Forum:2011 Atlantic hurricane season/Pre-season-June

==MarchEdit== ===90L.INVESTEdit=== First invest of the year! That doesn't have a chance of developing, being over water that is only half that necessary for formation off the coast of Spain (unusual location for a storm to develop any time of the year!). At near 0% chance of developing in the next two days. Seems there's an invest in the South Atlantic now too. (90Q.INVEST) Yqt1001 00:35, March 11, 2011 (UTC)
 * Personally I am not expecting an Arlene in March, but in the freak event that happens, I will go downright nuts. Ryan1000 00:59, March 11, 2011 (UTC)
 * I find it almost weirder that this is in Vince territory than the fact that it's occurring in March. -Patteroast 18:03, March 11, 2011 (UTC)
 * I can't see this developing into anything. If this was in the Gulf/Carribean, maybe, but out here, and this time of year? No. HurricaneFiona 20:02, March 11, 2011 (UTC)
 * Gone now, nice to see some action from the world though. (been 2 weeks since anything has developed) Yqt1001 20:12, March 11, 2011 (UTC)

==AprilEdit== ===91L.INVESTEdit=== Second invest of the year, not going to turn up being much but it's something nonetheless. Yqt1001 20:54, April 20, 2011 (UTC)
 * Where is 91L? I can't really see anything on the sattelites with any reasonably well-defined structure... This is a water vapor imagery map of the Atlantic from weather.unisys.com, and based on it there is nothing out there but dry air and shear... Here is another from the East Pacific, but nothing is there either. Ryan1000 15:30, April 21, 2011 (UTC)
 * 20% chance, might form. YE Tropical Cyclone 16:13, April 21, 2011 (UTC)
 * Seems to have pretty much died overnight, was looking way better not long ago. Yqt1001 20:44, April 21, 2011 (UTC)
 * 91L looks like its a subtropical storm now. 72.184.184.158 12:57, April 22, 2011 (UTC)
 * 10% chance of becoming Arlene, but it's heading northward out to sea and it likely won't affect land anyways, let alone become a TS. Ryan1000 16:29, April 22, 2011 (UTC)

Aaand it's gone. Yqt1001 04:46, April 24, 2011 (UTC)
 * The season comes into gear in about a month and two weeks, but we might not get our first storm until July or August. Even so, it was still fun to watch it while it lasted... Ryan1000 18:38, April 24, 2011 (UTC)

==MayEdit== ===92L.INVESTEdit=== New invest in the middle of the Atlantic in relatively cold waters. Don't think we will see much anyways. NHC gives it 20% chance of forming. Yqt1001 18:00, May 23, 2011 (UTC)
 * It's showing signs of becoming a subtropical storm at the very least, but it's not really going to become anything. The Atlantic season hasn't officially begun yet, although it will in about a week. We may have to wait until mid June or July until our first official storm comes onto us, though. It's usually boring in May... It's my "Break month" from the tropics. Ryan1000 18:44, May 23, 2011 (UTC)
 * Is three invests before the season even starts normal? And yeah, I can't really see much forming out of this. Still, with a week to go before the season starts, would be cool to have a pre-season storm... just have to wait and see. HurricaneFiona 19:09, May 23, 2011 (UTC)
 * Last year had it's first invest start around now, and it was really active but had a late start. I think we will be seeing an early start and an above average year just judging from the invest activity so far. Yqt1001 20:19, May 23, 2011 (UTC)
 * We will be having a La Nina start to the Atlantic hurricane season, but even in La Nina years, it's hard to have a hyper-start to the season... I'm probrably best on calling towards a 2004 or 2008-type season, but by no means a 2005-type season, and an outside chance of a 2010 or 1995 like season. Even a late starter can be very active, but it all depends on what happens with mother nature. Ryan1000 20:29, May 23, 2011 (UTC)
 * La Nina seasons shouldn't let our guards down, this season may very well turn out like 1999 IMO. So I'm calling a slow start. In any case, the Gulf should watch out this season. HurricaneSpin Talk to me 21:42, May 23, 2011 (UTC)
 * It's not really going to be "La Nina" in the entire season; it's just going to start as La Nina and by August and September, El Nino. 2010 had an August La Nina event, and it was a very active season in the atlantic, but the record-dead pacific lead to 2010 being one of the least active worldwide seasons on record. Neutral years aren't exactly good either... per 2005 and 2008, for example, and neither are El Nino years all the time... 2004, 1992, ect. Ryan1000 00:56, May 24, 2011 (UTC)
 * Aaaand it's done for. The lack of tropical activity doesn't really surprise me because it's only May, but after this month, the tropics really heat up. I guess I might come back later. Ryan1000 23:07, May 24, 2011 (UTC)