Forum:2018 North Indian Ocean cyclone season/March-November

90B.INVEST
First 2018 North Indian Cyclone Invest! --211.198.26.242 11:35, March 11, 2018 (UTNC)

Now on JTWC with a low chance of development. --Roy25 19:55, March 11, 2018 (UTC)

The models aren't too enthusiastic about it but I hope it forms TBH.No.1 Mobile (talk) 20:47, March 11, 2018 (UTC)


 * It might peak at deep depression at most, according to models mentioned by RSMC New Delhi's outlook. They have it as "low" for 24-48 hours, but "moderate" for 48-72 hours. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  01:28, March 12, 2018 (UTC)

Is now a "Well-marked LPA" according to IMD with a high chance of formation and a code orange on jtwc.Here comes the 1st storm of the season!No.1 Mobile (talk) 17:52, March 12, 2018 (UTC)

Depression ARB 01
It's here.No.1 Mobile (talk) 14:54, March 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * Still a depression, but it's now coded yellow on JTWC. -- Roy 25  22:54, March 14, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of ARB 01
dead.No.1 Mobile (talk) 04:23, March 15, 2018 (UTC)

91A.INVEST
Second invest in the basin this year. Low chance from JTWC. -- Roy 25  23:37, May 14, 2018 (UTC)
 * Looks very far west... hopefully the first named storm comes from this. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:17, May 15, 2018 (UTC)

Well here is a possible outcome for the invest, according to windy.com.

Tiger | Alberto will form!!! 10:24, May 15, 2018 (UTC)

Looks like a decent candidate for Sagar. Interesting storm to track if it forms. - Garfield
 * Now a medium chance from JTWC. God, this will be an interesting storm if it forms as it is far west. --70.190.21.73 14:25, May 15, 2018 (UTC)

Depression ARB 02
It's here. again.No.1 Mobile (talk) 19:13, May 16, 2018 (UTC)
 * Again? This is a different depression lol. Now a tropical storm on the SSHWS. -- Roy 25  23:26, May 16, 2018 (UTC)
 * This system is in the Gulf of Aden which makes it a bit interesting. In the long run, it will strike land in 3 days. --70.190.21.73 00:04, May 17, 2018 (UTC)

Cyclonic Storm Sagar
Haven't posted in this basin forum for a while, but Sagar is now here and it could hit the western end of Somalia or Djbouti as a weak TS or depression in a few days, and it looks like it'll be the first storm since 01A of 1984 to transit the whole of the Gulf of Aden to western Somalia. Ryan1000 10:28, May 17, 2018 (UTC)
 * Wow, it intensifies into a cyclonic storm. I can’t say anything else. --70.190.21.73 14:23, May 17, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now in the Gulf of Aden, forecast to make landfall in Somalia on Saturday. -- Roy 25  22:32, May 18, 2018 (UTC)

Fun fact: Sagar means ocean in Bengali.Swirling Magnetar (talk) 03:02, May 19, 2018 (UTC)
 * A weird storm for sure. Only the 2nd in recorded history to entirely transverse the Gulf of Aden (after 01A of 1984). Expected to make landfall in northwestern Somalia very soon. If a storm can really head this far west, I guess it's only a matter of time before we witness a TC entering the Red Sea 😝 ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:12, May 19, 2018 (UTC)
 * Sagar is now making landfall in Somalia, expected to dissipate later. --70.190.21.73 15:45, May 19, 2018 (UTC)

Deep Depression Sagar
Now downgraded to a deep depression. --70.190.21.73 00:35, May 20, 2018 (UTC)

Depression Sagar
Now a depression. --70.190.21.73 04:27, May 20, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Sagar
Now gone. Unfortunately caused 4 deaths. -- Roy 25  20:10, May 20, 2018 (UTC)
 * Up to 16! ☹️ Probably because the region is poverty-stricken and not used to TCs. It's also the westernmost landfalling cyclone on record in the NIO. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:26, May 21, 2018 (UTC)

I checked it just now. It caused 22 deaths! Sad! Tiger | Alberto will form!!! 13:48, May 21, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now the death toll is now 31. :( --70.190.21.73 14:27, May 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * That is quite a lot, in addition, Sagar has now caused an estimated US$80 million. -- Roy 25  22:32, May 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * death toll now just says “over 50”...69.58.110.138 13:19, May 23, 2018 (UTC)
 * Deaths now 55. -- Roy 25  00:07, May 27, 2018 (UTC)

03A.MEKUNU
See the archive on Mekunu.

93B.INVEST
okay,wtf is this?No.1 Mobile (talk) 14:13, May 21, 2018 (UTC)
 * Missed a chance to see it, but no longer in JTWC. Ah well all those invests in this basin is probably because the entire basin have EXTREMELY warm water. -- Roy 25  16:15, May 21, 2018 (UTC)

Well it's not up on JTWC yet.No.1 Mobile (talk) 21:49, May 21, 2018 (UTC)
 * Not even on Tropical Tidbits anymore, so I guess this invest is dead. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:34, May 26, 2018 (UTC)

94A.INVEST
Another one up. ~ KN2731 {talk} 04:06, May 28, 2018 (UTC)
 * Not yet on JTWC, but up on Tropical Tidbits. -- Roy 25  15:34, May 28, 2018 (UTC)
 * This will not develop, or just dissipate within the next couple days. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:45, May 30, 2018 (UTC)

95B.INVEST
On JTWC with a medium chance of formation. -- Roy 25  15:34, May 28, 2018 (UTC)

Deep Depression BOB 01
As we were all distracted with Alberto, this depression formed earlier today, and made landfall in Myanmar. Still active according to Wikipedia. -- Roy 25  23:30, May 29, 2018 (UTC)
 * I was distracted by Alberto too, pretty sure we all were. Of course, I missed this system due to that. Was not much of a biggie, but it did bring torrential rains and strong winds to Myanmar and Bangladesh. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:45, May 30, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone BOB 01
Gone, at least peaked as TS on the SSHWS. -- Roy 25  22:32, May 30, 2018 (UTC)

96B.INVEST
And the NIO somehow wakes up. This invest is currently under code yellow on JTWC. Likely to remain as an invest, though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 07:40, July 21, 2018 (UTC)
 * I also don't see this strengthening anytime soon, if not, never, as it is near Bangladesh. -- Roy 25  16:43, July 21, 2018 (UTC)
 * Dead. -- Roy 25  18:25, July 21, 2018 (UTC)

97B.INVEST
New invest at the Bay of Bengal according to Tropical Tidbits. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 19:43, September 16, 2018 (UTC)
 * Low chance on JTWC. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:55, September 18, 2018 (UTC)
 * Medium chance now on JTWC.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     23:56, September 18, 2018 (UTC)

TCFA issued, code red now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:40, September 20, 2018 (UTC)

Cyclonic Storm Daye
Nobody noticed this became NIO's third named storm of the season? Should be weak before landfall. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     02:32, September 21, 2018 (UTC)
 * haha dayeee --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 18:48, September 21, 2018 (UTC)
 * Dead. I hope Daye did not cause any severe damage. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:52, September 22, 2018 (UTC)

98B.INVEST
Another Bay of Bengal invest on Tropical Tidbits. This may either get absorbed by 97B or form as another tropical disturbance. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 05:25, September 19, 2018 (UTC)
 * Dead. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 06:07, September 21, 2018 (UTC)

04A.LUBAN
If anyone cares about the other side of the world... a new invest has popped up near India in the Arabian Sea, code yellow on JTWC and "high" chance for 72+ hours on RSMC New Delhi's page. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:19, October 5, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now code orange on JTWC. Likely to become "Luban" and be potentially significant in the long term. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:56, October 6, 2018 (UTC)

Depression ARB 04
Now a depression according to the IMD. Also, on the topic of basins that nobody cares about, there was a tropical storm, named Liua, in the South Pacific that appears to have completely flown under the radar here. Acccording to Wikipedia, it is the earliest forming named storm on record there. Send Help Please (talk) 18:49, October 6, 2018 (UTC)

Deep Depression ARB 04
Yet another Arabian Peninsula threat here... will this be named Luban? Most likely. BTW, I actually I put Liua in the Southern Hemisphere page, but I forgot to update it though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 17:47, October 7, 2018 (UTC)

Cyclonic Storm Luban
And 04A is now a cyclonic storm. Forecast to affect Oman/Yemen. This is somewhat a weaker repeat of Chapala/Megh, but Luban will pass north of Socotra this time. JTWC forecast expects Luban to peak at 75 mph. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 03:24, October 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * Yep, it reminds me of a weaker version of those two storms. It's headed for a landfall in Yemen, probably west of Mukalla. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:32, October 9, 2018 (UTC)

Severe Cyclonic Storm Luban
Now a severe cyclonic storm. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     21:06, October 09, 2018 (UTC)
 * (Edit conflict) Current 1 minute sustained winds are at 65 mph with a central pressure of 992 mb. Currently forecast to peak at around 90 mph. Send Help Please  (talk) 21:16, October 9, 2018 (UTC)

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Luban
While all eyes are on Michael, we have another intensifying storm in the other side of the world. I hope Luban won't be that bad for Yemen and Oman. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 10:02, October 10, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now expected to landfall in eastern Yemen. Considering how impoverished the region is, this might be a bad storm (let's all hope it won't be). ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  17:30, October 11, 2018 (UTC)

Cyclonic Storm Luban (2nd time)
Down to cyclonic storm strength as it closes in on Yemen. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:05, October 14, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of Luban
If anyone cares, Luban has died out. Impacts are not released yet but hoping it wasn't bad there. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  00:28, October 16, 2018 (UTC)

90B.INVEST
Went unnoticed for a few days, but was invested as 90B according to JTWC. Like Luban, it also did not appear on Tropical Tidbits. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 16:07, October 8, 2018 (UTC)

Depression BOB 08
TCFA issued bt JTWC, but this system is already considered by the IMD as a depression. With the Pacific currently largely dormant (except for Sergio, of course), the Atlantic and the NIO are currently stealing the spotlight. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 16:07, October 8, 2018 (UTC)

Deep Depression BOB 08
It seems a bit weird for there to be plenty of NIO activity but a completely dormant WPac, don't you think? Michael in the Atlantic is surely the one stealing almost ALL the spotlight at the moment due to its threat to the Florida Panhandle. Back on topic, BOB 08 is now a deep depression and looks like it'll hit India and strengthen to a cyclonic storm (the name "Titli" is next). ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:37, October 9, 2018 (UTC)

Cyclonic Storm Titli
And it has been upgraded to a cyclonic storm. Forecast to stay just below C1 status. May become a deadly rainfall event for India though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 12:05, October 9, 2018 (UTC)

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Titli
Like Luban, Titli is also a Cat 1-equivalent cyclone now, and a VSCS on IMD's/NIO scale. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 10:03, October 10, 2018 (UTC)

Cyclonic Storm Titli (2nd time)
Weakened back to a cyclonic storm as it moves into India. Unfortunately, this looks like it could be a very bad storm. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  17:27, October 11, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of Titli
Dissipated nearly 2 days ago. Eight people are reported to have died because of this storm, but apparently damage caused by Titli was not that severe. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:25, October 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * You might have to take your words back. Death toll is now 61! 😰 ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:12, October 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * Death toll now 85, hopefully it doesn't continue to rise. And also $905 million in damages. What a horrible storm. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  01:27, October 28, 2018 (UTC)

98B.INVEST
Invest over Myanmar, but land interaction should stop any further development. Most likely redesignated from the WPac invest 98W. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:12, October 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * Dead. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:45, October 26, 2018 (UTC)

91B.INVEST
Another new BOB invest on Tropical Tidbits. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:45, October 26, 2018 (UTC)
 * Long dead. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:15, November 3, 2018 (UTC)

90W.INVEST
Currently crossing into this basin and over Malaysia at the moment. Code orange on JTWC. Potentially it could become Gaja. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:50, November 9, 2018 (UTC)
 * Code red on JTWC, TCFA issued. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:03, November 10, 2018 (UTC)

Cyclonic Storm Gaja
Now named, and a cyclonic storm ATM. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     18:57, November 11, 2018 (UTC)
 * Expected to intensify into a Severe Cyclonic Storm and strike southern India and then cross into the Arabian Sea. I hope it's not too bad there. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:01, November 13, 2018 (UTC)

Deep Depression Gaja
Downgraded to deep depression status. It peaked as a Severe Cyclonic Storm before crossing India, now it's in the Arabian Sea. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:52, November 17, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of Gaja
Finally gone, but not after causing 46 deaths and $550 million worth of damages. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:13, November 20, 2018 (UTC)