User:68-100-190-56/Invest log/Atlantic

94L.INVEST
Floater is located at SSD.

Models
Models take it generally nowhere, max tropical storm strength. 13:59, 30 August 2007 (UTC)

My outlook
Dissipates soon. Looks to me like a random bout of convection. 14:10, 30 August 2007 (UTC)

95L.INVEST
Floater is located at SSD.

Models
Some models take it up to hurricane strength (surprising) and the most recent CMC takes it into open ocean as a cat 3+. However, only a few models support the conclusion of a significant tropical cyclone. 13:59, 30 August 2007 (UTC)

My outlook
A good chance for something, but maybe not necessarily a tropical storm. I will go with the conservative estimate of 30% something significant developing. 13:59, 30 August 2007 (UTC)

96L.INVEST
Floater is located at SSD.

Models
Quite a few models develop this into a TS before hitting Atlantic Canada or the surrounding area. No models are up for GFDL or HWRF. 13:59, 30 August 2007 (UTC)

My outlook
Wow, that looks nice. I'm going to double 95's chances, but I'm still not expecting it to go any farther than about 45 mph winds. 13:59, 30 August 2007 (UTC)

97L.INVEST
Floater is located at SSD.

Models
No models develop this. No models are even aware of this. 13:59, 30 August 2007 (UTC)

My outlook
I give about a 40% chance of development before hitting the coast and 25% of tropical cyclone development before landfall, though that may be a little generous. 13:59, 30 August 2007 (UTC)

Significant areas of interest
There are no areas of interest that have not been recognized as INVESTS or that qualify for notability.