Forum:2013 Atlantic hurricane season/September

07L.GABRIELLE
Forum:2013 Atlantic hurricane season/Gabrielle

AOI: SE of Cape Verde
A new tropical wave has exited the African coast. It's currently southeast of Cape Verde, but since it's so far south this one might have a chance at threatening the Caribbean in the long run. 97L still has the potential and it bears watching, but this one could be much worse. Stay tuned. Ryan1000 14:20, September 2, 2013 (UTC)


 * Yeah, we could see something big out of this in the long run, if it enters favorable conditions. We need to watch this for potential future Gabrielle (or Humberto if the Lesser Antilles wave develops before this), and to see if it becomes the first hurricane (hopefully) or threatens the U.S (hopefully not) . But still, BEWARE THE FIRST STORM OF SEPTEMBER!!! We could see something devastating out of this! (well, hopefully not) Steven09876 T 16:35, September 2, 2013 (UTC)
 * Actually, on closer inspection, the models take this heading northwest like 96L did and remaining out to sea. GFS makes it a powerful storm out to sea, but the Euro doesn't see it developing at all; they see a new storm coming off of Africa in 180 hours time, and even so, it'll follow the same direction as this, northwest away from any land areas and far out to sea. Ryan1000 16:57, September 2, 2013 (UTC)
 * Well, looks like this is just going to be a regular Cape-Verde type hurricane and not causing much destruction. 1989 anyone? Steven09876 T 17:09, September 2, 2013 (UTC)
 * I wonder what name this little fella would get..... What will be what? (97L = Gabby, 98L = 'berto, BOC storm = Ingrid) OK? Agreed? Gabby = cat 2. Humberto = cat 4. Ingrid = cat 1. (off topic but if you play the game STARDOLL then please vote me MSW! I'm representing the UK on my account ToontownIsCool!) Pinkamena_ii.png THIS IS PINKAMENA Pinkamena.png 19:09, September 2, 2013 (UTC)

98L.INVEST
The AOI is on the TWO! It is moving away from Africa and into a region of favorable conditions. Currently, it has a 10% chance of becoming tropical in the next 48 hours and a 20% chance in the next 120 hours. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  17:58, September 2, 2013 (UTC)

Might be Gabrielle but it will be like Erin might become a weak hurricane,but a big burst of Sal has enter the Atlantic.Allanjeffs 20:58, September 2, 2013 (UTC)


 * Or this could turn out to be like 96L and not develop at all. I'd prefer that, the fail train has gone on long enough. Ryan1000 21:42, September 2, 2013 (UTC)
 * Erin my eye -_- Pinkamena_ii.png THIS IS PINKAMENA Pinkamena.png 22:49, September 2, 2013 (UTC)
 * IF INGRID IS A RE ERIN THEN IM DEAD. LONG LIVE THE HURRICANES. Roses are red, violets are blue, hurricanes (that stay out to sea) are sweet, Erin is not. Pinkamena_ii.png THIS IS PINKAMENA Pinkamena.png 22:56, September 2, 2013 (UTC)
 * Off the TWO. Looks like that's a maximum of 8 possible POS storms in a row for now, instead of 9. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 23:52, September 3, 2013 (UTC)
 * Really? Stop it with the inactivity Atlantic, you're getting on my nerves. Steven09876 T 00:19, September 4, 2013 (UTC)
 * (double edit conflict) Actually, that is good in some way. I do not want nine weak failures. Eight is beyond enough already. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  00:24, September 4, 2013 (UTC)
 * Wow, what a fail. Ryan1000 00:39, September 4, 2013 (UTC)
 * Woah, it's back up. 10%. Not out yet. Ryan1000 13:31, September 5, 2013 (UTC)
 * Off the TWO again. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 15:08, September 7, 2013 (UTC)
 * Still an invest though, it's forecast to move ever so slowly across the heart of the Atlantic, though it'll likely end up getting pulled out to sea by the cold front recurving ex-Gabby, if not just die out completely. Ryan1000 11:24, September 9, 2013 (UTC)

...And back on the TWO at 10%. Ryan1000 15:39, September 11, 2013 (UTC)

If, by chance, the AOI does develop, I want a Category 1+ storm from this. Assuming the system steals the 'J' name, it better have a good show for us. If you did not know already, ever since Hurricane Jeanne in 2004, Atlantic 'J' systems have failed miserably. 2006 and 2009 never made it to the letter, 2007, 2011, and 2012 had PO* 'J' storms, 2008's 'J' was not notable in any way either, and 2005's 'J' hurled itself into Mexico before causing too much trouble. Even 2010's 'J', despite becoming a Category 4 at a record easternmost location, did nothing other than achieve that feat and give some rain to the Cape Verde Islands. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  02:14, September 12, 2013 (UTC)

I hope its a fail,Jerry should be a fail it has always been one it better continue the curse.I am sorry Andrew but I am not rooting for this one to be strong,and you forgot the fail of 2007 :PAllanjeffs 04:06, September 12, 2013 (UTC)


 * Hmm, isn't this ex-98L above? Might have lost track of that thing but this might still be that invest. Ryan1000 04:34, September 12, 2013 (UTC)


 * It is actually.Allanjeffs 05:49, September 12, 2013 (UTC)
 * I think this could become Jerry during the next week or so, but if it does develop, then it will probably be a fail. Steven09876 T 23:16, September 12, 2013 (UTC)
 * I thought it was ex-98L, I don't expect this to become much either, if it does develop. Even when conditions do become favorable, by then it'll be either heading out to sea or moving into the U.S. East Coast. Probably out to sea from another one of those frontal boundaries. Ryan1000 01:56, September 13, 2013 (UTC)
 * And...gone from NHC again. Ryan1000 21:34, September 13, 2013 (UTC)