Forum:2018 Atlantic hurricane season

The Hall of Fame returns
Earlier today I promoted TG and Steve to new administrators and No. 1 Mobile to a rollback on Hurricane Wiki per the votes they received on the community vote page. Although he wasn't promoted, I talked with Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) on revitalizing Eric (SkyFury's) Hurricane Hall of Fame, which was started many years ago, but wasn't gone that far into and Eric hasn't posted since the end of the 2012 AHS forum, and he's probably retired by now. But with many more notable storms since Eric's (presumed) retirement, I'd like to start it up again and continue his legacy with inducting more storms into the Hall of Fame. Currently he has a record of storms from the Atlantic, East Pacific, and West Pacific, and hasn't gone into the other basins, but with many more users on the wiki since last year's historic AHS, I think we can get a good pool of voters for the hall of fame this year and in coming years. What do you guys think? Ryan1000 23:05, June 14, 2018 (UTC)

July
Since it's officially July now by UTC, I've archived the pre-season and June stuff and begun this section. Doesn't look like we're getting anything soon here though. EPac is probably the only basin to watch right now, and some minor activity in the WPac too. Ryan1000 00:17, July 1, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: Florida Panhandle
I know this would not be anything but I still want to include this AOI since it currently appears in the Atlantic 2-day and 5-day TWOs. 10/10 as of the moment. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 18:52, July 2, 2018 (UTC)


 * The wait for Beryl continues... again...  Send Help Please (talk) 00:25, July 3, 2018 (UTC)


 * Down to near 0/near 0. This won't develop, ever. The below system may have a slight chance in the long run though. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:02, July 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * And died. -- Roy 25  Happy Fourth of July!!! 17:44, July 3, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: Between Bermuda and Florida
Up on the 5 day outlook at 0/20. A non-tropical system is expected to form here by the end of the week and it could acquire some tropical characteristics afterwards. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  05:02, July 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * At least we're getting AOIs even if they aren't doing much right now. Better yet this one is nowhere near land. ~ KN2731 {talk} 12:36, July 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * Hopefully this can develop into something for this month. If it fails at developing, we will probably see both a dead June and July for the first time since 2009. I'd give this a low chance of developing, just for the fact that this system doesn't really have much time before it hits cold waters. GFS is only developing what seems to be a 30 mph tropical depression, moving off to the northeast before becoming extratropical the next day, so I wouldn't expect Beryl out of this one. T  G  2 0 1 8 13:11, July 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now up to 10/30. Also the MDR, while still cold, is warming up the past few days. Just to note that. -- Roy 25  Happy Fourth of July!!! 17:44, July 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now up to 20/50. -- Roy 25  Happy Fourth of July!!! 23:14, July 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * This would be a name-stealer if it develops. I really want the name "Beryl" to finally go to a hurricane this year, so I kinda hope this only peaks as a TD. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:16, July 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * 40/60. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:06, July 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * Still 40/60 as of latest STWO. -- Roy 25  Happy Fourth of July!!! 21:32, July 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now down to 40/50 per latest advisory. -- Roy 25  Happy Fourth of July!!! 23:58, July 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * I am starting to believe that this will go bust, or just become a potential tropical cyclone (PTC). 95L is almost certain to become Beryl. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 00:04, July 5, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: Southwest of Cape Verde Islands
Another AOI, probably the first MDR AOI, currently at 20/20. -- Roy 25  Happy Fourth of July!!! 23:14, July 3, 2018 (UTC)

95L.INVEST
This is labeled as Invest 95L on Tropical Tidbits, but tell me if I am mistaken. Nickcoro (talk) 23:19, July 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * You are not mistaken. In fact, this thing was invested and given AOI status almost simultaneously. ChowKam2002 (talk) 23:30, July 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * I don't think its 95L, its probably 92L, no? From what I heard, it was a typo on TT -- Roy 25  Happy Fourth of July!!! 23:39, July 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * I believe that both this and the AOI will be name stealers if they develop into tropical storms. So hopefully they don't.  Send Help Please (talk) 02:48, July 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * I doubt this will develop, at least for now. It only has until the weekend to develop, but even then, conditions are only somewhat conducive until the weekend. ~  Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:18, July 4, 2018 (UTC)

Yeah this should be 92L, we've had 90L (Alberto) and 91L so far, if you check the archive. It has to be a typo on TropicalTidbits. Ryan1000 07:47, July 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * NESDIS has this as 95L too, and so does the Naval Research Laboratory. Strange. I haven't seen any reason anywhere why 92, 93, and 94 were skipped. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:04, July 4, 2018 (UTC)

While the EPac seems to cool down after Fabio, the Atlantic is slowly becoming active. 95L is currently at 30/30, the above AOI is currently 40/60. We may finally have Beryl and Chris from these two systems, but we can only hope as this season is eerily similar to previous inactive seasons. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 13:33, July 4, 2018 (UTC)


 * They must've made a mistake when labeling this. I've never seen the NHC accidentally skip over invest numbers before. Anyways, it's up to 30/30, but it's going to encounter unfavorable conditions when it reaches the antilles. I think the AOI near Bermuda has a better chance at being Beryl than this. Ryan1000 18:30, July 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * STWO released, and now up to 50/50. This has an outside shot of being Beryl (considering the other AOI doesn't steal the name) before reaching the Lesser Antilles, where there are unfavorable conditions. -- Roy 25  Happy Fourth of July!!! 21:31, July 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * Now up to 70/70, and we may have Beryl. -- Roy 25  Happy Fourth of July!!! 23:57, July 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * That was kinda fast. Anyway, I hope Beryl comes out of this, and I hope she won't be very destructive. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 00:05, July 5, 2018 (UTC)
 * What the- okay then, didn't see this coming. I think it'll still be a name stealer though, if it even gets beyond depression status. Send Help Please  (talk) 01:13, July 5, 2018 (UTC)