User:Kiewii/Kiewii Hurricane Center/10E/Advisory 2

BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10-E ADVISORY NUMBER 2 KIEWII HURRICANE CENTER DUNDEE UK EP102011 0900 UTC THU 06 OCT 2011

SUMMARY OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10-E AS OF 0900 UTC 06 OCT 2011 LOCATION: 10.3N 105.8W ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM S OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
 * HURRICANE WATCH
 * TOMATLAN TO MANZANILLO, MEXICO
 * TROPICAL STORM WATCH
 * MAZATLAN TO TOMATLAN, MEXICO
 * MANZANILLO TO ACAPULCO, MEXICO

DISCUSSION AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.8 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...AND FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY AFTER THAT TIME.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND HEAVY RAIN: HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE SOME LARGE DOWNPOURS AND FLOODING ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST.

KHC VIEW IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS, THIS DEPRESSION WILL BECOME TROPICAL STORM IRWIN. THIS STORM WILL CONTINUE WNW AND THEN TURN TO THE NORTH AND FINALLY TURN TO THE EAST AS A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE. IT COULD MAKE LANDFALL AS A STRONG CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE.

FORECAST NOW...35 MPH...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12H...40 MPH...TROPICAL STORM 24H...45 MPH 36H...55 MPH<BR> 48H...65 MPH<BR> 60H...70 MPH<BR> 72H...75 MPH

$$ FORECASTER KIEWII