Forum:2016 Pacific typhoon season

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Well, it's 2016 in the WPAC's time zone, and it looks like 9C may move into this basin, giving us an early start. Welcome to the 2016 typhoon season! ~Raindrop57 (talk) 21:31, December 31, 2015 (UTC)
 * Gotta love how both CPAC and ATL could start faster than WPAC.-- Isaac829 E-Mail  02:39, January 8, 2016 (UTC)
 * Is it unusual that we have yet to see a single tropical cyclone in the WPAC in the middle of May? Jdcomix (talk) 16:08, May 15, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Depression One-W
there was a 01W in late May. --  HurricaneOdile |  insert message here ×  edits  ×  spam goes here!  21:46, June 12, 2016 (UTC)

92W.INVEST
Invest area in the WPAC, fish storm most likely. Jdcomix (talk) 15:08, June 4, 2016 (UTC)

95W.INVEST
GFS makes this a typhoon with a exposed center as it nears Hainan. -- Hurri  cane Odile   22:34, June 20, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Ambo
so this is a TD by PAGASA apparently. -- Hurri  cane Odile   17:25, June 26, 2016 (UTC)

99W.INVEST
finally models develop a invest! -- Hurri  cane Odile   15:22, July 1, 2016 (UTC)
 * I think we could see our first named storm out of this invest. According to GFS, the system is expected to become a typhoon. T G  21:47, July 1, 2016 (UTC)
 * The JTWC have put a high chance for formation on this invest. We are probably going to see Tropical Storm/Severe Tropical Storm/Typhoon Nepartak in the next day or so. T G  12:18, July 2, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Nepartak
Per JMA; JTWC just upgraded it to a depression though. ~ KN2731 {talk} 03:41, July 3, 2016 (UTC)


 * Now a TS per JTWC. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 10:05, July 3, 2016 (UTC)
 * Finally got something here; this is the second-latest date for the first storm of a WPac season, after July 8, 1998. Also, this thing looks nice and is moving over a favorable environment; JTWC eventually takes this to a category 3 storm over the next several days and it eventually might hit South Korea or Japan. Ryan1000 11:11, July 3, 2016 (UTC)


 * Holy cow, the WPAC is amazing this year! It's so amazing, that it never formed anything, give or take a few depressions here and there, until JULY THIRD! I just almost had a seizure when he formed!←|Me laughing| Reminds me so much of 2013, except that year, the storms formed in June, and there was a near hurricane on the first week of January. Now remember, we just had a historic typhoon drought for 7 months, an incredible feat even 2010 couldn't pull off. P.S: Oh, and 1998? That year sure made a fool of itself January-July. I hail 1998. Sincerely, IbAHAn1829 \Chat/ 14:12, July 3, 2016 (UTC)
 * Lol, the WPac really was insanely quiet. We finally got something but this might threaten South Korea and Japan. This is going to be a typhoon, maybe even a strong one.  St  eve  82  0   03:07, July 4, 2016 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Nepartak
60 mph, 990 mbar. Nepartak will probably a typhoon by tomorrow. T G  15:04, July 4, 2016 (UTC)


 * Still expected to head northwest towards Taiwan and China, but the front that caused deadly flooding over China recently could recurve it towards Japan or South Korea as well. This storm definitely bears watching. Ryan1000 01:50, July 5, 2016 (UTC)

Typhoon Nepartak (Butchoy)
Category 2 typhoon 90 mph/955 mbar. Named Butchoy in the Philippines. T G  11:17, July 5, 2016 (UTC)


 * I was shocked to know SAB has Nepartak at T6.0 182.58.69.91 12:09, July 5, 2016 (UTC)
 * This thing looks fairly well-organized right now, it could be on the verge of rapidly intensifying. Taiwan and China better watch out. Ryan1000 12:18, July 5, 2016 (UTC)


 * likely a STY upgrade at 18z if this keeps on. -- Hurri  cane Odile   15:09, July 5, 2016 (UTC)


 * OH MY WORD THIS STORM IS BLOWING UP, 140 MPH 1 SUSTAINED, 105 MPH 10 SUSTAINED, 940 MBAR LOW PRESSURE! T6 DVORAK! Expected to be C5 tomorrow afternoon by JTWC, but I think it will happen earlier than THAT!Sincerely, IbAHAn1829 \Chat/ 16:12, July 5, 2016 (UTC)


 * This is going to be a VERY BAD storm for Taiwan and China, unless rapid weakening occurs, which is highly unlikely until landfall. T G  18:07, July 5, 2016 (UTC)
 * 150mph, 925 mbar. This is becoming a monster. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:04, July 5, 2016 (UTC)

Officially a super typhoon. Winds at 150 mph and pressure at 925 mbar. T G  20:03, July 5, 2016 (UTC)


 * It's an unofficial designation though, since it's the JMA and not JTWC that is in charge of the western Pacific. Nevertheless, this may explode to a Category 5-equivalent typhoon if favorable conditions continue. Taiwan, China, Ryukyu Islands and even the Philippines (because of the monsoon) should watch out for this. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:06, July 5, 2016 (UTC)


 * that prediction was accurate.

ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE COMPACT, SYMMETRICAL, AND HAS ACQUIRED ANNULAR CHARACTERISTICS AS THE EYE EXPANDED TO 13 NM.

JTWC calling this annular now, apparently. -- Hurri  cane Odile   20:10, July 5, 2016 (UTC)

i have never been so hyped for a visible image... -- Hurri <font face="Comic Sans MS"> cane Odile   21:09, July 5, 2016 (UTC)


 * It looks like Nepartak might slam into Taiwan as a Category 4 or 5 typhoon. Let's just hope that it'd be weaker than that. T G  21:31, July 5, 2016 (UTC)


 * This is scary. We finally got something in the WPAC, and of course it has to be a major threat. I really hope it doesn't do much destruction. Leeboy100 Hello! 21:42, July 5, 2016 (UTC)
 * The WPac HAD to make its first named storm a major threat to land. I really, honestly, hope they will be safe. All this time, I had a bad feeling about the name "Nepartak"... I won't be surprised if it ends up being among Taiwan's most destructive storms ever recorded. This beast needs to significantly weaken before it strikes Taiwan... or who knows what will go down there.  <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0    00:33, July 6, 2016 (UTC)


 * Category 5 now.  This is not good, it's at 140 knots and 900 millibars. And strengthening is still likely. I hate to say this but we are likely looking at a sub-900 millibar storm barreling straight towards Taiwan.  Leeboy100 Hello! 04:16, July 6, 2016 (UTC)
 * Despite Napartak's extreme intensity, Nepartak is rather small for a super typhoon, almost as small as Blas. It'll probably be very strong when it hits Taiwan, but hopefully it hits an unpopulated part of the island's coast, since the core of maximum winds is small and it'll be moving fast. Ryan1000 05:46, July 6, 2016 (UTC)


 * Bada news. Nepartak is now at 175 mph & nine HUNDRED millibars, rivaling even  HURRICANE KATRINA!!!  I DEATHLY hope Taiwan AND China is jam packed PREPARED for this. I died a little inside thinking of the amazement and catastrophe Nepartaks' going to cause. Stay safe Taiwan! Oh, and u too, China, and Koreas!(assuming Nepartak makes it to the Koreas)Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \-DChat/Ta ta! 10:30, July 6, 2016 (UTC)


 * Still 900 MB, so maybe it peaked... Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \-DChat/Ta ta! 14:43, July 6, 2016 (UTC)


 * looks that its becoming annular in satellite imagery. --<font face="Comic Sans MS"> Hurri <font face="Comic Sans MS"> cane Odile   15:34, July 6, 2016 (UTC)


 * This is starting to look annular, except that it has a pinhole eye instead of a huge one. Taiwan better be taking shelter.  Leeboy100 Hello! 15:46, July 6, 2016 (UTC)


 * Where is everybody? We have a major Typhoon out there and nobody's here. Still the same, at 175 mph and 900 millibars, and this storm is producing gusts of 210 MPH. This will likely be very bad. Stay safe everyone in Taiwan.  Leeboy100 Stay safe Taiwan. 02:45, July 7, 2016 (UTC)
 * the symmetry of Nepartak is beyond beautiful. its one of the destructive and beautiful typhoons in the WPac. --<font face="Comic Sans MS"> Hurri <font face="Comic Sans MS"> cane Odile   02:50, July 7, 2016 (UTC)
 * Uh oh... This monster is closing in. Taiwan is in danger of getting devastated by Nepartak now. Hopefully, they stay safe out there. I don't want to hear any news about extreme destruction and deaths. However, it is a beautiful hurricane on satellite imagery.  <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0    04:47, July 7, 2016 (UTC)
 * Well, 900 hPa is impressive, but if it peaks there it's going to be the fourth storm to get stuck there this decade, after Sanba, Vongfong, and Soudelor. Only Haiyan and Megi (and Patricia) have made it, you'll have to go back to Wilma if you want another one. --TekkenGuy12 (talk) 05:13, July 7, 2016 (UTC)
 * This storm maintained the same strength. This is looking ugly for Taiwan. This may be their Haiyan/Katrina. I just hope this is less worse than Morakot '09 (which is Taiwan's worst typhoon ever, despite only peaking as a Category 1 typhoon). Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 07:01, July 7, 2016 (UTC)

down to 270kph. still 900mb though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:09, July 7, 2016 (UTC)


 * now 260kph. still 900mb. but a Taiwanese buoy recorded an 897mb pressure. (see: https://twitter.com/BMcNoldy/status/751057770057793536) Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:52, July 7, 2016 (UTC)
 * It'll probably be downgraded to a category 4 when it makes landfall in Taiwan later today. The high mountains of the island should destroy the small circulation of this thing before it makes it to China as a considerable storm. Ryan1000 15:36, July 7, 2016 (UTC)
 * Still 260kph (1-min). Down to 185kph (10-min) though. 920mbars. 124.106.128.187 16:02, July 7, 2016 (UTC)
 * It's closing in on Taiwan, and hopefully they are all prepared by now. I don't want to see a Morakot repeat. It should make landfall later today, but major destruction is inevitable. :/  <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0    19:01, July 7, 2016 (UTC)
 * It's not even going to come close to Morakot. Morakot sat over Taiwan for several days and dumped catastrophic amounts of rainfall over the island that caused the worst flood disaster in the island's history, a flood that killed hundreds and caused billions of dollars in damage. If you see Dr. Master's latest blog post, he elaborates a little on the typhoon history of Taiwan, and the island is definitely no stranger to powerful typhoons, so just because Nepartak is going to make a strong landfall doesn't mean it will be catastrophic for the island; the buildings there are very well-engineered for typhoon winds. The worst storms for Taiwan are the storms that move slowly over the island and dump heavy rain which causes floods and mudslides, like Morakot and Fanapi '10. Nepartak is small and fast-moving, so it's very unlikely it'll be a repeat of either Morakot or Fanapi. Itll probably be a repeat of Bilis 2000 or Jangmi '08, both of which took fairly similar paths to Nepartak, but caused relatively little damage and deaths on Taiwan. Ryan1000 19:17, July 7, 2016 (UTC)
 * I'm pretty sure it's made landfall.  Leeboy100 Stay safe Taiwan. 23:28, July 7, 2016 (UTC)

Now down to a Category 2. 945mbars. Seems Taiwan escaped this storm, but I'm getting worried for China — they're currently experiencing their greatest floods since 1998 and there's a high possibility that this storm may exacerbate the poor weather conditions there. Meanwhle, the Philippines, though not directly affected by Nepartak, is being battered by the southwest monsoon which was further enhanced by Nepartak, prompting class suspensions due to heavy rains. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 03:21, July 8, 2016 (UTC)


 * So far, only two fatalities have been reported with over 60 injuries. It weakened to a 150 mph category 4 storm before it made landfall, and it seems Taiwan's mountains killed this thing. Nepartak is down to a category 1 now and is only expected to be a tropical storm when it moves into mainland China. It could cause more flooding in China, but it will be localized due to Nepartak's small size. Ryan1000 12:57, July 8, 2016 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Nepartak (2nd time)
Down to a STS, and it's nearly dead due to the interaction with Taiwan. Ryan1000 20:33, July 8, 2016 (UTC)

So, 3 people are dead and over 100 injured, but it could have been much worse. Also,  they found a minimum pressure of 897 millibars at its peak, which means this was the strongest typhoon since Haiyan. Leeboy100 Stay safe Taiwan. 21:11, July 8, 2016 (UTC)


 * Looks like it wasn't as bad as I originally feared. A Morakot repeat would have been a nightmare. However, it still caused deaths. :/ Nepartak's weak circulation should strike China soon, and that might worsen the flooding disaster that has already killed 285 people. <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0   22:39, July 8, 2016 (UTC)


 * Yeah, good luck, stay safe China, plus China has had more typhoons make landfall on them than even the Philippines. Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \-DChat/Ta ta! 19:17, July 9, 2016 (UTC)

Remnants of Nepartak
Good Riddence, Nepartak. Chances of retirement are not that great unless the floods from this thing end up being as bad as 2013's Typhoon Fitow.Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \-DChat/Ta ta! 19:24, July 9, 2016 (UTC)


 * I never really expected Nepartak to be utterly catastrophic since the area it hit is no stranger to strong typhoons, plus Nepartak wasn't very big, like Fitow and Morakot were, so the impacts were rather localized. But, the season has only started now, so there could be worse later on. Ryan1000 11:47, July 10, 2016 (UTC)


 * Nepartak's intensity really surprised me; I never expected it to become the year's strongest TC thus far. Also, judging from the typhoon's Wikipedia page, impact was extensive but not catastrophic. Currently, nine fatalities and damage reports of at least $193.9 million (2016 USD) have been reported from Nepartak. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  03:17, July 11, 2016 (UTC)
 * Thankfully, it was less destructive and deadly than I was expecting. But Taiwan is no stranger to powerful threatening typhoons, so maybe this shouldn't come as a surprise. <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0   06:19, July 12, 2016 (UTC)
 * Bad news, the damage of Nepartak has exceeded $1 billion. The storm also caused 72 fatalities. Still, the amount of damage was less than I had originally thought. T  G  15:18, July 15, 2016 (UTC)
 * Most of Nepartak's damage was in China, not Taiwan, and seeing as how much of eastern China was ridden with catastrophic 20+ billion dollar floods earlier, Nepartak doesn't stand out as much compared to that. But it is nonetheless more damaging than I thought it would turn out to be for China. Taiwan didn't even suffer 100 million USD in damage from this. Ryan1000 00:44, July 17, 2016 (UTC)
 * 86 deaths now. Moderate chance of getting retired, tbh. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 06:59, July 22, 2016 (UTC)

AOI: NE of Chuuk
According to the JTWC, we have a new system over the open Pacific. It is currently in a favorable environment with low shear and SST's of up to 30 degrees Celsius. However, not many models are developing this system. The AOI's current intensity is 10 to 15 knots (10 to 15 mph) (1-min) /1010 mbar, and the JTWC gives it a low chance of formation in the next 24 hours. I hope this system can become a Category 5, as the next name slated for use, Lupit, has done so in both its past incarcerations. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  03:17, July 11, 2016 (UTC)


 * Mysteriously, this AOI has dissipated. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  14:37, July 11, 2016 (UTC)

AOI: NNW of Yap
The JTWC is tracking a new AOI to the west of the above system. It's in a similar environment, only with slightly stronger shear. According to the JTWC, the models are not very excited with this AOI, neither. Winds are at 15 to 20 knots (15 to 25 mph) (1-min) with a pressure of 1008 mbar, and the JTWC anticipates a low chance of formation in the next 24 hours. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  14:37, July 11, 2016 (UTC)
 * Gone, per JTWC. T G  14:39, July 13, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 03W
So, a new depression has formed. Expected to stay at TD strength, and its current strength is 35 mph/1006 mbar. T G  19:54, July 17, 2016 (UTC)

Remnants of Tropical Depression 03W
I was surprised this became a TD. However, it has dissipated. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  12:42, July 19, 2016 (UTC)
 * It is somehow still on the JMA's weather map, and moving east-southeastwards. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:04, July 20, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Lupit
expected to be a failicia --<font face="Comic Sans MS"> Hurri <font face="Comic Sans MS"> cane Odile   01:32, July 24, 2016 (UTC) Deader than dead. Epic fail. Worse than Felicia. Next! Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \ (:-D)Chat / Ta ta! 16:13, July 24, 2016 (UTC)
 * Um, this is not dead yet. It is still a 45 mph TS and is also still an active storm according to the JTWC. T  G  17:47, July 24, 2016 (UTC)

Remnants of Lupit
Now, it is dead. T G  12:18, July 25, 2016 (UTC)


 * Wow, just wow. I wanted Lupit to be just like its two predecessors - powerful, long-lived Category 5 super typhoons. Nope. Not only does a name which means "visciousness" in the Philippines go to a very weak tropical storm, but also one that sneaks out of nowhere and lasts just two days. I'm sad to see Lupit fall on its face. Hopefully, Nida, who has also become a Category 5 two out of two times, does not follow their footsteps. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:25, July 28, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 05W
30 mph/1006 mbar. Expected to become Mirinae before China/Vietnam landfall. T G  16:34, July 25, 2016 (UTC)


 * It's expected to be a tropical storm, which is much better than a typhoon due to its forecast track into China/Vietnam. The WPac has continued to be inactive... <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0   20:58, July 25, 2016 (UTC)
 * Finally another storm in the WPAC! (Although the last one was no joke - edit: the one before that, I forgot Lupit even existed lol) I do hope this one stays weak due to impacts, but it's nice to see some activity in what's usually the world's most active basin. At this rate, this year may have a shot at the quietest WPAC season on record. ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 00:34, July 26, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Mirinae
Now named by JMA. 40 mph/998 mbar. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:23, July 26, 2016 (UTC)
 * And we have another named storm in the WPAC. I hope this one fails as badly as Lupit because it will hit land soon. ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 14:29, July 26, 2016 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Mirinae
Now an STS per JMA. 60 mph/990 mbar. Mirinae is probably at its peak intensity right now due to the fact that it's practically over land. T G  13:22, July 27, 2016 (UTC)
 * This isn't looking too good for China and Vietnam. If the deep convection reaches land there could be severe flooding issues. ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 15:50, July 27, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Mirinae (2nd time)
40 mph/996 mbar. T G  11:52, July 28, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Mirinae
Mirinae is on the verge of dissipating now. This storm seems quite disappointing. T G  14:22, July 28, 2016 (UTC)


 * This storm seems basically gone now. I'm not sure how bad impacts on land were yet though. ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 16:23, July 28, 2016 (UTC)


 * The good thing is, this has a major lack of fatalities so far. The bad thing is, we don't know how bad the damage is. T  G  17:11, July 28, 2016 (UTC)

Remnants of Mirinae
Since the JMA has not issued a new update on Mirinae for six hours, this probably indicates they have stopped following Mirinae (which, along with Lupit, I did not even know existed). One fatality has been reported thus far, and although heavy flooding was expected to be a problem for Vietnam, I have not seen any damage statistics. It seems as if this storm was a near disaster, as it became a severe tropical storm over the Gulf of Tonkin despite its proximity to land. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:05, July 28, 2016 (UTC)


 * Luckily, it didn't turn into a massive typhoon monster (of course, I never predicted that). A tropical storm is much better than a typhoon when close to land. But still, it caused a death. :( <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0   21:20, July 28, 2016 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression A
I am not sure if the JTWC assigned the aforementioned number to this TD east of the Philippines. However, it appears to be developing convection, and with low shear and warm SST's per the JTWC, may become a tropical storm. Winds are 15 to 20 knots (15 to 25 mph) (1-min) according to the JTWC, with a pressure of 1008 mbar (hPa) per the JMA. Since the system is headed towards land, I don't think it will get very strong. Nevertheless, since the last two incarnations of the next name, Nida, became Category 5's, I would like it to at least not break its trend like Lupit just did. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:18, July 28, 2016 (UTC)


 * I really wouldn't wish it to become a C5 because it taking a path right towards the Philippines. The GFS already has it make landfall as a typhoon in the Philippines. Let's just hope it's weaker before landfall. T  G  23:41, July 28, 2016 (UTC)


 * Hopefully this storm doesn't continue the streak of the Phillippines getting hit by a strong (category 4+) storm every year, as they've been pretty devestated. Hoping for this to fail! ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 03:46, July 29, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 06W (Carina)
now a TD. PAGASA name is Carina. --<font face="Comic Sans MS"> Hurri <font face="Comic Sans MS"> cane Odile   16:16, July 29, 2016 (UTC)


 * Nida, anyone? Supposed to make landfall as a C1 in Luzon. T  G  19:54, July 29, 2016 (UTC)


 * I would say so. This system has come together awfully fast, and with favorable conditions such as warm SSTs ahead of it, RI may even be a possibility with Carina. The JMA currently reports an intensity of 30 knots (35 mph) (10-min), with a pressure of 1002 mbar (hPa). The JTWC reports the same one-minute winds with gusts of 40 knots (45 mph). Fortunately, Carina is passing close to the Philippines (where Signal #1 is in effect), and land interaction could prevent it from becoming incredibly powerful. It seems as if Nida is going to break her Category 5 streak, but given the land threat the depression poses, I won't be too upset about it. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  01:37, July 30, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Nida (Carina)
Now a TS! 40 mph/996 mbar. The good news is that Nida is expected to just brush Luzon and a few other islands. The bad news is that Nida is going to strike Hong Kong as a typhoon. T G  12:47, July 30, 2016 (UTC)


 * This thing seems to be strengthening rather quickly, this could have major land impacts if this keeps up. Right now there are VERY cold cloud tops in the center of Nida, and 10-minute winds are up to 45 mph. ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 17:56, July 30, 2016 (UTC)
 * Hopefully Hong Kong won't see much destruction from Nida. I don't think Nida will be too strong when it gets there though, and Hong Kong is used to typhoons. <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0   01:28, July 31, 2016 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Nida (Carina)
JMA's 10-min winds are at 55 knots, and the JTWC's 1-min winds are already at 65 knots, making Nida (unofficially) a category 1 typhoon. Given that it's still strengthening while over the Philippines, this isn't looking good for Hong Kong, and the JTWC notes that Nida "SHOULD INTENSIFY TO A PEAK INTENSITY OF 85 KNOTS BY TAU 36 AND PERHAPS HIGHER BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL NEAR HONG KONG BY TAU 42." Hopefully the storm's size keeps intensification in check. ~ KN2731 {talk} 11:10, July 31, 2016 (UTC)
 * I just hope this storm won't hit Hong Kong on the 54th anniversary of Typhoon Wanda. This is looking ugly for HK. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 22:24, July 31, 2016 (UTC)
 * This is threatening Hong Kong badly. It's already showing signs of intensification, and the forecast peak is up to 90 knots according to JTWC. Nida is now 65 knots (1-min winds), making it a Category 1 typhoon, but it is still a severe tropical storm in 10-min winds. Even though it is a large storm, it could still have potential to rapidly intensify over the northern South China Sea. Things might get ugly real quick for Hong Kong... <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0   00:54, August 1, 2016 (UTC)
 * Several flights to and from Hong Kong have been cancelled already... T8 (Signal No. 8) is imminent for HK, but a T9 or a T10 may be raised if Nida, known in PH as Carina, gets too close or intensifies further. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 06:11, August 1, 2016 (UTC)

Typhoon Nida (Carina)
This just keeps creeping towards Hong Kong as it gets stronger. I hope that impacts will be minor. T G  14:07, August 1, 2016 (UTC)


 * 90 mph and 970 mbars now. I hope this wont pull off a Vicente and bomb a few hours before landfall. But, given Nida's size, I doubt that will happen. But you never know...Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 14:44, August 1, 2016 (UTC)


 * Typhoon Signal No. 8 (NW) now in effect. Will this storm be HK's first Signal No. 10 in four years? We'll find out. But conditions are deteriorating in Hong Kong as of this writing. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 14:56, August 1, 2016 (UTC)


 * Nida is about to make landfall. The good news is that it's large size prevented it from becoming too strong, but flooding and winds will nevertheless be an issue in Hong Kong. Hopefully nobody dies, but at least moderate amounts of damage are likely. ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 15:51, August 1, 2016 (UTC)
 * Thank god that it didn't bomb out like Vicente. Hong Kong should receive plenty of impacts, but hopefully nothing severe. <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0   00:15, August 2, 2016 (UTC)
 * It's kind of sad to see Nida and Lupit both end their Category 5 streaks but thankfully there was no major damage between them. Besides those two, only Saomai has gone C5 in its first two tries, but that was retired. Son-Tinh, its replacement, hit C3 in 2012. Too bad it got overshadowed by Sandy (a la Talim/Katrina).--TekkenGuy12 (talk) 00:59, August 2, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Nida (2nd time)
Currently moving inland with a large blob of convection over Hainan. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:35, August 2, 2016 (UTC)

Remnants of Nida
Nida has dissipated over China. Hopefully the damage from this storm isn't that bad (though based on the latest data, it isn't as bad as I thought). Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:38, August 4, 2016 (UTC)

JMA Tropical Depression B
The JTWC has not acknowledged this system, but according to Wikipedia, the JMA is tracking a tropical depression southeast of Japan. The JMA reports a pressure of 1008 mbar (hPa). Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  19:18, July 28, 2016 (UTC)


 * Looks like it won't be very strong, luckily. Expected to be a failed depression. T  G  23:50, July 28, 2016 (UTC)


 * This is so weak that it doesn't even show up on the satellite estimates page lol. ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 03:47, July 29, 2016 (UTC)

Remnants of JMA Tropical Depression (97W.INVEST)
An interesting dilemma is happening here. According to Wikipedia, this TD has become a low-pressure area. However, the JTWC has started to track this system as a subtropical cyclone. Nevertheless, given its disorganized appearance and that shear values in the surrounding environment are up to 30 knots, it is rather doubtful that Invest 97W will become anything significant. With winds of 15 to 20 knots (15 to 25 mph) (1-min) and a pressure of 1006 mbar (hPa), the JTWC reports a low chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 24 hours. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  01:24, July 30, 2016 (UTC)
 * It dissipated some time ago. At least it wasn't a name-stealer. ~ KN2731 {talk} 11:11, July 31, 2016 (UTC)
 * I agree. I pity name stealers, and am glad this wasn't one. <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0   00:56, August 1, 2016 (UTC)

98W.INVEST
An invest appeared! Currently a low pressure area on the JMA's weather map. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:37, August 2, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Omais
Upgraded by JMA to Tropical Storm Omais, but JTWC is yet to issue a TCFA; the latter agency still classifies this storm as a monsoon depression. (P.S. When I first edited this section, this is not yet designated as 07W, though I think it will be designated as 07W sooner than later.) Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 13:19, August 4, 2016 (UTC)
 * This doesn't look very tropical. There's no clear low-level circulation at all, and looks worse than Atlantic's Colin. How did the JMA even decide to classify this as a TS? ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:54, August 4, 2016 (UTC)
 * Could the center possibly have reformed under the tip of the large convective band? It actually doesn't look too bad if that's the case. ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 14:25, August 4, 2016 (UTC)
 * Well, it's a tropical storm now according to both agencies, as JTWC upgraded it to a TS from a monsoon depression. The storm is expected to peak as a C1 before affecting Japan. T  G  14:43, August 4, 2016 (UTC)
 * Now both JTWC and JMA have Omais as a TS. Still moving slowly towards the north. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 20:33, August 4, 2016 (UTC)


 * Omais has strengthened some and is up to 50 mph. Omais looks too large to rapidly intensify much like Nida, but it sure has deep convection! (Although this has finally weakened as of recently) ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 21:10, August 5, 2016 (UTC)
 * It's now 55 knots according to the JTWC, and could be a typhoon soon. It's expected to pass to the east of Japan. <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0   03:40, August 6, 2016 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Omais
Upped to 60 kt by both JMA and JTWC. Should be a typhoon soon, but the convection doesn't look very good lately. ~ KN2731 {talk} 14:42, August 6, 2016 (UTC)


 * It actually looks to be weakening now. The convection has waned considerably and the satellite agencies are calling it subtropical. It looked like it could have been a typhoon yesterday before this surprise disorganization though. ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 18:01, August 6, 2016 (UTC)

Remnants of Omais
FTR, Omais died out a while ago. <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0   01:57, August 12, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 08W
35 mph/1006 mbar. Expected to become a strong STS/weak typhoon. T G  12:35, August 8, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Conson
Now upgraded to a TS. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 11:17, August 9, 2016 (UTC)


 * Conson appears to be slowly strengthening, but is definitely being sheared. ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 20:46, August 9, 2016 (UTC)


 * 50 mph now, typhoon expected in 2-3 days from now...Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 12:52, August 10, 2016 (UTC)
 * The JTWC doesn't predict a typhoon, and it could affect far northeastern Japan near the end of the forecast period. <font face="Impact"> St  eve  82  0   01:55, August 12, 2016 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Conson
Conson lasted a while but was never able to strengthen much, I don't believe Conson ever became a typhoon. Conson is now an extratropical storm which has moved northward away from the tropics. ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 18:58, August 16, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 09W
A small, slowly-strengthening depression. Expected to peak as a TS and make landfall in Japan. T G  12:54, August 13, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Chanthu
Now a TS. T G  22:27, August 14, 2016 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Chanthu
Up to a STS on the JMA scale now. Ryan1000 03:36, August 15, 2016 (UTC)


 * Looks like Chanthu is about to make landfall in Japan. I highly doubt it will do much there as Japan is very prepared for storms. However maybe it could have bigger impacts in China.  Nevermind, it's track forecast doesn't bring it to China, instead barely making landfall in Japan. Hopefully this storm stays weak as it hits land. ~Raindrop57 (talk) :D 18:54, August 16, 2016 (UTC)


 * Chanthu had an eye at one point and looked pretty good, but has since appeared to degenerate into an extratropical cyclone. It has also made landfall in northern Japan. This storm should be gone shortly and likely didn't have very big impacts. ~ Raindrop (Rain rules!) 16:35, August 17, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 10W
An unnamed TD has formed in the Western Pacific ocean. This one currently has quite a bit of convection and is expected to become a tropical storm, however a typhoon appears quite unlikely. ~ Raindrop (Rain rules!) 16:53, August 18, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Mindulle
This is now a tropical storm with 50 mph winds per the JTWC. Could be a 75 mph typhoon if the latest JTWC forecast is right. Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 13:28, August 19, 2016 (UTC)


 * Looks like we will have a nice fishspinner typhoon from this - a nice change from everything impacting land. ~ Raindrop (Rain rules!) 14:24, August 20, 2016 (UTC)


 * There also appears to be a Fujiwhara interaction occurring between this storm and tropical storm Lionrock. As a result, this storm is speeding northward while Lionrock is getting pulled slowly southwestward. ~ Raindrop (Rain rules!) 20:14, August 20, 2016 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Mindulle
It appears that Mindulle is strengthening. Expected to become a typhoon right before it makes landfall. T G  11:58, August 21, 2016 (UTC)

Typhoon Mindulle
Now a typhoon! T G  19:28, August 21, 2016 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Mindulle (2nd time)
Starting to die fast after it made landfall. We might have to say farewell to Mindulle. T G  00:43, August 23, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Dianmu
Another rather weak TD or TS has formed in the Western Pacific which has been named Dianmu. Despite having a JMA storm name, the JTWC has this as a 30 mph TD. Maybe it was stronger earlier? This storm has already made landfall in Korea and may approach TS strength before making landfall in Vietnam. ~ Raindrop (Rain rules!) 16:53, August 18, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Dianmu
Dianmu has strengthened into a tropical storm as it approaches land. It even has an eye feature now! Looks like it could strengthen some more before making landfall, but will still likely not be TOO devastating. ~ Raindrop (Rain rules!) 02:17, August 19, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm 12W
This small system with 45mph 1 minute winds is unnamed. However, it is expected to slowly strengthen and it should get a name. It appears to have a vigorous circulation despite not much convection. ~ Raindrop (Rain rules!) 16:53, August 18, 2016 (UTC)


 * This storm has actually weakened to 40 mph, and with that the intensity forecast has fallen, showing slower strengthening to 55 kts at the end of the forecast period. ~ Raindrop (Rain rules!) 02:19, August 19, 2016 (UTC)


 * Looks like this will be Lionrock, as 10W became a Tropical Storm now by the JMA... Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 13:30, August 19, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Lionrock
Now named. 40 mph/994 mbar; expected to stay at TS strength for a while. T G  11:55, August 20, 2016 (UTC)


 * Lionrock does not appear to be strengthening yet, however it's a pretty interesting looking storm. It also notably has never really had deep convection over the center. ~ Raindrop (Rain rules!) 14:22, August 20, 2016 (UTC)


 * Looks like Lionrock will become a typhoon. Luckily, it will be weak and miss most of Mainland Japan. T  G  00:46, August 23, 2016 (UTC)

Typhoon Lionrock
Lionrock is now the 4th typhoon of the year with winds of 75 mph per the JMA, along with a pressure of 970 millibars. Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 22:40, August 23, 2016 (UTC)

Typhoon Lionrock (Dindo)
Just now exploded into a C3 typhoon. Expected to become a C4 before it nears Japan. T G  10:25, August 24, 2016 (UTC)


 * Looks like that Lionrock might be a major threat for Mainland Japan. This is a storm that needs attention. T  G  21:31, August 24, 2016 (UTC)
 * Wow, this just exploded. Japan is in the threat zone. But the good news is that it is forecast to possibly significantly weaken by the time it reaches Japan. However if the forecast track shifts west, we could see danger. :O ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Chat :D  Contribs  Email me  21:45, August 24, 2016 (UTC)


 * Lionrock continues to be impressive, although it's weakened some likely due to upwelling. Threats to land remain quite a long time from now (5 days), so it's not certain yet if and where Lionrock could finally make landfall after two whole weeks of roaming the ocean. It's so strange how it's been tracking southwest for so long, although that's going to change shortly. ~ Raindrop (Rain rules!) 01:53, August 26, 2016 (UTC)


 * Well, that didn't take very long. Lionrock is back down to a C2 with a fairly low pressure of 950 mbar. I'm really impressed at how long this storm has lasted. T  G  20:19, August 26, 2016 (UTC)


 * Scratch that. Lionrock just became a C4 typhoon. This is looking way worse for Japan. T  G  10:50, August 27, 2016 (UTC)

Typhoon Lionrock (2nd time)
Exited the Philippines area of responsibility. Also, Lionrock is back down to C3 strength. T G  22:36, August 27, 2016 (UTC)
 * And it looks like it's going back up to C4 strength soon. Lionrock has been really weird as it fluctuates between C2 and C4 status. ~ KN2731 {talk} 04:31, August 28, 2016 (UTC)
 * Lionrock has hit a new peak intensity of 940 millibars. This is still looking bad for Japan. T  G  10:42, August 28, 2016 (UTC)
 * Lionrock is now definitely the most beautiful storm I've ever seen. You might agree with me if you see the picture. T  G  11:56, August 28, 2016 (UTC) Lionrock_2016-08-28_0350Z.png

Remnants of Lionrock
The storm has dissipated, as the JTWC has issued their final advisory and the JMA has considered it a remnant low. I agree TG, that is a beautiful pic of Lionrock at near peak intensity. Hopefully impacts in northern Japan weren't too bad. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Chat :D  Contribs  Email me  01:13, August 31, 2016 (UTC)
 * Unfortunately, Lionrock turned out to be a deadly storm. 51 deaths are attributed to this storm, 14 of which from Japan and 34 from North Korea. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 05:04, September 5, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Depression Kompasu
Peaked as a tropical storm earlier, but Kompasu has now weakened into a tropical depression as it nears Japan. T G  23:32, August 20, 2016 (UTC)


 * Looks like that Kompasu might bring some minor rainstorms, but that's all it should do by now. Kompasu might have a small chance of some impacts in Russia, but it's highly unlikely. T  G  12:04, August 21, 2016 (UTC)

Remnants of Kompasu
Long dead. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 16:47, August 24, 2016 (UTC)

14W.NONAME
There was a short-lived tropical depression last month. Recognized by JMA and JTWC. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 05:01, September 5, 2016 (UTC)

15W.NAMTHEUN
Shocked that no one posted about this storm. Anyway, this storm formed before August, and is currently weakening after affecting southwestern Japan. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 04:59, September 5, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 16W
Formed not that long ago. This is a potential for Meranti and it doesn't look good for China. T G  20:31, September 8, 2016 (UTC)

Tropical Storm Meranti
Finally named, per JMA. Meranti could still slam into the most populated region of Taiwan as an intense typhoon. T G  13:08, September 10, 2016 (UTC)

Typhoon Meranti (Ferdie)
This is now a category 1 typhoon with a pressure of 950 millibars. Winds 90 mph according to JMA, and 85 mph according to JTWC. Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 16:40, September 11, 2016 (UTC)


 * I have a bad feeling about this storm in its future. T  G  19:45, September 11, 2016 (UTC)
 * This is currently a cat 3 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale, and forecast to become a strong 4 or even 5 aimed directly at Taiwan, just like Nepartak earlier this year. Definitely something to watch out for. Ryan1000 20:42, September 11, 2016 (UTC)

Retirements at a glance
Might as well add this section because we are technically halfway through the season, and we've had several minor storms.

TG's Retirements
(Retirement colors:  0%, <font color="#889">0.01% , <font color="#669">1% , <font color="#449">5% , 10% , <font color="#049">15% , 20% , <font color="#094">25% , 30% , <font color="#390">35% , 40% , <font color="#CF0">45% , 50% , <font color="#FE0">55% , <font color="#FD0">60% , <font color="#FC0">65% , 70% , <font color="#F70">75% , 80% , <font color="#F20">85% , 90% , <font color="#C00">95% , <font color="#900">99% , <font color="#500">100%  )


 * Ambo: 0% - The storm didn't cause any damage or fatalities.
 * Nepartak: <font color="#FD0">60% - A very powerful first storm that devastated parts of Eastern China, but it didn't really stand out compared to the floods which prevented the chance to be higher.
 * Butchoy: 0% - Didn't even touch the Philippines.
 * Lupit: 0% - Even I didn't think anything could be worse than Felicia.
 * Mirinae: 10% - Caused at least $289 million and five fatalities, but that doesn't warrant any retirement.
 * Nida: <font color="#449">5% - Nida was originally feared by Hong Kong at one point, before it caused minor impacts.
 * Carina: <font color="#669">1% - Carina brought minor impacts to the Philippines, but it didn't meet any requirements for retirement.
 * Omais: <font color="#449">5% - The start of the train of storms that kept tracking near Japan. Omais only caused minor damage, if any.
 * Conson: <font color="#449">5% - The same as Omais, tracked near Japan. Minor damage, if any.
 * Chanthu: <font color="#449">5% - Part of the Japan train of storms.
 * Dianmu: 10% - Southern China got some impacts from this. Luckily, they were minor.
 * Mindulle: <font color="#449">5% - A very odd typhoon that never reached C1 strength, however, it did cause damage in Japan.
 * Lionrock: <font color="#F70">75% - 80 fatalities and high amounts of damage from this storm can make Lionrock go for sure.
 * Dindo: 0% - Didn't impact the Philippines.
 * Kompasu: <font color="#669">1% - Kompasu was kind of a fail, but it hit Japan so...
 * Namtheun: 0% - No damage in Japan whatsoever.
 * Enteng: 0% - Dindo 2.0.
 * Malou: 0% - Malou was Lupit 2.0.
 * Meranti: <font color="#669">1% - Giving a slight chance due to the fact that Meranti could hit New Taipei City as a Category 4 typhoon.

Overall summary:


 * Retired - None
 * Probably retired - Lionrock, Nepartak
 * Probably not retired - Mirinae, Dianmu
 * Not retired - Everything else

That's it for now! T G  16:11, August 20, 2016 (UTC)