Forum:2012 Atlantic hurricane season/Betting pools

Welcome to the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season Betting pools! Enjoy!

To keep it fun, don't bet on storms that have already formed!

No actual betting is going on here (that i'm aware of)

Informal betting on date of formation of first storm (May 19)

 * Before May 1 --- Cy10 -- 18:04, February 5, 2012 (UTC), &mdash;12R.KIEWII 13:17, April 13, 2012 (UTC)
 * May 1 to 10 -
 * May 11 to 20 - NO WINNER!! (Alberto formed May 19)
 * May 21 to 31 - GeeCo 02:43, September 21, 2011 (UTC)
 * June 1 to 10 -
 * June 11 to 20 - ~TDI19!!! ...To......From... 18:51, August 27, 2011 (UTC),Allanjeffs 00:24, September 24, 2011 (UTC)
 * June 21 to 30 - Consistency! Darren 23 Edits 17:24, July 1, 2011 (UTC), OWEN2011 16:17, July 21, 2011 (UTC), Yqt1001 03:05, September 21, 2011 (UTC)
 * July 1 to 10 -Andrew444 13:32, July 1, 2011 (UTC) - HurricaneSpin (Talk)  05:33, April 2, 2012 (UTC)
 * July 11 to 20 - Zbase44 03:46, July 24, 2011 (UTC)
 * July 21 to 30 - Ryan1000 03:44, July 10, 2011 (UTC)
 * August 1 to 10 -
 * August 11 to 20 - YE Tropical Cyclone  13:25, July 9, 2011 (UTC)
 * August 21 to 31 -
 * September 1 to 30 -
 * After September 30 -
 * There will be no storms this year -

Informal betting on date of dissipation of last storm

 * There will be no storms this year -
 * Before October 1 -
 * October 11 to 20 -
 * October 21 to 31 -
 * November 1 to 10 - Ryan1000 03:44, July 1, 2011 (UTC) CobraStrike (t)(b)(c) 15:30, May 26, 2012 (UTC)
 * November 11 to 20 -Andrew444 13:32, July 1, 2011 (UTC), Darren 23 Edits 17:24, July 1, 2011 (UTC), OWEN2011 16:17, July 21, 2011 (UTC)Allanjeffs 00:24, September 24, 2011 (UTC)
 * November 21 to 30 -Cyclone10 00:17, August 28, 2011 (UTC) - HurricaneSpin (Talk)  05:33, April 2, 2012 (UTC) Storm&#39;s Eye (talk) 04:25, August 16, 2012 (UTC)
 * December 1 to 10 - ~TDI19!!! ...To......From... 18:51, August 27, 2011 (UTC), Dec 10th is my birthday so I have no choice :P Yqt1001 04:13, October 30, 2011 (UTC), &mdash;12R.KIEWII 13:17, April 13, 2012 (UTC)
 * December 11 to 20 -Zbase44 03:46, July 24, 2011 (UTC)
 * December 21 to 31 - GeeCo 02:45, September 21, 2011 (UTC)
 * Storm active at start of 2013 -

Informal betting on strangest storm
I couldn't resist. What storm do you think will shred the rules of climatology the most? Please tell why, it makes it more fun.

This section is just for fun. There will likely be no winner. Because of this, please do not cross out the names as they form. Also, please do not bet on a storm that has already formed. ; )
 * Alberto -
 * Beryl - Early season long-lasting storm OWEN2011 16:17, July 21, 2011 (UTC) First June Cat 5. --HurricaneMaker99 23:55, May 23, 2012 (UTC)
 * Chris - Dies in the Gulf YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  13:25, July 9, 2011 (UTC)
 * Debby - Takes an unusual track from Panama-Cape Verde. Makes landfall on the coast of Africa as a category 2 hurricane. Yqt1001 03:56, July 1, 2011 (UTC)
 * Ernesto -
 * Florence - Hits Miami as a major hurricane in November. Ryan1000 03:44, July 1, 2011 (UTC)
 * Gordon - Makes Chef Gordon pissed off.  CobraStrike  ( t )( b )(c) 20:18, June 8, 2012 (UTC)
 * Helene - This storm will attain Category 6 status, form in the dead centre of the Equator in mid-August and will travel to Brazil and Mexico run circles around the whole land! Helene's eye will be in the shape of a big splatter. Helene will then dissipate in late September and will break a world record of being the longest-lasting hurricane in the world. Raraahahahromaromamagagaoohlala 21:01, May 7, 2012 (UTC)
 * Isaac - Hits Greenland as a Category 5 hurricane. Hurricane Kiewii 21:53, October 5, 2011 (UTC), landfall in Mexico, yes, bad things happen when my name is out there.10'Q.'INVEST 20:45, October 27, 2011 (UTC)
 * Joyce - Joyce will form in late August near Libya and will move out to the Atlantic ocean, attaining Category 5 status and will be very minute. Her eye will be tiny too, in the shape of a star. Raraahahahromaromamagagaoohlala 20:04, May 7, 2012 (UTC)
 * Kirk - Forms further south than any other Atlantic hurricane, and tracks further north then any other Atlantic hurricane, leading to the media to term it the hurricane that "boldly went where no hurricane has gone before" (I couldn't help myself) HurricaneFiona 09:23, July 2, 2011 (UTC)
 * Leslie - Makes 12 landfalls. Andrew444  Talk  Blog  Contributions  13:54, December 18, 2011 (UTC)
 * Michael -Forms unexpectedly in the beggining of December and then hits Miami at Cat. 3 strengh.Zbase44 03:46, July 24, 2011 (UTC)
 * Nadine -
 * Oscar -
 * Patty - Will form in Greenland, travel down south, attain category 5 and will be in the shape of a pear. The eye will be shaped in a blob and will travel to Europe and wipe out the whole of Scandinavia, the UK, Ireland, France, Italy, and the rest of Europe and then will go to Algeria, Libya, Egypt and then will dissipate in Syria. Patty will form in early October and will dissipate in Halloween. Raraahahahromaromamagagaoohlala 21:31, May 7, 2012 (UTC)
 * Rafael - Makes landfall in New Orleans and loops back out into the Atlantic to destroy the east coast. GeeCo 02:43, September 21, 2011 (UTC)
 * Sandy -
 * Tony - Will form off the coast of Venezuela, will intensify to a Category 5 hurricane, and will hit Central America and US in December, causing widespread damage in the Atlantic. Will dissipate off coast of France. Anonymous 2.0 09:01, June 5, 2012 (UTC)
 * Valerie - Suddenly forms in the Western Caribbean in December, and turns southeast into Venezuela as a Cat 2. <font face= "Candara"><font color="6666CC">~TDI19!!! <font color="FF0000">...To...<font color="99CCFF">...From... 18:51, August 27, 2011 (UTC)
 * William -Makes landfall in America Europe and Africa as a tropical cyclone Allanjeffs 00:26, September 24, 2011 (UTC)

Informal betting on strongest storm name
No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry Again, I doubt the season will get this far.
 * Alberto -
 * Beryl - Last year we got the first-ever Hurricane Irwin in the EPAC; this year I'm crossing my fingers for Beryl's turn in the Atlantic. --HurricaneMaker99 23:54, May 23, 2012 (UTC)
 * Chris -
 * Debby -- <font color="#000000">HurricaneSpin <font color="#654321">(Talk)  05:33, April 2, 2012 (UTC), &mdash;12R.KIEWII 13:17, April 13, 2012 (UTC)
 * Ernesto -Zbase44 03:46, July 24, 2011 (UTC)
 * Florence - YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  13:25, July 9, 2011 (UTC) Ryan1000 16:00, April 5, 2012 (UTC)
 * Gordon - OWEN2011 16:17, July 21, 2011 (UTC)
 * Helene -Allanjeffs 00:27, September 24, 2011 (UTC) CobraStrike (t)(b)(c) 20:45, May 19, 2012 (UTC)
 * Isaac -Cyclone10 00:18, August 28, 2011 (UTC) Andrew444  Talk  Blog  Contributions  13:54, December 18, 2011 (UTC) Raraahahahromaromamagagaoohlala
 * Joyce - <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 17:24, July 1, 2011 (UTC)
 * Kirk - Yqt1001 18:50, May 6, 2012 (UTC)
 * Leslie - <font face= "Candara"><font color="6666CC">~TDI19!!! <font color="FF0000">...To...<font color="99CCFF">...From... 18:51, August 27, 2011 (UTC)
 * Michael - Storm&#39;s Eye (talk) 04:25, August 16, 2012 (UTC)
 * Nadine -
 * Oscar -
 * Patty -
 * Rafael - GeeCo 02:43, September 21, 2011 (UTC), Anonymous 2.0 09:01, June 5, 2012 (UTC)
 * Sandy -
 * Tony -
 * Valerie -
 * William -

Informal betting on the highest winds
Winds are in miles per hour. Also, no betting on storms with the winds mentioned that have already formed.
 * Less than 115 -
 * 115 -
 * 120 -
 * 125 - YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  13:25, July 9, 2011 (UTC)
 * 130 -
 * 135 -
 * 140 - Ryan1000 16:00, April 5, 2012 (UTC) CobraStrike (t)(b)(c) 20:46, May 19, 2012 (UTC) No Cat.5 yet!
 * 145 - <font color="#000000">HurricaneSpin <font color="#654321">(Talk)  05:33, April 2, 2012 (UTC)
 * 150 - Storm&#39;s Eye (talk) 04:25, August 16, 2012 (UTC)
 * 155 -Cyclone10 00:18, August 28, 2011 (UTC)
 * 160 - Warm SSTs anyone? <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 04:19, July 9, 2011 (UTC) HurricaneMaker99 23:57, May 23, 2012 (UTC)
 * 165 - <font face= "Candara"><font color="6666CC">~TDI19!!! <font color="FF0000">...To...<font color="99CCFF">...From... 18:51, August 27, 2011 (UTC)Allanjeffs 00:27, September 24, 2011 (UTC), It's been too long Yqt1001 04:13, October 30, 2011 (UTC), &mdash;12R.KIEWII 13:17, April 13, 2012 (UTC)
 * 170 -Zbase44 03:46, July 24, 2011 (UTC)
 * 175 -
 * 180 - Andrew444 13:32, July 1, 2011 (UTC) OWEN2011 16:17, July 21, 2011 (UTC)
 * 185 -
 * 190 -
 * 195 (record for the Atlantic) -
 * 200 (record - unless you believe the pilots who flew into Camille... I happen to. SkyFury ) - Anonymous 2.0 09:02, June 5, 2012 (UTC)
 * More than 200 (highly unlikely) - GeeCo 02:45, September 21, 2011 (UTC)

Informal betting on the lowest pressure
Pressures are per 5 mbar. If you have a more exact prediction(such as 923 mbar), feel free to add it into it's correct area. Also, no betting on storms with pressures that have already formed.
 * Above 960 -
 * 960 -
 * 955 - YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone
 * 950 -
 * 945 -
 * 940 -
 * 935 - Ryan1000 07:35, January 2, 2012 (UTC) Storm&#39;s Eye (talk) 04:25, August 16, 2012 (UTC)
 * 930 - - <font color="#000000">HurricaneSpin <font color="#654321">(Talk)  05:33, April 2, 2012 (UTC) CobraStrike (t)(b)(c) 20:47, May 19, 2012 (UTC)
 * 925 -
 * 921 - <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 04:19, July 9, 2011 (UTC)
 * 920 -Cyclone10 00:19, August 28, 2011 (UTC)
 * 915 - <font face= "Candara"><font color="6666CC">~TDI19!!! <font color="FF0000">...To...<font color="99CCFF">...From... 18:51, August 27, 2011 (UTC), Yqt1001 04:13, October 30, 2011 (UTC), &mdash;12R.KIEWII 13:17, April 13, 2012 (UTC)
 * 910 -
 * 905 -Zbase44 03:46, July 24, 2011 (UTC)Allanjeffs 21:16, April 13, 2012 (UTC)
 * 900 -
 * 895 -
 * 890 -
 * 885 -
 * 880 - (record for the Atlantic) Andrew444 13:32, July 1, 2011 (UTC) OWEN2011 16:17, July 21, 2011 (UTC)
 * 875 -
 * 871 - Anonymous 2.0 09:03, June 5, 2012 (UTC)
 * 870 -
 * Less than 870 - (World wide record - highly unlikely) GeeCo 02:45, September 21, 2011 (UTC)

Informal betting on longest-lasting storm
No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry.
 * Alberto -
 * Beryl -
 * Chris -
 * Debby - - <font color="#000000">HurricaneSpin <font color="#654321">(Talk)  05:33, April 2, 2012 (UTC)
 * Ernesto -Zbase44 03:46, July 24, 2011 (UTC), &mdash;12R.KIEWII 13:17, April 13, 2012 (UTC)
 * Florence - Ryan1000 16:00, April 5, 2012 (UTC)
 * Gordon - YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone, OWEN2011 16:17, July 21, 2011 (UTC)
 * Helene - <font face= "Candara"><font color="6666CC">~TDI19!!! <font color="FF0000">...To...<font color="99CCFF">...From... 18:51, August 27, 2011 (UTC)
 * Isaac - Andrew444 13:32, July 1, 2011 (UTC)Cyclone10 00:20, August 28, 2011 (UTC)Allanjeffs 00:28, September 24, 2011 (UTC) Storm&#39;s Eye (talk) 04:25, August 16, 2012 (UTC)
 * Joyce - <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 17:24, July 1, 2011 (UTC)
 * Kirk - Yqt1001 04:13, October 30, 2011 (UTC)
 * Leslie -
 * Michael -
 * Nadine -
 * Oscar -
 * Patty -
 * Rafael - GeeCo 02:43, September 21, 2011 (UTC), Anonymous 2.0 09:03, June 5, 2012 (UTC)
 * Sandy -
 * Tony -
 * Valerie -
 * William -

Informal betting on final storm name
No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry. Not putting in the Greeks... Add them if you insist, but unless this is looking like 2005 leave them off here.
 * Alberto -
 * Beryl -
 * Chris -
 * Debby -
 * Ernesto -
 * Florence -
 * Gordon -
 * Helene -
 * Isaac - YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone
 * Joyce - &mdash;12R.KIEWII 13:17, April 13, 2012 (UTC)
 * Kirk - Ryan1000 16:00, April 5, 2012 (UTC)
 * Leslie - Yqt1001 18:50, May 6, 2012 (UTC) CobraStrike (t)(b)(c) 20:48, May 19, 2012 (UTC)
 * Michael -Zbase44 03:46, July 24, 2011 (UTC)
 * Nadine -Cyclone10 00:21, August 28, 2011 (UTC)
 * Oscar - Andrew444  Talk  Blog  Contributions  13:54, December 18, 2011 (UTC)
 * Patty - OWEN2011 16:17, July 21, 2011 (UTC), Allanjeffs 00:33, September 24, 2011 (UTC) - <font color="#000000">HurricaneSpin <font color="#654321">(Talk)  05:33, April 2, 2012 (UTC) Raraahahahromaromamagagaoohlala 21:06, May 7, 2012 (UTC)
 * Rafael - I expect La Nina <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 04:19, July 9, 2011 (UTC), GeeCo 02:45, September 21, 2011 (UTC)
 * Sandy -
 * Tony - Will be like Washi last year (December) Anonymous 2.0 09:04, June 5, 2012 (UTC)
 * Valerie - <font face= "Candara"><font color="6666CC">~TDI19!!! <font color="FF0000">...To...<font color="99CCFF">...From... 18:51, August 27, 2011 (UTC) Storm&#39;s Eye (talk) 04:25, August 16, 2012 (UTC)
 * William -

Informal betting on number of deaths
Starting with 2012, I will add a new section, how deadly a season is.

-Andrew444
 * No deaths - In protest against this section's existence; it takes hurricane enthusiasm to an inhumane level. --HurricaneMaker99 00:05, May 24, 2012 (UTC)
 * Less than 500 -Cyclone10 00:22, August 28, 2011 (UTC)Ryan1000 08:13, October 18, 2011 (UTC) - <font color="#000000">HurricaneSpin <font color="#654321">(Talk)  05:33, April 2, 2012 (UTC)
 * 500 - 1000 - <font face= "Candara"><font color="6666CC">~TDI19!!! <font color="FF0000">...To...<font color="99CCFF">...From... 18:51, August 27, 2011 (UTC), Yqt1001 03:05, September 21, 2011 (UTC) Storm&#39;s Eye (talk) 04:25, August 16, 2012 (UTC)
 * 1000 - 2000 - Repeat of Hurricane Inez Hurricane Andrew (aka User: Andrew444) 13:48, August 8, 2011 (UTC)Allanjeffs 00:28, September 24, 2011 (UTC), &mdash;12R.KIEWII 13:17, April 13, 2012 (UTC)
 * 2000 - 3000 - I expect three to six hurricanes to be destructive this year. Anonymous 2.0 09:05, June 5, 2012 (UTC)
 * 3000 - 4000 -
 * 4000 - 5000 -
 * 5000 - 6000 -
 * 6000 - 7000 -
 * 7000 - 8000 -
 * 8000 - 9000 -
 * 9000 - 10000 -
 * 10000 - 15000 -
 * 15000 - 20000 -
 * Greater than 20000 deaths - (all time record, 1780) GeeCo 02:45, September 21, 2011 (UTC)

Informal betting on damage totals
For betting on the total cost of all damages at the end of the season contributed by tropical systems. The poll will be closed after the end of October, so lock your submitions in before then. And no betting on damage totals that currently exist. Sorry.


 * Less than 100 million - Per my above bet. --HurricaneMaker99 00:05, May 24, 2012 (UTC)
 * 100-500 million -
 * 500 milion-1 billion --- Cyclone10 00:54, January 6, 2012 (UTC)
 * 1-5 billion - Ryan1000 00:16, January 6, 2012 (UTC), Andrew444  Talk  Blog  Contributions  03:23, January 8, 2012 (UTC), Yqt1001 18:50, May 6, 2012 (UTC) CobraStrike (t)(b)(c) 20:50, May 19, 2012 (UTC) Storm&#39;s Eye (talk) 04:25, August 16, 2012 (UTC) (we won't strike this out until it is confirmed Isaac caused over 5 billion in damage, since it's still estimated to be only ~2 billion -- Ryan1000)
 * 5-10 billion -Allanjeffs 02:18, January 8, 2012 (UTC)
 * 10-20 billion - - <font color="#000000">HurricaneSpin <font color="#654321">(Talk)  05:33, April 2, 2012 (UTC)
 * 20-40 billion - &mdash;12R.KIEWII 13:17, April 13, 2012 (UTC)
 * 40-80 billion - Anonymous 2.0 09:06, June 5, 2012 (UTC)
 * 80-180 billion -
 * Over 180 billion(highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on ACE totals
This is a new section we will add starting with this year. Oh, and no betting on ACE totals that currently exist. Sorry.
 * Less than 60 -
 * 60-69 -
 * 70-79 - Expecting ENSO conditions. Ryan1000 23:21, April 12, 2012 (UTC) Probably 1 to 3 standout ACE storms (that is, more than 12) but otherwise ENSO as Ryan said 20:54, May 19, 2012 (UTC)
 * 80-89 -
 * 90-99 - &mdash;12R.KIEWII 13:17, April 13, 2012 (UTC), Yqt1001 18:50, May 6, 2012 (UTC)
 * 100-109 - Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:08, April 13, 2012 (UTC)
 * 110-119 - Cy10 E-Mail  00:10, April 14, 2012 (UTC) Storm&#39;s Eye (talk) 04:25, August 16, 2012 (UTC)
 * 120-129 - Anonymous 2.0 09:08, June 5, 2012 (UTC)
 * 130-139 -Allanjeffs 21:16, April 13, 2012 (UTC)
 * 140-149 -
 * 150-159 -
 * 160-169 -
 * 170-189 -
 * 190-209 -
 * 210-229 -
 * 230-248 -
 * Over 248 - (all time record, 2005) (extremely unlikely)

Informal betting on number of retired names
No betting on obvious numbers from storms that have already formed. Sorry.
 * No names - YE <font color="#66666">Tropical <font color="#66666">Cyclone  13:25, July 9, 2011 (UTC) GeeCo 02:45, September 21, 2011 (UTC)
 * 1 name - Cyclone10 00:23, August 28, 2011 (UTC), Ryan1000 03:05, December 2, 2011 (UTC)
 * 2 names - Andrew444 13:32, July 1, 2011 (UTC), <font color="Blue">Darren 23 Edits 17:24, July 1, 2011 (UTC), Yqt1001 03:05, September 21, 2011 (UTC)Allanjeffs 00:29, September 24, 2011 (UTC), Hurricane Kiewii 21:53, October 5, 2011 (UTC) Storm&#39;s Eye (talk) 04:25, August 16, 2012 (UTC)
 * 3 names - OWEN2011 16:17, July 21, 2011 (UTC)Zbase44 03:46, July 24, 2011 (UTC) - <font color="#000000">HurricaneSpin <font color="#654321">(Talk)  05:33, April 2, 2012 (UTC)
 * 4 names - <font face= "Candara"><font color="6666CC">~TDI19!!! <font color="FF0000">...To...<font color="99CCFF">...From... 18:51, August 27, 2011 (UTC)
 * 5 names (record, 2005) -
 * More than 5 names(highly unlikely) - As I have written in one of the sections here, I'm expecting 6 destructive hurricanes this year. Anonymous 2.0 09:10, June 5, 2012 (UTC) (You can bet on more than 5 if you want, but we're not gonna write any number past the record unless it actually happens -- Ryan1000)

Informal betting on final post-season report issued
This betting pool is closed until December 2012.