Forum:2022 Pacific hurricane season

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Pacific Season Discussions 2021 · 2022 · 2023

January

90E.INVEST

Quite a way to start the year, 40/40 blob near 140W. Looks a bit subtropical to me, but we'll see what NHC thinks of it over the next day or two.Isaac829 E-Mail 17:56, 20 January 2022 (UTC)

This one popped up out of nowhere; while it will probably miss Hawaii to the east, it would be one of only 4 January storms east of the dateline if it forms, after 2016’s Pali, 1992’s Ekeka, and Winona in 1989 (albeit, after post-season analysis), if memory serves… Ryan 1000 22:50, 20 January 2022 (UTC)

What on the blue green hilly oceany Earth is that thing? Anyway, down to 10% and I do not think this will form at all. Seems to be dying to me. Let's wait and see what May brings. ☁️ Nerd (Have a conversation) (Inputs) 15:42, 21 January 2022 (UTC)

0% on TWO. ☁️ Nerd (Have a conversation) (Inputs) 23:19, 21 January 2022 (UTC)

And it's gone. Jas (Anonymous 2.0) (talk) 21:42, 22 January 2022 (UTC)

May

Nine days until the 2022 EPac season begins…so let’s start this up now, shall we? Ryan 1000 01:41, 6 May 2022 (UTC)

AOI: Open Pacific Ocean

This wave formed recently and has a 20% chance of development within five days. None of the models really develop this much. ☁️ Nerd (Have a conversation) (Inputs) 22:54, 23 May 2022 (UTC)

AOI: Near Mexico

Another wave is expected to form soon south of Mexico. The GFS makes this a cat 1-2 hurricane and the ECMWF makes this a strong tropical storm within a week and hitting Mexico. It has a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within five days. ☁️ Nerd (Have a conversation) (Inputs) 22:54, 23 May 2022 (UTC)

60% for 5 days. Looks like the first storm of the EPac season, Agatha, is coming from this. Ryan 1000 14:21, 24 May 2022 (UTC)

Now 20%/70%. More models are making this a hurricane, including the CMC and the ECMWF. The GFS makes this a cat 3-4, but I doubt it'll get that strong. ☁️ Nerd (Have a conversation) (Inputs) 19:36, 24 May 2022 (UTC)