Forum:Prediction Intercomparison/EPTPC

Predictions

Now issuing products: Intermittent track updates (School... :/ )

0400 WP14 +22.5 +123.4 | 90 kts 0940 hPa |  +22.6 +122.6 | 95 kts 0935 hPa | +12 |  +22.5 +121.3 | 95 kts 0935 hPa | +24 |  end Possible Future Cyclones [012] +00 -000

Tracks

20120802 18 WP11 +24.0 +141.5 25 0994 20120803 00 WP11 +23.3 +141.0 30 0994 20120803 06 WP11 +24.5 +140.7 30 0992 20120803 12 WP11 +24.7 +138.2 35 0992 /Haikui/ 20120803 18 WP11 +25.1 +137.3 35 0992 20120804 00 WP11 +25.3 +134.1 35 0990 OSCAT 20120804 06 WP11 +25.6 +132.8 40 0985 20120804 12 WP11 +26.0 +131.4 40 0985 20120804 18 WP11 +26.8 +130.4 40 0985 20120805 00 WP11 +26.9 +129.3 45 0985 20120805 06 WP11 +27.5 +128.4 45 0980 20120805 12 WP11 +27.4 +127.3 50 0980 20120805 18 WP11 +27.3 +127.0 55 0975 20120806 00 WP11 +27.6 +126.3 55 0975 20120806 06 WP11 +27.3 +125.4 60 0970 20120806 12 WP11 +27.2 +124.9 60 0970 20120806 18 WP11 +26.9 +124.2 60 0965 20120807 00 WP11 +27.4 +124.2 60 0000 20120807 06 WP11 +27.8 +123.8 65 0000 20120807 12 WP11 +28.2 +122.8 65 0000 20120807 18 WP11 +29.0 +122.5 65 0000 20120808 00 WP11 +29.6 +121.7 65 0000 /landfall at approx 21z/ 20120808 06 WP11 +30.7 +120.5 50 0000 20120808 12 WP11 +30.9 +119.8 45 0000 20120808 18 WP11 +31.3 +119.2 35 0000 20120809 00 WP11 +31.5 +117.9 35 0000 20120809 06 WP11 +30.9 +116.8 35 0000 20120809 12 WP11 +30.4 +116.3 35 0000 20120809 18 WP11 +30.0 +117.1 30 0000 20120810 00 WP11 +29.9 +116.3 30 0000 20120810 06 : 11]+30 +117 20120810 12 : 11]+31 +118 20120810 18 : 11]+30 +118 20120811 00 : 11]+30 +118

20120802 18 [001] +24 +160 20120803 00 [001] +24 +160 20120803 06 WP12 +23.8 +161.7 30 1008 20120803 12 WP12 +24.0 +162.0 30 1008 20120803 18 WP12 +24.1 +163.6 30 1008 20120804 00 WP12 +23.5 +162.4 30 1008 OSCAT 20120804 06 WP12 +24.0 +161.0 30 1008 20120804 12 WP12 +23.9 +161.7 30 1008 20120804 18 WP12 +23.2 +161.5 30 1008 20120805 00 WP12 +25.2 +161.3 30 1006 20120805 06 WP12 +23.6 +162.8 30 1004 20120805 12 WP12 +24.6 +162.8 30 1004 20120805 18 WP12 +25.3 +162.6 35 1000 20120806 00 WP12 +26.2 +162.4 35 1000 20120806 06 WP12 +26.8 +163.1 35 1000 20120806 12 WP12 +27.4 +162.6 40 0997 20120806 18 WP12 +28.7 +162.3 40 0997 20120807 00 WP12 +29.2 +162.1 40 0996 20120807 06 WP12 +29.6 +161.3 40 0996 20120807 12 WP12 +30.2 +161.1 35 0996 20120807 18 WP12 +30.9 +160.8 40 0996 20120808 00 WP12 +31.6 +159.5 40 0996 20120808 06 WP12 +32.0 +158.4 40 0996 /Kirogi/ 20120808 12 WP12 +33.0 +156.9 40 0996 20120808 18 WP12 +32.9 +157.1 40 0996 20120809 00 WP12 +34.2 +155.3 40 0992 20120809 06 WP12 +36.1 +154.3 45 0992 20120809 12 WP12 +38.0 +152.7 40 0992 20120809 18 WP12 +39.2 +151.5 40 0992 20120810 00 WP12 +42.0 +150.0 35 0994

20120804 00 AL05 +13.5 -065.0 40 1002 /Ernesto/ 20120804 06 AL05 +13.0 -065.5 45 1002 20120804 12 AL05 +12.6 -067.5 45 1008 20120804 18 AL05 +13.8 -069.2 50 1003 20120805 00 AL05 +15.0 -071.4 50 1003 20120805 06 AL05 20120805 12 AL05 20120805 18 AL05 +15.5 -076.9 40 1007 20120806 00 AL05 20120806 06 AL05 +14.6 -079.2 45 1003 20120806 12 AL05 20120806 18 AL05 +15.9 -081.6 50 0996 20120807 00 AL05 +16.6 -082.3 55 0995 20120807 06 AL05 +17.3 -083.5 50 0000 20120807 12 AL05 20120807 18 AL05 20120808 00 AL05 +18.9 -087.1 65 0000 20120808 06 AL05 +19.1 -088.2 65 0000 20120808 12 AL05 +18.7 -089.7 60 0000 20120808 18 AL05 +18.7 -090.7 55 0000 20120809 00 AL05 +18.8 -091.3 55 0000 ASCAT 03:11

20120804 00 [002] +13 -027 20120804 06 AL06 +14.0 -028.7 35 1002 /Florence/ 20120804 12 AL06 +14.9 -029.5 35 1002 20120804 18 AL06 +15.4 -031.3 35 1002 20120805 00 AL06 +15.8 -032.5 40 1002 20120805 06 AL06 +16.4 -034.3 50 1000 OSCAT 20120805 12 AL06 +16.6 -035.3 45 1000 20120805 18 AL06 +16.7 -036.0 40 1001 20120806 00 AL06 +16.4 -037.2 35 1008 20120806 06 AL06 +16.2 -037.9 30 1008 OSCAT 20120806 12 : 06]+16.5 -039.5 20120806 18 : 06]+16.5 -041.1 20120807 00 : 06]+17 -042

20120806 06 [003] +12 -106 /Pre-Gilma/ 20120806 12 [003] 20120806 18 [003] +13 -110 20120807 00 [003] +14 -111 20120807 18 EP07 +15.2 -113.0 40 0000 20120808 00 EP07 +15.5 -114.7 40 0000 20120808 06 EP07 +15.6 -115.4 45 0000 20120808 12 EP07 +16.0 -116.6 45 0000 20120811 18 EP07 +20.4 -120.1 40 0000 OSCAT

20120806 18 CP01 +26.1 -177.0 25 0000 SS 20120808 12 CP01 +22.7 +179.0 25 0000 SS 20120808 18 CP01 +22.7 +178.8 25 0000 SS 20120809 00 CP01 +23.1 +178.5 25 0000 SS 20120809 06 CP01 +23.3 +179.0 25 0000 SS 20120809 12 CP01 +24.1 +178.3 25 0000 SS ASCAT 20120809 18 CP01 +25.0 +178.5 30 0000 SS 20120810 00 CP01 +27.0 +178.4 25 0000 SS ASCAT 20120810 06 CP01 +27.9 +178.4 25 0000 SS 20120810 12 : 01]+29 +178

20120810 00 [004] +13 -046 30 1010 20120810 06 AL07 +13.8 -046.3 30 1006 20120810 12 AL07 +13.7 -048.4 30 1009 20120810 18 AL07 +13.5 -050.3 30 1009 20120811 00 : 07]+13 -053 20120811 06 : 07]+13 -055 20120811 12 : 07]+14 -058 20120811 18 : 07]+14 -059

20120811 18 [005] +16 +134 20120812 00 WP13 +17.0 +130.5 30 0000 20120812 06 WP13 +17.1 +129.7 35 0000 /Kai-tak/ 20120812 12 WP13 +17.0 +129.5 35 0000 20120812 18 WP13 +16.8 +129.0 35 0000 20120813 00 WP13 +16.2 +128.5 40 0000 20120813 06 WP13 +16.2 +127.2 40 0000 20120813 12 WP13 +16.0 +126.8 40 0000 20120813 18 WP13 +16.8 +126.3 40 0000 20120814 00 WP13 +18.0 -125.5 40 0992 20120814 06 WP13 +17.1 -124.2 45 0992 OSCAT 20120814 12 WP13 +17.2 -123.3 50 0992 20120814 18 WP13 +17.2 -122.7 50 0992 20120815 00 WP13 +18.5 -121.6 45 0990 20120815 06 WP13 +19.4 -120.6 45 0990 20120815 12 WP13 +19.0 -119.2 50 0985 20120815 18 WP13 +18.8 -118.1 50 0985 20120816 00 WP13 +19.1 -117.3 55 0980 20120816 06 WP13 +19.5 -115.5 55 0980 20120816 12 WP13 +19.9 -114.0 60 0975 20120816 18 WP13 +20.4 -112.4 60 0975 20120817 00 WP13 +20.8 -111.4 65 0970 20120817 06 WP13 +21.4 +109.5 65 0975 20120817 12 WP13 +21.4 +107.5 65 0975 20120817 18 WP13 +21.6 +106.2 50 0985 20120818 00 WP13 +22.0 +105.5 40 0995 20120818 06 WP13 +22.9 +104.4 35 1000 20120818 12 WP13 +22.6 +102.3 30 0000 20120818 18 : 13]+22.2 +100.3

20120811 18 EP08 +17.6 -105.0 35 0000 OSCAT /Hector [006]/ 20120812 00 EP08 +18.3 -108.2 35 0000 20120812 06 EP08 +18.4 -109.5 40 0000 OSCAT 20120812 12 EP08 +18.2 -109.8 40 0000 20120812 18 EP08 +18.1 -110.0 40 0000 OSCAT 20120813 00 EP08 +18.3 -110.5 35 0000 20120813 06 EP08 +18.1 -111.4 35 0000 20120813 12 EP08 +18.2 -112.3 35 0000 20120813 18 EP08 +18.0 -112.5 35 0994 20120814 00 EP08 +17.9 -112.9 35 0993 20120814 06 EP08 +17.8 -114.5 40 0000 20120814 12 EP08 +17.5 -114.8 40 0997 20120814 18 EP08 +17.7 -114.6 40 1000 20120815 00 EP08 +17.1 -114.9 35 0000 20120815 06 EP08 +17.0 -115.0 35 0000 20120815 12 EP08 +17.0 -114.9 35 0000 20120815 18 EP08 +18.2 -115.1 35 0000 20120816 00 EP08 +18.4 -115.3 30 0000 20120816 06 EP08 +18.8 -116.0 30 0000 20120816 12 EP08 +19.0 -116.4 30 0000 20120816 18 EP08 +19.3 -116.9 30 0000 20120817 00 EP08 +19.8 -116.1 25 1005 20120817 06 EP08 +20.5 -116.5 25 0000 20120817 12 : 08]+21.5 -116.3 20120817 18 : 08]+22.1 -116.3 20120818 00 : 08]+22.3 -116.3 20120818 06 : 08]+22.7 -116.3 20120818 12 : 08]+23.0 -116.2 20120818 18 : 08]+23.3 -116.1

20120814 12 [007] +25 -051 20120814 18 [007] +25 -052 20120815 00 [007] +26 -053 20120815 06 [007] +26.3 -054.2 20120815 12 [007] +27.9 -054.6 20120815 18 AL08 +29.2 -054.7 25 1013 20120816 00 AL08 +30.5 -055.4 30 1012 20120816 06 AL08 +31.5 -055.2 35 0000 /Gordon/ 20120816 12 AL08 +33.1 -054.0 45 0000 20120816 18 AL08 +34.2 -052.8 50 0999 20120817 00 AL08 +34.3 -050.5 55 0000 20120817 06 AL08 +34.6 -049.2 50 0000 20120817 12 AL08 +34.5 -046.9 50 0000 20120817 18 AL08 +34.5 -045.1 50 0993 20120818 00 AL08 +34.2 -042.9 60 0000 20120818 06 AL08 +33.6 -041.3 60 0000 20120818 12 AL08 +33.8 -039.5 65 0000 20120818 18 AL08 +34.0 -037.7 75 0000 20120819 00 AL08 +34.2 -035.0 80 0965 20120819 06 AL08 +34.6 -032.5 85 0965 20120819 12 AL08 +35.2 -030.1 70 0975 20120819 18 AL08 +35.7 -028.3 65 0980

20120817 00 [008] +24 +126 20120817 06 [008] +22 +126 20120817 12 [008] +21 +125 20120817 18 [008] +20 +125 20120818 00 [008] +18 +126 20120818 06 [008] +18 +125 20120818 12 [008] +18 +124 20120818 18 WP14 +18.3 +125.0 30 1004 20120819 00 WP14 +17.9 +125.6 30 1004 /Tembin/ 20120819 06 WP14 +17.6 +125.0 35 1000 20120819 12 WP14 +17.5 +124.8 40 0996 20120819 18 WP14 +17.7 +124.7 45 0992 20120820 00 WP14 +17.9 +124.7 60 0970 20120820 06 WP14 +18.4 +125.2 75 0960 20120820 12 WP14 +19.0 +125.5 90 0945 20120820 18 WP14 +19.7 +125.5 90 0945 20120821 00 WP14 +20.3 +125.6 95 0940 20120821 06 WP14 +21.3 +125.6 75 0960 20120821 12 WP14 +21.9 +125.3 65 0970 20120821 18 WP14 +22.2 +124.8 70 0965 20120822 00 WP14 +22.4 +124.5 70 0000 20120822 06 WP14 +22.7 +124.2 75 0000 20120822 12 WP14 +22.6 +124.1 80 0000 20120822 18 WP14 +22.6 +123.7 80 0000 20120823 00 WP14 +22.6 +123.6 85 0000 20120823 06 WP14 +22.6 +123.3 95 0000 20120823 12 WP14 +22.5 +122.4 95 0000 20120823 18 WP14 +22.3 +121.3 100 0000 20120824 00 WP14 +22.1 +120.5 60 0000 20120824 06 WP14 +22.4 +120.0 55 0000 20120824 12 WP14 +22.5 +119.5 50 0000 20120824 18 WP14 +22.4 +118.9 50 0000 20120825 00 WP14 +22.4 +118.1 50 0000 20120825 06 WP14 +22.3 +117.8 60 0000 20120825 12 WP14 +21.8 +117.1 60 0000 20120825 18 WP14 +21.4 +116.8 65 0970 20120826 00 WP14 +21.0 +116.9 75 0960 20120826 06 WP14 +20.9 +116.7 75 0960 20120826 12 WP14 +20.6 +116.8 65 0970 20120826 18 WP14 +20.3 +117.8 60 0975 20120827 00 WP14 +20.3 +118.3 60 0975 20120827 06 WP14 +20.8 +119.0 65 0970 20120827 12 WP14 +21.3 +120.0 65 0970 20120827 18 WP14 +21.5 +120.8 65 0970 20120828 00 WP14 +23.0 +122.2 50 0000 20120828 06 WP14 +23.6 +122.6 45 0000 20120828 12 WP14 +25.2 +123.4 50 0000 20120828 18 WP14 +26.4 +123.4 50 0000 20120829 00 WP14 +27.7 +124.1 50 0000 20120829 06 WP14 +29.0 +123.9 55 0000 20120829 12 WP14 +30.5 +125.0 55 0000

20120818 18 [009] +13 +143 20120819 00 [009] +13 +142 20120819 06 [009] +15 +142 20120819 12 [009] +16 +142 20120819 18 WP15 +16.6 +142.3 30 0000 20120820 00 WP15 +17.5 +141.4 40 0000 20120820 06 WP15 +18.1 +141.5 45 0000 20120820 12 WP15 +17.9 +141.4 40 0000 20120820 18 WP15 +18.0 +141.0 45 0000 20120821 00 WP15 +18.2 +140.6 50 0000 20120821 06 WP15 +18.5 +140.3 55 0000 20120821 12 WP15 +18.5 +139.8 60 0000 20120821 18 WP15 +18.6 +139.0 65 0000 20120822 00 WP15 +18.9 +138.6 70 0000 20120822 06 WP15 +19.1 +137.7 70 0000 20120822 12 WP15 +19.4 +136.7 75 0000 20120822 18 WP15 +19.2 +135.8 75 0000 20120823 00 WP15 +19.3 +135.4 75 0000 20120823 06 WP15 +19.3 +134.8 80 0000 20120823 12 WP15 +19.3 +134.3 80 0000 20120823 18 WP15 +19.8 +133.0 70 0000 20120824 00 WP15 +21.1 +133.8 70 0000 20120824 06 WP15 +22.0 +133.4 80 0000 20120824 12 WP15 +22.5 +133.1 85 0000 20120824 18 WP15 +23.1 +132.6 85 0000 20120825 00 WP15 +23.6 +132.1 90 0000 20120825 06 WP15 +24.2 +131.3 90 0000 20120825 12 WP15 +24.3 +130.7 95 0000 20120825 18 WP15 +25.0 +130.2 90 0000 20120826 00 WP15 +25.4 +129.6 90 0000 20120826 06 WP15 +26.0 +129.0 90 0000 20120826 12 WP15 +26.7 +128.1 90 0000 20120826 18 WP15 +27.5 +127.7 90 0000 20120827 00 WP15 +29.4 +126.4 75 0000 20120827 06 WP15 +30.2 +126.0 75 0000 20120827 12 WP15 +31.1 +125.9 75 0000 20120827 18 WP15 +33.1 +125.7 70 0000 20120828 00 WP15 +36.0 +125.6 50 0000 20120828 06 WP15 +38.3 +125.3 45 0000 20120828 12 : 15] +39 +126 20120828 18 : 15] +42 +128

20120822 00 AL09 +15.6 -054.5 35 0000 /Isaac/ 20120822 06 AL09 +15.5 -057.1 35 0000 20120822 12 AL09 +15.7 -059.1 40 0000 20120822 18 AL09 +16.0 -060.7 40 0000 20120823 00 AL09 +15.6 -062.5 35 0000 20120823 06 AL09 +15.9 -063.5 40 0000 20120823 12 AL09 +16.0 -064.8 40 0000 20120823 18 AL09 +16.1 -066.9 35 0000 -- 20120825 18 AL09 +21.5 -076.5 40 1000 20120826 00 AL09 +22.0 -076.8 40 0997 20120826 06 AL09 +22.8 -078.1 40 0997 20120826 12 AL09 +23.1 -080.3 40 0996 20120826 18 AL09 +23.7 -081.6 45 0994 20120827 00 AL09 +24.4 -082.0 50 0000 20120827 06 AL09 +25.2 -083.0 50 0000 20120827 12 AL09 +25.9 -084.5 50 0988 20120827 18 AL09 +26.6 -085.7 55 0981 20120828 00 AL09 +27.1 -086.3 60 0981 20120828 06 AL09 +27.5 -087.5 60 0981 20120828 12 AL09 +27.9 -088.4 60 0979 20120828 18 AL09 +28.7 -088.8 60 0976 20120829 00 AL09 +29.0 -089.6 65 0975 20120829 06 AL09 +29.2 -090.2 65 0000 20120829 12 AL09 +29.7 -090.5 60 0972

20120822 12 [011] +12 -036 20120823 00 AL10 +13.7 -039.5 30 0000 20120823 06 AL10 +14.3 -040.4 30 0000 20120823 12 AL10 +15.2 -041.5 35 0000 /feex/ 20120823 18 AL10 +15.6 -041.9 40 0000

20120823 12 [012] +33 +125 20120823 18 WP16 +33.7 +124.8 30 1005 20120824 00 WP16 +34.2 +125.1 30 1005 20120824 06 : 16]+35 +125 20120824 12 : 16]+36 +124

20120825 18 [013] +12 -100 20120826 00 [013] +11 -100 20120826 06 [013] +12 -102 20120826 12 [013] +13 -103 20120826 18 [013] +13 -103 20120827 00 [013] + 20120827 06 [013] +15 -104 20120827 12 EP09 +15.0 -105.6 30 1006 20120827 18 EP09 +15.5 -107.0 30 1006 20120828 00 EP09 +15.0 -107.4 35 0000 20120828 06 EP09 +15.9 -108.4 35 0000 20120828 12 EP09 +16.7 -109.6 35 0000 20120829 00 EP09 +17.1 -110.5 45 0000 20120829 06 EP09 +17.5 -111.6 50 0995 20120829 12 EP09 +18.0 -112.2 55 0991

20120827 18 [014] +22 -040 20120828 00 [014] +22 -041 20120828 06 AL11 +21.5 -042.2 30 0000 20120828 12 AL11 +22.0 -043.1 30 0000 20120828 18 AL11 +23.1 -043.8 30 1008 20120829 00 AL11 +24.2 -044.5 30 1007 20120829 00 AL11 +23.6 -044.8 30 1007 20120829 06 AL11 +24.0 -045.4 35 1007 20120829 12 AL11 +24.5 -046.0 40 1005 20120829 18 AL11 +25.1 -047.1 45 0000 20120830 00 AL11 +25.6 -047.8 55 0000 20120830 06 AL11 +26.1 -048.5 55 0000 20120830 12 AL11 +26.9 -049.5 60 0000 20120830 18 AL11 +27.7 -050.0 65 0000 20120831 00 AL11 +28.5 -050.4 75 0000 20120831 06 AL11 +29.7 -050.6 80 0000 20120831 12 AL11 +30.9 -050.9 65 0000 20120831 18 AL11 +32.5 -051.2 55 0000 20120901 00 AL11 +33.3 -050.0 50 0000 20120901 06 AL11 +35.4 -049.2 45 0000 20120901 12 AL11 +36.3 -046.9 50 0000 20120901 18 AL11 +38.1 -044.7 45 0000 20120902 00 AL11 +39.7 -042.6 35 0000

20120829 12 [015] +14 -037

To do: Fixes for Kirogi, track for Gilma, data for Ernesto, Gordon, Isaac, Joyce

Comparison Predictions

WP11 1800 (03?) +00.0 +000.0 | 30 kts 0990 hPa | +12 +26.5 +138.0 | 40 kts 0986 hPa | +24 WP11 0000 +25.0 +139.7 | 35 kts 0990 hPa | +12 +26.2 +138.1 | 45 kts 0984 hPa | +24 WP11 0600 +25.3 +138.9 | 40 kts 0990 hPa | +12 +26.3 +136.8 | 45 kts 0986 hPa | +24 WP11 0000 (04?) +24.7 +137.0 | 40 kts 0988 hPa | +12 +24.4 +135.6 | 40 kts 0988 hPa | +24 WP11 0000 (05?) +27.2 +128.5 | 45 kts 0980 hPa | +12 +27.3 +127.9 | 50 kts 0976 hPa | +24 WP11 1800 (05) +27.0 +126.0 | 60 kts 0970 hPa | +12 +27.4 +124.5 | 70 kts 0960 hPa | +24 WP11 0600 (06) +26.9 +123.8 | 70 kts 0960 hPa | +12 +27.2 +120.7 | 75 kts 0960 hPa | +24 WP11 1800 +26.6 +122.6 | 65 kts 0960 hPa | +12 +27.0 +121.0 | 65 kts 0960 hPa | +24 WP11 0000 (07) +27.8 +123.4 | 65 kts 0960 hPa | +12 +28.3 +122.5 | 65 kts 0960 hPa | +24

WP12 0600 +24.7 +162.5 | 30 kts 1006 hPa | +12 +25.9 +163.4 | 35 kts 1002 hPa | +24 WP12 0000 +23.0 +163.5 | 35 kts 1006 hPa | +12 +24.8 +164.7 | 35 kts 1004 hPa | +24 WP12 0000 (05?) +23.5 +161.6 | 30 kts 1006 hPa | +12 +24.2 +162.3 | 35 kts 1003 hPa | +24 WP12 1800 (05) +26.1 +163.0 | 35 kts 1000 hPa | +12 +27.7 +163.2 | 40 kts 0996 hPa | +24 WP12 0600 (06) +28.7 +163.4 | 35 kts 1000 hPa | +12 +30.6 +162.7 | 40 kts 0996 hPa | +24 WP12 1800 +30.0 +161.4 | 40 kts 0997 hPa | +12 +31.8 +160.3 | 45 kts 0994 hPa | +24

Tracks

AL06 Tropical Storm Florence

AL07 Tropical Depression Seven

WP11 Typhoon Haikui

WP12 Tropical Storm Kirogi

WP13 Typhoon Kai-tak

WP14 Typhoon Tembin

WP15 Typhoon Bolaven

WP16 Tropical Depression 16