User:Kiewii/Kiewii Hurricane Center/Philippe/Advisory 3

BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ADVISORY NUMBER 3

KIEWII HURRICANE CENTER DUNDEE UK AL172011

2100 UTC WED OCT 05 2011

...PHILIPPE HAS 25% CHANCE OF BECOMING A HURRICANE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS... ...PHILIPPE HAS TURNED TO THE NORTH...

SUMMARY OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE AS OF 2100 UTC OCT 05 2011 LOCATION: 25.8N, 61.3W ABOUT 495 MILES, 800 KILOMETERS SSE OF BERMUDA SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ABOUT 65 MPH, 100 KM/H THIS STORM IS MOVING NORTH OR 380 DEGREES AT 7 MPH, 11 KM/H ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ABOUT 997 MBAR, 29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS THERE ARE NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.3 WEST. PHILIPPE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AND PHILIPPE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND NONE.

FORECAST NOW....65 MPH...TROPICAL STORM 12H....70 MPH 24H....75 MPH...CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE 36H....70 MPH...TROPICAL STORM 48H....65 MPH 72H....65 MPH...POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL 96H....65 MPH...POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL 120H...50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL

NEXT ADVISORY<BR> NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...0000 UTC NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY.......0300 UTC

SORRY FOR THE SLIGHT DELAY IN PROVIDING THE ADVISORIES TONIGHT.

$$ FORECASTER KIEWII