Forum:2018 Atlantic hurricane season/Betting pools

These are the betting pools for the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season!

To keep it fun, no betting on storms that have already formed!

No actual betting is going on here (that I'm aware of)

Informal betting on date of formation of first storm
You can add in your own date if you want to do so. A late May Alberto is possible. {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * Before May 1 -
 * May 1 to 10 -
 * May 11 to 20 -
 * May 21 to 31 - I feel we could see another pre-season storm this year. - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * June 1 to 10 - Thinking just after the start of the season. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer  blow a kiss fier a gun all wee need is somebodey to leen on 150px-PrussiaChibi.png 03:04, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * June 11 to 20 - Maybe the streak of pre-season storms could be broken this year. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * June 21 to 30 -
 * July 1 to 10 -
 * July 11 to 20 -
 * July 21 to 31 -
 * August 1 to 10 -
 * August 11 to 20 -
 * August 21 to 31 -
 * September 1 to 30 -
 * After September 30 -
 * There will be no storms this year (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on date of dissipation of last storm
You can add in your own date if you want to do so.
 * There will be no storms this year (highly unlikely) -
 * Before October 1 -
 * October 1 to 10 -
 * October 11 to 20 -
 * October 21 to 31 -
 * November 1 to 10 -  blow a kiss fier a gun all wee need is somebodey to leen on 150px-PrussiaChibi.png 03:04, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * November 11 to 20 - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * November 21 to 30 - Reasonable Ending Spot. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * December 1 to 10 - I think we’ll see an early December storm. {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * December 11 to 20 - A post-season shocker. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * December 21 to 31 -
 * Storm active at start of 2019 -

Informal betting on strangest storm
I couldn't resist. What storm do you think will shred the rules of climatology the most? Please tell why, it makes it more fun.

This section is just for fun. There will likely be no winner. Because of this, please do not cross out the names as they form, and please do not bet on a storm that has already formed. ; )


 * Alberto -
 * Beryl -
 * Chris -
 * Debby - Forms subtropical, becomes a hurricane in the Carribean sea. {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * Ernesto -
 * Florence -
 * Gordon - SLAMS STRAIGHT INTO HELL'S KITCHEN AS A BADASS CAT 5 WOOP WOOP  blow a kiss fier a gun all wee need is somebodey to leen on 150px-PrussiaChibi.png 02:59, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * Helene -
 * Isaac -
 * Joyce -
 * Kirk - Flies out into space and creates his own enterprise. - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * Leslie -
 * Michael -
 * Nadine - Pratically moves in a straight northerly line from Cuba to a North Carolina Landfall. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * Oscar - Shows up on a film which wins an Oscar in 2019. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * Patty -
 * Rafael -
 * Sara -
 * Tony -
 * Valerie -
 * William -

Informal betting on strongest storm name
No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry. If you think two or three storms will share the same intensity, sign for each, and if there is a storm with the highest winds but another with the lowest pressure by the end of the season, we will split the title.


 * Alberto -
 * Beryl -
 * Chris -
 * Debby -
 * Ernesto -
 * Florence -
 * Gordon -
 * Helene - ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)  blow a kiss fier a gun all wee need is somebodey to leen on 150px-PrussiaChibi.png 03:04, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * Isaac -
 * Joyce -
 * Kirk -
 * Leslie - C5 Carribean monster. {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * Michael - Garfield (18/11/17) -- Category 5 Storm that rapidly intensifies to Category 5 near the Yucatan. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * Nadine -
 * Oscar -
 * Patty -
 * Rafael -
 * Sara -
 * Tony -
 * Valerie -
 * William -

Informal betting on weakest storm name (excluding depressions)
No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry. If you think two or three storms will share the same intensity, sign for each, and if there is a storm with the lowest winds but another with the highest pressure by the end of the season, we will split the title.


 * Alberto -
 * Beryl -
 * Chris -
 * Debby -  blow a kiss fier a gun all wee need is somebodey to leen on 150px-PrussiaChibi.png 03:04, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * Ernesto -
 * Florence -
 * Gordon -
 * Helene -
 * Isaac - The "I" curse takes a break this year after last year's Insane Irma. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * Joyce - Random fail in the midst of hurricanes. {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC) 40/1009. Beryl is also 40 mph but the Pressure is the tiebreaker. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * Kirk - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * Leslie -
 * Michael -
 * Nadine -
 * Oscar -
 * Patty -
 * Rafael -
 * Sara -
 * Tony -
 * Valerie -
 * William -

Informal betting on the highest winds
Winds are in miles per hour. And no betting on storms with winds mentioned that have already formed.
 * Less than 115 -
 * 115 -
 * 120 -
 * 125 -
 * 130 -
 * 140 -
 * 145 -
 * 150 - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * 155 -
 * 160 -
 * 165 - {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC) --- Hurricane Michael. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 175 -
 * 180 -
 * 185 -
 * 190 -
 * 195 -
 * 200 or more (Worldwide record high, Hurricane Patricia in 2015, highly unlikely) - Helene becomes a mega-monster, just a tad bit weaker than Patricia.~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)

Informal betting on the lowest pressure
Pressures are in ranges per 5 mbars. You can add in your own pressure if you want to do so, but no betting on storms with the listed pressures that have already formed.
 * Above 960 -
 * 960-956 -
 * 955-950 -
 * 949-945 -
 * 944-940 -
 * 939-935 -
 * 934-930 - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * 929-925 -
 * 924-920 - {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * 919-915 - 919 Millibars, Hurricane Kirk. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 914-910 -
 * 909-905 -
 * 904-900 -
 * 899-895 -
 * 894-890 -
 * 889-885 -
 * 884-880 - (Atlantic record low, Hurricane Wilma in 2005, 882 mbar)
 * 879-875 - Helene, 205 mph/879 mbars. ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * 874-870 - (Worldwide record low, Typhoon Tip in 1979, 870 mbar)
 * Less than 870 - (exceptionally unlikely)

Informal betting on longest lasting storm (By time in days)
Predict how many days the longest lasting storm will exist! (In the rare case that a storm exits the basin, only days spent inside the basin are counted)
 * Less than 3 -
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 -
 * 6 -
 * 7 -
 * 8 -
 * 9 -
 * 10 -
 * 11 -
 * 12 -
 * 13 - (Isaac) - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * 14 - Hurricane Isaac. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 15-16 - ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * 17-18 -
 * 19-20 - Leslie. {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * 21-22 -
 * 23-25 -
 * 26-28 -
 * 29-31 (Record high, 1899 San Ciriaco Hurricane) -
 * 32 or more (Very unlikely) -

Informal betting on longest lasting storm name
Which storm will last the longest?


 * Alberto -
 * Beryl -
 * Chris -
 * Debby -
 * Ernesto -
 * Florence -
 * Gordon -
 * Helene -
 * Isaac - Garfield (18/11/17) -- 14 days. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * Joyc
 * Kirk - ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:00, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * Leslie - {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * Michael -
 * Nadine -
 * Oscar -
 * Patty -
 * Rafael -
 * Sara -
 * Tony -
 * Valerie -
 * William -

Informal betting on shortest lasting storm (excluding depressions)

 * Alberto -
 * Beryl - Just 30 Hours as a tropical system. SAD! Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * Chris - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * Debby -
 * Ernesto -
 * Florence -
 * Gordon -
 * Helene -
 * Isaac - ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:00, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * Joyce - {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * Kirk -
 * Leslie -
 * Michael -
 * Nadine -
 * Oscar -
 * Patty -
 * Rafael -
 * Sara -
 * Tony -
 * Valerie -
 * William -

Informal betting on final storm name
Which storm name will be the season finale?
 * Alberto -
 * Beryl -
 * Chris -
 * Debby -
 * Ernesto -
 * Florence -
 * Gordon -
 * Helene -
 * Isaac -
 * Joyce -
 * Kirk -
 * Lesile -
 * Michael -
 * Nadine -
 * Oscar - Garfield (18/11/17) --- Dissipates on November 26th. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * Patty - {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * Rafael -  blow a kiss fier a gun all wee need is somebodey to leen on 150px-PrussiaChibi.png 03:05, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * Sara - ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:00, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * Tony -
 * Valerie -
 * William -

Informal betting on number of tropical depressions (season total)

 * There will be no tropical depressions this year (exceptionally unlikely)
 * 1 -
 * 2 -
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 -
 * 6 -
 * 7 -
 * 8 -
 * 9 -
 * 10 -
 * 11 -
 * 12 -
 * 13 -
 * 14 -
 * 15 -
 * 16 - Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 17 - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * 18 - {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * 19 - ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * 20 -
 * 21-25 -
 * 26-31 (record, 2005) -
 * More than 31 (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of storms peaking at tropical depression intensity
How many depressions will fail to reach even the tropical storm category? {contribs)  The Almighty Chopstick  {talkpage) https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * None -
 * 1 - ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:00, November 18, 2017 (UTC) - Just One. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 2 - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 or more (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of named storms (season total)

 * There will be no named storms this year (highly unlikely) -
 * 1 -
 * 2 -
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 -
 * 6 -
 * 7 -
 * 8 -
 * 9 -
 * 10 -
 * 11 -
 * 12 -
 * 13 -
 * 14 -
 * 15 - Garfield (18/11/17) -- Near Average. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 16 - {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * 17 -
 * 18 - ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * 19 -
 * 20-24 -
 * 25-28 (record, 2005) -
 * 29 or more (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of storms peaking at tropical storm intensity
How many storms will strengthen enough to receive a name, but fail to reach hurricane strength?
 * None (extremely unlikely) -
 * 1 -
 * 2 -
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 -
 * 6 -
 * 7 - Garfield (18/11/17) -- Seven of 'em. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 8 - {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * 9 - ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:00, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * 10 or more -

Informal betting on number of hurricanes (season total)
{{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * There will be no hurricanes this year (record low, 1907 and 1914) -
 * 1 -
 * 2 -
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 -
 * 6 -
 * 7 -
 * 8 - Garfield (18/11/17) -- Eight. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 9 - ~  Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * 10 -
 * 11 -
 * 12 -
 * 13 -
 * 14 -
 * 15 (record, 2005) -
 * 16 or more (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of storms peaking at non-major hurricane intensity
How many storms will reach hurricane strength, but only peak as a C1 or C2?

{{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * None (highly unlikely) -
 * 1 -
 * 2 -
 * 3 -
 * 4 - Four. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 5 - ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  22:00, November 18, 2017 (UTC) - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * 6 -
 * 7 -
 * 8 -
 * 9 -
 * 10 or more (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of major hurricanes
{{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * There will be no major hurricanes this year (record low set most recently in 2013, highly unlikely) -
 * 1 -
 * 2 -
 * 3 - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * 4 - ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)  Gordon, Kirk, Michael, Nadine. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 5 -
 * 6 -
 * 7 (record, 1961 and 2005) -
 * 8 or more (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of deaths
No betting on death tolls that currently exist. Sorry.
 * Less than 500 - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * 500 - 1000 - {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)  - 613 in total. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 1000 - 2000 -
 * 2000 - 3000 - Mainly due to Helene plus a few other storms. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * 3000 - 4000 -
 * 4000 - 5000 -
 * 5000 - 6000 -
 * 6000 - 7000 -
 * 7000 - 8000 -
 * 8000 - 9000 -
 * 9000 - 10000 -
 * 10000 - 15000 -
 * 15000 - 20000 -
 * Greater than 20000 deaths - (all time record, 1780)

Informal betting on damage totals
No betting on damage totals that currently exist. Sorry.
 * Less than 100 million -
 * 100-500 million -
 * 500 milion-1 billion -
 * 1-5 billion -
 * 5-10 billion -
 * 10-20 billion - 10.755 Billion in total. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 20-40 billion - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * 40-80 billion - {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * 80-180 billion - Sadly, another very devastating season is possible... ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * 180-315 billion -
 * Greater than 315 Billion (record high, 2017) -

Informal betting on ACE totals
No betting on ACE totals that currently exist. Sorry.
 * Less than 40 - (record low, 1914)
 * 40-49 -
 * 50-59 -
 * 60-69 -
 * 70-79 -
 * 80-89 -
 * 90-99 -
 * 100-109 -
 * 110-119 -
 * 120-129 - Garfield (18/11/17)  126.3975 in total. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 130-139 -
 * 140-149 -
 * 150-159 -
 * 160-169 - {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * 170-189 -
 * 190-209 - Helene does much of the work. ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * 210-229 -
 * 230-249 -
 * 250-259 (record high, 1933) -
 * More than 259 (extremely unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of retired names
No betting on obvious numbers from storms that have already formed. Sorry. {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * No names - (record low set most recently in 2014)
 * 1 name -
 * 2 names - Garfield (18/11/17)
 * 3 names - ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * 4 names - Gordon, Kirk, Michael, Nadine. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 5 names (record high, 2005) -
 * More than 5 names (extremely unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of subtropical storms
How many storms will peak at subtropical storm intensity? If you want to be extremely specific, please write down the names of the storms you think will do so. {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * None - Garfield (18/11/17) -- None. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 1 - ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve   Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * 2 -
 * 3 -
 * 4 or more - (record high, four in 1974) -

Informal betting on number of off-season storms
How many storms do you think will form off-season? If you want to be specific, write down the storm names that you think will form off-season. P.S. A storm that forms in November but persists into December counts as an off-season storm. {{sup|{ contribs )}}  The Almighty Chopstick  {{sub|{ talkpage )}} https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/hypotheticalhurricanes/images/9/95/NHCTSSymbol.png 02:21, November 19, 2017 (UTC)
 * None - First storm forms June 4, last storm dissipates November 26th, just inside season bounds. Nkechinyer (talk)Nkechinyer
 * 1 - Garfield (18/11/17) ~ <font face="Impact"> Steve    Talk Page  My Edits  📧  21:25, November 18, 2017 (UTC)
 * 2 -
 * 3 -
 * 4 -
 * 5 (record high, 1887) -
 * More than 5 (exceptionally unlikely) -

Informal betting on final tropical cyclone report issued
This betting pool is closed until December 2018.