Forum:2021-22 Australian Region cyclone season

Active Tropical Cyclones: West Pacific: Areas to watch for development: 91W.INVEST North Indian: Areas to watch for development: 93B.INVEST South Pacific: TROPICAL CYCLONE GINA

This is the forum page for the 2021-22 Australian Region cyclone season.

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March

Oops, forgot to separate it earlier from February. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 21:35, 12 March 2022 (UTC)

20S/27U.BILLY

Tropical Low (Invest 90S)

Currently code orange (medium) on JTWC and has been considered by Australia's BoM as a tropical low, though this has no "U" designation yet. This one has a low to moderate chance of developing to a full-on TC. Its location is to the south of Java, near Christmas Island; it is expected to move eventually to Cocos (Keeling) Islands. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 21:34, 12 March 2022 (UTC)

Tropical Low 27U

So apparently this is the one that's actually 27U. 45 kph/30 mph, 1002 mb. Code red + TCFA issued on JTWC. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 17:38, 13 March 2022 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Billy

Finally named Billy by BoM. Current winds: 85 kph/50 mph (10-min), 110 kph/70 mph (1-min); pressure: 991 mb. This storm will certainly stay at sea. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 12:52, 15 March 2022 (UTC)

Remnants of Billy

After persisting for quite a while in the open ocean, Billy is now gone (both on JTWC and BoM). Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 20:36, 18 March 2022 (UTC)

21S/28U.CHARLOTTE

Tropical Low (93S)

New tropical low according to BoM (without the "U" designation though), new invest per JTWC (93S). This one is currently at Timor island, colored yellow on JTWC and has a low to very low chance of developing into a full-blown TC. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 20:36, 18 March 2022 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Charlotte

This is now a tropical cyclone, named Charlotte, and is expected to reach category 1 (on the Saffir-Simpson Scale) per the runs on Tidbits, while it turns around the western edge of Australia. It might reach a similar area to where Cyclone Seroja made landfall last year. Ryan1000 04:05, 21 March 2022 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Cyclone Charlotte

Charlotte rapidly strengthened into a severe tropical cyclone with 105 mph winds (both 10-min and 1-min), though she is expected to weaken before turning towards Australia's west coast. Ryan1000 07:53, 22 March 2022 (UTC)

C4 on the Australian scale (still 165 kph/105 mph), slightly weakened to 100 mph/155 kph on JTWC but Charlotte is still a C2. Pressure down to 957 mb. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 20:38, 22 March 2022 (UTC)

In case you hadn’t seen yet, Wikipedia recently updated the colors for tropical cyclones in their storm color table, so we will do so as well on our template. Ryan1000 22:02, 22 March 2022 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Charlotte (2nd time)

Yeah, I have seen the updated colors, and I like them better honestly. Back to Charlotte, she's now back to TC status, a C2 in the Australian scale, while the JTWC has downgraded her to a TS. Current winds: 100 kph/65 mph (BOM; 10-min), 85 kph/50 mph (JTWC; 1-min). Pressure at 980 mb. This system might become a threat to Western Australia towards the end of the forecast period. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 14:57, 23 March 2022 (UTC)

Tropical Low Charlotte

Or not…down to a tropical low, and may dissipate soon. Ryan1000 00:06, 25 March 2022 (UTC)

Remnants of Charlotte

And out. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 10:23, 26 March 2022 (UTC)

94S.INVEST (HALIMA)

Another invest according to JTWC; however, this one is not recognized by BoM, probably because this is already so close to 90 degrees east. Not sure if this is also the AOI being monitored by MFR right now (the "open ocean" one). Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 20:36, 18 March 2022 (UTC)

Turns out it is not the open ocean AOI; this eventually became Halima in the SWIO. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 15:03, 23 March 2022 (UTC)

April

98P.INVEST

Weak model support for this invest, located over the Solomon Islands right now. JavaHurricane 16:42, 3 April 2022 (UTC)

Gone. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 21:22, 7 April 2022 (UTC)

90P.NONAME

90P.INVEST

And there is another invest that has formed this month. Models expect this to move south-southwest towards the coast of Queensland, but eventually not affecting any land areas (as per BOM's outlook). Not sure if this will form though. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 21:22, 7 April 2022 (UTC)

Tropical Low (90P)

Now a tropical low (with no "U" designation) according to BOM. This system is still absent from JTWC's main page though. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 00:15, 9 April 2022 (UTC)

Gone. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 20:47, 11 April 2022 (UTC)

94P/33U.NONAME

Tropical Low 33U (94P)

This is monitored with a low chance of forming by the JTWC, currently located roughly midway between Australia and West Papua, and is expected to move slowly west or northwest. Ryan1000 14:40, 17 April 2022 (UTC)

Designated by BOM as 33U, but it's now gone. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 15:25, 19 April 2022 (UTC)

98S/34U.NONAME

98S.INVEST

Another invest, just southwest of Java/Sumatra in Indonesia, but this isn’t expected to become much either. Ryan1000 21:55, 21 April 2022 (UTC)

Tropical Low 34U (98S)

Has been designated by the BOM as 34U, and peaked at 75 kph/45 mph, 996 mb. Still not yet named though, but JTWC has already upped this to code red, with TCFA issued. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 02:19, 29 April 2022 (UTC)

Remnants of 34U/98S

Gone. And barring any off-season surprises, that's it for the 2021-22 Australian region cyclone season. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 06:08, 1 May 2022 (UTC)

May

25S/36U.KARIM

Tropical Low 36U (90S)

Welp... looks like it's not yet over. Currently code red on JTWC, and a TCFA has been issued. On BOM's part, 36U now has a moderate chance to become a TC. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 18:18, 6 May 2022 (UTC)

This just became Karim in the Southwest Indian Ocean after it crossed over. ☁️ Nerd (Have a conversation) (Inputs) 13:32, 7 May 2022 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Karim

And Karim reenters the Australian Region. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 03:32, 8 May 2022 (UTC)

Hmm, interesting...so we have an off-season crossover from the SWIO. While Karim should remain at sea, this is cool to see. Ryan1000 22:54, 9 May 2022 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Karim

Long gone. Ryan1000 21:47, 14 May 2022 (UTC)