Forum:2018-19 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season

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Related Pages:
 * 2018-19 Australian Region cyclone season (Betting pools)
 * 2018-19 South Pacific cyclone season (Betting pools)

91S.INVEST
Oh. Off-season invest according to Tropical Tidbits. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:20, July 27, 2018 (UTC)
 * Still present on Tropical Tidbits... what is going on here? Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 00:11, July 31, 2018 (UTC)

90S.INVEST
Pre-season invest on Tropical Tidbits. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:01, September 14, 2018 (UTC)

Zone of Disturbed Weather 01
And we have our first SWIO storm of the season. Probably will be weak, but will it become Alcide? ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     21:35, September 14, 2018 (UTC)


 * This has been upgraded to a tropical storm by JTWC. MFR isn't expecting this to go past TD status though. ~ KN2731 {talk} 04:30, September 15, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 01
Now officially a depression, starting the season relatively early. This is probably an equivalent of a March NHEM storm. Anyways, expected to stay as a depression. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     17:24, September 15, 2018 (UTC)
 * Quite surprised this developed into a TD. It's actually like a storm forming in mid-March in the Northern Hemisphere. JTWC already has it at tropical storm-equivalent intensity, and hopefully it doesn't steal a name. Expected to stay very weak. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:28, September 16, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of 01
Dead for a few days. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     23:56, September 18, 2018 (UTC)

92S.INVEST
New one located quite close to the Equator, code yellow on JTWC. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:31, September 30, 2018 (UTC)
 * Still active but unlikely to develop further. Peaked at code orange earlier, is back down to code yellow now on JTWC. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:22, October 5, 2018 (UTC)
 * Apparently gone from JTWC but 92S returned to Tropical Tidbits' section for invests. Anonymous 2.0 (talk)

93S.INVEST
A new system in a basin that nobody cares about, up on Tropical Tidbits. Alcide anyone? The SHem will start ramping up in the coming months though as their season begins. ~  Steve 🎃   Happy  Halloween!  💀👻  04:06, November 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * Dead. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:12, November 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * Actually I take that back. Low chance on JTWC, located almost near the TCWC Jakarta boundary. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  20:57, November 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * Officially dead.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     18:11, November 04, 2018 (UTC)

Back up on JTWC with code yellow. It doesn't want to give up apparently. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:46, November 9, 2018 (UTC)
 * This just shot up to code red on JTWC, TCFA issued. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:03, November 10, 2018 (UTC)

Moderate Tropical Storm Bouchra
Named since yesterday, and this was apparently a STS earlier, but got downgraded. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     18:54, November 11, 2018 (UTC)


 * Bouchura poses no land threat as it meanders southwest of Indonesia, but it's pretty early to see the 2nd named storm of the SWIO season by now. Ryan1000 10:03, November 12, 2018 (UTC)

Zone of Disturbed Weather Bouchra
Yeah, it's currently the equivalent of the NHem's mid-May. Pretty early to see 2 named storms here already. Anyway, TCWC Reunion is already dropping the system, but JTWC maintains this as a tropical system with even some re-intensification expected. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:06, November 13, 2018 (UTC)
 * It looks like JTWC has also issued their final advisory. Goodbye, Bouchra! ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  02:55, November 14, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of Bouchra
Remnants are back on JTWC with code yellow. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:48, November 17, 2018 (UTC)
 * This seriously doesn't want to ever give up. Code red on JTWC, TCFA issued. Also code red on TCWC Reunion's site. Also, apparently this was 04S instead of 03S, so I changed the header accordingly. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  03:20, November 18, 2018 (UTC)

Moderate Tropical Storm Bouchra
Regenerated. IbAHAn1829 \I like weather/ \Contributions/ 13:57, November 18, 2018 (UTC)

94S.INVEST
Another new one on Tropical Tidbits, located further west than 93S. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  20:57, November 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now medium chance per JTWC.  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     18:12, November 04, 2018 (UTC)


 * High chance from JTWC. Could this be the second pre-season storm of the 2018-19 SWIO season, maybe even named Alcide?  ~ Roy25     Talk  |  Contributions     03:01, November 06, 2018 (UTC)

Moderate Tropical Storm Alcide
Became Alcide about 18 hours ago. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:12, November 7, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Alcide
And Alcide is already up to TC status (mid-C1 on SSHWS). An eye is already forming on satellite imagery. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:12, November 7, 2018 (UTC)

Intense Tropical Cyclone Alcide
Reached this category earlier. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:45, November 9, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Alcide (2nd time)
Alcide did peak as a cat 3 slightly earlier, but due to weak steering currents, the storm isn't expected to move much and will likely meander just northeast of Madagascar for a while. It might even dissipate offshore without making landfall. Ryan1000 13:39, November 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * I'm quite surprised Alcide got this strong to be honest. Although it wasn't as early as Anais from 2012, it's still very early for an intense TC here and the equivalent of early May for the NHem. It's now a C2-strength cyclone and expected to perform a loop that will take it on a northwestern trajectory while weakening. Alcide should probably miss Madagascar altogether. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:45, November 9, 2018 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Alcide
Down to STS strength. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:00, November 10, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Alcide
Post-tropical per Meteo-France, but still tropical from JTWC. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     18:52, November 11, 2018 (UTC)
 * No longer on JTWC. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  06:07, November 13, 2018 (UTC)

92S.INVEST
Surprised no one put this up yet, but a new area of disturbed weather is out there, and this could become Tropical Storm Cilida as it moves southwest, but then southeast away from Madagascar. MFR gives this a >50% chance of forming in the next few days. Ryan1000 18:00, December 16, 2018 (UTC)

Moderate Tropical Storm Kenanga
Kenanga is now in this basin, as it crossed over from Australia. Still well out to sea though. Ryan1000 17:52, December 16, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Kenanga
Kenanga is looking much healthier right now, as it has a well-defined center and is now a 960 mbar category 2 by the JTWC (though it's 90/968 by MFR). Still well out to sea though. Ryan1000 17:32, December 18, 2018 (UTC)