Forum:2013-14 Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season/Betting pools

Welcome to the 2013-14 Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season betting pools! Please enjoy this forum!

To keep this betting pool fun and engaging for everyone, please do not bet on storms that have already formed!

NOTE: This page is not intended for actual betting!!!

(This betting pool was created by Andrew444)

Informal betting on date of formation of first storm
I am sorry, but we missed this section (again!). A tropical disturbance formed on July 8 in the South-West Indian Ocean. --Andrew

Informal betting on date of dissipation of last storm
NOTE: This section is for the dissipation date of the last storm in any of the three Southern Hemisphere basins. Please do not bet on storms that have already formed!


 * There will be no storms this year - (extraordinarily unlikely)
 * Before March 1 -
 * March 1 to 10 -
 * March 11 to 20 -
 * March 21 to 31 -
 * April 1 to 10 -
 * April 11 to 20 -
 * April 21 to 30 -
 * May 1 to 10 - There was Kuena and Jamala. Maybe it will happen again in the SWIO? You never know! Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * May 11 to 20 -
 * May 21 to 31 -
 * June 1 to 10 -
 * June 11 to 20 -
 * June 21 to 30 -
 * Storm active at start of July 2014 -

Informal betting on strongest storm name
You may pick one name from each basin. Please do not bet on storms that have already formed!

South-West Indian Ocean:
 * Amara -
 * Bejisa -
 * Colin - When you are in doubt, pick the 'C' or 'I' name. Plus, early season storms can be real destructive! Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * Deliwe -
 * Edilson -
 * Fobane -
 * Guito -
 * Hellen -
 * Ivanoe -
 * Jirani -
 * Katundu -
 * Letso -
 * Mirana -
 * Naserian -
 * Opang -
 * Paya -
 * Querida -
 * Romane -
 * Singano -
 * Tarus -
 * Unami -
 * Vuma -
 * Wamil -
 * Xolile -
 * Yasmine -
 * Zamile -

Australian Region:
 * Alessia -
 * Bruce -
 * Christine - What I said above about Colin. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * Dylan -
 * Edna -
 * Fletcher -
 * Gillian -
 * Hadi -
 * Ita -
 * Jack -
 * Kate -
 * Lam -
 * Marcia -
 * Nathan -

South Pacific Region:
 * Ian - What I said above about Christine and Colin. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * June -
 * Kofi -
 * Lusi -
 * Mike -
 * Nute -
 * Odile -
 * Pam -
 * Reuben -
 * Solo -
 * Tuni -

Informal betting on the strangest storm name
What storm will shred the rules of climatology the most? To make your reply even funnier, please tell why you think so.

NOTE: This section is simply for fun. Please do not cross out storm names as they form and no betting on storms that have already formed! Also, you may only bet on one storm name per basin.

South-West Indian Ocean:
 * Amara -
 * Bejisa -
 * Colin - Erratically loops from Mozambique to Australia, attaining Category 5 intensity and writing its own name in Mandarin Chinese! Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * Deliwe -
 * Edilson -
 * Fobane -
 * Guito -
 * Hellen -
 * Ivanoe -
 * Jirani -
 * Katundu -
 * Letso -
 * Mirana -
 * Naserian -
 * Opang -
 * Paya -
 * Querida -
 * Romane -
 * Singano -
 * Tarus -
 * Unami -
 * Vuma -
 * Wamil -
 * Xolile -
 * Yasmine -
 * Zamile -

Australian Region:
 * Alessia -
 * Bruce -
 * Christine - Loops back and forth between the SWIO and the AUS regions thirteen times before being absorbed by Colin. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * Dylan -
 * Edna -
 * Fletcher -
 * Gillian -
 * Hadi -
 * Ita -
 * Jack -
 * Kate -
 * Lam -
 * Marcia -
 * Nathan -

South Pacific Region:
 * Ian - Pulls a Katrina-Victor-Cindy, and then a Leon-Eline, followed by an Emilie. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * June -
 * Kofi -
 * Lusi -
 * Mike -
 * Nute -
 * Odile -
 * Pam -
 * Reuben -
 * Solo -
 * Tuni -

Informal betting on the highest winds
NOTE: All winds are 3-minute sustained, not 1-minute sustained. And please do not bet on an obvious number from the storms that have already formed! Also, this section applies for all three basins.


 * Less than 80 -
 * 80 -
 * 85 -
 * 90 -
 * 95 -
 * 100 -
 * 105 -
 * 110 -
 * 115 -
 * 120 -
 * 125 -
 * 130 -
 * 135 -
 * 140 -
 * 145 -
 * 150 - (record high, Cyclone Zoe of 2002) Colin, Christine, and Ian. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * Greater than 150 - (exceptionally unlikely)

Informal betting on the lowest pressure
NOTE: Pressures are in ranges of five millibars. Please feel free to add your own exact guess in parentheses in the appropriate range. However, you are not allowed to bet on an obvious reading from the storms that have already formed. Also, this section applies to the lowest pressure reading in any of the three basins.


 * Greater than 960 -
 * 960-955 -
 * 954-950 -
 * 949-945 -
 * 944-940 -
 * 939-935 -
 * 934-930 -
 * 929-925 -
 * 924-920 -
 * 919-915 -
 * 914-910 -
 * 909-905 -
 * 904-900 -
 * 899-895 -
 * 894-890 - (record low, Cyclone Zoe of 2002, 890 millibars) (890, Ian, Colin, and Christine) Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * 889-885 -
 * 884-880 -
 * 879-875 -
 * 874-870 - (worldwide record low, Typhoon Tip of 1979, 870 millibars)
 * Less than 870 - (exceptionally unlikely)

Informal betting on longest lasting storm
NOTE: Please feel free to pick one name from each basin. However, you may not bet on a storm that has already formed!

South-West Indian Ocean:
 * Amara -
 * Bejisa -
 * Colin - 27 days. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * Deliwe -
 * Edilson -
 * Fobane -
 * Guito -
 * Hellen -
 * Ivanoe -
 * Jirani -
 * Katundu -
 * Letso -
 * Mirana -
 * Naserian -
 * Opang -
 * Paya -
 * Querida -
 * Romane -
 * Singano -
 * Tarus -
 * Unami -
 * Vuma -
 * Wamil -
 * Xolile -
 * Yasmine -
 * Zamile -

Australian Region:
 * Alessia -
 * Bruce -
 * Christine - 14 days. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * Dylan -
 * Edna -
 * Fletcher -
 * Gillian -
 * Hadi -
 * Ita -
 * Jack -
 * Kate -
 * Lam -
 * Marcia -
 * Nathan -

South Pacific Region:
 * Ian - 55 days. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * June -
 * Kofi -
 * Lusi -
 * Mike -
 * Nute -
 * Odile -
 * Pam -
 * Reuben -
 * Solo -
 * Tuni -

Informal betting on final storm name
NOTE: You are free to pick one name from each basin, but you may not bet on a storm that has already formed OR an obvious name from the storms that have formed.

South-West Indian Ocean:
 * Amara -
 * Bejisa -
 * Colin -
 * Deliwe -
 * Edilson -
 * Fobane -
 * Guito -
 * Hellen -
 * Ivanoe -
 * Jirani -
 * Katundu -
 * Letso -
 * Mirana - Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * Naserian -
 * Opang -
 * Paya -
 * Querida -
 * Romane -
 * Singano -
 * Tarus -
 * Unami -
 * Vuma -
 * Wamil -
 * Xolile -
 * Yasmine -
 * Zamile -

Australian Region:
 * Alessia -
 * Bruce -
 * Christine -
 * Dylan -
 * Edna -
 * Fletcher -
 * Gillian -
 * Hadi -
 * Ita -
 * Jack -
 * Kate - Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * Lam -
 * Marcia -
 * Nathan -

South Pacific Region:
 * Ian -
 * June -
 * Kofi -
 * Lusi -
 * Mike -
 * Nute -
 * Odile -
 * Pam -
 * Reuben -
 * Solo -
 * Tuni -
 * Victor - Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)

Informal betting on final TCWC Jakarta storm name
NOTE: Please do not bet on storms that have already formed!


 * No TCWC Jakarta storms will form this year - (possible)
 * Bakung - Come on, at least one name this year!
 * Cempaka -
 * Dahlia -
 * Flamboyan -
 * Kenanaga -
 * Lili -
 * Mawar -
 * Seroja -
 * Teratai -
 * Anggrek -

Informal betting on final TCWC Port Moresby storm name
NOTE: Please do not bet on storms that have already formed! Also, it should be noted the last time a storm formed in TCWC's Port Moresby area of responsibility was 2007.


 * No TCWC Port Moresby storms will form this year - (very likely)
 * Alu - Please, just ONE name this year!!! Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * Buri -
 * Dodo -
 * Emau -
 * Fere -
 * Hibu -
 * Ila -
 * Kama -
 * Lobu -
 * Maila -

Informal betting on number of deaths
NOTE: You may not bet on any obvious fatality figures from the storms that have already formed! Also, this section is the number of deaths for all three basins combined.


 * Less than 50 -
 * 50-100 -
 * 100-200 -
 * 200-300 -
 * 300-400 -
 * 400-500 -
 * 500-600 -
 * 600-700 -
 * 700-800 -
 * 800-900 -
 * 900-1000 -
 * 1000-2000 - (record high, Cyclone Leon-Eline from the 1999–2000 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season) 1,604, 1,401 from Ian.  Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * Greater than 2000 - (worldwide record high, the 1970 Bhola cyclone in the North Indian Ocean cyclone season, 300,000-500,000 fatalities)

Informal betting on the number of total damages
NOTE: You may not bet on any obvious existing damage figures from the storms that have already formed. Also, this section is the amount of damages for all three basins combined, and all damage figures are in USD.


 * Less than 10 million -
 * 10-20 million -
 * 20-30 million -
 * 30-40 million -
 * 40-50 million -
 * 50-100 million -
 * 100-500 million -
 * 500 million-1 billion -
 * 1-2 billion -
 * 2-4 billion - (record high, Cyclone Yasi from the 2010–11 Australian region cyclone season)
 * More than 4 billion - (exceptionally unlikely) $7.5 billion, $7 billion from Ian. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)

Informal betting on number of retired Australian region names
NOTE: Please do not bet on an obvious number from the storms that have already formed!!!


 * No names will be retired this year - (record low set most recently in the 1978–79 season)
 * One name -
 * Two names -
 * Three names -
 * Four names -
 * Five names - Christine, Dylan, Edna, Jack, and Kate. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * Six names -
 * Seven names - (record high, 1994–95 and 1995–96 season (Annette, Naomi, Pearl, Sharon, Agnes, Bobby, Violet, and Warren, as well as Frank, Gertie, Kristy, Barry, Celeste, Ethel, and Olivia))
 * Eight or more names - (very unlikely)

Informal betting on number of retired South Pacific tropical cyclone names
NOTE: Please do not bet on an obvious number from the storms that have already formed!!!


 * No names will be retired this year - (record low)
 * One name -
 * Two names -
 * Three names - Ian, Odile, and Solo. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:59, July 31, 2013 (UTC)
 * Four names -
 * Five names -
 * Six names -
 * Seven names -
 * Eight names - (record high, 1997–98 season (Martin, Osea, Ron, Susan, Tui, Ursula, Veli, and Alan))
 * Nine or more names - (very unlikely)