : Another TS that did nothing.
 * Category 2 Fabio - 0% : A C2 that failed to reach major hurricane intensity since it was so big and did nothing.
 * Tropical Storm Gilma - 0% : Epic fail, even worse than Felicia '15.
 * Category 4 Hector - 0% : Almost became a C5 and existed in all three North Pacific basins, but did nothing.
 * Tropical Storm Ileana - 0.1% : Sadly caused the deaths of 4 people before being eaten by Hurricane John.
 * Category 2 John - 0% : Failed to become a C3, ate TS Ileana.
 * Tropical Storm Kristy - 0% : Did nothing.
 * CATEGORY 5 LANE - 50% : Caused major flooding on the Big Island of Hawaii. The damage totals have yet to be found, plus I think they'll get rid of this name anyway.
 * Category 2 Miriam - 0% : Was doomed to be a fail, but instead became a Category 2. It never did anything to land anyway.
 * Category 4 Norman - 0% : Is currently a fishspinner that almost became a C5.
 * Category 4 Olivia - 0.1% : It reached C4 intensity before making landfalls on Hawaii.
 * Tropical Storm Paul - 0% : Weak storm that did nothing.
 * Category 4 Rosa - 1% : Is causing flooding in Arizona and California.
 * Category 3 Sergio - 0% : Fishspinner storm that will do nothing.
 * CATEGORY 5 WALAKA - Greater than 0% : Is hitting Johnston Atoll with near C5 winds. Oh boy...

SHP's Grades and Retirement Predictions
Intensity colors: <font color="#5ebaff">TD , <font color="#00faf4">TS , <font color="#ffffcc">C1 , <font color="#ffe775">C2 , <font color="#ffc140">C3 , <font color="#ff8f20">C4 , <font color="#ff6060">C5 

Grade colors:  S ,  A+ ,  A ,  A- ,  B ,  C ,  D ,  E ,  F ,  Failippe 

Note: Impact to land has no affect on grade, aside from S rank, which is reserved for fishspinners.


 * <font color="#5ebaff">One-E : Grade:  E  - Retirement: 0% - Forgettable TD, only saved from an F by being a pre-season storm.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Aletta : Grade:  A+  - Retirement: 0% - Defied predictions by exploding into a Cat. 4, showing Adrian how it's done.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Bud : Grade:  A  - Retirement: 0.1% - Did what Aletta did except slightly weaker and with minor land impacts.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Carlottta : Grade:  D  - Retirement: 1% - Hovered around the Mexican coast for a while, but impacts were thankfully not all that major.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Danfail : Grade:  F  - Retirement: 0% - Historic major turned epic fail. Dissapointing.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Emilia : Grade:  D  - Retirement: 0% - Uh...
 * <font color="#ffe775">Fabio : Grade:  C  - Retirement: 0% - Decent storm, but just barely missed Cat. 3 status despite predictions. Grade will go up if he attains major status on post-analysis.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Failma : Grade:  Failippe  - Retirement: 0% - It could've been just another forgettable TD, but it had to go and steal the name Gilma in the worst way possible. What a disgrace.
 * <font color="#5ebaff">Nine-E : Grade:  F  - Retirement: 0% - It existed. NEXT!
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Hector : Grade:  S  - Retirement: 0% - Oh man, what a storm. It spent the longest consecutive time as a major in the history of the E Pac, racked up the 4th highest ACE in the history of the E Pac, crossed through 3 basins, and left Hawaii alone. Cat. 5 or no, Hector is definitely deserving of my highest grade, and is now one of my personal favorite storms of all time.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Ileana : Grade  D (inner) - Retirement: 4% - Tried to become a hurricane, but her time was cut short by her big brother John. Unfortunately, she caused the deaths of 4 people.
 * <font color="#ffe775">John : Grade:  C (annibal) - Retirement: 0% - Missed major status, but I consider that karma for consuming Ileana. Not cool, John.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Kristy : Grade:  D  - Retirement: 0% - Came closer to hurricane status than Ileana, but still failed.
 * <font color="#ff6060">Lane : Grade:  A+  - Retirement: ??? - Definitely an impressive storm, being the first Cat. 5 in the Central Pacific since Ioke, the second storm this season to have an ACE total over 40 units, and an impressive display of resilience in the face of high shear. However, he is kept from S rank by his impacts in Hawaii, where he dumped the second highest amount of rain from a tropical cyclone in US history on the Big Island. The monetary damage from this could wind up being some of the worst Hawaii has ever seen, but I will reserve my retirement prediction until more estimates come out.
 * <font color="#ffe775">Miriam : Grade:  A-  - Retirement: 0% - Gets an A- rank for defying predictions and becoming a Cat 2 in the face of quite a lot of shear. Well done Miriam!
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Norman : Grade:  S  - Retirement: 0% - Initially looked to be another almost-but-not-quite Cat 5, but proved to be incredibly resilient when he restrengthened into a major not once, but twice, the second time being almost right out of nowhere. He also avoided land entirely, which, along with his performance, justifies him earning an S rank in my eyes.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Olivia : Grade:  A  - Retirement: 5% - Managed to reach Cat. 4 intensity, and became the first storm to ever make landfall on Maui. Impacts were, thankfully, not all that bad.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Paul : Grade:  F  - Retirement: 0% - Random fail to balance out all the awesome storms that came before it.
 * <font color="#5ebaff">Nineteen-E : Grade:  E  - Retirement: 0% - Formed in the Gulf of California which is strange enough to save it from an F ranking.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Rosa : Grade:  A  - Retirement: 10% - The next in of the many Cat. 4s this season. Wound up hitting Baja as a depression later it's lifespan, and unfortunately killed quite a few people.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Sergio : Grade: ??? - Retirement: ??? - Still active.
 * <font color="#ff6060">Walaka : Grade: ??? - Retirement: ??? - Still active.

More will be added as needed. Send Help Please (talk) 16:21, August 15, 2018 (UTC)

Retirement predictions from Nut
Eh, boredom from me equals retirement predictions. Nutfield001 (talk) 21:43, September 11, 2018 (UTC)
 * One - N/A - Pre-season storm which flopped whilst trying to become a pre-season TS. At least there isn't that name steal.
 * Aletta - 0% - An impressive C4 storm to kick off June. No impacts equal no retirement.
 * Bud - 1% - Another C4, albeit a weaker one. I can't imagine retirement as he didn't kill anyone, damage was overall negligible in Baja and the rain his remnants brought was actually beneficial to the region, especially parts of California and Arizona.
 * Carlotta - 5% - Classic old TS that paralleled the Mexican Pacific coast, bringing minor impact to parts of Mexico ineligible for retirement by their standards.
 * Daniel - 0% - From what holded a MH streak since the '00s ended up becoming a failicia. Disappointing.
 * Emilia - 0% - Better than Daniel, but barely did a thing.
 * Fabio - 0% - It could've done better, let's be honest. Peaked at 110mph despite forecasts for it to become a major. A disappointment, but not a major one.
 * Gilma - 0% - Essentially a repeat of the infamous Felicia 2015. Pathetic fail, even Daniel did better.
 * Hector - 1% - From a flop of a storm to a tri-basin storm. First to cross past 180° since Genevieve, its record number of days spent as a major is all that impressive of a storm. Ultimately, it peaked at 155mph which is a slight shame. Oh well. Marginal credit given due to its very minor impacts to Hawaii (which would eventually be worsened later).
 * Ileana - 5% - Only did the surf that sadly killed three. No retirement though.
 * John - 0% - Did nothing other than produce high surfs across the Mexican and Baja Californian coastline. It did absorb Ileana but failed to become a major.
 * Kristy - 0% - A storm that missed hurricane status but was closer than Ileana, at least it tried.
 * Lane - 60% - Tricky to answer tbh. Given Hawaii's retirement standards and the hype of the storm approaching the islands as well as becoming the third wettest TC to hit the islands, slightly less than expected damage was wrought to the islands. It could've been much worse if it wasn't for the shear. It might be retired, it might not; it's just unpredictable really. I'm impressed by the fact that this became a C5 though, pulling in slightly more effort than Hector.
 * Miriam - 0% - Despite the strong shear, it managed to go beyond our forecasting boundaries and became a C2. Impressed.
 * Norman - 0% - Impressive performance. Became a 150mph major and a 130mph major second time round (C4 peaks twice) despite the conditions. Again, would be better if it was a C5 but then again, it was still a great storm nonetheless.
 * Olivia - TBC - Currently active storm which is posing a minor threat to Hawaii. Hoping impacts aren't major considering they had Lane not so long ago. Despite that, it was mostly a fishspinner that became a C4. Nothing else needed.
 * Paul - TBC - Currently active.

Male "L" names (Potentially for Lane)
We're 12 storms down so far, but Lane is rapidly looking like a very dangerous threat to Hawaii, and it wouldn't be a stretch to say he could already be the 2018 EPac season's first serious retirement candidate. If Lane does cause notable effects to Hawaii over the coming days, what do you think will replace him? Here are some suggestions: My first choice would be Lucas, but Leo, Levi, Lance, and Laurence, among others, are good too. Ryan1000 20:50, August 21, 2018 (UTC)
 * Lucas
 * Luke
 * Leo(n)
 * Leonard(o)
 * Logan
 * Levi
 * Landon
 * Laurence
 * Lance
 * Lamar
 * Luciano

I kinda think something English and simple, like Lane himself, will be the replacement. Luke anyone? (Logan reminds me of Paul but sadly not something hurricane ppl will chose :/ also leonardo is nice, like dicaprio, and kendrick lamar. levi ackerman/strauss anyone?) most likely luke though. what about lander? I know a guy named lander irl... lance is literally lane with a c tbh --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 00:29, August 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * This may be jumping the gun, but my hat's in for either Lucas or Laurence. Send Help Please  (talk) 01:34, August 22, 2018 (UTC)

In my opinion, Lucas, Luke, and Landon could be a best fit for Lane's replacement, that is if Lane does some notable impacts for Hawaii. I got some other male "L" names: I honestly don't think any of the names I've listed would be a best fit, but those are some other male "L" names. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     02:23, August 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * Liam
 * Lucius
 * Lionel
 * Linius
 * Leif
 * Lennon
 * Layton
 * Luigi (This would be funny having Mario and Luigi on the same basin)
 * Lucien


 * Forgot about Luigi, that would be a good pick too. Or Lucifer, but that's a bit intimidating, to say the least. Ryan1000 05:30, August 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * That would have to be one of my favorite potential replacements, honestly... can you just imagine the irony of a 40 mph epic fail named Lucifer? :D (or, indeed, how fitting it would be for a Category 5 Hurricane Lucifer to threaten land...)
 * In all seriousness though, my top 5 would have to be Lazlo, Luke, Luigi, Liam, and Lucifer, in that order. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 09:38, August 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * Lucas, Luke, Liam, or Luigi seem most likely for me. ~ KN2731 {talk} 12:04, August 23, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Season Changes
^This is the storm's peak intensity while it was located east of the Central Pacific, and the CPac TCR's on these storms will come out separately. In the CPac, Hector's operational peak was 155 mph and 936 mbars, Lane's CPac peak was 160 mph and 922 mbars, and Miriam's CPac peak was 100 mph and 974 mbars.

^^These storms didn't dissipate on these dates, but moved into the CPac (and later WPac for Hector) basins.

Already we have our first TCR, its for One-E. Only change was that the pressure was raised to 1007, and One-E's duration was decreased by one day. -- Roy 25  23:11, July 17, 2018 (UTC)


 * Aletta is out. No changes happened to her though. Ryan1000 14:17, August 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * do you want to put speeds in km/h for us non-americans or not --🅱ust 🅱hut 🅱p 🅱lready 😂😂👌🏿👌🏿💯💯 (talk) 17:50, August 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * Sorry for the late reply, but the table wouldn't look very neat if we put in the winds in knots, mph and km/hr, since it's only so wide and every storm would then have 2 or more rows for it. It's better with just 1 row per storm the way it is. Ryan1000 14:20, August 11, 2018 (UTC)

Also, changed a few things on Hector, since the EPac and CPac TCR's will be separate, and Hector's peak while east of the CPac was lower. Ryan1000 16:08, August 14, 2018 (UTC)

Emilia is out. Not much change. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:30, August 28, 2018 (UTC)
 * Only difference is that Emilia's duration was cut slightly short; operationally she was thought to dissipate on July 2nd, now it was on the 1st. Ryan1000 13:42, August 28, 2018 (UTC)

Nine-E came out a month ago, though it wasn't put up on the NHC's site until recently. Only change is the pressure is down by 1 mbar. Ryan1000 17:17, September 26, 2018 (UTC)