User:CobraStrike/CobraStrike's Forecasting Centre/Invest 92L/August 27/2100

This is my first invest model in my unofficial forecasting stuff. Here I'll be looking at the future of Invest 92L, an African wave which shows poise.

Track
Forecasting invest tracks are tricky because they've just come off the coast, but I expect a general WNW heading from 92L. I won't be forecasting 2+ days out like I did with Irene (where I did 7 day forecasts) to make sure that the storm doesn't do anything wild. My track is similar to the CLIP model.

Intensity
The model guidance with intensity is really tricky, but 2 days out I expect 92L to be at least a depression by then. The dry air that ran through the eastern Atlantic from May-mid-August is at a minimal, so I expect strengthening. Wind shear is also low unless the system unexpectadly moves northward.