User:Kiewii/Kiewii Hurricane Center/Philippe/Advisory 2

BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ADVISORY 2 KIEWII HURRICANE CENTER DUNDEE UK AL172011 1800 UTC WED OCT 05 2011

...PHILIPPE WILL TURN TO THE NORTH EAST IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS...

SUMMARY OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE AS OF 1800 UTC OCT 05 2011 LOCATION: 25.3N, 61.3W ABOUT 530 MILES, 850 KILOMETERS SSE OF BERMUDA SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ABOUT 65 MPH, 100 KM/H THIS STORM IS MOVING NORTH WEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH, 9 KM/H ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MBAR, 29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS NO WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN PLACE.

DISCUSSION AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.3 WEST. PHILIPPE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. THE STORM SHOULD MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST BY TOMORROW AND FRIDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND PHILIPPE MAY BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN NEXT TWO DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

KHC VIEW THE KIEWII HURRICANE CENTER THINKS THIS STORM COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE IN THE 12 HOURS. IN THIS CASE... THE CENTRAL PRESSURE SHOULD DROP DOWN BELOW 990 MBAR. AFTER PHILIPPE WEAKENS FROM A CATEGORY 1...THAT IS IF IT DOES...THE STORM WILL BEGIN TO MOVE A LOT FASTER. THE FOREWARD SPEED RIGHT NOW IS 6 MPH...9 KM/H. AFTER THE STORM WEAKENS FROM A HURRICANE...IF IT DOES... THEN THE FOREWARD SPEED SHOULD BECOME AROUND ABOUT 25 MPH.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND NONE.

FORECAST NOW...65 MPH...TROPICAL STORM 12H...70 MPH 24H...75 MPH...CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE<BR> 36H...70 MPH...TROPICAL STORM<BR> 48H...65 MPH

NEXT ADVISORY<BR> NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...2200 BST

$$ FORECASTER KIEWII