Forum:2018 Pacific hurricane season/Archive 1

Farewell
With 93E quickly dissipating, unless we get a post-season surprise in December, the 2018 Pacific hurricane season is finally over.

With that said, this year was quite a notable season, producing the highest ACE of any Pacific hurricane season in history, at roughly 317 ACE units, more than 20 units ahead of 1992. It also ties 1992 for the second-highest number of major hurricanes in one season, losing to only 2015, which had 11, though 2018 ties 2015 for the most cat 4's in one season, as every major hurricane this year became a cat 4, and 2018 also ties 2002 and 1994 for the most cat 5's in one season, with 3. The 2018 season also produced the only tropical storm to strike the Hawaian Island of Maui (Olivia), Hawaii's wettest TC in Lane, the first season to have two category 5's east of the dateline during October, and Walaka of those being the only October cat 5 in the CPac, Willa tying Odile '14, Lane '06, Tico '83, and Olivia '67 for the 7th strongest landfalling Pacific hurricane on record by windspeed (since Willa was 125 mph when she struck Las Ialas Marias just southwest of mainland Mexico), Hector and Lane marking the first time a Pacific hurricane season prodced two storms with an ACE of over 40 each, the most active August on record in terms of ACE, and some record early-season activity such as Fabio being the earliest 6th named storm in the EPac proper, and Emilia being one of only three 5th named storms in the EPac proper to become named before July, alongside Elida '84 and Enrique '85. Overall, it was a really good season, minus the impacts from some storms like Lane, Willa and a few tropical storms that hit southern Mexico, but even those weren't too severe. What are your thoughts on this year's season? Ryan1000 12:31, November 29, 2018 (UTC)

Retirements at a Glance
Seven storms have formed and we might as well add this section now. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 17:16, July 31, 2018 (UTC)

A2.0's EastPac and CPac retirement expectations

 * Aletta - 4% - A fishspinner but showed us how to start a season. 4% because it peaked as a C4.
 * Bud - 4% - Also 4% because of its Category 4 status. Great follow-up to Aletta, but juat like Bud's predecessor, it caused no effects to land, so that won't merit any realistic chance of retirement for Bud too.
 * Carlotta - 5% - Affected Mexico and caused some problems, but no fatalities were recorded so I think Carlotta will be back in 2024.
 * Daniel - 0% - Danfail it is, as Send Help Please called it. Broke the streak of strong hurricanes that bore the same name. Yikes.
 * Emilia - 0% - Another forgettable storm.
 * Fabio - 2% - For peaking as a Category 2. Forecast to become a major, yet Fabio bottled it a la Hilary 2017.
 * Gilma - 0% - Just like what Send Help Please also said, Failma. The Failicia of this season along with Danfail, so far.
 * Hector - 4.5% - Remained at the south of Hawaii, crossed the 3 Pacific basins, but a fishspinner. Hector will be back in 2024, but this storm will always be remembered for its longevity, and for almost reaching Category 5 status.
 * Ileana - 0.5% - No, just no. That .5 is for being a strong TS, but realistically, Ileana will be back in 2024.
 * John - 2% - Almost became a major, but did not cause significant impacts.
 * Kristy - 0.75% - For almost reaching hurricane status.
 * Lane - TBD - Became the first CPac C5 since Ioke, but this is not looking good for Hawaii, so far.

That's it.

Originally posted by Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 17:16, July 31, 2018 (UTC). Last revised by Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 07:43, August 22, 2018 (UTC).

joestar's OAP home preddies
yare yare daze (talk) 17:39, August 8, 2018 (UTC)
 * Aletta (0%): "haha look at me i believe i can fly i believe i can touch the sky no motherf-cker can match me ahahahaha" grade: A
 * Bud (0%): "haha i'm gonna beat you! all years before 2006 sucked! now i'm finally a cat 4! i made landfall unlike that dutch twit aletta who is a coward!" grade: A-
 * Carlotta (0%): "mummy i wanna go to mexico like patwicia" grade: E
 * Daniel (0%): "zzzzzz... damn... zzzzzzz" grade: F
 * Emilia (0%): "all 1994 cat 5s for sh-t tropical storms in 2018" grade: F
 * Fabio (0%): "i am trying to eat more to be a category 5 but i'm not gaining any weight" grade: C
 * Gilma (0%): "SMOKE SHEAR EVERYDAY!" EVERYDAY!" rip in kill 3sexy5felicia 2018-2018 never 5get grade: U
 *  Hector Mr Worldwide (weeb%): this boi travel to asia to get some cute anime girls like shan shan uwu grade: A* (pronounced "a star" bc that is an a+ in bongland where i'm from)
 * Ileana (dinner%): was made in the kitchen for a hungry boi grade: F('ood')
 * John (hungry%): he bravo'd on ileana grade: C('annibal')
 * Kristy (0%): john controlled her and taking her to the middle of nowhere. ofc not. worse than thought smh grade: D
 *  Jane Lane (75%): u fakaz got blown by de one and only faka lane rip grade: ( A*) T H I C C BOI 😩💦💦😍😍😍❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️😘😘😘😘😘😘😂🔫 

Dylan's predictions

 * Aletta: 0% - A beautiful, intense, harmless kick-off to the season.
 * Bud: 1% - Another gorgeous storm to observe over open water, with fortunately minimal effects on land.
 * Carlotta: 2% - Was more of a nuisance for Mexico than expected.
 * Daniel: no
 * Emilia: 0% - Not an epic fail, not much of a winner either. It sort of just existed.
 * Fabio: 0% - 🎶leeeet doooown aaaaand haaaaanging aroooouuund🎵
 * Gilma: 0% - Worse flop than Daniel in terms of intensity but at least it was resilient in its post-TS depression stage.
 * Hector: 0% - Gud storm was gud. I'll defer to Steve and Ryan's explanations as to why.
 * Ileana: <1% 3% 5% - John murdered her and consumed her remains  before she could do much to Mexico.
 * Bumping up a tad &mdash; Ileana is the first storm of the season to cause fatalities, with a death toll of 4 thus far. Fingers crossed it doesn't rise any higher.
 * ...which it did. 7.

--Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 23:20, July 31, 2018 (UTC) (updated 19:06, October 23, 2018 (UTC))
 * John: 0% - The ends probably didn't justify the means, but by preventing Ileana from being any worse for Mexico, John arguably helped more than he harmed.
 * Kristy: -1% - You can take a negative percent as punishment for stalling just below hurricane status for a full day, only to abruptly collapse into nothing. Poor show, Kristy.
 * Lane: 65% - Wettest and third-costliest hurricane in Hawaiian history.
 * Miriam: 0% - Became a Category 2 when it was no longer expected to significantly intensity, but a fish is a fish is a fish.
 * Norman: 0% - Another fish but what a storm! Three separate stints as a major, with the first nearly bringing Norman to Category 5 intensity and the other two being completely unexpected. Second-best storm of the season after Hector.
 * Olivia: 3% - Yet another powerful and long-lived hurricane, but the impacts in Hawaii didn't hold a candle to the damage wrought by Lane.
 * Paul: no
 * Rosa: 18% - 15 is not exactly a small death toll, but with damages currently estimated at under $1 million, retirement is an unlikely proposition.
 * Sergio: 2% - Take Olivia's description, and replace "Hawaii," "damage," and "Lane" with "Mexico," "death toll," and "Rosa".
 * Walaka: 6% - I'll defer to Ryan's description as I believe he hit the nail on the head.
 * Tara: 1% - Meager impact.
 * Vicente: 11% - Death toll currently at 12; hopefully it rises no further.
 * Willa: >=50% - Still active, but this doesn't look good at all...

Roy's Retirement Prediction
Intensity colors: TD, TS , C1 , C2 , C3 , C4 , C5 

Retirement percentages colors: 0%, 0.001-9% , 10-19% , 20-29% , 30-39% , 40-49% , 50% , 51-59% , 60-69% , 70-79% , 80-89% , 90-99% , 100% , ???

 EPAC 
 * Aletta ( 0% ) - A nice harmless fishspinner. Obviously this won't be going.
 * Bud ( 0.001% ) - While it did affected land at the end of its life, this was also pretty much a fishspinner
 * Carlotta ( 1% ) - While weak, it has came close to Mexico, but no deaths and damage were reported.
 * Daniel ( 0% ) - A weak failicia that untimately was a name stealer. Unimpressed
 * <font color="#00faf4">Emilia ( 0% ) - A rather weak, but a nice fishspinner
 * <font color="#ffe775">Fabio ( 0% ) - Nice fishspinning hurricane that broke the TS streak, but failed to reach major hurricane status. Sigh
 * <font color="#00faf4">Gilma ( 0% ) - Same as Daniel, except weaker, and only lasted 6 hours as a TS. Name-stealer.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Hector ( 0% ) - An impressive, long-lasting tri-basin crosser major hurricane that stayed away from land, but also failed to reach C5 status
 *  Ileana ( 3% ) - Didn't last long before being absorbed by John, but unfortunately also caused 4 fatalities
 * <font color="#ffe775">John ( 0% ) - Pretty much a fish that failed to become a major hurricane
 * <font color="#00faf4">Kristy ( 0% ) - Same as above, but instead failed to become a hurricane
 * <font color="#ff6060">LANE ( 50% ) - Became the first C5 in the EPAC/CPAC since Patricia in 2015, but also severely affected Hawaii, became the wettest tropical cyclone of the state and the second wettest in the US behind Harvey 2017. Damage and deaths are unknown at the moment, but seeing as how uncommon it is for a EPAC name to be retired (sometimes random), I'll give the retirement chance in a flip of a coin
 * <font color="#ffe775">Miriam ( 0% ) - Nice strong fish storm.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Norman ( 0.001% ) - Also strong fish that imapcted Hawaii with minor damage
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Olivia ( 1% ) - Impacted Hawaii as a tropical storm, but this shouldn't be retired
 * <font color="#00faf4">Paul ( 0% ) - Weak fish
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Rosa ( 1% ) - Wow, this was deadly, and so far, the deadliest of the season. Scratch that, death toll down to 3, but this will stay.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Sergio ( 0.001% ) - What a long lived storm, and yet another C4, and impacted land but no damage and deaths have been confirmed
 * <font color="#00faf4">Tara ( 0.001% ) - A decent tropical storm that did minimal damage and deaths to Mexico
 * <font color="#00faf4">Vicente ( 10% ) - Debuting name, but had caused 15 deaths. Even then, this will stay
 * <font color="#ff6060">Willa ( 30% ) - Another Category 5 hurricane in the Pacific hurricane season, that made a Mexican landfall as a strong cyclone. Though I don't think this will go, but I won't rule it.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Xavier ( 0.001% ) - First "X" named storm since 1992, but very minor impacts on Mexico, so this will stay

 CPAC 
 * <font color="#ff6060">Walaka ( 0.001% ) - First CPAC name since 2016, and the second C5 of the season. Impacted islands that has no people, but I don't see this name being retired.

NOTE:
 * 1) Should I give a tropical cyclone name a retirement chance of 50% and above, then that tropical cyclone name will be all caps.
 * 2) The triple question marks on my retirement percentage scale is only used as placeholders on an active storm.
 * 3) Storms that exits a basin and enters another basin would not have their own retirement predictions in that basin it entered, instead will have it in the basin of origin.

~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions   02:36, August 1, 2018 (UTC) Last updated 19:30, November 11, 2018 (UTC)

Steve's predictions and grades
See "notes" (at the very bottom) for explanations of some stuff.

Intensity colors: <font color="#5ebaff">TD, <font color="#00faf4">TS , <font color="#ffffcc">C1 , <font color="#ffe775">C2 , <font color="#ffc140">C3 , <font color="#ff8f20">C4 , <font color="#ff6060">C5 , <font color="#905">200+ mph

Retirement percentage colors: 0% or N/A, <font color="#77A">0.001-0.4% , <font color="#44C">0.5-0.9% , 1-4% , <font color="#05F">5%-9% , <font color="#0AF">10-14% , <font color="#0FF">15-19% , <font color="#0F8">20-24% , <font color="#0F0">25-29% , <font color="#3F0">30-34% , <font color="#6F0">35-39% , <font color="#9F0">40-44% , <font color="#CF0">45-49% , 50% , <font color="#FC0">51-54% , <font color="#F90">55-59% , <font color="#F60">60-64% , <font color="#F30">65-69% , <font color="#F00">70-74% , <font color="#D01">75-79% , <font color="#B02">80-84% , <font color="#903">85-89% , <font color="#604">90-94% , <font color="#505">95-98% , <font color="#303">99-99.999% , <font color="#000">100% or TBA

Grading colors: <font color="#033">EO+, <font color="#055">EO , <font color="#077">A++ , <font color="#096">A+ , <font color="#0C3">A , <font color="#0F0">A- , <font color="#3F0">B+ , <font color="#6F0">B , <font color="#9F0">B- , <font color="#CF0">C+ , <font color="#FF0">C , <font color="#FC0">C- , <font color="#F90">D+ , <font color="#F60">D , <font color="#F30">D- , <font color="#F00">E , <font color="#C00">F , <font color="#900">F- , <font color="#600">Z , <font color="#300">Z- , <font color="#000">TBA

Potential tropical cyclones (PTCs) not included.
 * <font color="#5ebaff">One-E :
 * Retirement: N/A - No name, no retirement.
 * Grading: <font color="#C00">F - Gets credit for its formation before the start of the season. Still a fail, nonetheless.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Aletta :
 * Retirement: 0% - Complete fishspinner.
 * Grading: <font color="#0C3">A - A nice early season powerful hurricane. As a bonus, no one was affected at all.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Bud :
 * Retirement: 1% - Struck Baja, but without doing much harm. Caused a moisture plume to reach the southwestern U.S., and that wasn't harmful either. Impacts are too light for retirement.
 * Grading: <font color="#0F0">A- - Another nicely strong hurricane that reached the bare minimum for C4. Impacts are not enough to affect the grade.


 * <font color="#00faf4">Carlotta :
 * Retirement: 2% - Caused torrential rainfall in the area of Mexico that it affected. Impacts are not enough to even think about retirement, though.
 * Grading: <font color="#F60">D - Strong tropical storm that affected land. At least it was not a total failure like the below storm was.


 * <font color="#00faf4">Daniel :
 * Retirement: 0% - Out to sea, no one was affected.
 * Grading: <font color="#600">Z - Laughable failure that only lasted 2 days and peaked at no more than 45 mph/1003 mbar. Danfail will be remembered as a complete nothingburger. 😂


 * <font color="#00faf4">Emilia :
 * Retirement: 0% - Another fishspinner.
 * Grading: <font color="#F00">E - That very active June was a bit more about quantity than quality. Reached 60 mph, but I don't care for this boring storm.


 * <font color="#ffe775">Fabio :
 * Retirement: 0% - Yet another out-to-sea system.
 * Grading: <font color="#FC0">C- - A strong C2 usually doesn't get this low of a grade. But the story is that Fabio's grade really suffered because it was expected to become a major hurricane, but flunked the mark by just 5 mph! In fact, it had potential to RI to reach C4 or possibly even C5. A major disappointment you were, Fabio.


 * <font color="#00faf4">Gilma :
 * Retirement: 0% - Also out to sea.
 * Grading: <font color="#600">Z - Even worse than Danfail, and was a TS for only 6 measly hours. Gilfail was one of the worst, and most laughable, name-stealers ever! It did last a few days in total, which is the only thing that prevents it from being Z-.


 * <font color="#5ebaff">Nine-E :


 * Retirement: N/A - Cannot be retired.
 * Grading: <font color="#600">Z - It had potential to last even longer than it did. At least it didn't steal a name. Still a pathetic failure though.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Hector :
 * Retirement: 0% - Despite its long track, it stayed out to sea and no fatalities or damage were reported at all.
 * Grading: <font color="#055">EO - Oh boy, where do I start. It crossed THREE basins, the first to do so since Genevieve in 2014. Also, it broke the record for most consecutive days as a major hurricane and most hours as a C4 in the northeastern Pacific. Except for dangerous surf in Hawaii, this did not harm anyone at all! Hector has earned its status as an extraordinarily outstanding storm! The only thing preventing this from being EO+, my absolute highest grade, is that it stayed below C5 unlike John '94 (a relatively similar storm).


 * <font color="#00faf4">Ileana :
 * Retirement: 2% - Unfortunately proved to be deadly. 🙁 Highly unlikely for retirement though.
 * Grading: <font color="#F00">E - Did its best in the face of John. However, they did forecast a hurricane once.


 * <font color="#ffe775">John :
 * Retirement: 0% - I believe the only impacts were high surf.
 * Grading: <font color="#FC0">C- - Pulled a Fabio by flunking major status. And shame on him for being a cannibal.


 * <font color="#00faf4">Kristy :
 * Retirement: 0% - Nope.
 * Grading: <font color="#F30">D- - It had potential to become a hurricane, but failed by 5 mph.


 * <font color="#ff6060">Lane :
 * Retirement: <font color="#F30">65% - Record rainfall has occurred in Hawaii, causing at least $200 million dollars in damage and a death. This could very well be retired due to the rainfall amount and the damage. Hawaii rarely sees tropical cyclones, especially ones like these.
 * Grading: <font color="#055">EO - Absolutely amazing storm that became the C5 that Hector never became, and was resilient in the end. Unfortunately, Hawaiian impacts prevent it from getting EO+.


 * <font color="#ffe775">Miriam :
 * Retirement: 0% - Fishspinners don't get retired.
 * Grading: <font color="#6F0">B - I'm surprised it was able to pull off C2 intensity. Thus, it gets a satisfactory grade from me.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Norman :
 * Retirement: 0% - Fishie, again.
 * Grading: <font color="#077">A++ - A very amazing storm that got very powerful and was resilient as heck. Almost EO level, would have got there if it reached C5.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Olivia :
 * Retirement: 2% - Only caused minimal damage and it was overshadowed by Lane.
 * Grading: <font color="#096">A+ - Another awesome storm, bonus points for being the first TC ever to make landfall on Maui and Lanai.


 * <font color="#00faf4">Paul :
 * Retirement: 0% - Heck no.
 * Grading: <font color="#900">F- - It didn't really even try, and broke the streak of awesome storms. What a joke.


 * <font color="#5ebaff">Nineteen-E :
 * Retirement: N/A - Cannot be retired.
 * Grading: <font color="#C00">F - Credit for developing in the face of land interaction, and for thankfully not stealing a name.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Rosa :
 * Retirement: 3% - Caused 3 deaths throughout its path and floods in the southwest U.S.; impacts are not enough to even think about retirement. The system's remnant showers did not reach my area, which sucks because of our drought.
 * Grading: <font color="#0C3">A - One of the many C4s this year.


 * <font color="#ff8f20">Sergio :
 * Retirement: 3% - Damage total too small for retirement.
 * Grading: <font color="#096">A+ - Long-lived and yet another C4. Made 2018 break the 2015 record for amount of C4s in the EPac.


 * <font color="#ff6060">Walaka :
 * Retirement: <font color="#05F">5% - It only affected mainly unpopulated islands, especially Johnston Atoll which was hit hard, but impacts are too negligible for retirement. Its great intensity might also be a contributing factor in the retirement chance.
 * Grading: <font color="#055">EO - Alongside Gilma '94, Walaka is the 2nd-strongest system by pressure on record in the CPac, only behind Ioke. That enough is deserving of the "EO" rating.


 * <font color="#00faf4">Tara :
 * Retirement: 1% - Wasn't a very bad storm.
 * Grading: <font color="#F00">E - It got as strong as 65 mph, but still, what a joke this was for leaving the ACE record unbroken and for lasting days shorter than originally forecast.


 * <font color="#00faf4">Vicente :
 * Retirement: <font color="#0AF">10% - 16 deaths and $7.05 million shouldn't be enough for retirement.
 * Grading: <font color="#C00">F - Although it hit Mexico and Central America, it's pretty much a failure TS.


 * <font color="#ff6060">Willa :
 * Retirement: <font color="#0F8">23% - Strongest to make landfall in Sinaloa since Lane '06. Impacts were less than feared. $62.6 million in damage and 6 deaths is probably not enough, but it certainly deserves credit for the powerful Sinaloa landfall.
 * Grading: <font color="#077">A++ - Did a great job becoming the 3rd C5 of the year.


 * <font color="#00faf4">Xavier :
 * Retirement: <font color="#77A">0.1% - Skirted close to Mexico, causing little impact.
 * Grading: <font color="#F30">D- - Reached 60 mph and brought us to the "X" name for the first time since 1992.

Notes: Intensity colors -
 * Based off of the SSHWS, except for the 200+ mph color.
 * I still use "TD" due to the inclusion of grading (they cannot be retired). So it would be wrong for TD to be considered redundant in this case because TDs are still included for grading only.
 * I wanted to give special recognition for cyclones reaching insane intensities by introducing a new color for those that reach the "200 Club." Of course, very few storms will ever receive this color.

Retirement percentage colors -
 * "N/A", which is gray like 0%, is most often used for tropical depressions, which are usually not named and thus cannot have a name retired. Other unnamed storms receive "N/A" as well.
 * "TBA", which is black like 100%, is used for currently active storms or recently dissipated storms without a definite percentage of retirement yet. "TBA" is also used for grading when a system is currently active.
 * 0% and 100% are estimated percentages, in which they don't necessarily mean that it is absolutely certain that a storm name will or won't be retired. Unless it is the PAGASA basin (which has retirement requirements), there will always still be an infinitesimally small chance of retirement (for 0%) or non-retirement (for 100%).
 * New for 2018: My scale comes in ranges now instead of individual percentages. This allows me to use any percentage now instead of having to restrict myself to individual percentages. Any percentage within a range (like from 1-4%) uses the same color (in this example, blue). The range also includes decimals and goes slightly beyond what is shown as the "highest" number in my scale. The actual highest limit to the range earlier described is 4.99999...% (I don't round up to the next range). Those upper limit decimals are not included in my scale in order to preserve space.
 * Different fonts indicate how likely a storm is to be retired. The whole entry of the storm is bolded, italicized, underlined, or capitalized depending on my retirement prediction. For low or nil-chance storms (0% to 24%), only the colored components (storm's name, percentage, and grade) are bolded and the rest of the entry is plain-text. For 25% to 49%, the whole entry is bolded. For 50% to 74%, the whole entry is both bolded and italicized. For 75% to 99.999%, the whole entry is bolded, italicized, and underlined. 100% entries are bolded, italicized, underlined, and capitalized.

Grading colors -
 * EO = "Extraordinarily Outstanding". This is beyond "A", when a TC is so good that it deserves special recognition. Add a "+" to emphasize the best and most outstanding TCs that have ever occurred in history (such as Patricia '15 or John '94). I try to avoid giving this rating to catastrophic storms due to the fact that catastrophe knocks down a storm's reputation, and it would seem insensitive to give such storms a high rating. An EO+ storm has requirements that are stricter than EO: it has to be a fishspinner (or, if affecting land, not cause very significant damage or deaths, which means no Haiyan, Wilma, Irma, etc.) and it has to be very near records (I'd say top 3), tie, or break records relating to powerful intensity, longevity, or how unusual it is. If the achievement is one of the latter two, an EO+ storm has to peak as a major (C3+ on the SSHWS). An exception to the major rule could occur if a storm is INSANELY long-lived or unusual. For example: a tropical system that literally forms in the Arctic Ocean/right on the equator/Antarctic/far inland/other extremely strange spots, or a storm that lasts months would almost always be deserving of "EO+".
 * Z = If the grading scale were to go down the same pattern as A to F, it would go to G, H, etc. and would eventually have to stop at "Z". All the in between letters from G to Y are skipped because it would be way too much, redundant and unnecessary. "Z" is the letter assigned to the worst of the worst, and such storms would be considered epic failures and unmemorable because of a lack of land effects. If I gave a highly impacting storm a Z, it might seem insensitive because the storm actually did something. Add a "-" to the grade to emphasize the worst epic failures that ever occurred in history. Specific requirements for the Z- storm are as follows: Fishspinner (or barely affecting land) due to lack of memorability, peaks at no more than 40 mph, lasts no longer than one day, or is downgraded from a TS to a TD or worse in post-analysis while still named. Although weak named TSs receive Z- on occasion, even fishspinning TDs don't receive the Z- grade that often because, in my opinion, stealing a precious name is a worse offense than remaining unnamed. If a system is named, more should be expected out of it.
 * Except for the extreme grades and "E", this scale is obviously based off of the educational grading system.

~ <font face="Impact"> Steve 🌞   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  04:06, August 1, 2018 (UTC) (last updated 06:04, November 9, 2018 (UTC))

Ryan1000's retirement predictions
Here's my thoughts on retirements so far:

EPac: CPac: That'll suffice. Ryan1000 04:44, August 1, 2018 (UTC)
 * Aletta - 0% - A great way to start the season, and her strongest incarnation to date as well.
 * Bud - 1% - Like Aletta, this is the strongest incarnation of Bud to date, but his Baja landfall brought minimal effects at most.
 * Carlotta - 2% - This was to Bud as Carlos was to Blanca in 2015, a slightly worse storm but still probably won't be retired.
 * Daniel - 0% - It's a shame that Daniel, one of our traditional EPac major fishspinners, flopped this time around...try again in 2024.
 * Emilia - 0% - Fared slightly better than Daniel but was still unimpressive overall.
 * Fabio - 0% - Reminds me of Hilary last year. He failed to meet expectations, but his large size held him back.
 * Gilma - 0% - Lasted slightly longer than Daniel but failed worse than he did by intensity.
 * Hector - 0% - Was an absolutely amazing storm to track. It lasted for the most consecutive days as a major hurricane on record in the Pacific while east of the dateline, at 7.75 days, beating Norbert of 1984, was an unusual tri-basin crosser, and racked up the 4th highest ACE of any Pacific hurricane while east of the dateline as well, all while not causing any known damage or deaths on land. My favorite storm of the season.
 * Ileana - 4% - Despite being eaten by John, Ileana unfortunately still killed 7 people in Mexico, with some minor damage to boot.
 * John - 0% - Fishie, and failed to be a major; consider that punishment for eating your little sister.
 * Kristy - 0% - It's a shame that Kristy fell short of hurricane intensity; hopefully she can be upgraded in reanalysis.
 * Lane - 60% - Lane became Hawaii's wettest hurricane on record, narrowly surpassing Hiki of 1950, and apparently according to one of Dr. Master's blog posts, Lane caused at least 200 million dollars in flood damage to Hawaii, according to insurance broker Aon Benfield. That's almost 3 times the damage from Iselle in 2014 and the costliest storm of the season, not to mention the 1 death. I can't say for certain if Lane will be retired, but it's definitely a possibility that can't be overlooked.
 * Miriam - 0% - Defied intensity expectations, but still remained well at sea.
 * Norman - 0% - Strong and long-lived, but remained a safe distance from Hawaii
 * Olivia - 3% - Became the first tropical storm to strike the Hawaian islands of Maui and Lanai, but Olivia's disorganized, weakened state when she struck the islands led to only minor damage, limited rainfall, and some fallen tree limbs and power outages. She probably won't be retired.
 * Paul - 0% - Another weak, short-lived fishspinner.
 * Rosa - 4% - Rosa's operational death toll of 15 was reduced to 3 recently due to the others apparently being unrelated to direct effects from the storm, and there was somewhat extensive flood damage too. I don't think Rosa will be retired, but she gets credit for the impacts.
 * Sergio - 20% - Made landfall in Mexico, and an unusually fast-moving one at that. Caused only miniscule damage at the location of landfall, but like Norbert '14 and Linda '15, among other storms in recent years, Sergio's remnants caused flood damage in the U.S. southwest, up to 350 million dollars of it, but he still probably won't go if those past storms didn't either.
 * Tara - 2% - Made a close brush with SW Mexico, but it was small, so effects were localized, like Carlotta earlier this year.
 * Vicente - 12% - Unfortnately, mudslides from Vicente's rainfall killed 16 people in Mexico...but damages were only 7 million or so, so I doubt Vicente will get retired.
 * Willa - 70% - Willa's damage got a considerable buff after some reanalysis, with impacts now at 6 deaths and over half a billion dollars in damage (557 million dollars worth). That's more than Lane '06, Kenna, and even Patricia. Willa may still not get retired, but she gets much more credit now.
 * Xavier - 1% - Brought heavy rains near the coast of southwestern Mexico, but no one was killed nor was there notable damage.
 * Walaka - >10% - This is a tough call...it tore apart the Marine monuments and sanctuaries on some islands well west of Hawaii, especially Johnston Atoll and East Island (which was completely destroyed by Walaka's storm surge and was a major nesting ground for the rare Hawaiian Monk Seals and Green Sea Turtles), but no people live there, so no human lives or property were lost. I'm not sure if Walaka will be retired based on hitting those marine sanctuary islands alone, but it could be...it's probably an outside shot at best though.

KN2731's storm grades & retirements
I'll jump on the bandwagon and add mine too.

Grades:  A, B , C , D , E , F . These grades go by meteorological statistics alone, and do not reflect my opinion of any deaths or destruction that occurs; for that refer to the appended descriptions and retirement chances.

Retirements: <font color="#808080">0%, <font color="#FF007F">5% , <font color="#FF00FF">10% , <font color="#7F00FF">15% , <font color="#0000FF">20% , <font color="#0080FF">25% , <font color="#00FFFF">30% , <font color="#00FF80">35% , <font color="#00FF00">40% , <font color="#80FF00">50% , <font color="#FFFF00">60% , <font color="#FF8000">70% , <font color="#FF0000">80% , <font color="#990000">90% , <font color="#330000">100% .


 * One-E – grade  D . Couldn't do much in the face of shear, but gave us an early start.
 * Aletta – grade  A , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Amazing powerful June fishspinner. Well done for our first ever major hurricane Aletta.
 * Bud – grade  B , retirement <font color="#FF007F">5% . Touched C4 but rapidly weakened immediately after. Thankful for that however as it made landfall on Baja California not long after, and didn't cause much damage.
 * Carlotta – grade  B , retirement <font color="#FF007F">5% . Intensified surprisingly quickly close to land despite being forecast to fizzle. Not much damage reported, so that's all good.
 * Daniel – grade  F , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Historically Daniel was the name of a long line of fishspinning majors. Completely flopped this year with its weakest ever incarnation. Boo.
 * Emilia – grade  E , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Chose the wrong time and place to form and got burdened by shear.
 * Fabio – grade  C , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Great fishspinner, but lost points for peaking just under major hurricane status. :(
 * Gilma – grade  F , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Utterly pathetic name thief. Probably doesn't even deserve a grade.
 * Nine-E – grade  E . See Emilia.
 * Hector – grade  A , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Powerful tri-basin crosser that managed to miss Hawaii. Well done, Hector. Definitely best storm so far.
 * Ileana – grade  B , retirement <font color="#FF007F">5% . Surprised us all by spinning up so quickly and beating out the more hopeful AOIs (John and Kristy). Could have become a hurricane (albeit a dangerous one, given her proximity to Mexico) if not for John's cannibal tendencies.
 * John – grade  C , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Gets points for being interesting by cannibalizing Kristy, but pulled a Fabio and flunked major hurricane status. :(
 * Kristy – grade  D , retirement <font color="#808080">0% . Screwed up by peaking just under hurricane intensity; grade may rise if she's upgraded post-season.

~ KN2731 {talk}. Last updated: 14:18, August 16, 2018 (UTC).

Harvey's retirement predictions
Intensity colors: <font color="#5ebaff">TD, <font color="#00faf4">TS , <font color="#ffffcc">C1 , <font color="#ffe775">C2 , <font color="#ffc140">C3 , <font color="#ff8f20">C4 , <font color="#ff6060">C5 , <font color="#8b0000">C5 (185+ mph)

Retirement percentage colors: <font color="#666">0% or <font color="#666">N/A, <font color="#AFFFFF">0.001-0.9% , <font color="#00FFFF">1-9% , <font color="#00D5D5">10-19% , <font color="#00A0A0">20-29% , <font color="#00A000">30-39% , <font color="#FFC800">40-49% , <font color="#FF8800">50-59% , <font color="#E80000">60-69% , <font color="#B40000">70-79% , <font color="#800000">80-89% , <font color="#000000">90-99% , <font color="#000080">100% 

Grading colors:  S, A+++ , A++ , <font color="#00F">A+ , <font color="#0CC">A , <font color="#0C3">A- , <font color="#0F0">B+ , <font color="#3F0">B , <font color="#6F0">B- , <font color="#9F0">C+ , <font color="#CF0">C , <font color="#FF0">C- , <font color="#FC0">D+ , <font color="#F60">D , <font color="#F30">D- , <font color="#F00">E , <font color="#C00">F , <font color="#900">F- , <font color="#600">Z , <font color="#300">Z- , <font color="#0000FF">TBA 


 * <font color="#5ebaff">One-E :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">N/A
 * Grading: <font color="#900">F - Mostly a fail, but it did form in the early season.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Aletta :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">0% - This storm did not affect land.
 * Grading: <font color="#0C3">A - This storm gets a high grade due to the rapid deepening and the great satellite imagery at peak intensity. This is the strongest incarnation of this storm to date.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Bud :
 * Retirement: <font color="#AFFFFF">0.7% - It did struck Baja late in its life as a weak TS, however impacts are too minimal for retirement.
 * Grading: <font color="#0C3">A- - Like the above storm, it was a powerful early storm that was the strongest of its incarnation, however this one was slightly weaker.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Carlotta :
 * Retirement: <font color="00FFFF">1% - Caused torrential rainfall in Mexico. Impacts are minimal and do not affect the retirement.
 * Grading: <font color="#F60">D - This would become the first of many weak storms in the season. Impacts aren't memorable enough to affect the grade.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Daniel :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">0% - Another fish storm.
 * Grading: <font color="#600">Z - Just about every other incarnation of this storm was a fishspinner that reached major hurricane status, but this one broke the chain and decided to fail miserably. Ugh...
 * <font color="#00faf4">Emilia :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">0% - Another fishspinner.
 * Grading: <font color="#F00">E - Another weak fishspinner. Another fail, but it didn't fail too hard.
 * <font color="#ffe775">Fabio :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">0% - Yet another fishspinner.
 * Grading: <font color="#FC0">C - Well, it could have been higher, but it's only because it failed even though it was expected to be a major. And it was 5 mph away from becoming one, and might have even had the chance to become a C4 or possibly even C5. I would have put it lower, but at least it did reach a high intensity.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Gilma :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">0% - Another fish-spinning fishspinner.
 * Grading: <font color="#300">Z- - It barely lasted more than two days, and was only a TS for 6 hours. In other words, it didn't try at all.
 * <font color="#5ebaff">Nine-E


 * Retirement: <font color="#666">N/A
 * Grading: <font color="#900">F- - Another weak depression. At least it didn't steal a name like the above storm did.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Hector :
 * Retirement: <font color="#666">0% - Impact was minimal.
 * Grading: S - This is hands down the best storm of the season. It crossed all three basins, the last time this happened was with Genevieve in 2014. It also broke the record for most consecutive days as a major hurricane and most hours as a C4 in the northeastern Pacific. Best of all, it didn't harm me at all (I live in Hawaii FYI). C5 or not, it still earned the highest grade.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Ileana :
 * Retirement: <font color="#05F">3% - 4 deaths. Still unlikely for retirement.
 * Grading: <font color="#9F0">C+ - It did its best, unfortunately eaten up by John. It could have been a hurricane.
 * <font color="#ffe775">John :
 * Retirement: 0% - Only high surf.
 * Grading: <font color="#FC0">C- - While it did get some points for eating up a storm, it flunked major status.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Kristy :
 * Retirement: 0% - Fishspinner.
 * Grading: <font color="#F00">E - It could have become a hurricane, but it failed.


 * <font color="#ff6060">Lane :
 * Retirement: <font color="#00a0a0">21% - Well, this is a hard one. Lane was the third wettest tropical cyclone to hit Hawaii, bringing 52 inches. It didn't really affect me too much, which is good. This grade however is not final as the deaths and damage are unknown.
 * Grading: <font color="#0C3">A - Lane was an impressive storm to say for the least. It did become the first Category 5 hurricane in 3 years and the first C5 in the Central Pacific since 2006, but unfortunately, it caused Hawaii (which is where I live in, BTW) to get very paranoid with the threatening of a potential landfall, but it didn't make landfall (which is good). The combination of the storm being impressive while threatening me at the same time makes the grade uncertain, but for now I'll give it an A.

Notes: Harveycane (Talk |  Contributions)  07:52, August 3, 2018 (UTC)
 * Percentages/grades in italics indicate temporary ratings and would have yet to change.

Lee’s retirement predictions
Leeboy100 Hello!! 07:18, August 4, 2018 (UTC)
 * Aletta- 0%: Nice harmless Category 4 to start the season. However, no impacts= no retirement.
 * Bud-1%: Another Category 4. Made landfall in Baja, but didn’t do much. It’s staying.
 * Carlotta-2%: Like Bud, it caused some impacts to land. Still, also like Bud, it’s staying.
 * Daniel-0%: Well, it existed. That’s about all I can say.
 * Emilia-0%: Ehhhh.
 * Fabio-0%: Was a nice system to look at for a few days.
 * Gilma-0%: Absolutely not.
 * Hector- 0%: Absolutely amazing storm, and my favorite of the year so far. Became a really strong Cat 4, and lasted quite a while, not harming anyone in the process. First storm to cross all three Northern Pacific basins since Genevieve. It may be upgraded to a Cat 5 in post analysis, but since neither Jose or Joaquin were, I won’t hold my breath. No impacts doesn’t get it a chance at retirement, but I’ll give him this (⭐️) for being such a great storm.
 * Ileana- 5%: Unfortunately, I have to revise my previous prediction. Ileana did manage to cause 4 deaths before becoming lunch for Hurricane John. Still, I don’t see her going anywhere.
 * John- 0%: Other than completely murdering another storm, John didn’t do much. He’s staying.
 * Kristy- 0%: Didn’t do much. Staying
 * Lane- Currently active Expected to bring impacts to Hawaii. Currently a high-end category 4, but will weaken before it gets to Hawaii. Lane, behave.

IbAHAn1829tree's Name Retirement Chances
Sincerely, IbAHAn1829, and stay safe! \(:-D)Chat/Ta ta! 11:20, August 15, 2018 (UTC) Updated on November 18, 2018.
 * Category 4 Aletta - 0% : C4 fishspinner, did nothing to land.
 * Category 4 Bud - 0% : Another C4 storm, hit land but did nothing.
 * Tropical Storm Carlotta - 0% : A TS, hit land but did nothing.
 * Tropical Storm Daniel - 0% : Not sure why this name was even used for this storm.
 * Tropical Storm Emilia - 0% : Another TS that did nothing.
 * Category 2 Fabio - 0% : A C2 that failed to reach major hurricane intensity since it was so big and did nothing.
 * Tropical Storm Gilma - 0% : Epic fail, even worse than Felicia '15.
 * Category 4 Hector - 0% : Almost became a C5 and existed in all three North Pacific basins, but did nothing.
 * Tropical Storm Ileana - 0.1% : Sadly caused the deaths of 4 people before being eaten by Hurricane John.
 * Category 2 John - 0% : Failed to become a C3, ate TS Ileana.
 * Tropical Storm Kristy - 0% : Did nothing.
 * CATEGORY 5 LANE - 50% : Caused major flooding on the Big Island of Hawaii. The damage totals have yet to be found, plus I think they'll get rid of this name anyway.
 * Category 2 Miriam - 0% : Was doomed to be a fail, but instead became a Category 2. It never did anything to land anyway.
 * Category 4 Norman - 0% : Is currently a fishspinner that almost became a C5.
 * Category 4 Olivia - 0.1% : It reached C4 intensity before making landfalls on Hawaii.
 * Tropical Storm Paul - 0% : Weak storm that did nothing.
 * Category 4 Rosa - 1% : Caused flooding in Arizona and California.
 * Category 4 Sergio - 0% : Another long lived major hurricane that majorly boosted the ACE total!
 * CATEGORY 5 WALAKA - 0.000000000001% : Hit Johnston Atoll. The end.
 * Tropical Storm Tara - 0.000000000000000000000000000000001% : Did nothing much but cause rain.
 * Tropical Storm Failcente - 0.000000000000000000000000000000001% : Did nothing much but cause rain.
 * CATEGORY 5 WILLA - 50% : This one imo has a 50/50 shot at being retired since lots of names are kept even though they did quite a bit of damage. But then again they did retire Patricia so...
 * Tropical Storm Xavier - 1% : Won't be retired.

SHP's Grades and Retirement Predictions
Intensity colors: <font color="#5ebaff">TD , <font color="#00faf4">TS , <font color="#ffffcc">C1 , <font color="#ffe775">C2 , <font color="#ffc140">C3 , <font color="#ff8f20">C4 , <font color="#ff6060">C5 

Grade colors:  S ,  A+ ,  A ,  A- ,  B ,  C ,  D ,  E ,  F ,  Failippe 

Note: Impact to land has no affect on grade, aside from S rank, which is reserved for fishspinners or storms of minimal impact (less than $1 million in damages, no deaths).


 * <font color="#5ebaff">One-E : Grade:  E  - Retirement: 0% - Forgettable TD, only saved from an F by being a pre-season storm.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Aletta : Grade:  A+  - Retirement: 0% - Defied predictions by exploding into a Cat. 4, showing Adrian how it's done.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Bud : Grade:  A  - Retirement: 0.1% - Did what Aletta did except slightly weaker and with minor land impacts.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Carlottta : Grade:  D  - Retirement: 1% - Hovered around the Mexican coast for a while, but impacts were thankfully not all that major.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Danfail : Grade:  F  - Retirement: 0% - Historic major turned epic fail. Dissapointing.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Emilia : Grade:  D  - Retirement: 0% - Uh...
 * <font color="#ffe775">Fabio : Grade:  C  - Retirement: 0% - Decent storm, but just barely missed Cat. 3 status despite predictions. Grade will go up if he attains major status on post-analysis.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Failma : Grade:  Failippe  - Retirement: 0% - It could've been just another forgettable TD, but it had to go and steal the name Gilma in the worst way possible. What a disgrace.
 * <font color="#5ebaff">Nine-E : Grade:  F  - Retirement: 0% - It existed. NEXT!
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Hector : Grade:  S  - Retirement: 0% - Oh man, what a storm. It spent the longest consecutive time as a major in the history of the E Pac, racked up the 4th highest ACE in the history of the E Pac, crossed through 3 basins, and left Hawaii alone. Cat. 5 or no, Hector is definitely deserving of my highest grade, and is now one of my personal favorite storms of all time.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Ileana : Grade  D (inner) - Retirement: 4% - Tried to become a hurricane, but her time was cut short by her big brother John. Unfortunately, she caused the deaths of 4 people.
 * <font color="#ffe775">John : Grade:  C (annibal) - Retirement: 0% - Missed major status, but I consider that karma for consuming Ileana. Not cool, John.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Kristy : Grade:  D  - Retirement: 0% - Came closer to hurricane status than Ileana, but still failed.
 * <font color="#ff6060">LANE : Grade:  A+  - Retirement: 55% - Definitely an impressive storm, being the first Cat. 5 in the Central Pacific since Ioke, the second storm this season to have an ACE total over 40 units, and an impressive display of resilience in the face of high shear. However, he is kept from an S rank by his impacts in Hawaii, where he dumped the second highest amount of rain from a tropical cyclone in US history on the Big Island, causing one death. The monetary damage estimates currently sit at greater than $200 million, which is more than Iwa, but in conjunction with the lack of landfall and the general mindset of the Hawaiian populace after his passing being that it could've been a lot worse, the retirement chance balances out to a little more than a coin toss.
 * <font color="#ffe775">Miriam : Grade:  A-  - Retirement: 0% - Gets an A- rank for defying predictions and becoming a Cat 2 in the face of quite a lot of shear. Well done Miriam!
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Norman : Grade:  S  - Retirement: 0% - Initially looked to be another almost-but-not-quite Cat 5, but proved to be incredibly resilient when he restrengthened into a major not once, but twice, the second time being almost right out of nowhere. He also avoided land entirely, which, along with his performance, justifies him earning an S rank in my eyes.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Olivia : Grade:  A  - Retirement: 5% - Managed to reach Cat. 4 intensity, and became the first storm to ever make landfall on Maui. Impacts were, thankfully, not all that bad.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Paul : Grade:  F  - Retirement: 0% - Random fail to balance out all the awesome storms that came before it.
 * <font color="#5ebaff">Nineteen-E : Grade:  E  - Retirement: 0% - Formed in the Gulf of California which is strange enough to save it from an F ranking.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Rosa : Grade:  A  - Retirement: 10% - The next in of the many Cat. 4s this season. Wound up hitting Baja as a depression later in it's lifespan, and unfortunately killed quite a few people.
 * <font color="#ff8f20">Sergio : Grade:  A+  - Retirement: 0.1% - Long lived Cat 4 that tied 2015's Cat. 4 record, brought us within breathing distance of the ACE record, and hit Baja as a TS with likely minimal damage. Nothing absolutely spectacular, but it still deserves an A+ ranking.
 * <font color="#ff6060">Walaka : Grade:  S  - Retirement: 0.0001% - Definitely made the two years that it took for him to show up worth it, as he exploded into at an astounding rate into the second Cat. 5 of the season. There were no deaths and the damage appears to be minimal, solidifying his S ranking.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Tara : Grade:  E  - Retirement: 0.1 - Not quite a fail, as it did reach 65 mph, but still nothing compared to everything else this season.
 * <font color="#00faf4">Vicente : Grade: ??? Retirement: ??? - Still active.
 * <font color="#ff6060">Willa : Grade: ??? Retirement: ??? - Still active.

More will be added as needed. Send Help Please (talk) 16:21, August 15, 2018 (UTC)

Retirement predictions from Nut
Eh, boredom from me equals retirement predictions. Nutfield001 (talk) 21:43, September 11, 2018 (UTC)
 * One - N/A - Pre-season storm which flopped whilst trying to become a pre-season TS. At least there isn't that name steal.
 * Aletta - 0% - An impressive C4 storm to kick off June. No impacts equal no retirement.
 * Bud - 1% - Another C4, albeit a weaker one. I can't imagine retirement as he didn't kill anyone, damage was overall negligible in Baja and the rain his remnants brought was actually beneficial to the region, especially parts of California and Arizona.
 * Carlotta - 5% - Classic old TS that paralleled the Mexican Pacific coast, bringing minor impact to parts of Mexico ineligible for retirement by their standards.
 * Daniel - 0% - From what holded a MH streak since the '00s ended up becoming a failicia. Disappointing.
 * Emilia - 0% - Better than Daniel, but barely did a thing.
 * Fabio - 0% - It could've done better, let's be honest. Peaked at 110mph despite forecasts for it to become a major. A disappointment, but not a major one.
 * Gilma - 0% - Essentially a repeat of the infamous Felicia 2015. Pathetic fail, even Daniel did better.
 * Hector - 1% - From a flop of a storm to a tri-basin storm. First to cross past 180° since Genevieve, its record number of days spent as a major is all that impressive of a storm. Ultimately, it peaked at 155mph which is a slight shame. Oh well. Marginal credit given due to its very minor impacts to Hawaii (which would eventually be worsened later).
 * Ileana - 5% - Only did the surf that sadly killed three. No retirement though.
 * John - 0% - Did nothing other than produce high surfs across the Mexican and Baja Californian coastline. It did absorb Ileana but failed to become a major.
 * Kristy - 0% - A storm that missed hurricane status but was closer than Ileana, at least it tried.
 * Lane - 60% - Tricky to answer tbh. Given Hawaii's retirement standards and the hype of the storm approaching the islands as well as becoming the third wettest TC to hit the islands, slightly less than expected damage was wrought to the islands. It could've been much worse if it wasn't for the shear. It might be retired, it might not; it's just unpredictable really. I'm impressed by the fact that this became a C5 though, pulling in slightly more effort than Hector.
 * Miriam - 0% - Despite the strong shear, it managed to go beyond our forecasting boundaries and became a C2. Impressed.
 * Norman - 0% - Impressive performance. Became a 150mph major and a 130mph major second time round (C4 peaks twice) despite the conditions. Again, would be better if it was a C5 but then again, it was still a great storm nonetheless.
 * Olivia - TBC - Currently active storm which is posing a minor threat to Hawaii. Hoping impacts aren't major considering they had Lane not so long ago. Despite that, it was mostly a fishspinner that became a C4. Nothing else needed.
 * Paul - TBC - Currently active.

Jotaro predicts who's a guh fi get dem ass kick
Next time we meet, I&#39;m gonna land a thousand strikes on that face of yours. (talk) 17:55, October 23, 2018 (UTC)
 * Hell no yuh feeble likkle loli = everyone else who isn't extra enuff fi get mentioned
 * Maybe = vicente
 * Likely = rosa
 * Prepare fi get sum lashes inna yuh backside = lane
 * Shut up! Get outta mi face yuh stinka lil beetie bitch = willa

Male "L" names (potentially for Lane)
Since Lane caused record flooding and extensive damage to Hawaii's Big Island, Lane is the 2018 EPac season's first serious retirement candidate. If he's retired, what do you think will replace him? Here are some suggestions: My first choice would be Lucas, but Leo, Levi, Lance, and Laurence, among others, are good too. Ryan1000 20:50, August 21, 2018 (UTC)
 * Lucas
 * Luke
 * Leo(n)
 * Leonard(o)
 * Logan
 * Levi
 * Landon
 * Laurence
 * Lance
 * Lamar
 * Luciano

I kinda think something English and simple, like Lane himself, will be the replacement. Luke anyone? (Logan reminds me of Paul but sadly not something hurricane ppl will chose :/ also leonardo is nice, like dicaprio, and kendrick lamar. levi ackerman/strauss anyone?) most likely luke though. what about lander? I know a guy named lander irl... lance is literally lane with a c tbh --¡OIᗡ &#39;ƎW S∀M ⊥I (talk) 00:29, August 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * This may be jumping the gun, but my hat's in for either Lucas or Laurence. Send Help Please  (talk) 01:34, August 22, 2018 (UTC)

In my opinion, Lucas, Luke, and Landon could be a best fit for Lane's replacement, that is if Lane does some notable impacts for Hawaii. I got some other male "L" names: I honestly don't think any of the names I've listed would be a best fit, but those are some other male "L" names. ~ Roy25    Talk  |  Contributions     02:23, August 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * Liam
 * Lucius
 * Lionel
 * Linius
 * Leif
 * Lennon
 * Layton
 * Luigi (This would be funny having Mario and Luigi on the same basin)
 * Lucien


 * Forgot about Luigi, that would be a good pick too. Or Lucifer, but that's a bit intimidating, to say the least. Ryan1000 05:30, August 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * That would have to be one of my favorite potential replacements, honestly... can you just imagine the irony of a 40 mph epic fail named Lucifer? :D (or, indeed, how fitting it would be for a Category 5 Hurricane Lucifer to threaten land...)
 * In all seriousness though, my top 5 would have to be Lazlo, Luke, Luigi, Liam, and Lucifer, in that order. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 09:38, August 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * Lucas, Luke, Liam, or Luigi seem most likely for me. ~ KN2731 {talk} 12:04, August 23, 2018 (UTC)
 * Di weatha people aren't creative enuff to cum up wid leone, lashawn, laquan dem betta include sum gud names like dem yah eitha jojo or gud old afro-caribbean names or dem getting dem ass sum gud lashes an who wud name a hurricane afta di jumbie lucifa --Next time we meet, I&#39;m gonna land a thousand strikes on that face of yours. (talk) 18:03, October 23, 2018 (UTC)

There can only be one choice. REAL GER (talk) 18:17, January 7, 2019 (UTC)

Female "W" names (potentially for Willa)
Since Willa hit southwestern Mexico as a formidable major hurricane, Willa may be retired from her impacts. Assuming that happens, what do you think'll replace Willa? Here are some possible names: I'd personally like Waverly or Wanita (the name that replaced Cyclone Winston in 2016), though Wasa, Waleria, Waylyn, ect are good names too, among others. Ryan1000 12:45, October 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * Wafa
 * Wara
 * Wasa
 * Wanita
 * Waverly
 * Wesley
 * Washara
 * Waylyn
 * Waneca
 * Wanelle
 * Waleria
 * Winona
 * Wynne
 * Wilda


 * Wynne, Wilda, Wilhelmine/Wilhelmina or Winona are the best optiobs. Other names would be Wasa, Wiam, Wiebke, Wynter/Winter or Waltraud. The last two are too German for me though. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 13:01, October 22, 2018 (UTC)
 * Di ongle option wamuu or winona rider eff yuh nuh agree get yuh lil ass sum lashes fam --Next time we meet, I&#39;m gonna land a thousand strikes on that face of yours. (talk) 17:58, October 23, 2018 (UTC)

What about Wilma? User:Hurricanes101/Hurricanes, hurricanes, hurricanes!
 * Nope, it was retired in the Atlantic after the 2005 storm... and I'm pretty sure that Atlantic retired names can't transcend into the EPac for later use since the EPac is also covered by the NHC. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:02, November 3, 2018 (UTC)

Well, it technically could happen since Celia, Dora, and Hilda are all in the EPac despite being formerly retired in the Atlantic, but they were drawn up when the lists were first made instead of replacing former retired names. That, and Willa is too close to Wilma for my liking; even the WP article links to the other storm as the names could be slightly confusing. I'd prefer Wanita, Waverly, Wesley, Wanelle, or Wasa as a replacement name for Willa. Winona sounds more fit for a Hawaiian name tbh; if Walaka this year gets retired for destroying east island in the French Frigate Shoals, among its other impacts, Winona would be a good replacement for that storm. Ryan1000 13:22, November 4, 2018 (UTC)