Forum:2012-13 Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season/SPac 1

Tropical Depression 03F
This one is out there too. It's a ways away from 04f, but either way, we should see one, or two, named storms in the next few days. Probrably not 03F though, this one's falling apart fast. Ryan1000 14:46, December 11, 2012 (UTC)

Dead now. Oh well... Ryan1000 18:21, December 13, 2012 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Freda
SPac's picking up steam again, now likely to become a C2 or 3. Currently moving away from the Slomon Islands and expected to move to the west of New Caledonia. Ryan1000 03:14, December 29, 2012 (UTC)

Freda is poised to move into the Australian region. It's less than a degree away from qualifying as an Australian region tropical cyclone. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  14:56, December 29, 2012 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Cyclone Freda
With current maximum sustained winds of 80 knots and a minimum pressure of 955 hPa, Freda is taking off like its predecessor Evan. As it currently affects the Solomon Islands with torrents of rain, we are poised to have another desructive storm and the second hypothetical retiree in the making. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  22:04, December 29, 2012 (UTC)

Wow, look at what has happened in the past in the past few hours. Talk about caffeine in the ocean...Freda's already a Category 4 tropical cyclone (AUS scale), packing those 90 knot winds. Not only that, Freda's rivaling its predecessor Evan by 3 mb (Evan's 943 mb pressure vs. Freda's 940 mb pressure)! This means Freda is the strongest storm of the season!!! I hope this doesn't get any worse... Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  04:34, December 30, 2012 (UTC)

It's still expected to miss New Caledonia to the southwest while it heads out to sea, but like Evan, it could also pass close enough to severely affect the island. Pretty strong, but I don't expect this one to be as bad as Evan. Ryan1000 01:07, December 31, 2012 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Freda (2nd time)
Falling apart... Ryan1000 05:11, January 1, 2013 (UTC)

Down to 45 mph/989 hPa, making it a Category 1 tropical cyclone. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  23:06, January 1, 2013 (UTC)

Ex-Tropical Disturbance Freda
Freda, a 991 mb extratropical cyclone, has degenerated. Amazingly, no damages or deaths have yet been reported. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  02:50, January 3, 2013 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 06F
Briefly existing in the SPac, but won't become much of anything. Ryan1000 05:11, January 1, 2013 (UTC)

Long gone. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  18:01, January 13, 2013 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 07F
Another one, but like 06F, not expecting much out of this. Maybe could become Garry as it heads southeast out to sea. Ryan1000 19:54, January 12, 2013 (UTC)

Gone. Actually, this storm never went beyond tropical disturbance status. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  18:01, January 13, 2013 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 08F
This depression may become a Category 1 tropical cyclone (AUS scale) in the next couple days. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  18:01, January 13, 2013 (UTC)

Will he make a landfall in Sydney Raraah, Awesome Pony  18:07, January 13, 2013 (UTC)

I do not think so, because the depression is moving southeastward away from Australia. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  18:38, January 13, 2013 (UTC)

Weakening slightly. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  01:02, January 15, 2013 (UTC)

Tropical Disturbance 09F
And we have got another new disturbance. I do not know what it will end up causing... Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  01:02, January 15, 2013 (UTC)

Pretty disorganized atm, don't expect this to become much. Ryan1000 14:25, January 15, 2013 (UTC)




 * This one looks like it will become a tropical cyclone and stay out to sea for most of it's life. Following it might be two other cyclones that directly impact Fiji, but we'll see whether the model verifies... Supportstorm (talk) 01:37, January 20, 2013 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 09F
Now upgraded to a 35 mph/999 mb tropical depression. Also, the JTWC has initiated advisories on the depression (if there is an error in the way I put this depression in the active storms template, please fix it). Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  01:15, January 21, 2013 (UTC)

JTWC calls it 10P. Isaac829 E-Mail  01:41, January 21, 2013 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Garry
Now named Garry. This one should head southeast and become a cat 1 cyclone while it passes through the French Polynesia archapelago. Ryan1000 18:10, January 21, 2013 (UTC)

Now Garry is up to a Category 2 tropical cyclone. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  00:07, January 23, 2013 (UTC)

Garry's pressure is up to 987 mb from 985 mb. Andrew  Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  12:26, January 23, 2013 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Cyclone Garry
And the third severe tropical cyclone is upon us. P.S. This is slightly off-topic, but when was the last time the first three named tropical cyclones of a South Pacific cyclone season became severe tropical cyclones? Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  21:45, January 24, 2013 (UTC)

1999-2000 was the last time it happened, but there were many disturbances and depressions that intervened, and 2 of them were only cat 1's (cat 3 severe on FMS scale). Gary seems to be strengthening a bit, up to cat 2, and he's likely to weaken from here while passing through the Cook Islands and French Polynesia. Ryan1000 17:27, January 25, 2013 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Garry (2nd time)
After peaking as a Category 2 tropical cyclone (SSHS), Garry has collapsed into a Category 1 tropical cyclone (AUS scale). Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  20:44, January 26, 2013 (UTC)

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Garry
Goodbye, Garry. Now you're just a 997 mb remnant low. Andrew Talk To Me  Contribs  Mail Me  14:41, January 27, 2013 (UTC)