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Current Systems: TROPICAL CYCLONE ANN


This is the forum page for the 2018 Pacific hurricane season.

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Forum guidelines

Please respect etiquette and assume good faith. Also, be nice and remain civil.


Forum archives: 1

Monthly Archives: Pre-Season-June, July, August, September, October, November-December
Storm Event Archives: Hector, Lane, Willa

Other Basin Talkpages (2018): Atlantic - W. Pacific - E. Pacific - S. Hemisphere - N. Indian

Post-Season Changes

Eastern Pacific:

Name Operational Intensity and Duration Reanalysis Intensity and Duration TCR Release Date
One-E 35 mph, 1006 mbars, May 10-12 35 mph, 1007 mbars, May 10-11 July 12, 2018
Aletta 140 mph, 943 mbars, June 6-11 140 mph, 943 mbars, June 6-11 July 31, 2018
Bud 130 mph, 948 mbars, June 9-15 140 mph, 943 mbars, June 9-15 October 24, 2018
Carlotta 65 mph,997 mbars,June 14-19 60 mph,997 mbars,June 14-18 December 19,2018
Daniel 45 mph, 1003 mbars, June 24-26 45 mph, 1004 mbars, June 24-26 February 11, 2019
Emilia 60 mph, 997 mbars,June 27-July 2 60 mph, 997 mbars,June 27-July 1 August 21, 2018
Fabio 110 mph,964 mbars,June 30-July 6 110 mph,964 mbars,June 30-July 6 November 14,2018
Gilma 40 mph, 1006 mbars, July 26-29 45 mph, 1005 mbars, July 26-29 November 6, 2018
Nine-E 35 mph, 1008 mbars, July 26-27 35 mph, 1007 mbars, July 26-27 August 24, 2018
Hector 155 mph,936 mbars,July 31-Aug.13^ 155 mph,936 mbars,July 31-Aug.13^ October 26, 2018
Ileana 65 mph, 998 mbars, August 4-7 65 mph, 998 mbars, August 4-7 November 9, 2018
John 105 mph,969 mbars,August 5-10 110 mph,964 mbars,August 5-10 November 20,2018
Kristy 70 mph, 991 mbars, August 7-11 70 mph, 991 mbars, August 6-12 March 6, 2019
Lane 160 mph, 922 mbars, August 15-29 160 mph, 926 mbars, August 15-28 April 2, 2019
Miriam 100 mph, 974 mbars, Aug. 26-Sept.2 100 mph, 974 mbars, Aug. 26-Sept.2 March 21, 2019
Norman 150 mph,937 mbars,Aug. 28-Sep.9 150 mph,937 mbars,Aug. 28-Sep.10 February 8, 2019
Olivia 130 mph, 948 mbars, Sept. 1-14 130 mph,951 mbars,Sept. 1-13 December 3, 2018
Paul 45 mph,1002 mbars,Sept. 8-12 45 mph,1002 mbars,Sept. 8-11 October 4, 2018
Nineteen-E 35 mph, 1002 mbars, Sept.19-20 35 mph, 1002 mbars, Sept.19-20. November 29,2018
Rosa 145 mph,940 mbars,Sept. 25-Oct. 2 150 mph,936 mbars,Sept.25-Oct. 2 January 30, 2019
Sergio 140 mph,943 mbars,Sept.29-Oct.12 140 mph,942 mbars,Sept.29-Oct.12 February 26, 2019
Tara 65 mph, 995 mbars, October 14-17 65 mph,995 mbars,October 14-16 March 28, 2019
Vicente 50 mph, 1002 mbars, October 19-23 50 mph, 1002 mbars, October 19-23 April 10, 2019
Willa 160 mph, 925 mbars, October 20-24 160 mph, 925 mbars, October 20-24 April 2, 2019
Xavier 60 mph, 999 mbars, November 2-6 60 mph, 995 mbars, November 2-5 February 8, 2019

^ Hector didn't dissipate on this date, but moved into the WPac basin (where he dissipated on August 16th).

Central Pacific:

Name Operational Intensity and Duration Reanalysis Intensity and Duration TCR Release Date
Walaka 160 mph, 920 mbars, Sept. 29-Oct. 6 N/A N/A

Already we have our first TCR, its for One-E. Only change was that the pressure was raised to 1007, and One-E's duration was decreased by one day. --Roy25 23:11, July 17, 2018 (UTC)

Aletta is out. No changes happened to her though. Ryan1000 14:17, August 1, 2018 (UTC)
do you want to put speeds in km/h for us non-americans or not --๐Ÿ…ฑust ๐Ÿ…ฑhut ๐Ÿ…ฑp ๐Ÿ…ฑlready ๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ‘Œ๐Ÿฟ๐Ÿ‘Œ๐Ÿฟ๐Ÿ’ฏ๐Ÿ’ฏ (talk) 17:50, August 8, 2018 (UTC)
Sorry for the late reply, but the table wouldn't look very neat if we put in the winds in knots, mph and km/hr, since it's only so wide and every storm would then have 2 or more rows for it. It's better with just 1 row per storm the way it is. Ryan1000 14:20, August 11, 2018 (UTC)

Also, changed a few things on Hector, since the EPac and CPac TCR's will be separate, and Hector's peak while east of the CPac was lower. Ryan1000 16:08, August 14, 2018 (UTC)

Emilia is out. Not much change. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:30, August 28, 2018 (UTC)

Only difference is that Emilia's duration was cut slightly short; operationally she was thought to dissipate on July 2nd, now it was on the 1st. Ryan1000 13:42, August 28, 2018 (UTC)

Nine-E came out a month ago, though it wasn't put up on the NHC's site until recently. Only change is the pressure is down by 1 mbar. Ryan1000 17:17, September 26, 2018 (UTC)

Hector is out, but there's no change to his intensity. Also, it seems that the NHC is doing the CPac portion of TCR's for EPac storms now, since the CPac hasn't finished the TCR's for many recent EPac-born storms for years. Ryan1000 13:32, October 27, 2018 (UTC)
Bud is out, intensity got a slight bump. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 00:58, November 14, 2018 (UTC)
A flurry of TCRs were posted just after Bud's went up. Fabio unfortunately was gypped and remains a strong C2. Gilma got a slight intensity boost and was a TS for a full day instead of only 6 to 12 hours. Paul's duration was truncated slightly. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 17:14, November 15, 2018 (UTC)
Hot on their heels is Ileana's TCR. No appreciable change. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 16:39, November 16, 2018 (UTC)

I still don't know why they don't put them up on their page when they come out...for example Paul was actually released over a month ago on October 4th but wasn't put up on their site until now. I guess they're lazy on putting up the TCR's for weak fishspinners like him. Also, it seems Bud and Aletta now reached the exact same intensity in reanalysis. Ryan1000 03:26, November 17, 2018 (UTC)

What strikes me about Paul's TCR is how quickly it was written. It was released only three weeks after the storm dissipated. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 21:44, November 17, 2018 (UTC)

Nineteen-E was released two days ago, and apparently the NHC stated that it was the first TC to form over the Gulf of California. Anyways, no changes were made to its intensity. Ryan1000 12:50, December 1, 2018 (UTC)

(EPAC proper portion of) Olivia was released four days ago. Winds remain the same, pressure raised a few mbar, duration cut slightly short. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 13:59, December 7, 2018 (UTC)
John's TCR is out, which was completed exactly a month ago. John was found to be a bit stronger, with its winds up to 95 kt and pressure down to 964 mbars.  ~ Roy25   Happy Holidays!!! | ๐ŸŽ„   23:10, December 20, 2018 (UTC) 

If anyone here is wondering why there aren't any TCRs released recently, it is because of the federal government shutdown, and NHC is currently understaffed with eight employees (out of 52) and without paychecks. They don't have much of a reason to do something that is not even close to being a priority compared to the regular forecasts and discussions.--Isaac829E-Mail 07:21, January 19, 2019 (UTC)

Had the feeling that was the reason they weren't releasing TCR's lately. But they'll eventually come out, likely not until sometime into next season. Ryan1000 08:05, January 28, 2019 (UTC)

The federal government re-opened lately and Rosa's TCR was just finished today and up on their site. Intensity got buffed slightly to 150 mph and 936 mbars, but duration remains the same. Ryan1000 21:06, January 30, 2019 (UTC)

Xavier came out today. Pressure decreased from 999 to 995, and duration was cut 1 day short. Ryan1000 01:06, February 9, 2019 (UTC)

Carlotta is up, but was actually finished more than two months ago last December...anyways, pressure is unchanged but winds were decreased to 60 mph, and duration was cut 1 day short. Ryan1000 15:32, February 21, 2019 (UTC)

Norm's out; survived a day longer as a STS, not much change otherwise. Send Help Please (talk) 01:22, February 24, 2019 (UTC)

Still waiting on a few more over here, though I think they've already finished a few like Daniel, I believe Willa will probably be last to come out. Ryan1000 07:35, February 24, 2019 (UTC)

Daniel is up, though he was finished 17 days ago on the 11th. Only change is that his pressure rose 1 mbar from 1003 to 1004. Also, I decreased the spacing between the commas and the intensity/winds/duration on some storms in the table to make it look a little neater storm-by-storm, don't change that @SHP. Ryan1000 14:06, February 28, 2019 (UTC)

Sergio is up, but he was finished on February 26. Only change is that his pressure was decreased 1 mbar from 943 to 942. Ryan1000 13:42, March 5, 2019 (UTC)

Kristy is up and was just finished today. Her life was extended 1 day in each direction, forming on the 6th and dissipating on the 12th instead of August 7-11. That leaves only 5 TCR's in the EPac, which are Lane, Miriam, Tara, Vicente, and Willa. Ryan1000 17:56, March 6, 2019 (UTC)

Although the retired names (or lack therof in this basin) were already announced a week ago, Miriam's TCR was just finished last Thursday. No changes happened to her though. That leaves Lane, Tara, Vicente, and Willa...and Walaka in the CPac whenever that's caught up with. Ryan1000 02:15, March 28, 2019 (UTC)

Lane and Willa are up now. Lane was weakened slightly from 922 mbars to 926 mbars but winds are the same, also his duration was cut 1 day short at the end. Willa's peak intensity, pressure, and duration didn't change, but her landfall intensity was nerfed to 115 mph/968 mbars from 120 mph/965 mbars operationally. However, Willa was still at 125 mph when she struck Las Islas Marias. Not gonna update the betting pools until the release date of Tara and Vicente is confirmed, as they may have already been finished but aren't up on the NHC's site yet. Ryan1000 02:57, April 3, 2019 (UTC)
Tara's here, and her duration was cut down a little. Only Vicente remains... Send Help Please (talk) 19:45, April 3, 2019 (UTC)

Tara was actually finished on March 28th though, so Willa and Lane might be tied for last place if Vicente was also technically finished before April 2nd. Ryan1000 19:55, April 3, 2019 (UTC)

Nevermind that above, Vicente was put up today but the TCR was finished on April 10, 9 days ago, so he was the last TCR to come out, surprisingly enough. Ryan1000 16:41, April 19, 2019 (UTC)

41st RA IV Hurricane Committee (No names retired)

See the 2018 Atlantic forum. Ryan1000 02:46, March 17, 2019 (UTC)

And...it seems nothing got retired from last year's EPac season. I somewhat expected Willa to get retired, but that didn't happen, and Lane wasn't retired either. Oh well. Last year was still an incredible season regardless. Ryan1000 19:34, March 20, 2019 (UTC)
Willa isn't a Gordon level snub, but still a snub nonetheless. Mexico is quite odd with their retirement habits... Send Help Please (talk) 19:50, March 20, 2019 (UTC)