Forum:2019 Pacific typhoon season

93W.INVEST
In the open Pacific, currently code yellow on JTWC. JMA also recognizes this as a low pressure area. Hopefully the next typhoon will come from this one. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:01, July 30, 2019 (UTC)
 * Still code yellow. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:07, July 31, 2019 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression (Invest 93W)
Code orange now, and JMA considers this system as a TD already. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:20, August 1, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 09W
Now designated as 09W by JTWC. Their forecast shows a typhoon for this storm before striking Japan. Could this finally be our 2nd typhoon of the season?  Sandy 156   :)  21:19, August 1, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Francisco
And it is now a TS. Forecast to become a typhoon before hitting/affecting the Korean Peninsula. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:09, August 2, 2019 (UTC)


 * Rainfall is going to be a big threat with this system, and knowing how impacts from storms like Khanun are in the Korean Peninsula, this is quite worrying. Rainfall of a little over a foot in extreme Southern Japan was predicted last I saw. Still, finally we have what might be our first typhoon in half a year. T  G  2 0 1 9 15:29, August 2, 2019 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Francisco
And now JTWC only has the peak for Francisco at 50 kt, looks like we have to wait a bit longer for our first typhoon since February. I was hoping that Francisco will be a typhoon, but guess not (unless it defines the forecast).  Sandy 156   :)  19:34, August 3, 2019 (UTC)


 * Anyways, JMA upgraded Francisco to an STS a while ago. This still has a good chance to become a typhoon. JTWC was lowballing it this morning when there were surface estimates of nearly 60 mph. T  G  2 0 1 9 19:52, August 3, 2019 (UTC)
 * Not losing hope on Francisco becoming a typhoon yet, hopefully it’ll be one soon.  Sandy 156   :)  19:58, August 3, 2019 (UTC)
 * JTWC and JMA are not expecting a typhoon from Francisco, time’s running out for him.  Sandy 156   :)  20:23, August 4, 2019 (UTC)

Typhoon Francisco
Scratch what I said above, Francisco intensifies into a typhoon according to JMA. Finally, about time.  Sandy 156   :)  14:29, August 5, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Francisco (2nd time)
And Francisco is now back to TS status, as it is now in the Korea-Japan area. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:11, August 6, 2019 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Francisco
Died yesterday. Ryan1000 14:01, August 8, 2019 (UTC)
 * Our first typhoon since February (followed by two more even stronger ones). Hopefully it wasn't too bad for Japan and Korea, although sadly Wiki's season effects reports 1 death. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:44, August 8, 2019 (UTC)

94W.INVEST
And another one pops up in Tropical Tidbits; this time it's in the Philippine Sea. Though not yet on JTWC, this may become a TD and be named Hanna by PAGASA. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:07, July 31, 2019 (UTC)
 * Code yellow now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:20, August 1, 2019 (UTC)
 * GFS and Euro both take this into South Korea as an intense typhoon, right after Francisco, which is worrying. Thankfully, that is pretty far out, but it seems worrying that both are on board with this. T  G  2 0 1 9 19:24, August 2, 2019 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression (Invest 94W)
TD on JMA, code red on JTWC – TCFA issued too. And this is becoming a worrying system i the long run, if the weather models and forecasts come into fruition. Still not named Hanna by PAGASA, but the southwest monsoon enhanced by this system has already killed a dozen people, mostly due to sea mishaps in Guimaras province in Visayas. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 12:40, August 3, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Hanna (94W)
And it has been finally named by PAGASA. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 13:35, August 3, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Lekima (Hanna)
And JMA upgrades 10W to a TS. Still a TD per JTWC and PAGASA though. Forecast to become a relatively strong typhoon in the coming days. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:37, August 4, 2019 (UTC)


 * I found it funny that JTWC said that it was 35 kt, but kept it as a TD again for this advisory. Anyways, ASCAT showing winds of 40-45 kt already. T  G  2 0 1 9 17:20, August 4, 2019 (UTC)

Also, since the WPac naming list cycles around roughly once every 6 years and PAGASA's naming list rotates once every 4 years, they often line up once every 12 years, so you can sometimes get a storm, like Lekima, with the same PAGASA name once per 12 years (the 2007 Lekima was also named Hanna by PAGASA). Neat coincidence. But this Lekima will probably turn northward and recurve to hit South/North Korea somewhere, not Vietnam like the 2007 Lekima. Ryan1000 05:15, August 5, 2019 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Lekima (Hanna)
Both JMA and PAGASA upgraded Lekima to a STS; only a matter of time before it intensifies into a typhoon. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:09, August 6, 2019 (UTC)


 * Looks like Lekima will hit Taiwan as a cat 2-3 storm according to the JTWC before recurving northeast towards Japan or South Korea. Rainfall might be a threat if it moves slowly enough over Taiwan. Ryan1000 16:42, August 6, 2019 (UTC)

Typhoon Lekima (Hanna)
Was upgraded to a typhoon by both JMA and JTWC.  Sandy 156   :)  00:59, August 7, 2019 (UTC)
 * Woah, forecast peak was raised to 145 mph by the JTWC, if trends keep up Lekima might even become a cat 5. Fortunately, Lekima is now forecast to miss Taiwan, but unfortunately, Lekima is now expected to come very close to making a direct hit on Shanghai as a 100 mph storm. Hopefully this changes course before then, a strong typhoon in Shanghai could inflict very serious damage. Ryan1000 11:15, August 7, 2019 (UTC)
 * Just weaken for crying out loud. We don't want leukaemia infections. Bartfart12666 (talk) 15:02, August 7, 2019 (UTC)
 * Forecast peak now raised by JTWC to 150 mph (130 kts), which would make Lekima the 2nd [unofficial] 'super typhoon' of the season, just after Wutip. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 17:29, August 7, 2019 (UTC)
 * And Lekima becomes the 2nd super typhoon of the season. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:38, August 8, 2019 (UTC)

Lekima might briefly become a cat 5 before passing through the southern Ryukyu Islands of Japan, but it will weaken before hitting China. Lekima might also hit further south than Shanghai at this point and weaken to a tropical storm before crossing over the city, but as Rumbia showed last year, even a TS in Shanghai can be fairly destructive from floodwaters. Ryan1000 14:01, August 8, 2019 (UTC)
 * Now 120 knots (140 mph) according to JTWC and 95 knots (110 mph) according to JMA. This has been a pretty frightening system, although luckily it's forecast to weaken from here on out. The southern Ryukyu Islands probably suffered through quite a bit with this storm. Hopefully it won't be too bad for China. Another piece of terrifying news: It sunk 3 boats in the Guimaras Strait, causing 31 deaths! 🙁 ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:44, August 8, 2019 (UTC)

Landfall in Zhejiang
And both JTWC and JMA tell that Lekima has made landfall in Zhejiang as a Category 2-equivalent typhoon. Hopefully the damage won't be that severe; the fatalities in the Philippines are already enough, I must say. Anonymous 2.0 (talk)

Tropical Storm Lekima (Hanna) (2nd time)
Downgraded to a tropical storm (JMA and JTWC) over land. Hopefully any impacts in China are light. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  16:16, August 10, 2019 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Krosa
Forgot to update this page, sorry. Anyway, this was formerly Invest 95W, and intensified to a TS today -- in both JMA and JTWC's scales. Expected to affect the same areas as Francisco. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:10, August 6, 2019 (UTC)

Typhoon Krosa
This large system became a typhoon for a while, 75 mph according to JMA and 80 mph according to JTWC. Pressure is 975 mbar.  Sandy 156   :)  04:08, August 8, 2019 (UTC)
 * And it's now Category 3 on the SSHWS. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:40, August 8, 2019 (UTC)
 * JTWC now has it at high-end C2 intensity (95 knots/110 mph) and JMA has it at 85 knots (100 mph). Forecast to weaken gradually and then stabilize in intensity, possibly reintensifying on the 13th. Looking like a long-run Japan threat. At least the WPac is finally getting more active and producing typhoons (compared to the pathetic TS after TS streak last month). But it just sucks that these typhoons have to go threaten land. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:44, August 8, 2019 (UTC)

96W.INVEST
New invest west of Luzon. Appears only on Tropical Tidbits, but PAGASA has recognized this system as a low pressure area. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:09, August 6, 2019 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression (Invest 96W)
Apparently, JMA has upgraded this system to a TD, according to their secondary weather map (the weather chart). Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 16:18, August 6, 2019 (UTC)
 * Code orange on JTWC. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 12:51, August 7, 2019 (UTC)
 * No longer on JTWC's site but JMA still holds on. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:55, August 8, 2019 (UTC)

Remnants of JMA Tropical Depression (Invest 96W)
No longer on JMA's website. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:44, August 8, 2019 (UTC)