User blog comment:Ryan1000/Ryan1000's official predictions for worldwide activity of 2012/@comment-5396816-20111204025239/@comment-2239664-20111204225447

WPac may have been dead for their past two seasons, but we can't tell if they will be dead next year or the year after, because WPac is the most active basin worldwide, and you can't change that. Getting 20 storms is low, but getting less than 20 is unlikey. I also don't think we will go to El Nino until the fall/winter of 2012, so a 26-31 storm season or so seems unlikely as well. I think we may get a 2009 repeat for WPac this year, but not for Atlantic/EPac.