Forum:2012 Pacific typhoon season

Future start
Far from beginning, but I think we will have a pretty near-normal PTS this year, 23-27 storms, 12-16 typhoons, 5-9 major typhoons and 2 category 5 storms. Ryan1000 01:11, July 10, 2011 (UTC)

First PTS betting pool is open. Betting Pools. 10L.NONAME 23:55, August 29, 2011 (UTC)

97W.INVEST
Here comes another invest. This one takes the place of 96W. --CobraStrike (t)(b)(c) 19:50, June 1, 2012 (UTC)


 * Gone. Cyclone10 E-Mail  18:13, June 5, 2012 (UTC)

98W.INVEST
And another one. This one looks better than 97W, but dang this is really close to the equator. It must be like something on the order of 3-4 degrees north or something. --CobraStrike (t)(b)(c) 19:50, June 1, 2012 (UTC)

Broke up and dissipated. CobraStrike  (t)(b)(c) 13:46, June 3, 2012 (UTC)

99W.INVEST
Unorganized area of shower activity east of the Philippines designated as an INVEST. -- CobraStrike  (t)(b)(c) 17:18, June 6, 2012 (UTC)


 * Out. CobraStrike  (t)(b)(c) 17:28, June 7, 2012 (UTC)

90W.INVEST
New invest.-- Cyclone10 E-Mail  20:58, June 7, 2012 (UTC)


 * Wow this invest looks really good. -- CobraStrike  (t)(b)(c) 21:47, June 7, 2012 (UTC)
 * Probably our next name storm.Allanjeffs 00:16, June 8, 2012 (UTC)


 * GFS develops a weak and (rather small) system that will move to the NW towards Guam. ECMWF doesn't really do anything with this. GEM has... it looks like something. It is interesting to point out that this system is at a very low latitude. Anyone have the JMA model data? Darren 23 CWC 01:15, June 8, 2012 (UTC)


 * I don't have JMA model data (only found one for CONUS) but I do want to point out that 90W continues to impress with good outflow. -- CobraStrike  (t)(b)(c) 19:10, June 8, 2012 (UTC)


 * TCFA :D Cyclone10  E-Mail  20:59, June 8, 2012 (UTC)
 * Looks like this system wants to be Guchol and it looks poise to do it.I think this could be another typhoon in our hands.Allanjeffs 21:04, June 8, 2012 (UTC)


 * TCFA cancelled downgrade to medium.Allanjeffs 00:07, June 10, 2012 (UTC)
 * its upgrade into td 5w base on the JTWC and its expect to be a typhoon.Allanjeffs 01:59, June 11, 2012 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 05W
Finally upgraded. -- CobraStrike  ( t )( b )(c) 02:19, June 11, 2012 (UTC)

Here comes Guchol...Ryan1000 16:41, June 11, 2012 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Guchol (Butchoy)
Not yet, but soon.-- Cyclone10 E-Mail  02:47, June 12, 2012 (UTC)


 * Yep its Guchol, looks good. Too bad the Guam radar can't see Guchol.  CobraStrike  ( t )( b )(c) 14:36, June 12, 2012 (UTC)
 * Looks really good on satellite imagery. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  16:16, June 12, 2012 (UTC)
 * I expect Guchol to become a minimal typhoon in the next 2-3 days before it runs into a sh!tload of shear and collapses 5-6 days from now. Ryan1000 18:20, June 12, 2012 (UTC)


 * This is the best tropical storm I have ever seen in my life it looks like a strengthening category 1 hurricane to me.Allanjeffs 02:42, June 14, 2012 (UTC)

Typhoon Guchol
Only JTWC says it, JMA has Guchol as a STS.-- Cyclone10 E-Mail  15:50, June 14, 2012 (UTC)

Finally!!! JTWC and JMA are really conservative organizations.Allanjeffs 18:01, June 14, 2012 (UTC)

Retirements at a glance
Here's my predictions: -- Cyclone10 E-Mail  20:13, June 6, 2012 (UTC)
 * Pakhar - 10% - Not too much damage, or not enough deaths.
 * Sanvu - 0% - Never touched any landmass.
 * Mawar - <10% - Not so much damage created.
 * Ambo - 5% - Probably not.


 * Little too soon, don't you think? Pakhar may cause severe flooding in Vietnam in the future, but I think i'll wait until later to post my predictions. Ryan1000 13:28, March 29, 2012 (UTC)

Mine:

JMA: PAGASA: -- Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  15:16, March 31, 2012 (UTC)
 * 1) Pakhar - 5% - Not that extreme.
 * 2) Sanvu - 0% - No.
 * 3) Mawar - 1% - I doubt it.
 * 4) Guchol - TBA - Still Active
 * 1) Ambo - 2% - Some effects, but the Philippines has seen much worse.