Ryan1000's official predictions for worldwide activity of 2014
Here are my official predictions for worldwide activity in 2014:
- 1 Atlantic
- 2 East Pacific
- 3 West Pacific
- 4 North Indian
- 5 Southern Hemisphere
- 7-12 named storms
- 4-6 hurricanes
- 2-3 major hurricanes
- ACE index 75-95% of median
An El Nino is almost inevitable by now, and SST's in the Pacific are near their warmest on record, even more than the great El Nino of 1997-98. Because of this, the Atlantic will likely be below average in activity in 2014.
- 16-21 named storms
- 8-12 hurricanes
- 4-6 major hurricanes
- ACE index 105-135% of median
El Nino is rapidly starting to come in, so the EPac will likely be above normal in activity this year.
- 24-29 named storms
- 12-15 typhoons
- 6-8 cat 3 or stronger typhoons
- 2-4 category 5 super typhoons
- ACE index 110-140% of median
The WPac will l…
This year's WHEM storms' quotes.
Heyyyy guyyyysss!!!
Many of the WHEM storms were epic fails for 2013, but with still one month to go, things can turn the other way, especially with all models on storm2k hinting in double Caribbean hurricane development within the next fortnight. But, hey, what if we take a look at all the past storms?
If all the storms were all humans, these would be their quotes/slogans:
Andrea (Tropical Storm): "Time for a wild ride, New Yorkers!"
Barry (Tropical Storm): "Time to get wet and wild."
Chantal (Tropical Storm): "Isn't it horrible to scare people?"
Dorian (Tropical Storm): "If you fall the first time, you will rise again the second time."
Erin (Tropical Storm): "Just sit back and enjoy the ride."
Fernand (Tropical Storm): See Barry.
Gabrielle (Tropical …
The Curse of the "I"
Today, I will be writing a blog post about an unusual tropical cyclone curse in the North Atlantic.
Before 1990, "I" storms were not very notable overall. Only a handful of seasons even reached that letter, and when they did, the "I" storm was not very notable. In fact, only two "I" names, Ione of 1955 and Inez of 1966, were retired before then. However, starting in 1990, the "I"'s would get extremely notable. Let me explain...
- Hurricane Isidore (1990): It all started in 1990. Hurricane Isidore began a streak of "I" storms attaining hurricane intensity. Despite a lack of land impact, Isidore formed further south than any other Atlantic tropical cyclone on record.
- 1991 did not use the "I" letter.
- 1992 did not use the "I" letter.
- 1993 did not use the…
What's with the worldwide power outage?
I have never seen the NHEM suffer such a widespread power outage for tropical cyclones. The Atlantic has had six storms, which is a respectable amount, but no hurricanes. EPAC is doing better; they're sorely behind on major hurricanes, with none yet, but they've already had 13 storms, which is the fastest clip I can remember, of which 6 became hurricanes. WPAC is the worst of them all. Out of 17 JMA named storms, only 2 have officially become typhoons (5 if you count Rumbia, Pewa, and Trami, which were upgraded by JTWC but not JMA). 2 out of 17!!! Even the 2007 and 2011 Atlantic seasons did better than that! Does anyone know why we're lacking so severely in TC intensity throughout the NHEM?
Tropical Depression Six Forms
As Atlantic wishcasters and regular tropical cyclone enthusiasts alike were ready to call this season off due to a string of weak storms, despite still spitting climatologically early systems, Invest 95L, invested yesterday as it was over the Yucatan Peninsula, has organized in the Bay of Campeche into Tropical Depression Six, the sixth tropical cyclone of the season. The cyclogenesis of the tropical depression coincided with a strong Kelvin wave that propogated eastward and also assisted in the cyclogenesis of Ivo and Invest 95E.
Though anything is possible, due to its proximity to land, intensification from Tropcial Depression Six should be marked, but marginal nonetheless. With a few outliers, the models for this system have also agreed u…
Are we going to see an Alpha this year in the Atlantic?
I know many users here are starting to get frustrated with the lack of activity in the Atlantic. In fact, on Storm2k (I do not have an account there, I just read it for fun) some users were forecasting we would only see nine to ten storms. However, it actually is not too late for an activity explosion. Using data from the seasons 1995-2012, the active Atlantic period, I can tell you where we might end up in the naming list.
Below, seasons are organized in decreasing amount of post-August 20 storms per season.
So far, 2013 has produced 5 tropical storms but no (major) hurricanes.
Looking at the seasons below, we find...
- 2005 had 19 total storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes after August 20.
Following 2005's pace, 2013 will end with 24 tota…
Yawn. When will the Atlantic hurricane season come back to life?
Yawn. Just wondering when the Atlantic hurricane season will ramp up activity again. Fernand is expected to form in the Gulf of Mexico. According to cmc models (Canada meteorological models, not cutie mark crusader models) two big storms are expected to come out of Africa next week and become hurricanes. Does anyone know when activity will start up again? Frankly speaking I am fed up of itty bitty iddle widdle liddle icky storms like erin and dorian and the kind. God, will this season only see little tropical storms? I want a cool storm! The ace of the storms are pathetic. I mean, what's going to happen now?
Sent from my iPhone
2013 Season
What are we to expect for the rest of the 2013 season? The Atlantic is expected to ruffle up quite a few named storms this year. But where and when are they going to show up? Looking at data from last year's season, I've accumulated some hints of what the 2013 season may look like.
Pre-season to June - The formation of Alberto and Beryl in May from last year I think were just a rare coincidence. Sure it makes it seem sort of likely we'd see it in the next season, but it was just a thing for that season. 2013 hasn't given us any pre-season storms, so named storms might come on a little later in the season. Because of this June racked up only two named storms, Andrea and Barry. Last year in 2012, we had our third and fourth named storms of th…
UPDATE on what to expect for 2013's Atlantic hurricanes!!! :D
Hey guys! I have an update on what to expect this year in the Atlantic for the hurricanes this year!
The model "ECMWF" that stated before that "there was going to be an El Nino this August/September/October" has now updated their forecast and are now trying to say that "we are going to have a neutral period," meaning that we are going to have more storms forming this peak of the hurricane season.
According to ALL Mid-July 2013 ENSO prediction models, they are all anticipating that the ENSO state will be NEUTRAL until the end of this year. However, with warmer-than-usual sea temperatures, the storms may be stronger than usual by the time August has arrived. Frankly speaking, this August/September, we are probably going to see lots of Category…
June activity
I just realized that this year was the second in a row where the Atlantic had two named storms in June; 2012 had Chris and Debby, and this year had Andrea and Barry. Has this ever happened before?
Wikipedia account
Dear Hurricane Wiki,
I now have a Wikipedia account. My username is AndrewPeterT. Here is the link to my userpage: 1.
-- 17:19, July 2, 2013 (UTC)
Chat should be enabled.
Do you know why chat on this wiki should be enabled?
- IRC may not work on some computers due to excessive lag.
- IRC may be too difficult to understand for some userd.
- With Chat, you can have chat moderators who can protect other users.
- Chat logs are available with Chat.
- You can have private messages (PMs) on Chat.
- IRC may crash. (and it happened to me MANY times)
- With Chat it is easier to navigate.
Please, these are seven straight reasons on WHY you should upgrade to Wikia Chat. (NOT AN APRIL FOOLS JOKE!) Please do so, thank you.
Raraah, Awesome Pony 18:53, April 1, 2013 (UTC)
Major extratropical cyclone dominates the North Atlantic Ocean
Hello, all users!
For those of you who live in the United States and Canada, you may still remember the unexpected spring blizzard which occured earlier in the week. It probably was a nightmare to see snow on the ground so late in March! However, something massive has happened to that blizzard system. It moved over the open Atlantic Ocean and deepened significantly in size and intensity, according to Washington Post's Capital Weather Gang's chief meteorologist Jason Samenow. The Ocean Prediction Center's lead forecaster, Robert Oszajca, explained the cyclone intensified because it merged with several other weaker low pressure areas over the Atlantic, which gave the cyclone additional energy. Warm moisture from the Gulf Stream and frigid air…
Introducing Userboxes
Userboxes are finally here at HWiki! Userboxes are boxes that describe your personality. For more info, click here.
- When you create your own userbox please put in under User:Username/Userbox name.
- Userboxes could be about anything, as long there are no personal attacks.
- Make sure pictures inside the userbox are 40 pixels or smaller.
- Please put your userboxes on only your userpage.
- There are no limits for how many userboxes could be on a page.
- These userboxes are different from the ones on Wikipedia and on Templates Wiki. These userboxes are from Call of Duty wiki.
Type .
Associate the 2013 AHS names with penguins!
Associate the 2013 AHS names with penguins! All what you need to do is...
- Go on link: http://www.clubpenguininsiders.com/2011/club-penguin-penguin-creator-playercard-maker/
- Dress the penguin up and name the penguin after a 2013 AHS name by replacing "CP Insider" with an Atlantic hurricane name for 2013.
- Take a snapshot and save!
A Smart Prediction for HURRICANE LORENZO
People. I have a prediction for Hurricane Lerrrrenzo.
- Tropical storm
- Formed = September 1 2013
- Dissipated = September 7 2013
- Areas affected: US Gulf Coast
This is the song parody.
Watch this!
Be be be my Hurricane
'Cause IDK what's coming next
So watch it while it all lasts, it's the best
So LORENZO
Be be be my Hurricane
'Cause IDK what's coming next
So watch it while it all lasts, it's the best
So LORENZO
Back to school oh yes, yes,
We don't know who got the grades
Not make a big deal
Act like it's a new cane
The warning says a small storm
Try on these boots
I think this storm will blow you off
He's got a best friend
(Th'names Melissa)
Be be be my Hurricane
'Cause IDK what's coming next
So watch it while it all lasts, it's the best
So LORENZO
Be be be my Hurricane
'…
Land Tropical Cyclones
Ok, so we know that tropical cyclones are associated with oceans, right? Well two weeks ago a monsoonal low formed in the prairie/ hill valleys of Zimbabwe in Southeast Africa and traveled west, into central Africa. Over the next day or so the organization of the low stayed constant, with well defined spiral band and moderate to severe convection. During the 16th of January however, the system developed into the appearance of a tropical cyclone over central Africa. This wasn't short lived either. The cyclone continued to intensify and by January 17th reached a peak intensity based on satellite appearance. A very rough eye wall was observed during this time. It maintained tropical cyclone intensity until the 19th as it turned back around to…
Why are this year's hurricane names so weird?
Why are this year's hurricane names so weird?
I went on Yahoo Answers, and asked everyone about the hurricane names. Here were the responses:
ANSWER 1:
Hi (=
1) Chantal = never heard of it.
2) Fernand = sounds like a fertalizer (sp).
3) Humberto = it can be a Disney cartoon character.
4) Nester = I don't know why, Lol.
5) Tanya = I'm sorry, I don't like it.
ANSWER 2:
Olga - sounds like a Viking
Nestor - the poor kid will surely get made fun of for that one Humberto - too much of an unknown name
Those are the only ones I think are that weird but maybe also
Rebekah - reminds me of Rebecca black Pablo - just doesn't really sound right
ANSWER 3:
Humberto- Sounds made up
Dorian- Just weird to say Van- Self explanatory I think Nestor- Another one that sounds made…
Imagine if....
...one day, we hear on the news that a hurricane has come. Instead of the usual names, such as "Sandy," "Irene," "Ike," "Gustav," and even "Katrina," we hear this..
"RED ALERT! Hurricane Banana has made landfall in Florida!"
"BEWARE! Tropical Storm Chocolate is expected to make category 5 landfall in Mexico City!"
"WARNING! Category 5 hurricane Rawrimadino is about to cross over into the East Pacific as hurricane Shaniqua!"
"AAAH! Hurricane Fart makes a landfall in yo hometown to give you a JUMBEE FRIGHT!!"
Imagine if hurricanes had more unique names, such as Shaniqua, or even named after objects, such as Banana. In the future, even if all those naming lists become scrapped one day, or even the GREEK ALPHABET is exhausted, will we ever be able to see…
Which hurricane picture is funnier?
People, which hurricane pic is funnier?
Please vote, thank you!! :D
Base the 2013 AHS names with people!
Ok! Let's see if you can base the AHS names this year with people, you can make them up! Say...
- what hair colour they have
- eye colour
- height
- race
- nationality
- personality
- age.
Thank you very much! :D
Andrea Barry Chantal Dorian Erin Fernand Gabrielle Humberto Ingrid Jerry Karen Lorenzo Melissa Nestor Olga Pablo Rebekah Sebastien Tanya Van
REMARKS ON THIS YEARS HURRICANE NAMES.
I can make some rather funny remarks on the hurricane names.
Alvin = Where is Simon and Theodore?
Cosme = This woman is from outer space.
Ingrid = My dog is trapped in the grid. Now what about OUTGRID?!?!
Jerry = Springer is gon' get chased by a cat.
Barry = Manilow and Barry Potter sittin on a tree....
Dorian = OW! I HIT MY HEAD ON THE DOOR! (Says Ian.....)
Nestor = Shall the birds lay a nest or not?
Pablo = Paints pictures all day. Will be a messy, colourful hurricane.
Rebekah = COOL! IT'S FRIDAY, FRIDAY, GOTTA GET DOWN ON FRIDAY (I actually like Rebecca Black)
Tanya = Tan yourself, Branning!
more to come.......
HaPpY nEw YeAr!!!! :D
It may be 2012 if you are reading this in Europe or the US right now, but some areas of the world have already greeted 2013's arrival with a BIG BANG.
Here are some of the photographs of places around the world WHICH HAVE ALREADY CELEBRATED THE ARRIVAL OF THE NEW YEAR!! :D
Happy New Year! (At least we don't have to worry about pesky hurricanes 'till next May/June!! XD)
WiKi ImPrOvEmEnTs 2013
EUREKA! THAT'S IT!! :D
I've got a brill brill brill idea for the wiki! (new for 2013)
- Enable chat.
- Change the logo. (We should make one each and they should be put to vote, the one with the most votes winning.)
- Enable badges.
- Include a poll on the front page.
- Change the background.
- Try to make it as futuristic as possible!! :D
- Add new templates!! :D
- Add new admins!
- Promote the wiki on Wikia and collab with other Wikis to boost this wiki's profile!
So ppl, what d'all think? :D
OOO! MORE HURRICANE GAMES?!?!
Okaii. The season's over, and to wish yourselfs a very merry (and early!) christmas, i've given you some hurricane puzzles to work on. EVERYONE MUST JOIN IN!
Da Rulzz
- Try to name ALL the hurricane/tropical storms dancing in the comments below.
- For every hurricane you get right, you are given two points (if a clue has not been mentioned for them.) If you name a hurricane which has been given a clue, you get one point. In each video, there are 5 hurricanes dancing.
- To go to the video, simply copy and paste the URL link in your browser's toolbar/searchbar to look.
- Good luck! :D
LINK 1: http://host-d.oddcast.com/php/application_UI/doorId=1083/clientId=299/?mId=45663794.3
Clues: These Atlantic hurricanes of 2012 (and one EPAC gurl!) have all caused ha…
Hurricane wordles
BC the 2012 season is over... I am making some wordles. AND! it is a competition!
Da Rulzz!! :D
- Must be based off the 2012 AHS. All the storms.
- Should be a wordle!!
- Let your imagination run wild!
- post your entry in the comments below!! :D
WE WILL VOTE AND THE BEST ONE WINS A SPECIAL PRIZE!! :D
Fun hurricane game
BC it is the end of the hurricane season, you gotta unscramle as many hurricane names down here as possible. you dont have to do all. (but you MUST DO 1-10.) Not all are hurricanes. For every hurricane name you unscramble.....
you earn 1 point (1-4 letters)
2 points (5-7 letters)
3 points (8+ letters.)
For any anagram that is NOT a hurricane name, if you unscramble ALL, you will get 3 points. If you don't unscramble ALL, you will be DECUCTED 3 POINTS.
HERE IS THE LIST! BEGIN! (post your answers in the comments box please.)
- Vaoj
- Istunj Ebierb
- Edial
- Eldea
- Rrhay Ssytle
- Dewny
- Basteiens
- Ahnilocs
- Nzya Amkil
- Eoecybn
- Iwrni
- Oferod
- Obirs
- Eggr
- Nmadaa
- Van
- Yimnd
- Ttoeed
- Yanta
- Aiyrhl
- Ek$ah
- Ydila
- Hisctnrai
- Eeprt
- Ulsogda
- Yald Agag
- Ubyksl
- Knenthe
- Usfaot
- Hrkebea
- Lihipppe
- Airkan
- Ydoll
- Nonwte
- Lcioasrbt…
HOLY COW! Next Year's Hurricanes Look Like Bigg'uns!
Do you know what?
IMO, For the atlantic in 2013...
THERE GONNA BE 20 NAMED STORMS! WOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
12 HURRICANES,
AND 5 MAJORS! (humbeto, ingrid, karen, rebekkah, olga.)
HUMBERTO IS GON BE THE WORST STORM OF THE YEAR (I'm seeing him in August, cat 3 major, and a wannabe Irene/Sandy. IK sandy was in october but still.) Ya, IK the storm name is quite VERY bizarre but still.
INGRID MAY BE A "FLOP" STORM, OR TOTALLY DEVASTATING.
KAREN LOOKS LIKE FABIAN/IGOR.
REBEKKAH LOOKS LIKE PHILLIPPE 2011 BUT A MAJOR!! :O
AND OLGA IS GON BE LIKE OPHELIA IN 2011. OLGAPHELIA.
ANDREA = BERYL 2012.
BARRY = CINDY 2011.
CHANTALLE = CHRIS 2012.
DORIAN = DON/DEBBY 2011/2012.
DOES ANYONE AGREE?
So... I made a song about what I see in 2013. (Hurricane song is a parody of nicki mina…
Andrew444's predictions for 2013 Atlantic and Eastern Pacific activity
With the year 2013 rapidly dawning on us, it is now an appropriate time for me to post my predictions for next year's Atlantic and Pacific hurricane seasons. Below, you will be able to read my predictions and explanations for each.
For the North Atlantic Ocean, I think we will see:
- 24 tropical depressions,
- 21 tropical storms,
- 13 hurricanes,
- six major hurricanes,
- 4,653 deaths,
- a damage bill of $76 billion (2013 USD),
- and an accumulated cyclone energy of around 230.
Because TSR's forecasts state a possibility of a weak ENSO event in the peak of the 2013 season, I think the ENSO will have enough effect to prevent a re-2005 from occuring, but probably a re-1933 or re-1995 will happen instead. Sea surface temperatures will be warm enough to allow many t…
Ryan1000's official predictions for worldwide activity of 2013
Now that the year of 2012 is closing up, I've made my newest blog post for what I think the 2013 worldwide tropical cyclone season will be like. Here are my calls:
- 1 North Atlantic
- 2 East Pacific
- 3 West Pacific
- 4 North Indian Ocean
- 5 Southern Hemisphere
- 12-17 named storms
- 6-9 hurricanes
- 3-5 major hurricanes
- ACE index 125-145% of median
- 14-18 named storms
- 6-9 hurricanes
- 3-5 major hurricanes
- ACE index 100-120% of median
- 21-26 named storms
- 11-16 typhoons
- 6-9 major typhoons
- 1-3 category 5 typhoons
- ACE index 115-140% of median
- 3-5 named storms
- 1-2 cyclones
- 0 or 1 major cyclones
- 19-24 named storms
- 11-15 cyclones
- 6-9 major cyclones
- 0 or 1 category 5 cyclones
These are my worldwide calls on 2013. I expect a neutral season, maybe even La Nina, but El Nino probrably won't happen …
IRC Meeting Number 30
hurricanes Bill XXVIII (28) was a bill that was passed on Wednesday, June 27, 2012, at 03:00z in an a meeting that day. Members of the Hurricane Wiki were also present.
Note:This content is from a meeting on ##hurricanes. Tell me if you don't want your sayings listed here.
[19:02] TheAustinMan|CS YE
[19:02] TheAustinMan|CS how much longer until official meeting
[19:02] YE once I finish Max 87
[19:02] YE should not be much longer
[19:02] TheAustinMan|CS ok
[19:03] TheAustinMan|CS https://sites.google.com/site/hurricaneswikiwptcirclogs/home
[19:03] TheAustinMan|CS Private site
[19:04] Cyclone10
[19:04] TheAustinMan|CS what
[19:04] TheAustinMan|CS https://sites.google.com/site/hurricaneswikiwptcirclogs/logs
[19:07] TheAustinMan|CS What about it Cy10
[19:…
Hurricane Wiki Meets Social Networking
Today the Hurricane Wiki is proud to present its Facebook page, Hurricane Wiki Facebook. This is a step forward in gaining views, popularity, and usage. You can like us to make us gain popularity! We will publish updates on the Hurricane Wiki there, as well as tropical cyclone updates.
Don't use Facebook? Well, we have an excellent Google+ Page where you can +1 us to make us gain popularity there too.
We are not planning to spread to Twitter at this time.
Hurricane Wiki Sysop,
CobraStrike (t)(b)(c) 18:39, June 22, 2012 (UTC)
Hurricane Wiki Bills 26 and 27
Hurricane Wiki Bill XXVI (26) was a bill that was passed on Wednesday, June 14, 2012, at 21:08z in an a semi-meeting that day. Members of the Hurricane Wiki were also present. Hurricane Bill XXVII (27) was a bill that was introduced and then failed on Wednesday, June 14, 2012 at 21:13z in the same semi-meeting. In addition, Bill 24, and subsequently, 25, were fixed.
- 1 Official Statement
- 1.1 Bill 026
- 1.2 Bill 027
- 2 Chat History
"The Hurricane Wiki has decided to eliminate the purpose and use of silence periods in ##hurricanes."
Under Bill 026 a new warning policy was introduced. Instead of the silence method, there would be a watch, a warning, a kick, and after 4 kicks, a 5 minute temporary ban. The first ban recorded was at 23:36, when TAWX14 was banne…
Hurricane Wiki Bill 25
Hurricane Wiki Bill XXV (25) was a bill that was passed on Wednesday, June 14, 2012, at 15:42z in an a semi-meeting that day. It adds on to the previous two bills that deal with behavior in IRC.
- 1 Official Statement
- 2 Chat History
- 3 Voting
- 4 Abolishment
"The Hurricane Wiki has decided that when a person who is directed to be silent breaks the period, they will be kicked and the silence period will increase by five (5) minutes."
== mode/##hurricanes [+m] by YE
should do it for 10 mins :P
You can increse the score
yeah
we losing our lead over #wiki-hurricanes
yeah
What we need is a more stern approach
we're only up by 3
+m'ing that chat works
should I try kicks?
Maybe
Okay
ever…
Hurricane Wiki Bill 24
Hurricane Wiki Bill XXIV (24) was a bill that was passed on Tuesday, June 13, 2012, at 22:22z in an emergency IRC meeting that day. It regards behavior in IRC, and the resulting countdown policy.
- 1 Official Statement
- 2 Countdown Policy
- 2.1 Policy
- 3 Chat History
- 4 Voting
"The Hurricane Wiki has officially stated that they will revise their behavorial countdown policy in their channel, ##hurricanes."
The countdown policy on an IRC channel is a policy that was originally developed by YE. The countdown helps monitor the level of behavior and/or immaturity present in a channel as a whole. With the revisions listed in Bill 24, below is the numbering policy:
- 10+ - Excellent behavior, utmost maturity
- 8-9 - Great behavior
- 6-7 - Good behavior
- 5 - Borderline behavior…
25th Official Hurricane Wiki Convention
On 0230z, June 8, 2012, the 25th Official #hurricanes Convention was held on the Hurricane Wiki's IRC channel, namely ##hurricanes. Below is the official archive of the convention, which lasted from 0230z to 0315z.
Hurricane Wiki Bill 021
June 10, 2012
...On the Hurricane Wiki's influences on its counterpart WikiProject Tropical Cyclones...
The Hurricane Wiki has decided that it does not wish to heavily influence the opinions and decisions of its counterpart, WikiProject Tropical Cyclones, but would like to take part in their discussions on Wiki-related matters."
Ratified by
YE (Yellow Evan)
Yqt1001
CobraStrike (TheAustinMan)
Hurricane Wiki Bill 022
June 10, 2012
...On the date of expiry on IRC...
The Hurricane Wiki has officially decided to keep its IR…
Carlotta in a week?
Recently, the GFS and ECMWF have been predicting tropical development just south of SW Mexico. While I'm not a big fan of ultra-long range forecasting (I have problems even at 7 days), the fact that both GFS and ECMWF are developing this system gives me the idea this has a fair likelihood of occurring. It seems like this system will be steered to the coast of Southern Mexico to a potential landfall, right around the isthmus or could be dragged along the coast to a landfall (according to GFS). SST's are fairly favorable for development. It is also interesting to point out the fact that the MJO is predicted to return right around the timeframe for this system. Later on, we must see what effect this system has on land, if any, if it can cross…
ECMWF Model Storm
The ECMWF Model predicts that a tropical storm with a minimum pressure willform sometime around June 11 around where Alberto and Beryl formed. Coming off of Florida, the storm, situated between 2 high pressure systems, is expected to chute off into the NE after formation. While the forecast range is long-term, the ECMWF has been an accurate model in the past.
If Chris forms on June 11, then 2012 will tie the record for the earliest date that a third Atlantic storm formed. The current record is Storm #3 from 1887, which formed on June 11. Second place goes to the 1959 Escumiac Hurricane, which formed on the 18th.
Cobra Strike's Official Season Prediction for the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Seasons (June 1)
Hello and welcome to my official prediction for this year's (2012) Atlantic hurricane season. This is where I make my statements on the factors leading to my final prediction. Once I make these predictions, we'll have to wait until the end of the season to find out if my predictions were close enough.
- 1 Current El Nino/La Nina Anomalies
- 1.1 Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential
- 1.2 Sea Surface Temperatures
- 2 The Bermuda High
- 3 Activity So Far This Year
- 3.1 Current Computer Models
- 4 Other Forecasts
- 4.1 CSU Analogue Years
- 5 My Forecast
- 5.1 Atlantic Basin Official Forecast for 2012
- 5.2 Monthly
- 6 Notes
2012 began on the heels of a strong 2 year La Nina that produced the two seasons that both went into the record books as the third most active Atlantic hurricane seasons by pr…
Subtropical Storm Beryl (May 26)
Subtropical Storm Beryl Latest Advisory
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.5N 76.6W
ABOUT 220 MI...350 KM ESE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM ENE OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 225 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
- 1 My Prediction
- 1.1 Path
- 1.2 Intensity
- 2 Currently
My path forecast for Beryl is in agreement with the National Hurricane Center and most other models, which suggest a general WSW movement before landfalling on the FL/GA border. After that the storm is expected to curl back out and re-enter the Atlantic as it moves NE.
I predict that Beryl will peak…
CobraStrike Predictions (EPAC and ATL)
Welcome to CobraStrike's predictions for storms in the Atlantic and East Pacific tropical basins.
- 1 Atlantic
- 1.1 Tropical Depression Alberto
- 1.2 AOI Western Caribbean
- 2 East Pacific
- 2.1 Tropical Depression 2E
- 2.2 AOI: Following 2E
Alberto is now a tropical depression! After falling apart and maintaining 40-45 mph (35-40kt) winds for a while, the latest ATCF report reveals that Alberto has finally weakened. Expect it to continue drifting and speed to the northeast. It will probably dissipate tomorrow morning if not later that day.
I have been looking at this AOI in the Cayman Islands region for a while in its development today. Conditions are not conductive for tropical development in the area for the large mass of thundershowers. Currently it is in an are…
Main Page Rennovation
Hello! Thanks for coming here.
Today I was thinking that our Hurricane Wiki main page was lacking detail, so I decided to make a test rennovation of it. I am currently accepting comments and feedback on my new rennovated main page that you can find here. Comment on this blog post if you want to send feedback. You can suggest more things or any fixes I can incorporate into the sandbox before I can replace the main page with it.
Thanks for your feedback in advance.
I'm Back!
After about 8 months off the Hurricane Wikia, I am officially active here back on the wikia with the comings of Tropical Storm Alberto, the first storm of the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season. I will remain probably until sometime in February.
In the mean time lets gear up for the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Fest which is already underway!
CobraStrike
DA POLL ON HURRICANE NAMES!
LET'S VOTE ON THE... WEIRDEST, COOLEST, WORST, BEST AND FUNNIEST HURRICANE NAMES OF EACH LIST! YOU DON'T HAVE TO TO ALL!
THANK YOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOU :D
2012 PHS season nicknames
Hello!
I decided to do this one because everyone liked my previous blog on the 2011 PHS nicknames.
- Amazing Aletta
- Busy Bud
- Cute Carlotta
- Dizzy Daniel
- Ecstatic Emilia
- Ferocius Fabio
- Gross Gilma
- Handsome Hector
- Ill Illeana
- Jobless John
- Krusty Kirsty
- Lousy Lane
- Madam Miriam
- Never-Nice Norman
- Oh, Olivia!
- Priceless Paul
- Rosey Rosa
- Stupid Sergio
- Timeless Tara
- Venturous Vincent
- Who's What Willa
That's all!
LOL nicknames 2011 and 17 atl. names.
L.O.L.
Abracadabra Arlene
Blobby Bret
Cutie Wootie Pie Cindy
TheDonDonTheSunDonYepTheSunDon
ExpelliamusEmily
Foofy Franklin
Gertiepie
Hoppy Harvey the Bunny Rabbit
Icy Irene (2011) / Icy Irma (2017)
Juicy Jose
Kool Kat Katia
Lee-Eel!
Moppy Maria
Nice Nate
o.phe.li.a
SuperPhilippeTheFlyingLlama
RinaRooler
Sean the Sheep
Tammy the Pink Turtle
VinceNT van Gogh
WhizKidWhitney
LOL NICKNAMES 2013 ATLANTIC CANEZ
LOL!
Awesome Andrea
Booing Barry
Childish Chantal
Dopey Dorian
EmoKid Erin
Foolish Fernand
Goofy Gabrielle
Howling Humberto
Injured Ingrid
J'rooling Jerry
Karefree Karen
Loopy Lorenzo
Maxxed-up Melissa
'Nnoying Nestor
Oobleloobl'd Olga
Pablo da Pookie
Rebekah the Exterminator
Sebastien Crab
Toony Tanya
Driving-A-Van
Windy Wendy
LOLZ Hurricane Names Atlantic 2012
Here are some nicknames for each storm in 2012, hope you like them!
Alberto the Exterminator
Beryl the GoofyGoober
SuperChris
Dudette Debby
Ernesto the Firestriker
Florence and the Machine
Gordon Ramsay
Helene the Screechin' Cane
Isaac the Tiger
Joyce the IceCream Dream Chiller
Kirk the Dragon-killer
Leslie the Lovely Ladycane
Michael the SuperCane
Nadine the PopCane
Oscar the WildCane
Creepy Crabby Patty
Rafael the TennisCane
Sandy the SquirrelCane
Thievin' Tony
Voodoo Doll Valerie
will.i.am