Forum:Worldwide activity discussion

Worldwide activity discussion
Worldwide activity discussion (continued pt. 4) Ok! The world is going through some serious inactivity right now. The Atlantic has had 2 very close storms, but both of them failed. The MJO is in the Atlantic which is stopping the WPac, which usually peaks right now, to have any form of activity. Despite such a strong MJO in the Atlantic, the low vertical instability (which has reigned all year) and high wind shear are stopping everything from being anything. There also seems to be a lack of vertical instability in the WPac as they are having a deficit of typhoons. Seems like all of it moved to the EPac. All I can say is, because of the lack of heat released in the Caribbean this year, and the fact that it is going to be a La Nina year next year, we could see some serious storms pop up in the Caribbean. Yqt1001 12:40, October 18, 2011 (UTC)


 * Domino effect! And don't count out the upper level winds. 10'Q.'INVEST 20:05, October 18, 2011 (UTC)


 * At least now we have something going in the NIO. 10'Q.'INVEST 22:07, October 18, 2011 (UTC)
 * And gone...now we're going into serious inactivity.10'Q.'INVEST 23:42, October 19, 2011 (UTC)
 * As soon something dies...there's a new one in the Atlantic. (Finally!)10'Q.'INVEST 21:46, October 20, 2011 (UTC)


 * not 1 but 2 at last we may get Rina after all and if we have luck we would get Sean Allanjeffs 05:21, October 21, 2011 (UTC)


 * The west pacific seem so dead but maybe now that the MJO is moving back and probalble have 4 storm now Allanjeffs 04:33, October 26, 2011 (UTC)
 * Yep, the WPAC will tie the October record low (1 storm) if we can't get another storm by 2359 UTC on October 31. Hurricane Andrew (444) 18:22, October 27, 2011 (UTC)
 * ATL has pretty much shut down. Rina reminds me of Don. It just fell apart when it made landfall, or just before it's landfall on the Yucatan. The EPac is also silencing out. SHem will start up, WPac has another chance, and so does NIO. Ryan1000 01:40, October 28, 2011 (UTC)


 * We couls have Tammy if we have luck at the middle of this month Allanjeffs 12:16, November 8, 2011 (UTC)
 * I would say getting to Alpha is the furthest we'll go, but we're likely not going past Vince. 04L.ANDREW 23:44, November 12, 2011 (UTC)
 * Worldwide, this is the third consecutive year in a row in which we were dead worldwide. We currently have a total of only 64 storms worldwide in 2011. Last year was the second-least active season ever, with 68 named storms, and 1977 had 60. The main reason for this was the SWIO and NIO. The southern hemisphere had only 16 storms this year, with Arani, the SPac's 6, the AUS region's 7, and the SWIO's measly two... The SWIO normally is the most active SHem basin, but they had their least active season on record this year, if not the least active in many, many, many years. NIO had only one storm thus far, which will be a record there too if we don't get one more named storm before January 1(1993). WPac had only 19 named storms on their part, which would make for the third least active season ever after last year and 1998. EPac somehow had more hurricanes and major hurricanes than the Atlantic despite only having about half the number of named storms, with 10, and if we don't get a 4-storm December this year, we will beat last year as being the second least active worldwide season on record. 1977 likely won't be beaten for a long time to come, if they ever will. Ryan1000 21:13, November 14, 2011 (UTC)

IMO, the most shocking thing about 2011 is that the North Atlantic had more named storms than the entire Southern Hemisphere (18 v. 16)! That's crazy! Andrew444 (Talk) (Contribs) 00:24, November 15, 2011 (UTC)

Last year the Atlantic beat the WPac basin, but that was only because the WPac had their least active season on record, and 2005 was the most active ever. 2005 is not only the first known year in history to have more ATL storms than WPac storms, but it was also the first, if not one of only very few, seasons to surpass the SHem. We still have November and December left in 2011 though, so don't write off SHem just yet. 2005 also had 97 storms form worldwide, which is by far the highest ever. Ryan1000 03:29, November 15, 2011 (UTC)