User blog comment:Andrew444/Are we going to see an Alpha this year in the Atlantic?/@comment-2239664-20130823150652

The only reason the Atlantic has been pretty much dead up until now is because the Saharan Air Layer has been rather strong, keeping the African tropical waves at bay. Once it dies down, we will probrably see a ton of storms headed towards the Caribbean and U.S. If we get 7 storms in September and October, on top of the 5 we've had thus far, that's 19 named storms. Given how favorable the Atlantic is aside from the SAL, once that cap comes off the Atlantic could easily do that. This season is far from over and the models are already picking up on possible development in the next week. We may have not been very active thus far but we will kick into gear real soon.