Forum:2020 Atlantic hurricane season/Betting pools

These are the betting pools for the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season!

To keep it fun, no betting on storms that have already formed!

No actual betting is going on here (that I'm aware of)

Note: After some discussion with Isaac a while ago, we're no longer going to include the "strangest storm" section of the betting pools (started with the 2019-20 SHem betting pools), since it gets rather silly and off-topic from the wiki's main focus. -- Ryan1000

Informal betting on date of formation of first storm
You can add in your own date if you want to do so. Also, Potential Tropical Cyclones don't count for this or the following section.
 * Before May 1 - (Record earliest, January 3, 1938)
 * May 1 to 10 -
 * May 11 to 20 -
 * May 21 to 31 - GentleEarthquake 21:22, January 4, 2020 (UTC) The streak goes on, I guess? Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 18:06, January 7, 2020 (UTC)
 * June 1 to 10 - Arthur arrives just as the season starts. ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * June 11 to 20 - Not calling for a pre-season start this year, for the first time since this list's last usage in 2014. Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * June 21 to 30 -  I think it would start pretty late.Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * July 1 to 10 - July 4. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * July 11 to 20 -
 * July 21 to 31 -
 * August 1 to 10 -
 * August 11 to 20 -
 * August 21 to 31 -
 * September 1 to 30 - (Record latest, September 14, 1914)
 * After September 30 -
 * There will be no storms this year (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on date of dissipation of last storm
You can add in your own date if you want to do so.
 * There will be no storms this year (highly unlikely) -
 * Before October 1 -
 * October 1 to 10 -
 * October 11 to 20 -  I'd think a potentially strong El Nino would come to blanket the season early.
 * October 21 to 31 - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * November 1 to 10 - ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * November 11 to 20 - GentleEarthquake 21:23, January 4, 2020 (UTC) Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 18:06, January 7, 2020 (UTC)
 * November 21 to 30 - November 28. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * December 1 to 10 -
 * December 11 to 20 -
 * December 21 to 31 -
 * Storm active at start of 2021 - (Record latest, 1954 and 2005)

Informal betting on strongest storm name
No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry. If there is a storm with the highest winds but another with the lowest pressure by the end of the season, we will split the title.
 * Arthur -
 * Bertha -
 * Cristobal -
 * Dolly -
 * Edouard - Returns with his glory of 1996...or maybe 2014. Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC) I just have this feeling that Edouard would own the Atlantic this season. Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * Fay -
 * Gonzalo - Just like 2014. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * Hanna - The hurricane bachelorette. Most likely a fishspinner though. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 18:07, January 7, 2020 (UTC)
 * Isaias - The "I" curse continues this year. ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * Josephine -
 * Kyle -
 * Laura - GentleEarthquake 21:24, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * Marco -
 * Nana -
 * Omar -
 * Paulette -
 * Rene -
 * Sally -
 * Teddy -
 * Vicky -
 * Wilfred -

Informal betting on weakest storm name (excluding depressions)
No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry. If there is a storm with the lowest winds but another with the highest pressure by the end of the season, we will split the title.
 * Arthur - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * Bertha -
 * Cristobal - Sorry poppet. Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * Dolly -
 * Edouard -
 * Fay - GentleEarthquake 21:27, January 4, 2020 (UTC) Fay-l, perhaps. (Like with Elida I think I'd regret this but I don't care anymore) Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 18:07, January 7, 2020 (UTC)
 * Gonzalo - A very short-lived failure northeast of Bermuda. ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * Hanna -
 * Isaias -
 * Josephine - Lemony Snicket will be disappointed. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * Kyle -
 * Laura -
 * Marco -
 * Nana -
 * Omar -
 * Paulette -
 * Rene -
 * Sally -
 * Teddy -
 * Vicky -
 * Wilfred -

Informal betting on the highest winds
Winds are in miles per hour. And no betting on storms with winds mentioned that have already formed.
 * Less than 115 -
 * 115 -
 * 120 -
 * 125 - Gonzalo. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 130 -
 * 140 - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 145 - Just Eddie Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 150 - Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 18:08, January 7, 2020 (UTC)
 * 155 -
 * 160 -  


 * 165 - GentleEarthquake 21:28, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 175 -
 * 180 - Isaias. The run of C5s continue. ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 185 -
 * 190 - (Atlantic record high, Hurricane Allen in 1980) -
 * 195 -
 * 200 or more (Worldwide record high, Hurricane Patricia in 2015, highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on the lowest pressure
Pressures are in ranges per 5 mbars. You can add in your own pressure if you want to do so, but no betting on storms with the listed pressures that have already formed.
 * Above 960 -
 * 960-956 -
 * 955-950 -
 * 949-945 -
 * 944-940 - Gonzalo, 944 mbar. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 939-935 - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 934-930 - Eddie Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 929-925 - Hanna Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 18:08, January 7, 2020 (UTC)
 * 924-920 -
 * 919-915 - GentleEarthquake 21:29, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 914-910 -
 * 909-905 -
 * 904-900 - Isaias. ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 899-895 -
 * 894-890 -
 * 889-885 -
 * 884-880 - (Atlantic record low, Hurricane Wilma in 2005, 882 mbar)
 * 879-875 -
 * 874-870 (Worldwide record low, Typhoon Tip in 1979, 870 mbar) -
 * Less than 870 (exceptionally unlikely) -

Informal betting on longest lasting storm (By time in days)
Predict how many days the longest lasting storm will exist! (In the rare case that a storm exits the basin, only days spent inside the basin are counted)
 * Less than 3 -
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 -
 * 6 -
 * 7 -
 * 8 - Gonzalo, 8.25 days. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 9 - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 10 -
 * 11 - Eddie again Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 12 - Cape Verde-type hurricane Hanna Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 18:08, January 7, 2020 (UTC)
 * 13 -
 * 14 -
 * 15-16 -
 * 17-18 -
 * 19-20 - GentleEarthquake 21:29, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 21-22 -
 * 23-25 - Fay, which becomes an incredibly long-lived C5 like Ivan. Forms in the Central Atlantic, ravages through the Caribbean, and stalls near Texas for a few days, becoming a re-Harvey for them. Eventually surpasses the 1899 San Ciriaco hurricane to break the ACE record (but barely). ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 26-28 -
 * 29-31 (Record high, 1899 San Ciriaco Hurricane) -
 * 32 or more (Very unlikely) -

Informal betting on longest lasting storm (By name)
Which storm will last the longest?
 * Arthur -
 * Bertha -
 * Cristobal -
 * Dolly -
 * Edouard - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC) Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * Fay - ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * Gonzalo - Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * Hanna - Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 18:08, January 7, 2020 (UTC)
 * Isaias -
 * Josephine -
 * Kyle -
 * Laura - GentleEarthquake 21:30, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * Marco -
 * Nana -
 * Omar -
 * Paulette -
 * Rene -
 * Sally -
 * Teddy -
 * Vicky -
 * Wilfred -

Informal betting on shortest lasting storm (excluding depressions)

 * Arthur - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * Bertha -
 * Cristobal - 6 hour tropical storm. Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * Dolly - GentleEarthquake 21:30, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * Edouard -
 * Fay -
 * Gonzalo - ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * Hanna -
 * Isaias -
 * Josephine - 18 hours. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * Kyle -
 * Laura -
 * Marco -
 * Nana -
 * Omar -
 * Paulette -
 * Rene -
 * Sally -
 * Teddy -
 * Vicky -
 * Wilfred -

Informal betting on final storm name
Which storm name will be the season finale?
 * Arthur -
 * Bertha -
 * Cristobal -
 * Dolly -
 * Edouard -
 * Fay -
 * Gonzalo -
 * Hanna -
 * Isaias -
 * Josephine - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * Kyle - The season ends when the drywall gets destroyed. Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * Laura -
 * Marco - Maybe it will be active with Polo in the EPAC? Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * Nana - Another relatively active season. ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * Omar -
 * Paulette -
 * Rene - GentleEarthquake 21:31, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * Sally -
 * Teddy -
 * Vicky -
 * Wilfred -

Informal betting on number of tropical depressions (season total)

 * There will be no tropical depressions this year (exceptionally unlikely)
 * 1 -
 * 2 -
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 -
 * 6 -
 * 7 -
 * 8 -
 * 9 -
 * 10 -
 * 11 - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 12 - Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 13 -
 * 14 -
 * 15 - Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 16 - ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 17 -
 * 18 -
 * 19 - GentleEarthquake 21:32, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 20 -
 * 21-25 -
 * 26-31 (record, 31 in 2005) -
 * More than 31 (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of storms peaking at tropical depression intensity
How many depressions will fail to reach even the tropical storm category?
 * None -
 * 1 - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC) Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 2 - ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)  Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)GentleEarthquake 21:32, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 -
 * More than 5 (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of named storms (season total)

 * There will be no named storms this year (highly unlikely)
 * 1 - (record low, 1914)
 * 2 -
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 -
 * 6 -
 * 7 -
 * 8 -
 * 9 -
 * 10 - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 11 - Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 12 -
 * 13 - Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 14 - ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 15 -
 * 16 -
 * 17 - GentleEarthquake 21:33, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 18 -
 * 19 -
 * 20-24 -
 * 25-28 (record high, 28 in 2005) -
 * 29 or more (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of storms peaking at tropical storm intensity
How many storms will strengthen enough to receive a name, but fail to reach hurricane strength?
 * None (highly unlikely) -
 * 1 -
 * 2 -
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 - The season is quite dominated with hurricanes with only few failures and a couple stronger TSs. ~  Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 6 - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 7 - Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC) Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 8 - GentleEarthquake 21:33, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 9 -
 * 10 -
 * 11 -
 * 12 -
 * 13 -
 * 14 -
 * 15 -
 * More than 15 (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of hurricanes (season total)

 * There will be no hurricanes this year (record low, 1907 and 1914) -
 * 1 -
 * 2 -
 * 3 -
 * 4 - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC) Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 5 -
 * 6 - Near average total. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 7 -
 * 8 -
 * 9 - ~ <font face="Verdana"> Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)GentleEarthquake 21:34, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 10 -
 * 11 -
 * 12 -
 * 13 -
 * 14 -
 * 15 (record high, 2005) -
 * 16 or more (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of storms peaking at non-major hurricane intensity
How many storms will reach hurricane strength, but only peak as a C1 or C2?
 * None (highly unlikely) -
 * 1 -
 * 2 - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 3 - Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 4 - Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)GentleEarthquake 21:34, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 5 -
 * 6 - Quite a few. ~ <font face="Verdana"> Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 7 -
 * 8 -
 * 9 -
 * 10 -
 * More than 10 (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of major hurricanes

 * There will be no major hurricanes this year (record low set most recently in 2013, highly unlikely) -
 * 1 - A fishspinner, easy on the eyes. Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 2 - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC) As climatology would expect. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 3 - Two C5s and one C4. ~ <font face="Verdana"> Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 4 -
 * 5 - GentleEarthquake 21:35, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 6 -
 * 7 (record high, 2005) -
 * 8 or more (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of Category 5 hurricanes
How many storms will reach the most powerful SSHS category?
 * There will be no Category 5s this year - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC) Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC) For the first time since 2015. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 1 - GentleEarthquake 21:35, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 2 - The trend continues this year with a couple ultra-devastating hurricanes, Fay and Isaias, becoming the 3rd year within the span of 4 years to feature multiple C5s, astonishing meteorologists. ~ <font face="Verdana"> Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 3 -
 * 4 (record high, 2005) -
 * 5 or more (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of deaths
No betting on death tolls that currently exist. Sorry.
 * Less than 50 - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC) Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 50-100 - Approximately 60 fatalities. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 101-250 - GentleEarthquake 21:35, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 251-500 -
 * 501-1,000 -
 * 1,001-2,500 - A very deadly season indeed, mainly caused by Isaias which causes nearly 2000 deaths due to its Irma/Maria-like rampage through the northeast Caribbean. ~ <font face="Verdana"> Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 2,501-5,000 -
 * 5,001-10,000 -
 * 10,001-28,000 (record high, 1780) -
 * Greater than 28,000 deaths (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on damage totals
No betting on damage totals that currently exist. Sorry.
 * Less than 100 million -
 * 100-500 million -
 * 501 million-1 billion - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC) Around $800 million (2020 USD) in damages. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 1-5 billion - Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 5-10 billion - GentleEarthquake 21:36, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 10-20 billion -
 * 20-40 billion -
 * 40-80 billion -
 * 80-180 billion -
 * 180-282 billion - Becomes the 2nd-costliest season in history, just barely behind 2017, with around $280 billion in damages mainly caused by Fay and Isaias. ~ <font face="Verdana"> Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * Greater than 282 Billion (record high, 2017, highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on ACE totals
Made a few slight parameter changes with this section, but still, no betting on ACE totals that currently exist. Sorry.
 * Less than 40 - (record low, 1914)
 * 40-49 -
 * 50-59 -
 * 60-69 -  Aquaria485 (talk) 01:08, November 28, 2019 (UTC)
 * 70-79 -
 * 80-89 - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC) Approximately 85 units. Near average. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 90-99 -
 * 100-109 -
 * 110-119 -
 * 120-129 -
 * 130-139 -
 * 140-149 -
 * 150-159 - GentleEarthquake 21:36, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 160-179 -
 * 180-199 -
 * 200-219 -
 * 220-239 - Despite only reaching "Nana", it's a very intense season that ranks 7th of all time, mainly due to Fay and Isaias, both of which register just above 74 ACE per storm and surpass Ivan, Irma, and even San Ciriaco hurricane totals. ~ <font face="Verdana"> Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 240-259 (record high, 1933) -
 * More than 259 (extremely unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of retired names
No betting on obvious numbers from storms that have already formed. Sorry.
 * No names - (record low set most recently in 2014) - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC) For the first time since 2014. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 1 name - I'd think a non-major hurricane with impacts across the Caribbean. Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 2 names -
 * 3 names - Fay, Isaias, and Laura. Will be replaced by Faith, Irving, and Lynn respectively. ~ <font face="Verdana"> Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)GentleEarthquake 21:37, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 4 names -
 * 5 names (record high, 2005) -
 * More than 5 names (extremely unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of subtropical storms (at any point)
How many storms do you think will be subtropical at any point? If you want to be extremely specific, write down the names of the storms you think will do so.
 * None - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC) I do not think so. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 1 - The first storm, Arthur, develops subtropical before fully transitioning. ~ <font face="Verdana"> Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 2 - GentleEarthquake 21:37, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 - Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC)
 * 6 -
 * 7 or more - (record high, 7 in 2018) -

Informal betting on number of off-season storms
How many storms do you think will exist off-season (counting November-December crossover storms)? If you want to be specific, write down the storm names that you think will exist off-season.
 * None - Ryan1000 04:08, November 14, 2019 (UTC) Aquaria485 (talk) 16:58, November 14, 2019 (UTC) ~ <font face="Verdana"> Steve 🎉   Happy  2020!  🎆  02:14, January 3, 2020 (UTC) Not this year.  Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:43, January 3, 2020 (UTC)
 * 1 -
 * 2 - GentleEarthquake 21:37, January 4, 2020 (UTC)
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 (record high, 1887) -
 * More than 5 (exceptionally unlikely) -

Informal betting on final tropical cyclone report issued
This betting pool is closed until December 2020.