User:Kiewii/Kiewii Hurricane Center/2012/Atlantic/Debby/Advisory 3

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ADVISORY NUMBER  3 KIEWII HURRICANE CENTER DUNDEE UK      AL042012 600 PM BST MON JUN 25 2012

...DEBBY WILL NOT STRENGTHEN AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 96 HOURS...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM BST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION -- LOCATION...28.6N 85.2W ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.34 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

RELY ON THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER PLEASE.

DISCUSSION -- DEBBY...BASED ON A PLANE...NOW ONLY HAS WINDS OF 40 KT. AS YOU COULD PROBABLY TELL...THE WIND SHOULD NOT BE A PROBLEM FOR FLORIDA. MODELS SEEM TO BE IN AGREEMENT FOR STRENGTH UP UNTIL TAU 72. DEBBY SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON FLORIDA WHILE BARELY HANGING ON TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. IT SHOULD EMERGE FROM LAND BY TAU 120 AND COULD STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY THEN.

FORECAST

INIT...25/1200Z...40 KT 997 MB 12HR...26/0000Z...35 KT 998 MB 24HR...26/1200Z...35 KT 999 MB 36HR...27/0000Z...35 KT 1000 MB 48HR...27/1200Z...35 KT 998 MB 72HR...28/1200Z...35 KT 1005 MB 96HR...29/1200Z...30 KT 1008 MB...INLAND 120HR..30/1200Z...30 KT 1006 MB